Racing Chat - Thursday 19th August

[The Brigadier]

Bar Mishriff it was tough finding winners on day one but here’s my thoughts on Day 2 :-

 

York 150

Eleven go to post for the Group 2 Lowther Stakes with Sandrine a warm favourite. Andrew Balding’s filly is hard to oppose here despite a 3lb penalty for her Group 2 Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes victory at the Newmarket July meeting when defeating Her main rival today Desert Dreamer by 1 3/4L. David Probert is having his best ever season and retains his association with this Bobby’s Kitten juvenile who has winning form 8n both heavy and fast ground. Desert Dreamer is closely matched with Zain Claudette on their Princess Margaret Stakes form from Ascot last month and could hit the frame. Sandrine looks smart and should be winning this in my opinion. 

SANDRINE 3 points win @ 13/8 Bet Victor

 

York 2.25

A maximum bumper field of 22 go to post here for the Geoff’s UK Premier Yearling Stakes run over 6F. There’s plenty of dead wood here and only a handful can seriously be fancied. The best in on official ratings is Richard Hannon’s System who looks the likeliest  winner. Pat Dobbs rides this son of Galileo Gold who beat the smart Desert Dreamer in a listed race at Newmarket in June and wasn’t beaten far when 5th in a  Group 3 at Ascot last time. That form should be good enough to take this for Hannon who has farmed this race over the years, winning 4 of the last 5 renewals. Tom Dascombe’s  Ever Given and Clive Cox’s Wings Of War can also be competitive although the biggest threat to the selection may actually come from his stable mate Oh Herberts Reign who improved to run a promising newcomer of the Gosden’s close in a Newbury maiden only last weekend. 

SYSTEM 2 points win @ 4/1 Bet 365

 

York 3.00

A bumper turnout for the Clipper Logistics Handicap run over  1m  of the Knavesmire where it pays to be drawn low as those drawn high can be thrown out wide or forced to drop in and forfeit ground. All the main fancies are drawn out wide with the likes of Magical Morning (stall 18), Astro Boy (17), La Trinidad (20) and Ametist (19) and although you can win from there it certainly doesn’t make it easy. Maydanny likes to press forward and is nicely drawn in stall 3 to front run and looks sure to run well although a 6lb penalty for his Golden Mile Handicap win at Goodwood won’t make things easy here although he gets my selection here. The other Shadwell Stud owned runner Basshir, ridden by stable number two Dane O’Neill can also run well. 

MAYDANNY 1 point each way @ 7/1 1/5^th 123456

 

York 3.35

This season’s Darley Yorkshire Oaks has attracted 7 runners and looks at the mercy of the odds on favourite Snowfall who should really be winning this. The last four winners of this Group 1 contest have been Enable, Sea Of Class, Enable and Love and Aidan O’Brien’s super mare can join that illustrious group by comfortably winning this. She’s won the Musidora , Epsom and Irish Oaks this season by a staggering aggregate of 28 1/4 lengths. The two four year olds up against her Albaflora and Wonderful Tonight would both much prefer softer ground and it wouldn’t be a shock if one or both were pulled out due to the drying conditions. John Gosden’s Loving Dream had Eshaada 3/4L behind her in the Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot last time but the latter is reportedly smart and can turn the tables here and chase the favourite home. She can be backed in the ‘without the favourite’ market. 

ESHAADA 2 points win 10/3 Bet365 (without Snowfall)

 

[alexcaruso808]

yes mate - very hard to find winners.....or maybe I'm just saying that because all my bets lost lol!!  

I might stay away from York tomorrow and just follow a few bets from on here.