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Kentucky Derby


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I don't normally get involved in a race like this but i have info onnit so ill have a play .....

Nearly all previous winners of this race had achieved a 95 Beyer rating at least prior to winning here so you want a fast horse whuchnmakes sense ....

Exaggerator  103

Destin 100

Dancin candy 100

Creator  96

Mohaymen 95

Cupid  95

Nyquist 94

As you can see ...nyquust the fav fails on speed ratings but he is improving type so could defy that on the day but that makes his short price instantly poor value 

Next you want a horse that achieved his rating over 1mile 1/8 .......that leaves a shortlist of 

Exaggerator 103  8/1 

Creator   96  20/1

Nyquust  94  4/1 

Top two are just screaming value bets so I won't try and narrow any more just go ew 

Exaggerator  5 Pts ew 8/1 bet365

Creator 5 pts ew 20/1 willh

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Going to stick kentucky oaks in here too save creating another thread ....

These are my ratings for the Kentucky oaks 

Lewis bay   215

Royal obsession 213

Weep no more  212

Rachel's valentina  211

Go Maggie go  207 

Likewise as with Kentucky derby you want a horse that has achieved her rating over the distance ....leaving 

Lewis bay   8/1 5pts ew will h

Royal obsession 5 pts ew 25/1 bet365 

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