Tennis Betting with Mean Regression Algorithm

[Smiles Tennis]

Hi everyone, 

 

It's been a while. Hope you're all good. 

After Covid putting a stop to sports etc for so long I looked at getting back to it a while ago but the form wasn't there to provide the data so I held off. Well now they've been playing again I thought I would start recording some paper trading bets with a view to going back to money in the new  year some time if it seems OK to follow for real. 

Quick points. 

Paper trading only at the moment

Using Betfair prices when I research selections (I have added profit already on the spreadsheet so it's easy to track when results are in, or change to a loss, and includes commission from my what if figure)

I am using a mean regression algorithm that crunches stats and data and throws up selections for players who might have been under/over performing compared to market sentiment. Seeing as the markets are quite efficient, the players should return to winning/losing an amount of matches that their odds say they should win. 

I will try to share the paper trade selections often, but at times I will be away so can't always do it. I will share ones I put on the spreadsheet, so you won't just see random winning selections added. 

Any comments and discussion are welcome. 

Hopefully it's interesting enough for someone to keep an eye on and maybe see how it goes, rather than just me talking to the thread by myself!

A few selections I have picked for tonight, paper trading with £100 stakes. 

[Torque]

I'll be watching with interest @Tennis Picks

BOL