BillyHills Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 First race to look at for this weekend is the Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock Haydock 3.15: Peter Marsh Handicap Chase (3m11/2f) Previous Winners Key trends to follow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 Key Trends 9/10 Aged 8 or above 9/10 Ran within 36 days 8/10 Carried 11st 3lbs or less 8/10 Placed on last completed start 8/10 Had ran at Haydock previously 6/10 Northern trained. (11/17) Interesting to note that 13 of the last 17 winners were among the first 5 in the betting. 10 of the last 17 winners had ran two or three times prior to the race that season. 11 of the last 17 had won over at least 3m previously. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted January 17, 2018 Author Share Posted January 17, 2018 The other big handicap on Saturday is at Ascot 2.25 Ascot: 2m3½f Ascot Spring Garden Show Holloway's Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Previous Winners This race only began in 2008 and we have lost the race twice (2013,2017) so we only have 8 years stats. Key Trends 8/8 Irish/French Bred 6/8 Aged 6 or less (last 6) 7/8 SP between 11/2-10/1 5/8 Carried 11st or more (140 or higher) 7/8 Clear favourites beaten (2016 7/1 co/fav won) 7/8 Had won at this trip before Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted January 19, 2018 Author Share Posted January 19, 2018 Peter Marsh Chase Aged 8 or above We lose Hainan, Tintern Theatre, Forest Des Aigles Ran within 36 days We lose Caroles Destrier, Rock The Kasbah, Highland Lodge Carried 11st 3lbs or less We lose Ptit Zig, Yala Enki Placed on last completed start We lose Fine Rightly, The Dutchman Had ran at Haydock previously We lose Walk In The Mill Left with 2 possibles 1pt Captain Redbeard 9/1 Coral 1pt Knockanrawley 14/1 Skb Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted January 19, 2018 Author Share Posted January 19, 2018 Holloways Handicap Hurdle Irish or French bred We lose Air Horse One, Whatmore, Man Of Plenty Aged 6 or less We lose Thorpe and Vivas Won at this trip or more We lose Jenkins, Burbank, Caid Du Lin, Night Of Sin, Crossed My Mind, Montys Award Carried 11st or more We lose Oxwich Bay and Jabulani Selection Le Breuil 1pt win Le Breuil 7/1 Paddy Power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted January 19, 2018 Share Posted January 19, 2018 Captain Redbeard looks a good choice BH ....... as well as fitting the trends he's a dual course winner and has won on Heavy At 9/1 he looks an EW banker ! BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted January 19, 2018 Share Posted January 19, 2018 3.15 Peter Marsh Chase 14/14 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously 13/14 – Aged 8 or older 13/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks 13/14 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight 12/14 – Had run within the last 36 days 11/14 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously 10/14 – Officially Rated 139 or higher 10/14 – Won at Haydock previously Was left with : Captain Redbeard, Fine Rightly and Walk In the Mill. Captain Redbeard is the only one of the three that has won at Haydock 1 Pt EW @ 10\1 Ladbrokes Holloways Handicap Hurdle 8/10 – Priced 11/2 or bigger in the betting 8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less 8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners) 8/10 – Aged 7 or younger 7/10 – Officially rated 139 or higher 7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight 6/10 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks 6/10 – French bred 6/10 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting 6/10 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd) 5/10 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously 5/10 – Had raced at Ascot previously Had to go down a long way to get the winner of this: Air Horse One 1 Pt EW @ 14\1 Betfred WiggoBets and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted January 19, 2018 Author Share Posted January 19, 2018 Ratings Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted January 20, 2018 Author Share Posted January 20, 2018 20 hours ago, BillyHills said: Holloways Handicap Hurdle Irish or French bred We lose Air Horse One, Whatmore, Man Of Plenty Aged 6 or less We lose Thorpe and Vivas Won at this trip or more We lose Jenkins, Burbank, Caid Du Lin, Night Of Sin, Crossed My Mind, Montys Award Carried 11st or more We lose Oxwich Bay and Jabulani Selection Le Breuil 1pt win Le Breuil 7/1 Paddy Power NR so will go with Oxwich Bay due to 7 of the last 8 winners have been 10/1 or less and the selection about 5/1 where as Jabulani is a 20/1 shot. 1pt Oxwich Bay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted January 20, 2018 Author Share Posted January 20, 2018 20 hours ago, Xtc12 said: 3.15 Peter Marsh Chase Captain Redbeard is the only one of the three that has won at Haydock 1 Pt EW @ 10\1 Ladbrokes Holloways Handicap Hurdle Had to go down a long way to get the winner of this: Air Horse One 1 Pt EW @ 14\1 Betfred Xtc12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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