September 29 - October 5

[CzechPunter]

:hope

[four-leaf]

Re: September 29 - October 5 There are many upcoming interesting matchups in both ATP and WTA. Lukas Rosol vs Vasek Pospisil is an interesting matchup. Vasek has beaten Lukas both times they've met and never lost a set and it's been on grass and hard. Gilles Müller and Jarkko Nieminen looks like two sure winners in Tokyo. Tommy Robredo should get a hard time again against Andreas Seppi. I even think Seppi will get revenge since Robredo should be quite tired and not able to play 100%. Gilles Müller takes on Federico Delbonis and I belive Gilles will win in straight sets and the reason for that is simply because he's a better hardcourt player. He should overpower Federico with his big serve. Jarkko Nieminen takes on Benjamin Becker who has never beaten Jarkko and they have met 5 times, most recently this year in Winston Salem when Jarkko won in straights. I belive Jarkko will have another win in straight sets. He's in good form and will get to rest until tuesday before stepping on the court again. Jarkko Nieminen to beat Benjamin Becker 2-0 2.37 @ bet365 Gilles Müller to beat Federico Delbonis 2-0 2.00 @ bet365 Vasek Pospisil to beat Lukas Rosol 2-0 2.25 @ bet365 Andreas Seppi to beat Tommy Robredo 2.50 @ bet365

[centercourt.blogabet]

Re: September 29 - October 5

Hiroki Moriya vs. Steve Johnson

Hiroki Moriya will face Steve Johnson tomorrow in Japan. Hirko Moriya played a really strange qualifiying he had huge problems with Suzuki who is out of the Top 1000 but i just checked out his profil card and I saw that Suzuki is resident in Tokyo. In addition he made more then 700.000 dollar with tennis so this really was not an unknown player here in Tokyo. The round after these bad match from Moriya he won against top youngstar and top challenger player James Duckworth in three sets. Guys: This really makes no sense: I mean you should not have problems with a player like Suzuki if you win in three sets against Duckworth. Moriya won more then 50% of his own second serve and returnes really well. I also saw Moriya last week against Dodig: This was definetly not a bad match from Moriya i mean he had twice the chance to serve for the first set but he could not win one of these two important service games. Moriya definetly plays his best tennis on hardcourt where he has a 23/16 record this year which is great. Tomorrow he will face Steve Johnson who played the best season on the pro tour so far with a 25/14 record on hardcourt and even won against players like Anderson, Haas, Isner, Karlovic, Gulbis and Paire. But the key is: where did he win against those players?- All except the battel against Anderson were matches in the USA. And this is the most important point tomorrow and the reason why there is value on Moriya. Johnson played nearly all his good matches in the USA with thre crowd behind him: tomorrow he will face Hiroki Moriya on the center court in Tokyo where Moriya is resident. He will have a huge fan base there. In addition Johnson did not play any match since he had to retire at the Us Open against Ito: Tomorrow we will have about 24 degree there in Japan when a player who is resident in Tokyo but inconsistent in his game will face a player who played most of his good matches in his homecountry with the crowd behind him. Johnson did not play any match since one month. I am so sure that there is value on Moriya playing against the American on the center court tomorrow with full motivation and a great crowd behind him. No bet under @3.00 Hiroki Moriya Ml @3.3 ( pinnacle, Marathonbet @3.4) 1/10

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Kei Nishikori to win ATP Tokyo for a 5/10 stake at 4.33 with Paddy Power Fancy Nishikori to complete a double in Tokyo next week, as he looked very fine in Kuala Lumpur last week and as his draw doesn't look particularly taxing until the semis, where he might meet Stanislas Wawrinka. I'd fancy him in that one as well, however. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atp-tokyo-betting-kei-nishikori-to-shine-in-home-conditions-once-again

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Simona Halep to win WTA Beijing for a 3/10 stake at 10.00 with Paddy Power Back Petra Kvitova to win WTA Beijing for a 3/10 stake at 7.00 with Paddy Power Both are in the easier quarters of the draw, so they both look worth taking at odds this big. Halep has already bounced back from her early exit in Wuhan and Kvitova seems to be firing on all cylinders right now, so chances are that they will prove hard to beat next week. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/wta-beijing-betting-simona-halep-and-petra-kvitova-look-value-in-the-china-open

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Marcel Granollers (+1.5 sets) to beat David Ferrer for a 7/10 stake at 2.59 with Pinnacle Granollers has a truly awful record against Ferrer, but the world's number five looked quite dreadful against Viktor Troicki last time out, so I think that there's a good chance that Granollers will be able to steal at least a set off Ferrer tomorrow. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/granollers-vs-ferrer-betting-marcel-granollers-can-do-some-damage-against-david-ferrer-in-tokyo

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Viktor Troicki to beat Mikhail Youzhny for a 7/10 stake at 1.74 with Pinnacle Youzhny has been rather shaky all season long, so I don't particularly fancy his chances against Troicki, who looked very good last week and who seems determined to make it back to the top 100 before the end of the year. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/troicki-vs-youzhny-betting-viktor-troicki-should-be-able-to-beat-mikhail-youzhny-in-beijing

[four-leaf]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Marin Cilic to win 2nd quarter in Beijing at 2.87 @ bet365 My obvious choice in this one. The favourite to win the second quarter is Murray and Cilic is a former finalist in Beijing and he has a very good chance to reach the final again. Murray coming from a hard fought title up against Cilic probably in the quarters. Murray kicks off against Janowicz and that's no easy task. Cilic kicks off against wild card Yan-Bai. Well it sure looks like Cilic has a pretty good chance to reach the semifinal. I take Cilic to reach the semifinal any day of the week.

[centercourt.blogabet]

Re: September 29 - October 5

Hiroki Moriya vs. Steve Johnson

Hiroki Moriya will face Steve Johnson tomorrow in Japan. Hirko Moriya played a really strange qualifiying he had huge problems with Suzuki who is out of the Top 1000 but i just checked out his profil card and I saw that Suzuki is resident in Tokyo. In addition he made more then 700.000 dollar with tennis so this really was not an unknown player here in Tokyo. The round after these bad match from Moriya he won against top youngstar and top challenger player James Duckworth in three sets. Guys: This really makes no sense: I mean you should not have problems with a player like Suzuki if you win in three sets against Duckworth. Moriya won more then 50% of his own second serve and returnes really well. I also saw Moriya last week against Dodig: This was definetly not a bad match from Moriya i mean he had twice the chance to serve for the first set but he could not win one of these two important service games. Moriya definetly plays his best tennis on hardcourt where he has a 23/16 record this year which is great. Tomorrow he will face Steve Johnson who played the best season on the pro tour so far with a 25/14 record on hardcourt and even won against players like Anderson, Haas, Isner, Karlovic, Gulbis and Paire. But the key is: where did he win against those players?- All except the battel against Anderson were matches in the USA. And this is the most important point tomorrow and the reason why there is value on Moriya. Johnson played nearly all his good matches in the USA with thre crowd behind him: tomorrow he will face Hiroki Moriya on the center court in Tokyo where Moriya is resident. He will have a huge fan base there. In addition Johnson did not play any match since he had to retire at the Us Open against Ito: Tomorrow we will have about 24 degree there in Japan when a player who is resident in Tokyo but inconsistent in his game will face a player who played most of his good matches in his homecountry with the crowd behind him. Johnson did not play any match since one month. I am so sure that there is value on Moriya playing against the American on the center court tomorrow with full motivation and a great crowd behind him. No bet under @3.00 Hiroki Moriya Ml @3.3 ( pinnacle, Marathonbet @3.4) 1/10

Moriya lost 6:7, 2:6 -1

[WinningTipster]

Re: September 29 - October 5 1 pick today for ATP Challenger CALI: LORENZI-MEKTIC 2:0 SETS @ 1.6 on sbobet (1.5 on betfair) Lorenzi is very good on clay. Mektic definitely prefers faster surfaces. Good head to head record for Lorenzi. Expect it to be an easy win for him.

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Updated bankroll from last week: + 33.5 units Mondays are usually very poor in itf women's, as there are some quali matches and maybe some tournaments has a few first rounds, but this week maybe even weaker card because there are only 8 tournaments. These days are perfect for relaxing and maybe root for some big upsets. Like this one I have found today: Marta Sexmilo Pascual to beat Estelle Guisard (Vallduxo 10k) @7.00, bet365, 3/10 Marta, one of the underrated dark horses among spanish juniors. She has taken Saez-Larra (I rate her better than Guisard) to 3 sets on clay in June and played a 3 setter with Rocio DLT Sanchez (I rate her better or similar than Guisard). She has been through 2 quali matches in which she has beaten opponents that are quite ok. Guisard on the other hand got injured last year in october, and since then she had one good tournament out of 3. And 2 of these were in hard court, where she is more comfortable. This is not a good nursing back match for Guisard at all. She is playing a junior who has nothing to lose but everything to prove. Odds were 4.33 earlier, where the public who has not taken the time to get into this pounced this line (these markets are very small and therefore the lines move easily) to 7.00 and I love that. Look for the first set and maybe a possible cashout if Marta has won it. Lines should be 3.5 for Marta imho. I won a 8.00 (not posted) last week and a 4.00 the next day with Huqi G-Encinas, who is ranked 46 in spain among adults so I'm more than pleased to take Marta S Pascual who is ranked 31 against a player who might not even be healthy at all. GL

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5

1 pick today for ATP Challenger CALI: LORENZI-MEKTIC 2:0 SETS @ 1.6 on sbobet (1.5 on betfair) Lorenzi is very good on clay. Mektic definitely prefers faster surfaces. Good head to head record for Lorenzi. Expect it to be an easy win for him.

Lorenzi was tanking his last match against Molteni last week, winning max 2 points in the last 9/10 games. There was live stream so you could see he either had enough for the year or he was injured. Were making big bucks in live breaks that match. Would not be on him at any odds, although you might be right, this is not the time to beton Paolo.

[BallsforTennis]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Nara; sick match-player: Match-players essentially win matches they should lose, mostly because they find a way in/of getting around the problems that those better players' there, present to them. In many instances where they're at aq match-up DISADVANTAGE, they overcome matters by playing to minor weaknesses/glitches in their opponent's game they've identified. They find ways to making it difficult for their opponent to FIND THEIR RHYTHM. Combine this with a typical match-players' traits of being tenaciousness and focused on every point etc and what can unfold is the implosion of their opponent. (Wilting psychologically) Examples of match-players: Some examples of excellent match-players; Bautista Agut, Jao Sousa, Alize Cornet, Kevin Anderson, Carlos Berlocq, Sara Errani, Agneszkia Radwanska, Giles Simon, Maria Kirelenko etc. Winning matches they should not be winning. Situational match-up: Ofcourse Kurumi Nara is another one and Kuznetzova seems an ideal candidate you'd think that would be vulnerable to wilting mentally against her. (When unmotivated) Kuzzy doesn't strike me to be someone that is willing to consistently play to a good enough level to beat an 'energiser pest bunny' like your Kurumi Nara. (Unless motivated) Why Kuzzy may not be fully on: There's no real reason for Kuznetzova to be motivated, I don't see no reason for her to be prepared to draw bloody exactly here in Beijing, given the draw she has. We know that's when Kuzzy tends to turn up, when she really see's an opportunity to notch a title. She is an occasional performer now a days, with having achieved so much in the game. Nara's smarts: Nara adjusts her game with respect to her opponent, she is a tennis chess player, being tactically extremely adept. If Kuzzy isn't feeling on it, I can see her spraying Nara's moonballs deep to the baseline for errors, as well as finding Nara an irritant with how she gets to most balls and absorbs their pace, rushing her opponent. Previous matches: The match in Washington was a demonstration of how Nara could frustrate Kuzzy, only Svetlana had a little more reason to be driven there. Their latest meeting in Wuhan was on one of the WTA's quickest OUTDOOR surfaces. Nara doesn't mind somewhat quickness, because she feeds off power, however she is also adept at the slower surfaces and I just feel in this type of match-up she stands in better stead on a slightly medium to slowish court. Observing the courts here in Beijing, they do appear a little muddy. Summary: Ofcourse, it's not only the view that the courts are slower, Kuzzy may not give a daffy duck and Nara's a good match-player, but also the belief I have that Nara you would think, craves a little more success in an 'oriental' country. Kumuri Nara at 3.57 with Pinnacle (5 units) (Prematch with view to trade inplay)

[BallsforTennis]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Obviously those that wanna trade need to take it with Betfair or even 365.

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5

Nara; sick match-player: Match-players essentially win matches they should lose, mostly because they find a way in/of getting around the problems that those better players' there, present to them. In many instances where they're at aq match-up DISADVANTAGE, they overcome matters by playing to minor weaknesses/glitches in their opponent's game they've identified. They find ways to making it difficult for their opponent to FIND THEIR RHYTHM. Combine this with a typical match-players' traits of being tenaciousness and focused on every point etc and what can unfold is the implosion of their opponent. (Wilting psychologically) Examples of match-players: Some examples of excellent match-players; Bautista Agut, Jao Sousa, Alize Cornet, Kevin Anderson, Carlos Berlocq, Sara Errani, Agneszkia Radwanska, Giles Simon, Maria Kirelenko etc. Winning matches they should not be winning. Situational match-up: Ofcourse Kurumi Nara is another one and Kuznetzova seems an ideal candidate you'd think that would be vulnerable to wilting mentally against her. (When unmotivated) Kuzzy doesn't strike me to be someone that is willing to consistently play to a good enough level to beat an 'energiser pest bunny' like your Kurumi Nara. (Unless motivated) Why Kuzzy may not be fully on: There's no real reason for Kuznetzova to be motivated, I don't see no reason for her to be prepared to draw bloody exactly here in Beijing, given the draw she has. We know that's when Kuzzy tends to turn up, when she really see's an opportunity to notch a title. She is an occasional performer now a days, with having achieved so much in the game. Nara's smarts: Nara adjusts her game with respect to her opponent, she is a tennis chess player, being tactically extremely adept. If Kuzzy isn't feeling on it, I can see her spraying Nara's moonballs deep to the baseline for errors, as well as finding Nara an irritant with how she gets to most balls and absorbs their pace, rushing her opponent. Previous matches: The match in Washington was a demonstration of how Nara could frustrate Kuzzy, only Svetlana had a little more reason to be driven there. Their latest meeting in Wuhan was on one of the WTA's quickest OUTDOOR surfaces. Nara doesn't mind somewhat quickness, because she feeds off power, however she is also adept at the slower surfaces and I just feel in this type of match-up she stands in better stead on a slightly medium to slowish court. Observing the courts here in Beijing, they do appear a little muddy. Summary: Ofcourse, it's not only the view that the courts are slower, Kuzzy may not give a daffy duck and Nara's a good match-player, but also the belief I have that Nara you would think, craves a little more success in an 'oriental' country. Kumuri Nara at 3.57 with Pinnacle (5 units) (Prematch with view to trade inplay)

I think Nara can win here as well, Im with you! GL

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Feliciano Lopez to beat Tomas Berdych for a 7/10 stake at 2.88 with Pinnacle Lopez has an excellent record against the Czech, who's also been rather shaky recently, with his Davis Cup performances being particularly suspect. Lopez has already beaten him twice this season - and I fancy him to complete the hat-trick on Tuesday. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/lopez-vs-berdych-betting-feliciano-lopez-to-complete-his-hat-trick-over-tomas-berdych

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Pablo Cuevas to beat Mikhail Kukushkin for a 7/10 stake at 2.00 with Bet365 An excellent price for the man from Uruguay in my opinion, as I just don't rate Kukushkin above him. He might not be a hard court specialist, but he's universal enough to play well in the slowish Beijing conditions, so I do believe that he's going to win this one more often than not. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/cuevas-vs-kukushkin-betting-pablo-cuevas-can-deal-with-mikhail-kukushkin-in-beijing

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back T.Pironkova/S.Williams - Over 17 games for a 7/10 stake at 1.90 with Pinnacle Back Tsvetana Pironkova to beat Serena Williams for a 3/10 stake at 12.25 with Pinnacle Something just seems to be wrong with the world's number one at the moment and Pironkova can be quite dangerous with her fearless hitting, so I think that the Bulgarian does have a realistic chance of winning tomorrow. The total games line also looks a touch low to me. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/pironkova-vs-williams-betting-the-bulgarian-has-what-it-takes-to-win-a-few-games-against-the-world-s-number-one

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Alzata Esmurzaeva/Helbet to beat Ploskina/Vdovenco (Albena 10k WD) @2.1, bet365, 5/10 I rate Esmurzaeva and Helbet much better doubles players than Ploskina or Vdovenco. Firt of all Ploskina is a good in-form junior who I back whenever I can in singles nowadays, but if you look closely she is focused on singles pretty much. Even in juniors, doubles was never her main focus. Vdovenco, not bad in doubles, just not in a great form. On the other hand, we have Helbet and Esmurzaeva, both had success in doubles before in the 10k, Helbet being more of a doubles specialist. Esmurzaeva just finishing her singles in these moments, blanking Husak, who is a must win, but 6-2 5-0 now, so our player must be confident. And lastly the biggest reason I'm betting on this doubles match is because Ploskina and Vdovenco are playing each other right now, so chemistry can be an issue here. (I love to fade doubles teams that are playing each other in singles the same day and have been successful doing so). Take the doubles team, who is in better form and care about doubles more than tehir opponent, at plus money. We get 2.1 because of the singles ranking of Ploskina/Vdovenco. GL

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Ariadna Marti Riembau to beat Amanda Cazeaux (Vallduxo 10k), @1.83, bet365, 6/10 Ariadna, 21. ranked spanish player, has a solid game for this tournament. Although she is not in great form, but played decent last tournament, I think she has the confidence and game to beat Cazeux, who is in bad shape. She is returning after an unsuccesful algerian trip losing to Lazareva easily twice in a row. In both algerian tournaments she won teh first rounf in 3 sets against weak opponents, So she must not have a good confidence level, even before she lost against weaker opponents than Riembau. Good junior playing against out of form french girl, who prefers hard court to clay, and we are on clay here. GL

[vlazar]

Re: September 29 - October 5

Ariadna Marti Riembau to beat Amanda Cazeaux (Vallduxo 10k)' date= @1.83, bet365, 6/10 Ariadna, 21. ranked spanish player, has a solid game for this tournament. Although she is not in great form, but played decent last tournament, I think she has the confidence and game to beat Cazeux, who is in bad shape. She is returning after an unsuccesful algerian trip losing to Lazareva easily twice in a row. In both algerian tournaments she won teh first rounf in 3 sets against weak opponents, So she must not have a good confidence level, even before she lost against weaker opponents than Riembau. Good junior playing against out of form french girl, who prefers hard court to clay, and we are on clay here. GL

But Lazareva is much better player than Cazeaux, it was obvious to loose that matches. Ariadna is also in bad form, lost from 2 girls almost without ranking. Cazeaux is left-handed, it should cause problems to Ariadna too.

[four-leaf]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Christian Lindell to beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 4.12 @ Pinnacle I pick Lindell in this Cali challenger because he beat Horacio Zeballos last week in first round when Zeballos came from winning a tournament the week before. Schwartzman has been in two finals the last couple of weeks and the one this sunday against Carlos Berlocq lasted for 2 hours and 12 minutes. In the last set Diego could not play to his usual standard and lost it heavily. Fatigue could be an issue here. I simple don't think Diego will make it because he is exhausted.

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back John Isner (-2) to beat Tommy Robredo for a 7/10 stake at 1.87 with Pinnacle Isner is fresh and he looked good against Santiago Giraldo, while Robredo might be quite tired after playing a long match against Seppi (and after last week's run, of course). Given that, this looks like an acceptable line to me, as I expect Isner to eventually break through and defend his lead without any serious difficulties. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/isner-vs-robredo-betting-john-isner-should-be-too-strong-for-the-tired-spaniard-on-wednesday

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Angelique Kerber (-2) to beat Svetlana Kuznetsova for a 7/10 stake at 1.93 with Pinnacle Put simply, Kerber is the better player of the two these days, so I find it hard to see past her in this one, especially since Kuznetsova hasn't been all that special lately (beating Kurumi Nara counts for something, of course, but one would nonetheless expect more from the Russian). Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/kerber-vs-kuznetsova-betting-angelique-kerber-to-cover-the-handicap-line-against-svetlana-kuznetsova

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Tatsuma Ito to beat Benjamin Becker for a 7/10 stake at 2.50 with Ladbrokes Ito might have been slightly lucky to beat Wawrinka in straight sets, but he did play well and Becker doesn't look particularly threatening these days, so I'm happy to have a play on Ito here at 2.50. Something around 2.20 would look fair to me. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/ito-vs-becker-betting-tatsuma-ito-can-build-on-his-first-round-victory-over-stanislas-wawrinka

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Alzata Esmurzaeva/Helbet to beat Ploskina/Vdovenco (Albena 10k WD) @2.1, >bet365, 5/10 LOST Were up 4-1 in the second set, but caved in easily... Ariadna Marti Riembau to beat Amanda Cazeaux (Vallduxo 10k), @1.83, >bet365, 6/10 WON Too much talent in the end for Cazeaux, but was a fight... updated bankroll: +30.48u Wednesday Ayla Aksu to beat Maria Mokh (Antalya 10k) @2.5, bet365, 5/10 Ayla Aksu, talented turkish junior, goes to work against an unreliable opponent. Aksu, when she has her hard court game on, can produce even bigger upsets than this, but most importantly, she usually offers us a solid game, when in Turkey. Mokh on the other hand had some good results on 25k, but is really an unreliable performer and you never know what you get with her. Definitely not an easy round, but Aksu has beaten many better players this year than Mokh , so I take the extra points, so I have faith in her! Good Luck!

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5

But Lazareva is much better player than Cazeaux, it was obvious to loose that matches. Ariadna is also in bad form, lost from 2 girls almost without ranking. Cazeaux is left-handed, it should cause problems to Ariadna too.

Thanks for your input! Cazeaux lost almost vs 2 very bad players and then got beaten by Lazareva, my point was that vs the weak opponents she was struggling, I know Lazareva much better than her. Ariadna is not in a bad form and looking at her activity if you refer to Ksenia Kuznetsova, she is not bad at all, look who she had good results again, ie Sakkari. Ariadna was 1st seed at spanish nationals, indicating her talent as well, all in all I thought cazeaux's bad form and Ariadna's talent is enough to win. I think that at this level, esp on slow surface, left handed players do not have huge advantage. THanks for your insight!

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Linda Dubska to beat Ksenia Gaydarzhi (Antalya 10k) @2.75, bet365, 7/10 Let's see both sides here. Dubska is not a phenomenal player, but she does have some good scorelines against decent 10k players (Argyelan, Sliusar, Vajdova, even 3 sets vs. Bondarenko), she has a game that is more suited for the hard court. Yesterday she got a nice doubles upset against belgium favs, so I guess the form is OK. I think she is an up and coming player that improved already and books have not adjusted. Gaydarzhi on the other hand, did not have success in a loooong time. I know she got beaten by better players but scorelines like 26 06, 46 06, 16 16, 67 06, 06 26 does not suggest anything good here. Last 5 tourneys no sets won, not even in doubles. Now this is a player in a bad shape, no doubt about that. I know the opponents were better, but now I always look at scoreline, and even when she put up a fight (Dubska can hang with those as well I think) the second set was tanked 0. That tells me a player who does not fight. I think this is a great spot here and a must get. I would not be suprsied if Dubska wins straight sets. GL!

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Francesca Stephenson to beat Nuria Parrizas-Diaz (Sharm el Sheikh 10k) @4.5, bet365, 3/10 Stephenson in good form, she is better tham her ranking shows, she lost to Lukacs and Georges who are both top 400 in 3 sets and last week she beat Njoze easily, who I rate as a talented junior and only lost to Cavaday in 3 sets, who later won the tournament. Definitely not an easy round for Parrizas-Diaz who lost first round last week in Madrid to Roemer and before she is not new to first round exits (Bacher, van der Sypt) as a big fav. If she plays up to her potential she will beat Stephenson, but it won't be easy I think, and I take these odds for a possible cashout later. GL Sandra Samir to beat Harriet Dart (Sharm el Sheikh 10k) @4.00, bet365, 3/10 Sandra is a top 20 junior, while Dart was only 55, there are little less than 2 years btw them. Samir, books dont respect, are more of a clay courter for sure, but on the plus side she plays at home. Dart is not new to Sharm's fast surface and is pretty successful here. I'm playing purely on the high odds and Samir's talent. GL Iona Ducu to beat Melis Sezer (Sharm el Sheikh 10k) @2.25, bet365, 5/10 I keep playing Ducu as an underdog. She has been stellar last week, only losing to Veselinovic, but taking her to 3 sets. I respect that and Sezer has not showed me great form yet and although she has some experience from Sharm el Sheikh and I rete her absolutely beatable. I bet on Ducu because books still dont respect her that much and her second week I expect her to play even better, because now she is used to this fast surface. GL

[WinningTipster]

Re: September 29 - October 5 1 pick today for ATP TOKYO: ANDERSON-CHARDY OVER 22 GAMES @ 1.63 on pinnaclesports Expect it to be a long-close match, both players in good form, playing some big shots. Probably a 3 set match