Announcements
** Nap's Competition Result : 1st Barnsley Chop, 2nd Daisychain, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert, 4th Marmalade, KO Cup Tipsterix, Most Winners Calva Decoy**
**June Poker League Result : 1st Autogree £75, 2nd Rivrd £45, 3rd Ian309 £30**
Xtc12

Conflict Cup

Recommended Posts

1st @ 6\5 and 3rd yesterday

Bertie Blake 15.03 Sedgefield 1 Pt WIn @ 2\1 (bog)

Offered little on chase bow back in November but been in top form over hurdles here since, successful both starts in 2020. This trip fine and well worth another go over fences.

Some Man 14.55 Thurles 1 Pt WIn @ 2\1 (bog)

First run since leaving Paul Nicholls when 6/4, career best when winning 14-runner hunter chase at Clonmel (20.5f, heavy) on debut over fences 42 days ago, easily. Strong claims. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Two 4th's today

Louis Vac Pouch 15.10 Newcastle 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Fairly useful hurdler/chaser for Henry Oliver who recorded respectable third in 2m Carlisle chase 102 days ago. Leading form claims here for his new yard. 

Sheisdiesel 17.30 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

6-time course winner. Four wins from 10 runs last year. Creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at this course (12f, 5/1) 7 days ago, left poorly placed. Has to be taken seriously. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2nd and 4th yesterday

Bothwell Bridge 16.45 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Bumped into a really promising sort of Dan Skelton's when runner-up despite inexperience at Huntingdon on debut and, with improvement on the cards, he's well worth a chance to go one better. 

Alpha Des Obeaux 16.02 fairyhouse 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Very smart chaser. 12/1, creditable third of 18 in handicap chase at Aintree (25.8f, good to soft) 77 days ago. Shortlist material. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2nd and 3rd today

Birds of Prey 16.00 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Useful Flat performer who got act together over hurdles last term, winning maiden/novice events at Taunton. Left Kempton return in his wake when third at aforementioned venue latest and big player now 

Andy Dufresne 15.10 Naas 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Turned over when odds on at Navan in December, but that form has been boosted since and he resumed winning ways when dropped in trip in a Punchestown Grade 2 (16.3f, heavy) next time. Major player. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

1st @ Evs and 3rd today

Equidae 16.45 Southwell 1 Pt WIn @ 11\10 (bog)

5/2, back to winning ways in 8-runner handicap here (7f) last Thursday. Did that pretty readily so a 5 lb penalty may not prevent the follow up. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2nd yesterday

First Account 14.40 Musselburgh 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Confirmed the promise of his chasing debut when winning 6-runner handicap here (20.3f, heavy) last week, driven clear. Likely to progress further, and returns to hurdling from same mark.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

1st @ 6\5 today

Demopolis 17.00 Ludlow 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Off the mark for Philip Hobbs when taking 10-runner handicap chase at this course (16f, heavy) last week, plenty in hand. Can race off same mark, returned to hurdling, and holds obvious claims.

Tokyo Getaway 16.50 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Off the mark in 3m handicap hurdle at Punchestown last month (7/2), needing almost all of the longest trip she has faced so far. Likely to improve and switches back over fences with leading claims. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

First in a while - double @ 11\10 and 7\2 :)

Miss Heritage 15.40 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Fast improving hurdler who gained her latest success in 2m Huntingdon handicap 8 days ago by a very wide margin. Goes really well in the mud so she has leading claims turned out under a 7 lb penalty.

No Needs Never 20.00 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Useful colt. C&D winner. Respectable second of 8 in minor event (4/5) at this course (8f) 49 days ago, carrying head high but keeping on. Should be much sharper for the run. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Two thirds yesterday

The Eagles Nest 20.00 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

3/1, didn't need to improve to win 11-runner handicap at this course (7.1f) 24 days ago. Has clearly taken well to this surface and obvious claims in hat-trick bid

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2nd today

Fortunate Fred 17.30 Huntingdon 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Related to a bumper winner and made a positive start when third behind Third Time Lucki over C&D in January. Bound to improve from that, so should take the beating.

Barrington Court 14.00 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Fair hurdler. 1 win from 2 runs this season. 4/1, career best when winning 22-runner novice hurdle at Punchestown (16f, heavy) 12 days ago. Back up in trip. Yard having good spell. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

3rd and PU yesterday

The Crazed Moon 14.35 Wetherby 1 Pt WIn @ Evs (bog)

Completed a hat-trick over hurdles for Henry Oliver and, following a quiet spell for Claire Dyson, was back to form when second at Market Rasen on debut for new yard. Headgear on. Strong claims. 

Barnaviddaun 13.45 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 (bog)

Promising sort. 4/1, good ¾-length second of 13 to Funky Dady in novice hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, heavy) 9 days ago. Has to be taken seriously. 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

5th and 2nd yesterday

Demopolis 16.30 Exeter 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Different proposition since tongue tied, winning handicap chase/hurdle at Ludlow in recent weeks. Has to race off 5 lb higher here but still the one to beat as he goes in search of hat-trick.

Conright Boy 16.10 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 (bog)

Fourteen runs since last win in 2017. Soon back to form when second of 9 in handicap chase (9/2) at Gowran (16f, heavy) 17 days ago, clear of rest. On a lenient mark. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

4th and 2nd today

Songo 17.45 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Won 2-3 in Germany before impressing on debut for new yard when hooded and landing 11f handicap here 7 days ago, well on top at finish. Holds leading claims turned out under 5 lb penalty.

Lorvan Pearl 15.35 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Point winner. Second in bumper for Jessica Harrington in May 2018. Below that level when third at Gowran on belated return but could be sharper for the run. Makes hurdle debut in winnable race.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

3rd and 2nd yesterday

Light Lily 14.00 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 4\7 (bog)

5/4, career best when winning 6-runner handicap at this C&D 8 days ago. Will take some stopping.

Eklat De Rive 16.25 Thurles 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Once-raced maiden. 4/1, second of 16 in novice hurdle at Punchestown (20f, heavy) on NH debut 15 days ago. Open to improvement, so boasts leading claims in a slightly weaker race. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2nd and 1st @ 11\8 yesterday

Pres 15.55 Ffos Las 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Made all and jumped well when making a successful chasing debut at Lingfield (23.5f) in November and has run well on 3 of his 4 starts since, including when ridden positively at Newbury last week.

Billyfairplay 20.45 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

7/2, didn't need to improve to win 14-runner claimer at this C&D 7 days ago, suited by strong pace. First run for yard after leaving J. J. Feane. Big shout back in handicap. 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

PU and 1st @ 9\4 

Londonia 17.30 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Improved on recent efforts to win 11-runner handicap (20/1) at this C&D 8 days ago, keeping on well. Only 5 lb higher now and he can be expected to go well again. 

Gallant John Joe 14.40 Naas 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Useful chaser. 25/1, good 7¾ lengths third of 6 to Notebook in Frank Ward Solicitors Arkle Novices' Chase at Leopardstown (17f, good to soft) 36 days ago. Standard bearer.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

two 3rd's today

Inevitable Outcome 15.40 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Promising sort. Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at this C&D (8/1) 21 days ago, staying on well. Expected to be bang there. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

3rd today

Meteorite 15.55 Sedgefield 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Best effort yet under a change of tactics on first run following a breathing operation when runner-up in a big-field handicap at Doncaster in January. 1 lb rise more than fair. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 3/9/2020 at 8:25 PM, Xtc12 said:

Meteorite 15.55 Sedgefield 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

1st @ 15\8 -  chased leaders, led after 3 out, joined after last, stayed on gamely to assert final 100 yards

Faivoir 17.40 Huntingdon 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Won his sole start in an Irish point and has made a promising start under Rules, second over C&D before going one better at Bangor despite once again taking a strong hold. Useful prospect.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 3/10/2020 at 10:23 PM, Xtc12 said:

Faivoir 17.40 Huntingdon 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

1st @ 7\4 -  confidently ridden and waited with in rear, smooth headway tracking leaders 5f out, went between horses on bit over 2f out, led over 1f out, soon clear, easily

Dino Boy 15.55 hexham 1 Pt WIn @ 7\4 (bog)

Successful debut in 3m Wetherby novice handicap chase in the mud in December and fair runs twice since. Looks tailor-made for a test such as this and likely to improve. Leading claims.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

NR today 

Last for Year 3

Homer 16.35 Fakenham 1 Pt WIn @ 5\2 (bog)

Useful Flat performer for Andre Fabre and made a successful handicap debut sporting cheekpieces at Kempton last month. 5 lb rise fair and he should have more to offer if jumping improves. 

Punita Arora 19.15 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Lightly-raced winner. 10/1, creditable length third of 6 to Fort Myers in listed race at this course (7f). Off 161 days. Sets a solid standard. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bad end to the year 6th and 5th

Start of Year 4

Overcourt 16.55 Newcastle 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Progressive novice who landed the odds with bit in hand on handicap bow at Musselburgh last month. Raised 5 lb but he's type to do better again so remains of interest. 

Spare Brakes 16.40 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Career best when winning 10-runner handicap chase (5/1) at this C&D (heavy) 11 days ago by 2 lengths from Conright Boy, cosily. Should take all the beating once more. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Year 3

image.png.80dd4f4a4cb78e9d40f8085b3221c36e.png

36.5 % SR for GB is the lowest in the three years which puts GB at a loss for the first time, but not by much. Had 72 selections come 2nd.

Ireland showed a loss for the second year in a row but still show a profit, just about, as you will see the overall table. Ireland had 54 2nd's.

Two or three more winners would have brought both into profit.

Overall ; 

image.png.70a4e1c06b4092939f504ad7a993d275.png

Well after 1704 bets still showing a profit of 17.2, ROI of 1.01% :)

And just in case anybody has an interest in the doubles

Doubles

image.png.9fc753f1ce9fdd2e6868165f414a3876.png

Lets hope for more profit in 2020-21 :hope

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

1st @ 9\4 and 2nd

Le Chanteuse  14.00 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Bumper winner who played up beforehand and didn't match that form when fourth on hurdles debut at Navan 12 days ago. Should build on that. 

Larquebuse 14.10 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

Promising type. 3 wins from 5 runs this season. Career best when winning 8-runner novice hurdle (2/1) at Leopardstown (20f, heavy) 14 days ago, easily. Yard in good form. Has good chance on form. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2nd and 6th today

Jury's Out 16.20 Hereford 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Soft-ground handicap hurdle winner last spring. Appeals as the sort to do even better over fences and he was in second when stumbling and unseating 3 out on reappearance here in November.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

3rd today

Putdecashonthedash 16.35 Taunton 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

None the worse for a fall and off the mark in cheekpieces in 25.1f Wincanton handicap chase a fortnight ago, travelling and jumping well. Up 10 lb but has some solid form and set to figure again.

Kitten Rock 16.25 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 (bog)

Seven wins from 18 NH runs. Second of 10 in handicap chase (7/1) at Thurles (16.7f, soft) 26 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.