gbettle Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 So sorry for the late post - had my 3rd jab. event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-15 15:35 Newbury Poetic Music 2.04 2021-12-15 17:15 Kempton August Place 1.9 2021-12-15 19:15 Kempton Gaassee 1.79 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 89.33 69.33 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 6 hours ago, gbettle said: So sorry for the late post - had my 3rd jab. event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-15 15:35 Newbury Poetic Music 2.04 2021-12-15 17:15 Kempton August Place 1.9 2021-12-15 19:15 Kempton Gaassee 1.79 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 89.33 69.33 event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-15 15:35 Newbury Poetic Music 2.04 1 2021-12-15 17:15 Kempton August Place 1.9 5 2021-12-15 19:15 Kempton Gaassee 1.79 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 18.26 -1.74 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 29 580 573.37 -6.63 10 28 560 756.97 196.97 11 30 600 767.18 167.18 12 15 300 253.17 -46.83 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 Oh dear,this horse is back to haunt me. I avoided it a few days ago which was a good job as it came nowhere again BUT, Sth 131. Qaaraat 12/1 bet365 £10 ew. MCLARKE and The Equaliser 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Exeter 2.15 MASKADA 11/8 £20 win BSP The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-16 14:00 Naas Gaillard Du Mesnil 1.55 2021-12-16 14:36 Southwell Carausius 1.79 2021-12-16 16:00 Chelmsford City Yonafis 1.67 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 64.93 44.93 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 23 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said: 5.00 dundalk deciet 25/1 £5 e/w 5.00 dundalk masked mayhem 25/1 £5 e/w bet365 lost -£51.50 dec -£563.50 1st oct The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 3.00 nass qurkies gate 7/1 £10 e/w bet365 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 20 hours ago, Nigwilliam said: Oh dear,this horse is back to haunt me. I avoided it a few days ago which was a good job as it came nowhere again BUT, Sth 131. Qaaraat 12/1 bet365 £10 ew. 3rd. Returns £34 Dec. + £6 The Equaliser and MCLARKE 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 15 hours ago, gbettle said: event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-16 14:00 Naas Gaillard Du Mesnil 1.55 2021-12-16 14:36 Southwell Carausius 1.79 2021-12-16 16:00 Chelmsford City Yonafis 1.67 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 64.93 44.93 event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-16 14:00 Naas Gaillard Du Mesnil 1.55 3 2021-12-16 14:36 Southwell Carausius 1.79 1 2021-12-16 16:00 Chelmsford City Yonafis 1.67 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 14.95 -5.05 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 29 580 573.37 -6.63 10 28 560 756.97 196.97 11 30 600 767.18 167.18 12 16 320 268.12 -51.88 Wildgarden, Nigwilliam and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Fri. Sth 1225 Das Capital 10/1 skybet 4pl. £10 ew. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Ascot 2.55 PIC D'ORHY 11/10 £20 win BSP Budgie 65 and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-17 16:00 Dundalk Obtain 2.08 2021-12-17 16:30 Dundalk Together Aclaim 2.04 2021-12-17 18:30 Dundalk Moshammer 2.08 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 108.19 88.19 A wee summary ... need to calc some stats - i.e. A\E, LSP, Archie, etc. - but I'm not sure whether they should be calculated with a single trixie bet, or the 4 bets per trixie: The Equaliser and Rusty Nails 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Personally I would calculate based on the individual selections, the returns on the trixies over the long term should equate to the same as LSP. The downside is the losing runs will be longer and the bank will need to be bigger. It's looking good though. What is the logic behind the selections ? The Equaliser and gbettle 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 On 12/16/2021 at 9:40 AM, LEE-GRAYS said: 3.00 nass qurkies gate 7/1 £10 e/w bet365 lost -£71.50 -£573.50 1st oct The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 5,45 kempton pluperfect 11/1 £10 win 7.15 kempton roundel 11/1 £10 win bet365 g/l lee The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted December 17, 2021 Share Posted December 17, 2021 Newcastle 12.00 SOFT RISK 5/6 £20 win BSP The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Hay 1150 Chti Balco 15/8 bet365 £20 win. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 On 12/17/2021 at 11:26 AM, MCLARKE said: Personally I would calculate based on the individual selections, the returns on the trixies over the long term should equate to the same as LSP. The downside is the losing runs will be longer and the bank will need to be bigger. It's looking good though. What is the logic behind the selections ? Thanks @MCLARKE really appreciate the comments. Logic is start with the set of a day's favourites and then select those that have 0 or 1 tip from the Racing Post's Nap Competition If more than 3 selections, take 3 that are the lowest and\or 0 tips if possible. However, my stats don't back it up individually so I think the 4 bets of the Trixie is working: bsp 0 bets 1 bets 1.01 to 2.00 -9.97 919 -37.77 355 2.01 to 3.00 -78.96 2345 -52.83 741 3.01 to 4.00 -181.52 2398 -56.43 611 4.01 to 5.00 84.49 1467 -17.94 298 5.01 to 6.00 -40.99 757 19.78 143 6.01 to 7.00 -8.87 251 -10.49 40 7.01 to 8.00 45.06 69 -10.78 18 8.01 to 9.00 -9.12 17 3.77 4 9.01 to 10.00 -3.00 3 -3.00 3 > 10.00 -1.00 1 0.00 0 4.01 to 5.00 5.76% 5.01 to 6.00 13.83% 7.01 to 8.00 65.30% 8.01 to 9.00 94.28% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 On 12/17/2021 at 10:58 AM, gbettle said: event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-17 16:00 Dundalk Obtain 2.08 2021-12-17 16:30 Dundalk Together Aclaim 2.04 2021-12-17 18:30 Dundalk Moshammer 2.08 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 108.19 88.19 A wee summary ... need to calc some stats - i.e. A\E, LSP, Archie, etc. - but I'm not sure whether they should be calculated with a single trixie bet, or the 4 bets per trixie: event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-17 16:00 Dundalk Obtain 2.08 4 2021-12-17 16:30 Dundalk Together Aclaim 2.04 2 2021-12-17 18:30 Dundalk Moshammer 2.08 NR Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 0.00 -20.00 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 29 580 573.37 -6.63 10 28 560 756.97 196.97 11 30 600 767.18 167.18 12 17 340 268.12 -71.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 On 12/17/2021 at 10:53 AM, LEE-GRAYS said: 5,45 kempton pluperfect 11/1 £10 win 7.15 kempton roundel 11/1 £10 win bet365 g/l lee lost -£91.50 -£593.50 1st oct Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 1,45 navan excelcior 25/1 £10 e/w bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-18 12:00 Newcastle Soft Risk 1.69 2021-12-18 15:30 Navan American Mike 1.17 2021-12-18 17:30 Wolverhampton Pink Crystal 1.64 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 49.55 29.55 Wildgarden and Rusty Nails 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 8 hours ago, gbettle said: However, my stats don't back it up individually so I think the 4 bets of the Trixie is working: I would be cautious about this. If a system doesn't make a profit at LSP then long term it is unlikely to make a profit by combining them in doubles and trebles. gbettle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 Fakenham 2.20 LELANTOS 5/4 £20 win BSP The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 13 hours ago, gbettle said: event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-18 12:00 Newcastle Soft Risk 1.69 2021-12-18 15:30 Navan American Mike 1.17 2021-12-18 17:30 Wolverhampton Pink Crystal 1.64 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 49.55 29.55 event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-18 12:00 Newcastle Soft Risk 1.69 NR 2021-12-18 15:30 Navan American Mike 1.17 1 2021-12-18 17:30 Wolverhampton Pink Crystal 1.64 2 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 5.85 -14.15 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 29 580 573.37 -6.63 10 28 560 756.97 196.97 11 30 600 767.18 167.18 12 18 360 273.97 -86.03 The Equaliser and Rusty Nails 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 Let's try the 2 Johnston runners Kemp 100 Flash Mob 50/1 £2 ew 4pl. 300. Knightswood 15/2 £8 ew skybet The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 Good luck all. event_date time course selection betfair position 2021-12-19 12:10 Thurles Stratum 1.48 2021-12-19 12:20 Fakenham Code Name Lise 1.58 2021-12-19 15:40 Thurles Eabha Grace 1.99 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 65.41 45.41 The Equaliser and Rusty Nails 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 23 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said: 1,45 navan excelcior 25/1 £10 e/w bet365 placed +£52.50 -£39 dec -£541 oct 1st Nigwilliam, The Equaliser, gbettle and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 1.10 thurles springfield lodge 12/1 £10 e/w bet365 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 (edited) 16 hours ago, Nigwilliam said: Let's try the 2 Johnston runners Kemp 100 Flash Mob 50/1 £2 ew 4pl. 300. Knightswood 15/2 £8 ew skybet 3rd 15/2 Returns £20. Dec minus £34 Edited December 19, 2021 by Nigwilliam Bank. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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