Keef's Horsey Holy Grail

[keef75]

After feeling bad about hijacking someone else's thread in this part of the forum I thought it would be best to start afresh.  I have something that I have been following for a while - a horse racing selection system.  I know, if you've seen one you've seen them all blah blah blah.  Well, prepare to be amazed haha!

So far there have been 265 selections between January 2017 and today, mainly around the weekends and big festivals etc..  Here are some stats:

Strike rate: 46%
Longest losing run: 9
Longest winning run: 6
Average WIN SP: 2.76 (Betfair: 2.88)
Point profit to level stakes: +71.76 (Betfair: +86.00)
 

I'm not going to say too much about the selection process - there are 8 base rules - but I will post the selections here.  The only rule you need to know is that the selection MUST START CLEAR FAVOURITE so having access to Betfair or whatever is essential to be able to watch the prices just before the off.  There will be cases where it's too close to call - in these situations I scrap the selection.

As for staking plans, this is where the aforementioned hijacked thread comes into play.  I am currently looking at some quite aggressive plans.

I have the following figures for the first 264 selections (all from a starting bank of £1000):

Level stakes (£10)
26.84% ROI - Current Profit £708 (Normal SP) - Total Staked £2640
32.23% ROI - Current Profit £850 (Betfair SP) - Total Staked £2640

Multiplier on loss (x1.2 previous stake)
25.21% ROI - Current Profit £858 - Total Staked £3405

Percentage bank (1% of bank always)
25.79% ROI - Current Profit £969 - Total Staked £3758

Square root (base stake of £10 plus the square root of the current bank minus start bank)
23.79% ROI - Current Profit £3052 - Total Staked £12831

1-3-2-6 Staking (based on a 1% stake)
27.36% ROI - Current Profit £2803 - Total Staked £10246

Ratchet (1% of current bank increasing over time but never reducing)
26.02% ROI - Current Profit £1017 - Total Staked £3909

Ratchet square root (combination of two above methods)
24.88% ROI - Current Profit £4028 (Normal SP) - Total Staked £16193
27.39% ROI - Current Profit £4873 (Betfair SP) - Total Staked £17794

Incidentally, selection 265 also won but I can't be bothered updating all those figures! 

The plans I will be following on here are:
Level stakes (for control purposes)
Square root
1-3-2-6
Ratchet square root

I'll be posting the selections below as I find them and also running totals.  I'll keep the above totals going but I'll also start from £1000 again for the purposes of this thread so we can all follow it together.  Sometimes there will be conditions for the bet such as 'only qualifies if there are at least 5 runners' or 'only qualifies if xxx is a NR' etc.  Finally I've attached a graph showing how some of the plans have performed.  Hopefully things will continue in a similar manner.

Last thing to say... I'm posting these selections for information only and I can't take any responsibility for losses that might occur from errors or otherwise.  Past performance is not an indicator of future performance for any system!  Let's go!

[keef75]

Thursday, 12th September 2019

6:50 Chelmsford City - IBRAZ or SOLAR HEIGHTS

Neither is currently clear favourite so we'll keep an eye on this.  If neither starts clear favourite this is a no-bet.