waggy Posted June 24, 2015 Author Share Posted June 24, 2015 Result: 1st over score 3. Lost £110 In the bank £1223.27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 24, 2015 Author Share Posted June 24, 2015 £150 Double Kuznetsov to beat Beck @3/10, Mathieu to beat Reister @2/7 (Tennis, both 11.00) Bet of the day £200 Caroline Wozniacki to beat Svetlana Kuznetsova @1/2 (Eastbourne 13.30) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 24, 2015 Author Share Posted June 24, 2015 One final bet today: £100 Touchline (4.10 Carlisle) @3/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 Kuznetsov lost 2-0 Lost £150 Touchline 3rd. Lost £100 Wozniacki won 2-1. Won £100 Total loss £150 In the bank £1073.27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 £200 Kenny De Schepper to beat Stephane Robert @4/7 (Wimbledon 11.00) Best bet of the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilamoura04 Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Like it that you are highlighting your best bet of the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 Glad you like it Vila. Todays bet looks good except I thought HKR v Catalans was tomorrow and that would have been my best bet today as I think HKR are a really good bet to win as Catalans are beset with injuries. Anyway I'm going to back them now with the same stake as my 'best' bet. Had a blip lately but today looks good to me. £200 HKR -4 to beat Catalans @1/1 (8 am tonight) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 Just seen De Schepper has lost the first set. Not good at all. Can't keep having losses at this level for long. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikki37 Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 There's still hope!! :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 25, 2015 Author Share Posted June 25, 2015 Thanks Vikki, he won after all. Thought he'd lost when he lost the 3rd set but it was a 5 setter and he won the next two. Result: De Schepper won 3-2. Won £114.39 In the bank £1187.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilamoura04 Posted June 25, 2015 Share Posted June 25, 2015 Never in doubt :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 I rarely stick my oar into other people's threads, but as you appear to be doing a good job with your selections it would be a shame to see you lose your bank. If you carry on the way you are though, unfortunately I think that's what will happen. In my opinion, you are staking too much and as a result even if your picks are good a run of bad results will see you wiped out. I know that you bet at different odds ranges and I certainly agree with the idea of betting more the shorter the price, but risking a fifth or a quarter of your bank on any one bet leaves you dangerously exposed to the slings and arrows of bad fortune. As a crude example, lets say you identify several hundred bets priced at evens that you think should be slightly odds-on and lets say that you're correct in your assumptions. Lets also say that your even money bet has a 55% chance of happening, meaning that you've found some value in the odds and will be ahead in the long run if you continue placing such bets. Despite this, there is a very good chance that at some point you will have roughly 6 losing bets in a row which at best would take a big chunk out of your bank and at worst would clean you out. At the risk of sounding patronising, which is certainly not my intention otherwise I wouldn't have taken the time to write this, you need some wriggle room as far as your stakes go. That way, instead of going bust you can ride out a series of losses and recover at a later point. I suppose what I'm describing is the mentality of an investor rather than a gambler - an investor is acutely aware that even the best bets can go wrong and factors that into their betting, whilst a gambler crosses their fingers that things will go their way and will be in trouble if they don't. Anyway, however you choose to proceed with this I wish you the best of luck. :ok MPLouis 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 26, 2015 Author Share Posted June 26, 2015 Thanks Torque. Over the years I have made lots of money but in that period I have also had bad times. You are right of course about the high stakes but it has always been my achilles heel and I have a tendency to chase losses by raising the stakes. The honest answer is that I am a gambler and not an investor. The thrill of gambling comes with the big bets but it also brings with it the despair when they lose. I've dabbled with staking systems but never really stuck with them. Observations like yours do I admit make sense and as I am quite lazy when finding the right system any advice on a tried and trusted system for short priced selections would always be considered. As I do spend time researching my bets perhaps coupling them to a good staking system would make sense. Nothing too complicated though. Thanks again, much appreciated that you took the time. Result: HKR-4 won 32-26 Won £200 In the bank £1387.66 Lol Vilamoura, both bets yesterday went down to the wire, especially the HKR one. 26-4 at H/T and then collapse in the second half. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 26, 2015 Author Share Posted June 26, 2015 £55 Double Broncos v Knights OVER 37.5pts @2/5 and Rabbitohs to beat Eagles @4/11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 26, 2015 Author Share Posted June 26, 2015 £55 Argentina to beat Colombia @10/11 (Copa America) £45 Germany v France OVER 1.5 goals @4/9 (Womens World Cup) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilamoura04 Posted June 26, 2015 Share Posted June 26, 2015 No tennis today Waggo? Still hoping to win Wimbledon tickets in the paddypower draw :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 26, 2015 Author Share Posted June 26, 2015 £75 James Morrison @6/5 to beat Manassero and Lampert (3 ball BMW International Golf 12-10 today) Best bet of the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 26, 2015 Author Share Posted June 26, 2015 I was very close to backing Baghdatis and Wozniacki but saw dangers so never did. Both retired so no regrets Vila. Good luck with the tickets. Results: Broncos won 44-22 and Rabbitohs won 20-8 so the double came in. Won £50 Morrison 66, Manassero 75 , Lampert 71. Won £90 Total won £140 In the bank £1527.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 Results: Argentina drew 0-0. Lost £55 Germany drew 1-1. Won £20 Total loss £35 In the bank £1492.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 £50 Double Eels v Dragons OVER 31.5pts @3/10 and Radwanska to beat Bencic @1/3 (BV) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 £40 Japan Women to beat Australia Women @11/10 (BS) £100 Portugal U21 v Germany U21 OVER 1.5 goals @2/5 (BV) £80 Andrew Johnston to beat Johan Carlsson @5/4 (BMW Golf 2 ball 10.59) (BV) Best bet of the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 Final bet of the day £90 Waratahs -3 to beat Highlanders @5/6 (Super 15 RU 10.55) (L) Great price! Should win by more than 3 but why take the chance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 Results: Waratahs lost. Loss £90 Eels game 28pts. Lost £50 Johnston 72, Carlsson 75. Won £100 Total loss £40 In the bank £1452.66 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 £50 Richard of Yorke @6/5 (BV) 14-35 Newmarket Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 £150 Chile to beat Peru @8/15 (PP) (Copa America 00-30) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 28, 2015 Author Share Posted June 28, 2015 Results: Richard of Yorke U/P Lost £50 Japan won 1-0. Won £44 Portugal won 5-0. Won £40 Total won £34 In the bank £1486.66 Chile game is Tuesday 00-30 Vilamoura04 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 28, 2015 Author Share Posted June 28, 2015 £70 Bulldogs v Storm (NRL 10-00) OVER 28.5 @2/7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vilamoura04 Posted June 28, 2015 Share Posted June 28, 2015 Isn't that tomorrow wags? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 28, 2015 Author Share Posted June 28, 2015 £50 Barry Dredge to beat Lasse Jensen @4/5 (BMW Golf 10-23) (BV) £120 James Morrison to beat Chris Paisley @ 5/6 '' '' 11-40 (SJ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waggy Posted June 28, 2015 Author Share Posted June 28, 2015 James Morrison bet is best of the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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