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Xtc12

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On 6/4/2019 at 11:08 PM, Xtc12 said:

Spartan Fighter 18.30 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

1st @ 7\4 - led, ridden and headed over 1f out, stayed on, led again towards finish

On 6/4/2019 at 11:08 PM, Xtc12 said:

Holly Flight 16.50 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

4th -  mid-division, 5th halfway, pushed along in 3rd approaching straight, ridden and no impression in 4th 2 out, kept on one pace

Maamora 16.50 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

Lightly-raced filly. 9/4, creditable second of 11 in maiden at Goodwood (9.9f, good to firm) 14 days ago, kept on and finished clear of the rest. Sets the standard. 

Basic Law 18.20 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Promising sort. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. 9/4, won 5-runner minor event at Gowran (8f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Stable having good spell. Big player. 

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On 6/5/2019 at 11:23 PM, Xtc12 said:

Maamora 16.50 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

1st @ 9\4 - made all, clear over 1f out, easily

On 6/5/2019 at 11:23 PM, Xtc12 said:

Basic Law 18.20 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

1st @ 5\4 - prominent early, soon held up, towards rear after 2f, pushed along to progress 2f out, ridden into 2nd 1 1/2f out, kept on to press leader inside final furlong, led close home

Stubborn Logic 14.20 Market Rasen 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Promise in maiden hurdles for John Halley in Ireland. Fell when holding every chance at Warwick and clear of the rest when headed late from this mark at Fontwell a fortnight ago. Obvious claims.

Domitian 20.55 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Promising sort. 10/1, second of 9 in bumper at Tipperary (16f, soft) on NH debut 15 days ago. Seems sure to do better. 

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On 6/6/2019 at 11:41 PM, Xtc12 said:

Stubborn Logic 14.20 Market Rasen 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

1st @ 6\4 -  raced keenly chasing leaders, hit 5th and 7th, 2nd before 2 out, led approaching 2 out, driven right out

On 6/6/2019 at 11:41 PM, Xtc12 said:

Domitian 20.55 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

1st @ 7\4 - close up, 3rd approaching halfway, pushed along before straight, on terms under 2f out, gained narrow lead inside final furlong, kept on best

Stubborn Logic helps to equal the record in GB of 6 consecutive winners. Also 2nd consecutive double. :drums

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Nonchalance 16.30 Newmarket 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Dubawi filly who confirmed her considerable debut promise when running out a convincing winner of a Haydock minor event (1m) last month. High on shortlist again with prospect of better still to come.

Shakespear'sgalley 16.00 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Progressive in handicaps, winning 13-runner event at Down Royal (13f, good to soft) 8 days ago, keeping on well. Back up in trip. Potential for better again back at 2m. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Nonchalance 16.30 Newmarket 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

1st @ 5\4 - chased leaders, closed 2f out, led over 1f out, edged left inside final furlong, pushed out

:nana 7 consecutive winners in GB a new record.

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Shakespear'sgalley 16.00 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

2nd - soon led, pushed along and headed 2f out, ridden and no impression on winner inside final furlong, kept on one pace

Paper Star 15.05 Goodwood 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Placed on all 3 starts, second of 7 in novice at Hamilton (5f, good to soft) on latest. Leading claims.

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Update:

Overall:

CC090619.JPG.31354c4d01786bbc7cf06863bf755f7f.JPG

Year 3:

CCYear3090619.JPG.59f9f80b44fc4bfce6ffae6a351380ce.JPG

Doubles:

CCDoubles0619.JPG.e314083fe38bd144378957336e2f7048.JPG

After the last week with a 100% strike rate in GB, the Year 3 strike rate in GB has gone to 40.5% and a ROI of 8.1%.

Overall have to be happy with the GB returns 684 bets,SR 39.5% and ROI of 3.6%. 

Not much to say about Ireland except that in Year 3, 34.38% of bets have come 2nd.

Doubles are still in profit after 590 bets with a healthy 10.93% ROI.

 

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On 6/8/2019 at 11:45 PM, Xtc12 said:

Paper Star 15.05 Goodwood 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

3rd - hung right throughout, soon led, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra towards finish

Angel Alexander 17.45 Windsor 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Lightly-raced maiden. Off 6 months and well backed eighth of 10 in handicap (7/2) at Chester (5.1f, soft) 33 days ago, going off too hard. Will strip fitter and is on a good mark. 

Glow Worm 17.55 Roscommon 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

Thrice-raced filly. Second of 15 in maiden (8/1) at the Curragh (5f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Big shout if staying. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Angel Alexander 17.45 Windsor 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

1st @ 10\3 -  pressed leader, went to far rail and led halfway, ridden and went clear over 1f out, easily

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Glow Worm 17.55 Roscommon 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

2nd -  broke well, led and disputed, narrow lead after 2f, joined 2 1/2f out, ridden in narrow lead 1 1/2f out, headed 1f out, kept on same pace final furlong

Clay Reggazoni 17.50 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Promising second of 8 in maiden at Ayr (6f, good to firm) on debut 20 days ago. Open to progress and tough to beat. 

Cosmo's Moon 18.40 Roscommon 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

Fairly useful hurdler. One win from 3 runs last season. Winner in hurdle at Limerick in April. 8/1, good third of 16 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (20f, good) 14 days ago. Has good chance on form. 

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On 6/10/2019 at 11:20 PM, Xtc12 said:

Clay Reggazoni 17.50 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

2nd - tracked leader, hard driven to challenge over 1f out, every chance inside final furlong, kept on under pressure
 

On 6/10/2019 at 11:20 PM, Xtc12 said:

Cosmo's Moon 18.40 Roscommon 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

2nd - chased leaders in 3rd, went 2nd after 4 out and briefly disputed lead next, soon pushed along and headed, ridden and switched to outer before last, no impression and kept on same pace run-in

Paddy's Runner 16.10 Fontwell 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Clearly perked up by a yard switch when scoring in good style over C&D 7 days ago, looking well served by the trip. No surprise to see him out under a penalty and leading claims once more. 

Fulysse 19.10 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

7/1 and hooded for 1st time tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving Paul Nolan when second of 8 in novice hurdle at this C&D (good to soft) on hurdles bow 28 days ago. One to note. 

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Swaffham Bulbeck 18.50 Uttoxeter -  Non Runner

Flight Risk 19.40 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Smart gelding. 1 win from 2 runs this year. Won 9-runner listed race at this course (8f, good, 11/4) 7 days ago by 3½ lengths from Hand On Heart, driven clear. Sets the benchmark. 

** Internet problems last night, the difference in the price for Flight Risk - 6\4 last night :cry

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On 6/11/2019 at 11:57 PM, Xtc12 said:

Paddy's Runner 16.10 Fontwell 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

2nd - made most, 2 lengths clear when blundered 2 out, soon ridden, not fluent last, edged right and headed flat, no extra

On 6/11/2019 at 11:57 PM, Xtc12 said:

Fulysse 19.10 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

6th - prominent, closed up travelling smoothly approaching straight, not match winner approaching last and slight mistake, one pace

9 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Flight Risk 19.40 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

1st @ Evs - raced in 4th, headway approaching straight, soon pushed along on outer, led inside final furlong, stayed on well

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Smith's Bay 21.05 Aintree 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Bumper winner who improved to get off the mark over hurdles in 7-runner novice at Warwick last month for all he was handed it on a plate by the runner-up stopping suddenly. Can go in again. 

Who's Steph 18.55 Cork 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Smart filly. Won Gowran listed in May. Respectable neck second of 7 to Tarnawa in Group 3 Blue Wind at Naas (10f, good, 8/11) 34 days ago. Yard having good spell. The one to beat. 

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Mekong 15.00 York 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Smart gelding. 7/2, very good 1¾ lengths second of 5 to Dee Ex Bee in 2m Sandown Group 3 latest, with Austrian School just behind in third. Slightly shorter trip now in favour. Leading claims. 

Erlking 14.20 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Promising sort. Better effort when second of 10 in maiden at Listowel (6.3f, soft, 8/1) 13 days ago. Difficult to oppose. 

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On 6/13/2019 at 11:46 PM, Xtc12 said:

Smith's Bay 21.05 Aintree 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

2nd - took keen hold, held up, went 3rd from the 3rd, went 2nd approaching 3 out, led last, headed flat, soon beaten

On 6/13/2019 at 11:46 PM, Xtc12 said:

Who's Steph 18.55 Cork 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

1st @ Evs - chased leaders in 3rd, went 2nd from 3f out and improved to dispute lead from 2f out, ridden to lead over 1f out and kept on well inside final furlong

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Mekong 15.00 York 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

7th - prominent, led after 2f, ridden and headed over 3f out, soon lost place, behind over 2f out

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Erlking 14.20 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

4th - soon led, joined briefly halfway, led again early straight, strongly pressed over 1f out and headed 100 yards out, soon carried left and kept on one pace

 

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Celtic Manor 16.30 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Looks a typical progressive sort from his yard, winning 5f Windsor novice on return 3 weeks ago. Step back up to 6f should suit now handicapping and there's surely more to come. 

Deburrafield 16.00 Downpatrick 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Fair hurdler. Very good second of 16 in handicap hurdle (25/1) at Ballinrobe (20.3f, good) 20 days ago, sticking to task. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Celtic Manor 16.30 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

1st @ 15\8 -  tracked leaders, challenged going well 2f out, led over 1f out, edged right, driven out

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Deburrafield 16.00 Downpatrick 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

5th - chased leader in 2nd, dropped to 3rd from 4 out and ridden from 2 out, no extra in 4th from last and dropped to 5th close home

Passing Nod 18.10 Windsor 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Foaled February 5. Zoffany colt. Closely related to 1m-1¼m winner Auspicion and half-brother to numerous winners, including smart 5f winner Enticing and smart 7f/1m winner Sentaril. 

Email Rose 18.00 Kilbeggan 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. 25/1, ninth of 11 in bumper at Leopardstown (16f, good) on bumper debut 173 days ago. Switches from bumpers to hurdles. Standard bearer. 

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On 6/16/2019 at 11:45 PM, Xtc12 said:

Passing Nod 18.10 Windsor 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

6th - chased leaders, driven and outpaced well over 2f out, never able to challenge, weakened inside final furlong

On 6/16/2019 at 11:45 PM, Xtc12 said:

Email Rose 18.00 Kilbeggan 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Non Runner

Loolwah 17.10 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Promising sort. Much better effort when second of 10 in minor event at Nottingham (8.3f, good, 5/1) 16 days ago. Leading claims. 

Aspen Belle 18.40 Sligo 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

13/2, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Cork (5f, good to soft) 4 days ago, well on top finish. Carries penalty. Big shout again. 

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Hidden Spell 13.50 Hamilton 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

€20,000 Dandy Man filly. Dam unraced half-sister to 1m winner Lonely Place. Promising sort. 11/4, second of 7 in minor event at Pontefract (6f, soft) on debut 9 days ago. Should progress. 

Robaddan 21.00 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Once-raced maiden. 11/2, second of 9 in bumper at Listowel (20f, good) on NH debut 16 days ago, clear of remainder. High on the shortlist. 

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On 6/17/2019 at 11:58 PM, Xtc12 said:

Loolwah 17.10 Thirsk 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

1st @ 7\4 -  tracked leaders, driven over 2f out, every chance over 1f out, led inside final furlong, stayed on well

On 6/17/2019 at 11:58 PM, Xtc12 said:

Aspen Belle 18.40 Sligo 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

5th - chased leaders on inner, took keen hold early, ridden in 3rd under 2f out, 3rd 1f out, no extra final furlong

15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Hidden Spell 13.50 Hamilton 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

4th - close up, pushed along and headway 2f out, kept on one pace final furlong

15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Robaddan 21.00 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

2nd -  tracked leader, 3rd halfway, headway to lead 4f out, pushed along entering straight, ridden over 1f out and headed final 100 yards, no impression on winner close home

Shortbackandsides 17.10 Ripon 1 Pt WIn @ 3\1 (bog)

C&D winner. Good second of 11 in handicap at Haydock (6f, soft, 7/1) 13 days ago. Gone well at this venue previously and he's one to be interested in. 

Fancy Footings 19.50 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Promising sort. First run for new yard (also gelded since last seen) when very good second in handicap at Gowran (7f, good to soft) 43 days ago, not ideally placed. Likely has more to offer yet. 

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On 6/19/2019 at 11:51 PM, Xtc12 said:

Shortbackandsides 17.10 Ripon 1 Pt WIn @ 3\1 (bog)

7th - towards rear, pushed along halfway, never a factor

On 6/19/2019 at 11:51 PM, Xtc12 said:

Fancy Footings 19.50 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

2nd - chased leaders in 3rd, ridden in 3rd 1 1/2f out, went close 2nd inside final furlong, stayed on well close home, strongly pressed winner to line

Sapa Inca 19.30 Goodwood 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Newbury (12f, soft, 5/2) 8 days ago, well on top finish. Carries penalty. Hard to beat if in the same mood. 

Yuften 17.30 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Useful gelding. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. 11/10, below form 8 lengths third of 11 to Tennesse Waltz in claimer at Tipperary (7.5f, soft) 17 days ago. Difficult to oppose despite that. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Sapa Inca 19.30 Goodwood 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

3rd - soon led, joined 3f out, headed 2f out, soon lost 2nd, weakened over 1f out

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Yuften 17.30 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

1st @ 11\10 - led or disputed lead, travelled well early straight, ridden to lead 1 1/2f out, kept on well inside final furlong

Kingdom Brunel 17.10 Redcar 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

7/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable second of 13 in handicap at Thirsk (8f, soft) 11 days ago. That was his best effort of the current campaign and he's an obvious player with a repeat. 

Camphor 16.05 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Promising individual. Won 16-runner maiden at Navan (10f, good to soft, 11/4) 14 days ago, having to pick way through. Opening mark looks fair and she should have more to offer. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Kingdom Brunel 17.10 Redcar 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

5th -  mid-division, headway over 2f out, kept on inside final furlong, not able to challenge

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Camphor 16.05 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

1st @ 5\2 - mid-division, 5th halfway, some headway 3f out and travelled well to lead under 2f out, pushed along to assert over 1f out and drew clear inside final furlong, very easily

Chef De Troupe 17.15 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 (bog)

Useful Flat performer in France and showed improved form making handicap debut in this sphere at Huntingdon (2m) last month, plugging on. Races to be won with him if he settles down. 

Basic Law   16.15 Tipperary 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Promising sort. 10/11, career best when winning 5-runner minor event at Leopardstown (7.1f, good) 17 days ago. Up in trip. Makes handicap debut. Has to be taken seriously.

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On 6/22/2019 at 11:54 PM, Xtc12 said:

Chef De Troupe 17.15 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 (bog)

1st @ 11\4 -  jumped right, led until 4th, led after 3 out, clear 2 out, easily

On 6/22/2019 at 11:54 PM, Xtc12 said:

Basic Law   16.15 Tipperary 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

4th - waited with behind leaders, pushed along over 2f out, kept on same pace from over 1f out

Knight Shield  18.10 Windsor 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

January 25 foal. £140,000 yearling. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 2-y-o 5f/6f winner Melbourne Memories and useful 7f-8.6f winner Corazon Espinado. Lots of appeal on paper. 

Machiavelli 20.25 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog)

Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. Good second of 18 in handicap at Fairyhouse (12f, soft, 11/2) 10 days ago, just failing. Considered. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Knight Shield  18.10 Windsor 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

1st @ 5\1 - in touch, headway over 2f out, every chance inside final furlong, ran on to lead close home

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Machiavelli 20.25 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog)

5th - mid-division, ridden into 6th 2 1/2f out, stayed on behind horses 1f out, not clear run and switched left inside final furlong, no impression close home

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Midnight Folie 18.20 Newton Abbott 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Low-key form under Rules when with Ben Pauling, but prolific in points since and barely broke sweat back in this sphere on recent debut for new yard at Ffos Las. Obvious claims under a penalty. 

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