CzechPunter Posted May 4, 2014 Share Posted May 4, 2014 Novak Djokovic out of Madrid by the looks of things :(. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 5, 2014 Author Share Posted May 5, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Dmitry Tursunov to beat Dominic Thiem for a 5/10 stake at 4.56 with Pinnacle There's probably some value in this one. Dominic Thiem is going to win this more often than not, of course, but the odds around 1.25 don't look justified to me, as Tursunov is a very good player in his own right and has what it takes to beat nearly everyone on a good day. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/tursunov-vs-thiem-betting-dmitry-tursunov-looks-value-against-dominic-thiem-in-madrid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 5, 2014 Author Share Posted May 5, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Benjamin Becker to beat Mikhail Youzhny for a 5/10 stake at 4.00 with Bet365 Given that Youzhny is yet to win a match since his comeback, I think that this is worth a small punt. Becker has done well to get to the main draw, after all, and his big-hitting game may frustrate Youzhny unless he gets an early break or something. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/becker-vs-youzhny-betting-mikhail-youzhny-might-continue-to-struggle-on-the-spanish-clay-courts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinningTipster Posted May 5, 2014 Share Posted May 5, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 1 picks for ATP MADRID: ISNER OVER 13 GAMES VS. GABASHVILI @ 1.86 on pinnaclesports Gabashvili is in good form, his highest rating ever, first match for Isner on European clay, should probably be a long 3 set match. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 5, 2014 Author Share Posted May 5, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back A.Dolgopolov/F.Fognini - Under 22.5 games for a 8/10 stake at 1.92 with Pinnacle This looks like the most logical call of them all, as both guys have plenty of problems to deal with at the moment. I have no idea about who's going to win this, but I don't believe that we are going to see a very long match. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/dolgopolov-vs-fognini-betting-the-unders-look-like-the-right-call-in-the-match-between-dolgopolov-and-fognini- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 5, 2014 Author Share Posted May 5, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Jurgen Melzer to beat Juan Monaco for a 7/10 stake at 2.45 with Pinnacle The H2H record might be horrible for the Austrian, but that's about it really. The Argentinian is having a truly dreadful season and he hasn't played since he lost against Donald Young back in Houston, so it's hard to believe that he'll be sharp on Tuesday, which makes anything this much above evens worth taking in my opinion. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/melzer-vs-monaco-betting-jurgen-melzer-has-what-it-takes-to-beat-juan-monaco-in-madrid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 5, 2014 Author Share Posted May 5, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Bojana Jovanovski (+6.5) to beat Ana Ivanovic for a 7/10 stake at 1.85 with Pinnacle Too big a line in my opinion. Jovanovski dropped just two games in her opening match and she is certainly capable of hitting through Ana Ivanovic, so I believe that she's going to get the momentum at some point and also cover this handicap line at the end of the day. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/jovanovski-vs-ivanovic-betting-bojana-jovanovski-to-cover-the-handicap-line-against-ana-ivanovic-on-tuesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lawrence0831 Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Francesca Schiavone V.S. Sara Errani - Francesca Schiavone +5.5 at 1.952 with Pinnacle Interesting match! Both can deliver great tennis on clay court but both are not at their peak. While Errani is gradually improving her games recently and is currently the better player of the two, I don’t think she can win this match as easy as the bookie thinks. Schiavone should be quite accustomed to Errani’s style of playing. In fact, their playing style is a bit similar, which could lead to smaller gap when they are head to head, so I am willing to back Francesca Schiavone to cover the handicap line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 6, 2014 Author Share Posted May 6, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 A rotten couple of days for me. Back Sabine Lisicki to beat Irina Begu for a 7/10 stake at 1.72 with Pinnacle Sabine Lisicki is certainly the better player of the two and she looked fine against Pliskova from what I know, so I fancy her to defeat Irina Begu, who still lacks that little bit of extra that would allow her to compete with the world's best. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/lisicki-vs-begu-betting-sabine-lisicki-to-beat-irina-begu-in-madrid-on-wednesday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 6, 2014 Author Share Posted May 6, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Rojer/Tecau to beat Fognini/Gonzalez 2-0 for a 7/10 stake at 2.30 with BetVictor Fognini and Gonzalez haven't played together before, so I expect them to struggle against Rojer and Tecau, who have already won two titles since the start of the European clay court swing. Moreover, Fognini probably won't be too happy about staying in Madrid for much longer now that he's already out of the singles draw. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/rojer-tecau-vs-fognini-gonzalez-betting-jean-julien-rojer-and-horia-tecau-should-have-no-problems-in-their-opener Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 8, 2014 Author Share Posted May 8, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Sara Errani (-3.5) to beat Caroline Garcia for a 7/10 stake at 1.92 with Unibet I don't think that Garcia will like this match-up, as Errani has the right game for frustrating her with her usual consistency. Garcia is talented, fair enough, but Errani is still the better player of the two and she should be able to dismantle her really, especially since Garcia has no rhythm after those two retirements. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/errani-vs-garcia-betting-sara-errani-should-be-able-to-deal-with-caroline-garcia-on-thursday Back John Isner to beat David Ferrer for a 5/10 stake at 4.56 with Pinnacle David Ferrer looked very shaky against Ramos and he looked poor against Gabashvili the other day as well, so fancy a punt on John Isner at such a big price. He looked very solid yesterday and his serve looks as strong as ever, so I can definitely see him beating the Spaniard this time around. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/isner-vs-ferrer-betting-john-isner-looks-value-against-david-ferrer-in-madrid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Merc Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Isner was really tired and coped with some sort of injury. Matosevic had to win it but choked in the end. Ferrer should win with ease. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lawrence0831 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Rafael Nadal V.S. Jarkko Nieminen - Jarkko Nieminen over 5 games at 1.877 with Pinnacle Let’s not overreact to Nadal’s landside victory against Monaco. Nadal played ok but the one-sided game was mainly because Monaco played awful. So it is dangerous to jump to conclusions that Nadal fully recovers from his recent low. Furthermore, surprisingly, Nieminen passed through his first two matches here with ease. So I expect Jarkko Nieminen to get more than 5 games in this match. Li Na V.S. Sloane Stephens – over 19 games at 1.833 with Pinnacle If Sloane Stephens is okay with her wrist, which I think is the case, she should be able to put some pressure on Li. It is true Sloane Stephens struggled a bit in the last two matches, but she gradually found her rhythm and came through those difficulties. We all know Li plays extremely good so far in this season, but her service games were a bit shakier than expected in this tournament. So overall I think this could be a longer match, probably with one tie-break or one set of 7-5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keepsakes Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Rafael Nadal V.S. Jarkko Nieminen - Jarkko Nieminen over 5 games at 1.877 with Pinnacle Let’s not overreact to Nadal’s landside victory against Monaco. Nadal played ok but the one-sided game was mainly because Monaco played awful. So it is dangerous to jump to conclusions that Nadal fully recovers from his recent low. Furthermore, surprisingly, Nieminen passed through his first two matches here with ease. So I expect Jarkko Nieminen to get more than 5 games in this match. Li Na V.S. Sloane Stephens – over 19 games at 1.833 with Pinnacle If Sloane Stephens is okay with her wrist, which I think is the case, she should be able to put some pressure on Li. It is true Sloane Stephens struggled a bit in the last two matches, but she gradually found her rhythm and came through those difficulties. We all know Li plays extremely good so far in this season, but her service games were a bit shakier than expected in this tournament. So overall I think this could be a longer match, probably with one tie-break or one set of 7-5. In fact you can bet there will at the very least be a TB. I think the finn will likely take a set off the bull Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul_james Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Is Dominic thiem worth a punt today. He looks a good player Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Is Dominic thiem worth a punt today. He looks a good player I like Thiem but not at the price. Lopez has plenty of experience and is playing in conditions he is familiar with. On top of that, Thiem's level might drop after his big win against Wawrinka. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lawrence0831 Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 In fact you can bet there will at the very least be a TB. I think the finn will likely take a set off the bull I only have Pinnacle account and there is not such bet with Pinnacle. Also I tend to choose the safer bet, maybe I should have chose the over 20 games for Li's match or Stephens +1.5 set to get more return, but who knows? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keepsakes Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Nadal win @ 1.1 is the biggest joke there is in tennis. In my book, Copil, Berdych and Dimitrov will all beat nadal going by current form. Pile on Berdych win @ 7.0 Christmas does come early sometimes!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nes* Posted May 9, 2014 Share Posted May 9, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 ... i think that Giraldo fall down today, Agut is fresher and strong from baseline to and have a better service. Also Ana Ivanovic has very good chanses to win against Halep, Ana is in greath form and shows better play compared to Halep in past month. Opinions? :beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 9, 2014 Author Share Posted May 9, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 No idea about Giraldo-Bautista. Back S.Halep/A.Ivanovic - Over 22 games for a 5/10 stake at 1.93 with Pinnacle Both seem to be playing well, so I believe that the overs might be the right call really, as the two have already played two tight matches against each other. I find it hard to see either of the two winning this very easily, so I fancy this battle to be quite competitive. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/halep-vs-ivanovic-betting-the-overs-look-like-the-right-call-in-the-match-between-halep-and-ivanovic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 9, 2014 Author Share Posted May 9, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Ernests Gulbis to beat David Ferrer for a 6/10 stake at 2.94 with Pinnacle I still can't bring myself to trust the Spaniard in Madrid for some reason. Gulbis is playing really well and he beat both Dolgopolov and Cilic with considerable ease, so I fancy him to finally get that elusive win against Ferrer today. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/gulbis-vs-ferrer-betting-ernests-gulbis-can-finally-get-that-elusive-win-against-david-ferrer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 9, 2014 Share Posted May 9, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Roberto Bautista Agut to beat Santiago Giraldo @ 1.89 Betfair This should be a good match between two of the form players on clay. The prices make Bautista Agut a slight favourite and I'm inclined to agree with that, as the Spaniard has had some impressive results in this tournament. Giraldo has also been playing well in Madrid, but I rate his wins over Tsonga and Murray below those of Bautista Agut over Robredo and Verdasco. Crowd support could also have a role to play, and might tip the balance in favour of Bautista Agut and help him to get over the line here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 9, 2014 Author Share Posted May 9, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Simona Halep (-3) to beat Petra Kvitova for a 7/10 stake at 1.94 with Pinnacle Kvitova seems to be a good match-up for Halep and the Romanian is certainly playing the better tennis of the two at the moment, so I fancy her to win this with something to spare. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/halep-vs-kvitova-betting-simona-halep-can-make-it-through-to-the-finals-in-madrid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 10, 2014 Author Share Posted May 10, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Flavio Cipolla to beat Santiago Giraldo for a 4/10 stake at 7.28 with Pinnacle A speculative punt, but the odds are just way too high in my opinion. Cipolla is still a half-decent player and he'll play his heart out in home conditions, so Giraldo might struggle in all fairness. He's played a lot of tennis recently, after all, and the quick transfer from Madrid to Rome couldn't have helped him in any way either. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/cipolla-vs-giraldo-betting-flavio-cipolla-looks-value-against-santiago-giraldo-in-the-rome-qualifiers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nickel1 Posted May 10, 2014 Share Posted May 10, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Flavio Cipolla to beat Santiago Giraldo for a 4/10 stake at 7.28 with Pinnacle A speculative punt, but the odds are just way too high in my opinion. Cipolla is still a half-decent player and he'll play his heart out in home conditions, so Giraldo might struggle in all fairness. He's played a lot of tennis recently, after all, and the quick transfer from Madrid to Rome couldn't have helped him in any way either. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/cipolla-vs-giraldo-betting-flavio-cipolla-looks-value-against-santiago-giraldo-in-the-rome-qualifiers He played yesterday in Madrid and today in Rome!? That's interesting if that is the case. Is that common among tennisplayers? Giraldo seem to been a big suprise this spring but a schedule like that must take its toll. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 10, 2014 Author Share Posted May 10, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 He played yesterday in Madrid and today in Rome!? That's interesting if that is the case. Is that common among tennisplayers? Giraldo seem to been a big suprise this spring but a schedule like that must take its toll. Certainly not common, but there you go, the schedule is pretty heavy at the moment. To be fair, he might still withdraw. The bottom line is that 7.28 just looked too big given the situation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nickel1 Posted May 10, 2014 Share Posted May 10, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Certainly not common' date=' but there you go, the schedule is pretty heavy at the moment. To be fair, he might still withdraw. The bottom line is that 7.28 just looked too big given the situation.[/quote'] Definitely worth a small punt,thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted May 11, 2014 Author Share Posted May 11, 2014 Re: May 5 - May 11 Back Simona Halep to beat Maria Sharapova for a 5/10 stake at 3.13 with Pinnacle I wouldn't have Halep above 3.00 here, she's just too good for that. To be fair, Sharapova is yet to be tested this week and Halep should be able to get her on the move, so chances are that we are going to see an upset in the women's final in Madrid. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/halep-vs-sharapova-betting-simona-halep-to-match-maria-sharapova-in-the-madrid-finals Back K.Nishikori/R.Nadal - Over 20 games for a 7/10 stake at 1.95 with Pinnacle I can't see an upset happening here, unfortunately, although I do expect Nishikori to play a good match and give Nadal a really good run for his money. He has some minor health problems from what I've seen, but he was able to cope with them well yesterday, so he should be able to cope with them today as well. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/nishikori-vs-nadal-betting-kei-nishikori-can-give-rafael-nadal-a-very-good-run-for-his-money-in-madrid Back Juan Monaco to beat Tommy Robredo for a 5/10 stake at 3.11 with Pinnacle Big things were expected from Robredo before the start of the European clay swing, but something just isn't clicking for him at the moment, so perhaps his struggles are going to continue in Rome as well. Monaco is certainly good enough to beat him if that happens, that much is clear. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/monaco-vs-robredo-betting-juan-monaco-not-to-be-written-off-completely-over-in-rome Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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