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Grex's OVERS; 283 bets; +12.1% yield


Grex

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Re: Grex's OVERS; 149 bets; +20% yield Italy Serie A seems to be monopolising the selections at the moment.... four more for Wednesday evening :hope [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]
No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield
START 100.00 START 100.00
148 05/12/2011 IA Lazio 30 Novara 1.91 10.00 W 9.10 391.70 19.7% 3.30 L -10.00 631.71 35.9%
149 18/12/2011 IA Parma 33 Lecce 2.15 10.00 W 11.50 403.20 20.3% 3.75 W 27.50 659.21 37.5%
150 21/12/2011 IA Udinese Juventus 2.20 10.00 4.00
151 21/12/2011 IA Bologna Roma 2.12 10.00 3.80
152 21/12/2011 IA Lazio Chievo 2.16 10.00 3.80
153 21/12/2011 IA Napoli Genoa 2.11 10.00 3.80
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 149 bets; +20% yield A goal bonanza on Wednesday evening.... of the 15 games played in the EP and Serie A, only 5 finished under 2.5 goals.... and the system succeeded in selecting three of them :\ [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]
No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield
START 100.00 START 100.00
148 05/12/2011 IA Lazio 30 Novara 1.91 10.00 W 9.10 391.70 19.7% 3.30 L -10.00 631.71 35.9%
149 18/12/2011 IA Parma 33 Lecce 2.15 10.00 W 11.50 403.20 20.3% 3.75 W 27.50 659.21 37.5%
150 21/12/2011 IA Udinese 00 Juventus 2.20 10.00 L -10.00 393.20 19.5% 4.00 L -10.00 649.21 36.6%
151 21/12/2011 IA Bologna 02 Roma 2.12 10.00 L -10.00 383.20 18.8% 3.80 L -10.00 639.21 35.7%
152 21/12/2011 IA Lazio 00 Chievo 2.16 10.00 L -10.00 373.20 18.0% 3.80 L -10.00 629.21 34.8%
153 21/12/2011 IA Napoli 61 Genoa 2.11 10.00 W 11.10 384.30 18.6% 3.80 W 28.00 657.21 36.4%
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 153 bets; +18.6% yield [FONT=Comic Sans MS]No selections in the EP or Championship for 26/27 December..... so time to relax and concentrate on the Christmas pudding and champagne :cheers MERRY CHRISTMAS to one and all :ok [/FONT]
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 153 bets; +18.6% yield Again, no selections for New Year's eve for the EP or EC..... to be honest, I don't understand why these two leagues are throwing up so few selections this season. There hasn't been an EP qualifier since 31 October, and for the EC since 26 November. I could try to "tweek" the cut-off criteria in order to provide more selections but, on the other hand, I am loath to change a winning system ;) [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] Anyway, I wish you all a prosperous 2012.... HAPPY NEW YEAR
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 153 bets; +18.6% yield [quote=Grex;2081359]Again, no selections for New Year's eve for the EP or EC..... to be honest, I don't understand why these two leagues are throwing up so few selections this season. There hasn't been an EP qualifier since 31 October, and for the EC since 26 November. I could try to "tweek" the cut-off criteria in order to provide more selections but, on the other hand, I am loath to change a winning system ;) Anyway, I wish you all a prosperous 2012.... HAPPY NEW YEAR[/quote] Worst thing you can do is modifying a proven method, more selections will most likely reduce the overall yield. A happy new year to you :cheers
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 153 bets; +18.6% yield At long last, a qualifier from the Premiership for Monday.... the first since October. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]
No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield
START 100.00 START 100.00
150 21/12/2011 IA Udinese 00 Juventus 2.20 10.00 L -10.00 393.20 19.5% 4.00 L -10.00 649.21 36.6%
151 21/12/2011 IA Bologna 02 Roma 2.12 10.00 L -10.00 383.20 18.8% 3.80 L -10.00 639.21 35.7%
152 21/12/2011 IA Lazio 00 Chievo 2.16 10.00 L -10.00 373.20 18.0% 3.80 L -10.00 629.21 34.8%
153 21/12/2011 IA Napoli 61 Genoa 2.11 10.00 W 11.10 384.30 18.6% 3.80 W 28.00 657.21 36.4%
154 02/01/2012 EP Aston Villa Swansea 2.19 10.00 4.00
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 153 bets; +18.6% yield Not a good start to 2012, with Villa letting us down.... also on the "Homes" thread :\
No.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LReturnBankYield>3.5 oddsW/LReturnBankYield
START100.00START100.00
15021/12/2011IAUdinese00Juventus2.2010.00L-10.00393.2019.5%4.00L-10.00649.2136.6%
15121/12/2011IABologna02Roma2.1210.00L-10.00383.2018.8%3.80L-10.00639.2135.7%
15221/12/2011IALazio00Chievo2.1610.00L-10.00373.2018.0%3.80L-10.00629.2134.8%
15321/12/2011IANapoli61Genoa2.1110.00W11.10384.3018.6%3.80W28.00657.2136.4%
15402/01/2012EPAston Villa02Swansea2.1910.00L-10.00374.3017.8%4.00L-10.00647.2135.5%
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 154 bets; +17.8% yield Hello Grex, I congratulate you for your good results :) I have a question: If i bet on 2,5 overs, and the result in half time is 0-0, i make a cash out (trading on a exchangebetting site), with lose. The loss is only -40 -> -50%. I looked the stats in EPremierLeague: 0-0 at half time: 56 case 0-0 at half time, and 2,5 over at full time: 10 case If my stake is 10$, and the odds is 2.0: i getting out at half time with 0-0 (50% loss at HT): [56x10$x0,5]-[10$x56]=-280$ i dont getting out at 0-0 HT -> [10$x10x2.0]-[10$x56]= -360$ What do you say? (Sorry for my english)
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 154 bets; +17.8% yield rain91;2084097 Thanks Rain.... and :welcome to Punters Lounge [quote=rain91;2084097] I have a question: If i bet on 2,5 overs, and the result in half time is 0-0, i make a cash out (trading on a exchangebetting site), with lose. The loss is only -40 -> -50%. I looked the stats in EPremierLeague: 0-0 at half time: 56 case 0-0 at half time, and 2,5 over at full time: 10 case If my stake is 10$, and the odds is 2.0: i getting out at half time with 0-0 (50% loss at HT): [56x10$x0,5]-[10$x56]=-280$ i dont getting out at 0-0 HT -> [10$x10x2.0]-[10$x56]= -360$ What do you say?[/quote] [FONT=Comic Sans MS]The logic and the maths seem OK. However, I have no experience of in-play betting (exchanges or elsewhere), so I honestly don't know how the O2.5 odds move as a game continues at 0-0. Perhaps some other exchange-devotees could comment [/FONT]:ok
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 154 bets; +17.8% yield [QUOTE=Grex;2084132]Thanks Rain.... and :welcome to Punters Lounge [FONT=Comic Sans MS]The logic and the maths seem OK. However, I have no experience of in-play betting (exchanges or elsewhere), so I honestly don't know how the O2.5 odds move as a game continues at 0-0. Perhaps some other exchange-devotees could comment [/FONT]:ok[/QUOTE] -60% at 45+, on Wigan - Sunderland. After my trading, Sunderland scored a goal.. I was stupid.
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 154 bets; +17.8% yield Four from the Serie A this weekend.... [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]
No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L Return Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L Return Bank Yield
START 100.00 START 100.00
154 02/01/2012 EP Aston Villa 02 Swansea 2.19 10.00 L -10.00 374.30 17.8% 4.00 L -10.00 647.21 35.5%
155 07/01/2012 IA Inter Parma 1.94 10.00 3.40
156 08/01/2012 IA Udinese Cesena 2.18 10.00 4.00
157 08/01/2012 IA Roma Chievo 2.15 10.00 3.75
158 08/01/2012 IA Palermo Napoli 2.13 10.00 3.75
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 154 bets; +17.8% yield Inter slaughtered the >2.5 and the >3.5 :loon. I may have a few problems with internet connections over the next few days, so I will post Sunday's results sometime next week :ok [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]
No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L P/L Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L P/L Bank Yield
START 100.00 START 100.00
154 02/01/2012 EP Aston Villa 02 Swansea 2.19 10.00 L -10.00 374.30 17.8% 4.00 L -10.00 647.21 35.5%
155 07/01/2012 IA Inter 50 Parma 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 383.70 18.3% 3.40 W 24.00 671.21 36.9%
156 08/01/2012 IA Udinese Cesena 2.18 10.00 4.00
157 08/01/2012 IA Roma Chievo 2.15 10.00 3.75
158 08/01/2012 IA Palermo Napoli 2.13 10.00 3.75
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 154 bets; +17.8% yield [quote=Grex;2087759]Inter slaughtered the >2.5 and the >3.5 :loon. I may have a few problems with internet connections over the next few days, so I will post Sunday's results sometime next week :ok
No.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LP/LBankYield>3.5 oddsW/LP/LBankYield
START100.00START100.00
15402/01/2012EPAston Villa02Swansea2.1910.00L-10.00374.3017.8%4.00L-10.00647.2135.5%
15507/01/2012IAInter50Parma1.9410.00W9.40383.7018.3%3.40W24.00671.2136.9%
15608/01/2012IAUdineseCesena2.1810.004.00
15708/01/2012IARomaChievo2.1510.003.75
15808/01/2012IAPalermoNapoli2.1310.003.75
[/quote] ROMA [2-0] prevent a clean sweep on the 2.5 and 3.5's as UDINESE win 4-1 and NAPOLI win [B]3-1 . [/B]Well done yet again GREX , stunning returns and yields on both :clap
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 155 bets; +18.3% yield Thanks to JTW, Iparout, k0109671, potdw and lorro for the kind words. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] A very good weekend...... I just LOVE Serie A :notworthy [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]
No. Date LGE H Team A Team >2.5 Odds Stake W/L P/L Bank Yield >3.5 odds W/L P/L Bank Yield
START 100.00 START 100.00
154 02/01/2012 EP Aston Villa 02 Swansea 2.19 10.00 L -10.00 374.30 17.8% 4.00 L -10.00 647.21 35.5%
155 07/01/2012 IA Inter 50 Parma 1.94 10.00 W 9.40 383.70 18.3% 3.40 W 24.00 671.21 36.9%
156 08/01/2012 IA Udinese 41 Cesena 2.18 10.00 W 11.80 395.50 18.9% 4.00 W 30.00 701.21 38.5%
157 08/01/2012 IA Roma 20 Chievo 2.15 10.00 L -10.00 385.50 18.2% 3.75 L -10.00 691.21 37.7%
158 08/01/2012 IA Palermo 13 Napoli 2.13 10.00 W 11.30 396.80 18.8% 3.75 W 27.50 718.71 39.2%
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 158 bets; +18.8% yield [FONT=Comic Sans MS]Bit of repetition there, K0109671 ;) When I did the back-testing on the system, only the English Premiership and Serie A stood out. From memory, the Primera was totally inconsistent.... apart from Real & Barca usually winning with a lot of goals, but then the odds reflect this, and there is no value.[/FONT]
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 158 bets; +18.8% yield Apologies for the late post.... doing it in a rush from a cafe in (cold) Ankara !.... there's dedication for you ;) [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT] Possibly one more for Monday evening from Serie A..... will post later. [FONT=Comic Sans MS][/FONT]
No.DateLGEH TeamA Team>2.5 OddsStakeW/LP/LBankYield>3.5 oddsW/LP/LBankYield
START100.00START100.00
15507/01/2012IAInter50Parma1.9410.00W9.40383.7018.3%3.40W24.00671.2136.9%
15608/01/2012IAUdinese41Cesena2.1810.00W11.80395.5018.9%4.00W30.00701.2138.5%
15708/01/2012IARoma20Chievo2.1510.00L-10.00385.5018.2%3.75L-10.00691.2137.7%
15808/01/2012IAPalermo13Napoli2.1310.00W11.30396.8018.8%3.75W27.50718.7139.2%
15914/01/2012IACataniaRoma2.1510.004.00
16015/01/2012IAFiorentinaLecce1.9310.003.40
16115/01/2012IAJuventusCagliari1.9110.003.25
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 158 bets; +18.8% yield "We tried too hard to break through the middle. We committed so many mistakes and we had made too many risks in defence. The game was wide open before the abandonment," he concluded. That is so true! This game would have surely gone O2.5, probably even O3.5. Apparently it's gonna be continued in February. Good luck tomorrow!:ok
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Re: Grex's OVERS; 158 bets; +18.8% yield [QUOTE=Student1379;2093827]I've read the first 10 pages of this thread - looks like a cracking system. Has anyone worked out how much money you would have made if it wasn't a paper trial?[/QUOTE] Well, Grex posts the yield and number of picks for each of his systems, so, depending on how much you'd bet on each selection, you can easily calculate how much money you would have made.
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