September 29 - October 5

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back P.Cuevas/A.Murray - Over 20 games for a 7/10 stake at 1.92 with Pinnacle Cuevas is a fairly decent player and Murray just doesn't seem to be in a particularly dominant form at the moment, so I find this line a touch low in all fairness. I do expect the Scot to win in the end, but I don't believe that it will be all that easy for him tomorrow. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/cuevas-vs-murray-betting-pablo-cuevas-to-play-a-good-match-against-the-scot-in-beijing

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back L.Safarova/S.Williams - Over 18.5 games for a 7/10 stake at 1.80 with Bet365 Back Lucie Safarova to beat Serena Williams for a 3/10 stake at 7.04 with Pinnacle Perhaps I'm reading things wrong, but Williams just doesn't look invincible to me right now. Safarova is better than Pironkova and she should draw confidence from their meeting in Montreal, where she played a really good match against the American, so I fancy her to keep things fairly tight in this one. And, at 7.04, I simply have to have a punt on the outright win as well. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/safarova-vs-williams-betting-lucie-safarova-is-playing-well-enough-to-trouble-the-world-s-number-one-on-thursday

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Samantha Stosur to beat Alize Cornet for a 7/10 stake at 1.84 with Pinnacle Stosur seems to have finally rediscovered her long-lost form and this looks like a favorable match-up for her, so the 1.84 that's on offer for her win is worth taking in my opinion. Cornet hasn't done anything special recently, after all, with the win over Jankovic being the only result worth noting. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/stosur-vs-cornet-betting-samantha-stosur-looks-value-to-defeat-alize-cornet-in-china

[four-leaf]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Michal Przysiezny to beat Denis Istomin 2.80 @ Pinnacle I belive the odds are put a bit wrong here. Only because of Istomins ranking and maybe more experience he is favourite here. I don't think he deserves to be favourite. Michal has played really well lately and I back him to continue on that path. Istomin had to battle past japanese Taro Daniel in first round and that was his first win in a long while and he only won it because of lack of experience from Taros side in the decider. I trust Michal to do the job because he is not so easy to beat right now.

[four-leaf]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Sorry about Przysiezny. Really awful bet.

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Updated bankroll: +35,75 unit Ye/You to beat Sun/Zhang @1.50, bet365 Ioana Ducu to beat Caroline Daxhelet (Hilton Head 10k) @1.22, bet365 Two team parlay @1.83, 7/10 Betting on the impressive doubles team again, You/Ye when teamed up, almost unbeatable at this level, Ye, a wimbledon doubles winner this year and You a 27th ranked junior who is also a doubles specialist. Im telling you now, you will see these names later on on the WTA level in doubles. Their opponent is Sun/Zhang, below this level, but decent opponents. IM gonna take these odds, as long as the books give me, and now take them for a nice parlay, with Ducu. Ducu, as you can see, one my favourite to bet on nowadays, books started her at 1.4 from where it plummeted to 1.22, which has lost its value, but for my interest, to create a close to 2 odds, its perfect. SHe ios playing in-form Daxhelet, who might be in a very good form, also is one level below Ducu and we will see a straight set victory here. ALso if possible take Ye/You 2-0, but it will be only offered I think when it will be in the -in-play selection around evens. I think thats a great bet too, I will take it as well! GL!

[four-leaf]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Marin Cilic to beat Andy Murray 2.16 @ Pinnacle Cilic is the better player right now. He's improved to being almost unbreakable on this surface. The last meeting was in Rotterdam this year when Murray started his comeback and Cilic ofcourse won in straight sets. The head to head is 9-2 for Murray but it does'nt matter anymore since Cilic has become so mutch better. Murray has never been past the quarters in this tournament either.

[four-leaf]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Novak Djokovic/Grigor Dimitrov over 21.5 1.92 @ Pinnacle I expect a quite even match here. Both are capable of holding serve with ease and their recent history says there could be three sets as Grigor took a set in Wimbledon and beat Novak in Madrid last year. Grigor is doing his best season so far in his career and I have no doubts that he will be competitive enough for this line to go over.

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Tomas Berdych (-2.5) to beat John Isner for a 7/10 stake at 2.00 with Pinnacle Isner looked rather average against Robredo and he's got a terrible record against the Czech number one, so I'll go with Berdych on the handicap line in this one, especially since he apparently played quite well against Lopez and Troicki in the previous rounds. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/berdych-vs-isner-betting-tomas-berdych-to-have-no-problems-against-john-isner-in-beijing-tomorrow

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Marin Cilic to beat Andy Murray for a 7/10 stake at 2.10 with Pinnacle Despite Murray's recent achievements, I'd give a slight edge to Cilic in this one. He did little wrong against Sousa on Thursday and he isn't falling apart against the big names anymore, so yeah, I simply think that he's the better player of the two right now. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/cilic-vs-murray-betting-marin-cilic-can-make-it-past-the-scot-in-china

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Jack Sock (-2) to beat Benjamin Becker for a 7/10 stake at 1.93 with Pinnacle This looks like a good match-up for Sock and I'd also rate him as the better player of the two, so this handicap line looks a touch low to me in all fairness. Becker probably won't lose as badly as he did back in Houston, but I do fancy Sock to win with relative ease in the end. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/sock-vs-becker-betting-jack-sock-should-be-able-to-cover-the-handicap-line-against-benjamin-becker-in-tokyo

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 nice easy parlay win yesterday, never in doubt. even ye/you 2-0 @2.2 cashed in easily 61 63 win, but not counting towqards the bankroll. Ducu was impressive again, for a line that opened 1.4.... 61 62. updated bankroll: +41.56e Friday Pernilla Mendesova to beat Karolina Stuchla 2-0 (Albena 10k) @1.9, bet365, 6/10 Mendesova is a brand name in 10k tournaments this year. She was cruising her last week into the final, w/o dropping a set, so she is back in her good old form and has blanked Ciobanu and Platon and now Fetecau who I rate as good or better than Stuchla. Stuchla is here because of a very favorable draw as well. I take in-form Mendesova to win this one easily.GL! Stefania Rubini to beat Anna-Giulia Remondia (Santa Margherita 10k) @3.00, bet365, 3/10 Rubini is one of the big fighters on these Santa Margherita 10ks. She has won five 75 or 76 in the third matches the past 3 tournaments (incl this one), has beaten nancarrow, tiel, balducci, lombardo. So she has really put down her name, I think. These successes give her a lot of confidence and she does not seem like tiring down AT ALL. She has beaten talented junior Charlotte Klasen 1,1 last round. Now she facing Remondina, who is playing so-so, not the greatest of her tennis. I believe Rubini will have her chance, playing with a lot of confidence, without any pressure. The wins she has from the past weeks, show that she can beat a player of this caliber. GL! Sherazad Reix to beat Deborah Kerfs (Antalya 10k) @1.25 Lucia Cervera-Vazquez to beat Yvonne Cavalle-Reimers (Vallduxo 10k) @1.22 Olga Saez-Larra to beat Alice Savoretti (Vallduxo 10k) @1.40 3 team parlay @2.13, bet365, 7/10 When selecting a parlay at the end of the week, Im carefully handpicking each one of them. The most important factor is how strong and in-form the player is Im betting on. Reix is automatic her last 6/7 matches, straigth set victories, losing to Perrin in last weeks Algers final only (Perrin is clearly better than her). I also rate her 0,0 win against Ottomano and 1,1 win against Aksu this tournament very high. Now playing Kerfs, who is nothing special at all nowadays, pretty much cooled down after some good results in the summer. And she is a clay courter vs reix who is definitely more comfy on hard. Cervera Vazquez and Saez Larra, both are THE up and coming spanish talents, are competing every week hard and Im following their matches every week, for more than 2 years now. When they are on, they tend to take care of business. Neither Cavalle-Reimers nor Savoretti has the firepower and form against them. GL!

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 This is a fun treble, but it can win, more than likely, Ye/You to beat Giovine/Simpson (Antalya 10k) @1,44, bet365 I am betting on You/Ye again, because I can't get enough of them. They proved yesterday, that they are a class above this level. I beleive they will win in straight sets, but we stick on the simple match winner. Bouzkova to beat Parazinskaite (Hilton Head 10k) @1,44, bet365 Bouzkova just won the US Open (junior), and she is starting to play better and better, she has proved last week, and this week also, as she is a big favourite to win this tournament, Parazinskaite is good player but not enough good here against Bouzkova. Vikhlyantseva to beat Norris (Hilton Head 10k) @1,3, bet 365 Vikhlyantseva is continuing her good form, just like I thought. She is playing with Norris, who had struggled against a not so well known player, So looking at the forms and the talent of the two players it is clear Vikhlyantseva is the better and favourable player. Again, we are betting on 3 in for red hot players. althought it is a fun treble it has a high percentage to win. Ye/You to beat Giovine/Simpson (Antalya 10k) @1,44, bet365 Bouzkova to beat Parazinskaite (Hilton Head 10k) @1,44, bet365 Vikhlyantseva to beat Norris (Hilton Head 10k) @1,3, bet 365 Treble @2,71 at bet365 5/10 GL!

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Petra Kvitova (-4) to beat Samantha Stosur for a 7/10 stake at 1.92 with Pinnacle Kvitova looks unstoppable at the moment and she will feel that the title is quite close now that Williams isn't in the hunt anymore, so I quite fancy her chances of covering this handicap line tomorrow. She has an excellent record against the Australian number one, after all. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/kvitova-vs-stosur-betting-petra-kvitova-should-be-too-strong-for-the-australian-number-one-in-beijing Back Novak Djokovic (-3.5) to beat Andy Murray for a 7/10 stake at 1.87 with Pinnacle Murray surprised me with that easy win over Cilic, but I nonetheless believe that Djokovic will be way too strong for him on Saturday. Beijing is a place he loves and he wasted no time in beating Grigor Dimitrov on Friday, so chances are that he's going to beat the Scot for the third time in a row. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/djokovic-vs-murray-betting-novak-djokovic-to-confirm-his-dominance-with-a-solid-victory-over-andy-murray Back Ana Ivanovic to beat Maria Sharapova for a 7/10 stake at 2.63 with Pinnacle Too big a price for Ivanovic I'd say. She deserves to be seen as the favorite, don't get me wrong, but Ivanovic has already beaten her twice this year and she's been playing superbly in Asia so far, so 2.63 does certainly look worth taking to me. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/ivanovic-vs-sharapova-betting-ana-ivanovic-looks-value-against-maria-sharapova-in-china

[murat5370]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Czech..do you have some tips for new tournament? If you have share with you followers :)

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 What new tournament? Shanghai? The draw isn't out yet I believe and I can't see anything interesting in the qualifiers either.

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Friday's updated balance: +58,02 units. Perfect friday:) Bonus parlay for the weekend: Based on the weekly forms of the two doubles, that I played earlier, I think they can easily win the finals as well. So the two matches are: Ye/You to beat Kerfs/Rosatello (Antalya 10k) @1,44, bet365 Alves/Wong to beat Harman/Kobelt (Hilton Head 10k) @1,4 bet365 Doubles @2,086/10 GL!

[CzechPunter]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Back Novak Djokovic (-4.5) to beat Tomas Berdych for a 7/10 stake at 2.08 with Pinnacle Can't see past the Serb tomorrow, I really can't. He's been brilliant in Beijing so far and he's yet to lose here despite this being his fifth appearance, so I expect to see yet another dominant performance from him tomorrow. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/djokovic-vs-berdych-betting-novak-djokovic-to-capture-his-fifth-beijing-title-on-sunday Back M.Sharapova/P.Kvitova - Over 2.5 sets for a 7/10 stake at 2.50 with Paddy Power Both are playing well, so this seems to have the makings of a three-setter. Sharapova is certainly the favorite after her superb win against Ivanovic, but I am sure that the Czech number one will give this one a really good go. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/sharapova-vs-kvitova-betting-a-long-match-could-be-on-the-cards-for-sharapova-and-kvitova-in-china Back K.Nishikori/M.Raonic - Over 2.5 sets for a 7/10 stake at 2.23 with Unibet Raonic is a marginal favorite for me, but I'm obviously hoping for Nishikori to win due to the outright bet I still have on him from the start of the week. Can't see either guy dominating this though, so three-sets look pretty likely to me. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/nishikori-vs-raonic-betting-the-overs-look-like-the-right-bet-in-the-tokyo-finals

[nickel1]

Re: September 29 - October 5 Nice Czech,followed you on two of these.Thnx!

[BallsforTennis]

Re: September 29 - October 5

Samantha Querrey vs Stefan Kozlov - Sacramento Challenger Final

It CAN happen and it COULD happen. Why would anyone not want to risk it does happen, at

odds

of over 5.00?

Would Andy Murray at 16 beat Samantha?

Yes he would.

Stefan Kozlov is essentially Murray reycled. - Defends backhand well. - Creates exceptional angles using the backhand. - Already adept at neutralising big serves and getting them back in awkward positions or with depth. - Great anticipation as to his opponents next move, reads his opponents ideas for point building and is one step ahead. Reads the game exceptionally. - Exceptional mover. - Spreads the play well and uses the entire width of the court. - Forces players' to come out their comfort zone. - A marksman at breaking down the opponent's weaker shot ( Will be Querrey's backhand in this instance) - Possesses all the different variations of/in pace that can lose Querrey his rhythm. - Highly intelligent tennis brain. - Plays with respect to his opponent, essentially a tennis comelean. See what I did there? I basically described an Andy Murray before 2010. A spitting image of Stefan Kozlov's game. If you could architect the perfect game to cause Samantha Querrey absolute havoc and terror on court, you would architect Andy Murray's. Stefan Kozlov is a recycled version of Andy Murray, with an arguably more reliable and more consistent forehand. Usually the argument would be, Samantha wins most serve + return of serve match-ups against opponents at this level. Well not on this occasion. Whilst he can have a big swing with his forehand at Kozlov's second serve, Kozlov not only defends points off his second serve better than most at this level, but also gets a lot more balls back off Samantha's serves. Samantha's been flattered by playing largely one dimensional ball bashers over the last two weeks aside from Smychek, who let me say was absolutely horrendous in the final last week. Samantha is your typical American big forehand, big serve player.. relies on the big one two or three punch combination. The only thing that separates him from your Rhyne Williams, Bradley Klhans, Buchanan's are he's more consistent with those weapons. However, what he's not separate from them on is their inability to deal with variation in pace (Getting down low to slices or balls that stall midcourt) Querrey relies on this oxygen supply of playing mostly forehands that he obviously can't breathe without. When you consider Kozlov has an adept way of finding the opponent's backhand time and time again then Querrey is going to need CPR. (Esp in 95 degree heat) Think about it, it's regulation for Kozlov to break down a righties backhand, he's played on clay a lot throughout the juniors and so doing it will not be something really much out his comfort zone. Kozlov is a tough match-player and reacts well to adversity just like Murray. We saw how Samantha struggled against a decent match-player in MilkMan yesterday. Stefan imo stands a much better chance of pulling this rabbit than 6.00. The choke factor, is a factor, but remember the pressure Samantha may feel in this one, being the somewhat big favourite with everyone watching how this 'exciting kid' will fare. He doesn't cope well with an audience Samantha and he's only won one tight

match

in the last two weeks, Kozlov has won 3. Match-tightness will play a factor. Kozlov is at the age where he finds it easier to perform with no expectation and that's the scenario here. Forget the fact Samantha once upon a time beat Djokovic, everyone's beaten an elite player once or twice in their career. It means very little.

Stefan Kozlov ML at 5.39 with

Pinnacle

Stefan Kozlov (+1.5) Sets handicap at 2.8 with

Pinnacle

[shambata]

Re: September 29 - October 5 lucky win on saturday, but I'll take it. updated bankroll: +64.05 onto week 3!