Racing chat-Saturday 9th january

[richard-westwood]

I'm being brave next weekend ....got the 2 x 33pt rollover bets from last weekend ....I could just pick a small race but I've got a better chance of picking a big priced winner in the big races so I'm gonna go for it ......first race I'm currently looking at is the rescheduled welsh national .......Ive passed it through the computer and I have ......

The two amigos    355 

Christmas in April  345 

Cloudy glen    341 

Well ......that seems pretty cut and dry .....what's anyones opinions on top 2 here ....especially 2 amigos....do you think hes worth putting up as the rollover bet given theres 19runners....gulp .....christmas in april is no mug though ....and looks a good type for this sort of race ...?

Currently 2 amigos is around  10/1 ...so that would be a 360 odd pt return bet 

 

**** update.....first of the 33pt rollover bets from last week .....given the ground is heavy I'm going 25pt win at 16.5  betfair on THE TWO AMIGOS which I think is an incredible price ....and an 8pt saver on CHRISTMAS IN APRIL ..AT 11.5 at betfair ....I'm happy with those bets and as its bookies money really as I  recouped my original stake it's a shot to nothing in my eyes 

[richard-westwood]

On 1/6/2021 at 8:38 AM, richard-westwood said:

The other race I'm considering as the 2nd bet saturday is the lanzarote hurdle but I've rated the current top 20 runners as 

One true king  377+

Shang tang  374

Shinobi   370 

Just cant decide currently between these top two .....one true king might go off fav currently around 7 or 8 .....he destroyed a 2 mile field scoring 138rpr .....that was good for another 8pts so I'd put him on 146......his official rating will be 132 saturday I think so on paper hes a absolutely thrown in (stone to the good ) ....but will have to travel 5f further and that's a big factor 

Shang tang isnt really lighting up the track but has been performing well in some tough races .....will like the ground.. ..gets the distance and trainer has stated that improvement is not impossible ......

Yiu can see the dilemma ....proven horse ??...or up and coming star trying something new .....??

Didn't want to split the stake but might have to have a small saver bet in this race but still gotta pick the main bet though .....cant decide 

2nd of the 33pt rollover bets .....decided after much deliberation to trust the ratings and go 25pt win 13/2 ONE TRUE KING with 888....and an 8pt saver on SHANG TANG AT 12.5 on betfair .....I'm happy with those rollover bets ...the rest is down to luck