NFL Week One Picks

[AGurv]

NFL 2012-2013 Overall 57W-46L-3P +23.90 units (55.33%) Solid year last year but most of that was the playoffs and the Ravens future pick.. Lets hope for a great year for everyone! Broncos -7.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Steelers -6.5 (-125) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[trips]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Any reason for the drop in the spread with Denver, Agurv. fancy them myself wondering if there some news. if it's just money fair enough, i will take the -7.5 or even -7 hopefully.

[mcege]

Re: NFL Week One Picks I will not have a pick from that game, if any of the line changes dramatically, but I think public reacted to the weird situation that this game's spread was opened only 2 pts lower then Raiders @ Colts game spread. It won't be a healthy comparison for sure, but when you look from that angle, that's something weird. Broncos have problems with line backers unit, as Elvis Dumervil left and Von Miller is suspended, and CB Champ Bailey is not expected to play, which's a blow for secondary, as well. Even if he plays, he already tortured by Flacco&Smith duo in last post season and if he starts without being %100, why the scenario should change? Flacco posted great numbers in post season match up at Denver and he probably won't be bothered too much by Broncos' defensive front seven. But, Broncos is in a revenge situation, opening season at home and has a really capable receiving squad, with Peyton Manning in the middle. All I can do is to wish luck with your plays, if you put a gun to my head, my choice would be over, but I'm not going to touch it, as long as people start to bet big on under.

[trips]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Great analysis and I would normally be looking for the same pointers myself but I just can't help thinking Baltimore played like a team possessed towards the end of last season,a team on a mission as they say, I doubt if they will play with the same tenacity this year without Ray Lewis around. Manning did a superb job last year, first season with Denver and he must have felt a bit suspect after his serious injury, can only see offence getting even better . Not sure but if i remember right Denver are a young team. if so it's very likely they will improve even further this year. Looking forward to another great season and reading opinions. No strong opinion this early in the season but as it's on TV, I will take Denver but wait as the spread looks like dropping. gone from -9 to -7 in a day or so over here .maybe it was just too high in the first place.

[AGurv]

Re: NFL Week One Picks I think the money is just coming down on the Ravens. This team just got hot in the playoffs, but they are in no way better then the Broncos IMO. Ravens went from one of the oldest defenses to the youngest defenses in the offseason. I think Bronco's win comfortably... Bears -3 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Browns -1 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[Backbencher]

Re: NFL Week One Picks

I think the money is just coming down on the Ravens. This team just got hot in the playoffs, but they are in no way better then the Broncos IMO. Ravens went from one of the oldest defenses to the youngest defenses in the offseason. I think Bronco's win comfortably...

Yes, line down to -7 in some places. People remember the play-off game, but forget about week 15 when Broncos led like 30-3 into the fourth quarter. I'll probably wait to see how the line moves before kick-off, but -7 looks good enough for me.

[danj2202]

Re: NFL Week One Picks 10 pts Baltimore @ Denver Baltimore +7.5 5/6 Paddy Power 2 pts Baltimore to beat Denver 3/1 Stan James 1 pt Julius Thomas to score first touchdown 16/1 bet365 Right, I think you lot are crazy!!!! I will concede that Denver has the better QB in this matchup, that said the way you counteract a QB is on the outside with your pass rush and your corners, Denver from last year have lost Elvis Dumervil to Baltimore and Von Miller to a 6 game suspension and Champ Bailey the only decent coverage corner they have to injury for week one, on the flip side Dumervil will now add to the Baltimore pass rush and Ladarius Webb one of the leagues better corners will return after hitting IR in the middle of last season missing the playoff run, it doesnt matter to me that I have no idea who Flacco will complete passes to really as he should have all the time in the world for them to get open and complete a pass and there are probably only two QBs in the NFL that I wouldnt necessarily want to back under those circumstances. The Ravens are the better and underrated defensive unit here in summary and with the time he should get Flacco should be able to pick apart an under manned Broncos defense, I would say a small play straight up and a good bet on the handicap is in order here. A fun bet could be Julius Thomas to score first, he is apparently the starting tight end for the Broncos in this game and Manning loves to throw to tight ends, there are a lot of options but the price makes this worth a play in my humble opinion

[AGurv]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Arizona +4.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Giants +3.5 (-115) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[kevshat]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Meant to post this up earlier :$. 4pts Baltimore (+7.5) to beat Denver 20/23 Ladbrokes Denver go into the season as one of the main threats for the title but they will be without a couple of important players defensively for this match and that can keep the Ravens interested. Baltimore went to Mile High Field and won in the playoffs on their way to the Super Bowl last season and while they may not repeat that again here, I do think they can stay within a touchdown at least. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/baltimore-ravens--denver-broncos-betting-baltimore-can-stay-within-a-touchdown-of-the-broncos

[mcege]

Re: NFL Week One Picks I'll use flat 3/10 stakes instead of 5, since I like too many plays from first week's card. I don't have a problem with having many plays in a single gameday, but since this is first gameday, I don't want to stake huge money. Browns vs. Dolphins Browns appointed Rob Chudzinski as their new head coach. Chudzinski is an offense magician, during his era as offensive coordinator, at 2007 season, Browns had the eight best offensive stats and four offensive Pro Bowlers. During his tenure with Panthers, he worked perfectly with a rookie QB, namely Cam Newton and helped his team to break franchise record for total yards in a season and finished the season with seventh best offensive stats. His appointment will certainly positively effect Browns’ mediocre offensive stats, from last season. QB Brandon Weeden is starting his second year, with strong performances at preseason, he seemed definitely more self confident, after struggling at his rookie season. On the defensive side, Browns added DE Desmond Bryant, who’ll be a positive addition to their already “ok” rushing stats, but more importantly, top free agent signing LB Paul Kruger will certainly lift up Browns’ pass rushing stats and will relieve secondary line. Moreover, 1st round 6th pick LB Barkevious Mingo and already self-proven LB Jabaal Sheard sum up to a big pass rushing threat. Secondary unit still consists of couple players, who are not proven, yet, but overall, Browns must be better this season. Dolphins’ major free agent addition was WR Mike Wallace from Steelers. But, as they lost OT Jake Long, they have major problems with offensive line and since, projected starter RB Lamar Miller still has a lot to proof, QB Ryan Tannehill will be under a lot pressure at the start of the season. One of his most trustable targets, TE Dustin Keller got injured lately as well. So, last season’s sixth worst offensive team still has a lot of things to figure out. On the defensive end, Dolphins had an “ok” defensive squad and addition of LB Dannell Ellerbe won’t be any harm for sure, as long as he adapts his new 4-3 defensive scheme, differing from his tenure at Ravens. But, besides SS Reshad Jones, Dolphins’ secondary has a lot of question marks, as well. Starting CB Brent Grimes played so few snaps in past two seasons, other starting CB Dimitri Patterson has seven mediocre pro years in his belt, etc. All in all, despite injury problems they have in offensive line and missing of top WR Josh Gordon, I believe Browns sounds to be the better team, as Dolphins’ problems seem much bigger to me. Browns has ok replacements for Gordon and G John Greco will prevent any problems at left guard. But, I certainly doubt if Dolphins has replacements for their structural problems. As, Lamar Miller will start to play as a true workload, they’ll get better as a team, but I think it’ll take some time. Browns should nail this at home. Browns (0) 3/10 @ 1.87 Bears vs. Bengals Two teams with solid defensive stats from last season will open the new season against each other. But, I believe bookies are a little slow to make adjustments. Bears appointed Marc Trestman, who is an another offensive magician. During his offensive coordinating eras with 49ers and Raiders, his teams led NFL in passing yards and attempts. So, after defense-crazy Lovie Smith, Bears will have some transaction, QB Jay Cutler has been green flagged for more vertical plays. This can be easily seen by Bears’ transactions this summer, they spent their 1st round 20th pick with G Kyle Long and they spent 30M USD for OT Jermon Bushrod. TE Martellus Bennett came from Giants and he has great protecting skills as well, so Jay Cutler will be better protected this season and Bears will definitely try to play the game on air, much more this season. Targets like RB Matt Forte, WR Brandon Marshall and WR Alshon Jeffery build up a pretty solid list to support such a strategy, as well. Bengals is also expected to play an up tempo game this season, rookie RB Giovani Bernard is reported to be handling the majority of snaps, rather then RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis. And despite Bengals expected to miss WR Andrew Hawkins, QB Andy Dalton has hell of a list of players for him to distribute the ball on air, such as WR A.J. Green, WR Mohamed Sanu and TE Jermaine Grisham. As seen in preseason games and as can be seen at reports about the camp, Bengals is looking to improve as an offensive team this season, including more up tempo personnel for more snaps. Bengals have great defensive linemen and defensive linebackers, but they allowed 20 points per game on the road, despite having a really easy schedule, facing with vulnerable teams such as Chiefs, Jaguars and Chargers, last season. I expect new Bears to score about 24-27 points and Bengals has enough potential to nail the rest to cover this line. Over 41.5 3/10 @ 1.952 Panthers vs. Seahawks Seahawks allowed fewest points to their opponents, last season. Moreover, they added DE Cliff Avril and DT Michael Bennett, both are solid additions. Avril will miss this game for sure, but Seahawks is loaded well in that position, especially after undrafted rookie Benson Mayowa reported to have a brilliant camp. They had an elite rushing defense last season and I don’t expect that to worsen, at least, if not get better. Also, there’s no change expected with the mentality, Seahawks once again will be a hard working team, eager to play on ground, this season as well. As return specialist Percy Harvin will be out, there’s less room for extra points from kick&punt returns. Also, I should note that, since the time came, Seahawks special team didn’t allow any TD last season, to the returning opponents. Panthers will miss back up RB Jonathan Stewart. Also, another back up RB Mike Tolbert missed all preseason action, he’s expected to play, but his snaps should be limited, for sure. That leaves QB Cam Newton with few options, as Panthers struggled to find a productive WR besides Steve Smith for couple seasons and they don’t seem to make moves to change that, this off season as well. They have also rushing-first offensive principles, they attempted seventh fewest passing plays last season, without significant additions to receiver slots and without any significant changes at coaching staff, I don’t expect that to change extremely, as well. Both teams are rushing-first teams, both teams have “ok-good” rushing defenses and both teams have numerous receivers who has a lot to proof, still. I expect a low tempo game, mostly played on the ground, either teams to finish scores around 20-mark and this under to get cashed. Under 44.5 3/10 @ 1.943 Lions vs. Vikings Lions had one of the best offenses in 2012, in the means of total yardage, but they averaged only 23.2 points per game opposite to that fact. They didn’t finish not even top 15, in that manner. Its most obvious reason was a mediocre performance by former 1st overall pick, QB Matthew Stafford and inability to establish a solid running game, mostly due to incapable personnel in that position. Stafford signed his huge extension this summer and RB Reggie Bush has arrived to give some room with his rushing capabilities. It would be speculative to expect Stafford to return his marvellous 41TD-16INT 2011 season, but I definitely expect him to post better numbers this season, then the last one. Reggie Bush seemed really sharp during preseason and with him in the pitch, Stafford now has numerous solid targets like, Bush himself, Calvin Johnson, Ryan Broyles and tight ends, Pettigrew and Scheffler. It’s unrealistic to expect them to attempt even more passes, but their points per game average will definitely get better. Vikings enter new season, after a promising campaign in 2012. Their QB Christian Ponder has still a lot to do with consistency department, but he’s an improving young player with a solid potential. They have a solid running game with beast RB Adrian Peterson in the mix and now after bringing receivers like Greg Jennings and Cordarrelle Patterson, Vikings has solid options in their receiving unit, as well. Their main problem seems to remain as passing defense, they have couple young, promising starters and couple mediocre veterans in the secondary, they had ninth worst pass defense last season and as they seem not to address that situation during the off season, I don’t see why it should get better dramatically. Bill Musgrave is a questionable offensive coordinator because of his past and he’s working under defensive freak Leslie Frazer. But, Vikings already had “ok good” offensive stats last season and with current transactions, I really can’t see how’ll not go better, this season. Vikings has an almost terrible passing defense, whereas Lions has an uninspiring rushing defense. These teams met two times last season and Adrian Peterson averaged 136.5 rushing yards and 149 total yards, in those games. Vikings will hurt Lions on the ground and Lions will hurt Vikings on the air. Also, I smell some score by special teams as well, Lions allowed four returning TD’s last season and Vikings still have some capable personnel at that department, despite trading Percy Harvin. Over 46.5 3/10 @ 1.952 Rams vs. Cardinals Rams is improving slowly, I’m aware of that fact, they cleaned some dead wood at receiving department, added big free agent signing Jack Long (mentioned about him at top, Browns-Dolphins pick...), brought two receiving prospects and despite overpaying him, he brought a reliable target TE Jared Cook. But, one must look from this angle as well, they have a young QB, namely Sam Bradford, who took some back steps after a promising rookie campaign. They obviously don’t have a reliable running back and their receiving core consists of two rookies and one second year guy, who had just an “ok” rookie campaign. And, this QB+receivers combination will face one of the best passing defenses of last season, Cardinals. Despite having some transactions in that department, Cardinals still has two Pro Bowlers to start, one rookie with an outstanding college career, namely FS Tyrann Mathieu and CB Jerraud Powers, who has an promising rookie season under his belt, suffered some late injuries and looking to get back his career on track. This is a team who led NFL in interceptions last season and also this is a team who added an incredible pass rusher OLB John Abraham, as well. It won’t be out of world to project Bradford to have a really hard time, in his season opener. On the other hand, Cardinals appointed Bruce Arians as new head coach, who had a very successful interim coaching period with Colts, last season and who’s known for his vertical passing calls. They brought QB Carson Palmer and RB Rashard Mendenhall, as well. Despite being included to the losing teams lately, Palmer is a self proven QB and despite the fact that he’ll need some time to adapt his new offensive schemes, it certainly won’t do any harm for Cardinals, after spending last season without a sure starter at that position. Mendenhall is not a player I admire, but he’s a solid running back, surely and that won’t do any harm as well, since Cardinals had a terrible rushing department, last season. ILB Daryl Washington is not available for this game, but Cardinals has enough depth at that position, such as Karlos Dansby and Jasper Brinkley. All in all, I can understand Rams to be set as favourites at home opener, but I really doubt they can win this game by more then difference of a FG. Cardinals(+4.5) 3/10 @ 1.952 Jaguars vs. Chiefs Both teams changed coaching staff and total line is already set low, it might sound wiser not to touch, but I believe there’s still some room to make money with current small line. These are worst offensive and almost pathetic defensive teams from last season. As far as I follow, I will certainly doubt them to increase dramatically in the offensive end, but both teams made progress with defensive units. Jaguars added players like DE Jason Babin, DT Kyle Love and DT Roy Miller to improve their rushing defense and I must say, all of them are solid additions. With DE Tyson Alualu and MLB Paul Posluszny are in the mix, their rushing defense will be much better this season, as long as they stay injury free. They seem to lack quantity with linebackers unit and a little quality with secondary defense, but still brought solid players like OLB Geno Atkins and CB Marcus Trufant to make an impact with passing defense, as well. New head coach Gus Bradley is a defensive guru, who created Seahawks’ current impeccable defense, it’s obvious he doesn’t walk around with his magic stick, but him to change the philosophy should be expected, right from first day. Chiefs’ defensive starters mostly consist of Pro Bowlers and 1st&2nd rounders out of recent draft classes. There’s no explanation for their pathetic defensive outlook last season, except team’s overall pathetic look and being left without a goal too early in season. They have a solid defensive line on paper, Tamba Hali and Justin Houston are great pass rushers. Whereas Derrick Johnson and Akeem Jordan are solid enough to fight with rushers and they added CB Dunta Robinson and CB Sean Smith to secondary. There are no excuses for this team to improve at the defensive end, after a terrible season. On the other side of the pitch, we all know about QB Blaine Gabbert, he’s anything but trustable, he missed most of preseason action, whereas RB Maurice Jones-Drew is coming out of season long injury, had few and uninspiring snaps at preseason and getting aged. Of course, he’s much better then to have Rashard Jennings as the primary rusher and he can do only good to this Jaguars squad, but it would be very speculative to expect him to an outstanding season. Whereas WR Justin Blackmon is suspended and Gabbert has really limited number of reliable hands to throw at. Chiefs brought QB Alex Smith, he’s much better then what Chiefs had last season, but he’s a one dimensional guy, with hesitation to throw at big plays for sideline routes and that’ll definitely limit Chiefs’ star WR Dwyane Bowe’s production. Most of Smith’s targets will be distributed amongst RB Jamaal Charles, TE Anthony Fasano and WR/RB Dexter McCluster. Despite, I believe him to establish a better offense overall, I don’t expect Chiefs’ passing yardage to increase dramatically from last season. I expect both teams to improve at the defensive end and Jaguars to try to run mostly. Chiefs might have a better balanced play selection, but they’ll also play a methodical game consists of small-medium ranged passing plays, mostly. I expect neither side to pass the border of 20 points. Under 41 3/10 @ 1.952 Redskins vs. Eagles Due to salary cap penalty, Redskins couldn’t do too much in off season, but they re-signed some starters like TE Fred Davis, CB DeAngelo Hall, G Kory Lichtensteiger, RT Tyler Polumbus...Especially last two were important, as Redskins maintain all starting five offensive line men, who helped this team to finish 2012 season first overall in rushing and fifth overall in total offense. RGIII didn’t see a playing action at preseason and he might start a little rusty with passing accuracy, but coach Mike Shanahan should know the best to save him and I expect an “ok” performance from RGIII, at least. On the defensive end, things are not bright, just like last season. One of league’s worst defenses against passing don’t seem to improve. They will have to rely mostly to some rookies and it’ll take some time to see them developing. Despite, starting DE Jarvis Jenkins is suspended, due to existence of ILB London Fletcher, OLB’s Ryan Kerrigan, Brian Orakpo and DE Barry Cofield, Skins’ front seven is the stronger part of their defensive personnel and I believe this structure will perfectly fit Eagles’ offense. Eagles had been done weird things in preseason, they brought Chip Kelly as the head coach, who doesn’t have any pro football experience, at any level. They brought OC Pat Shurmur, who is a west coast oriented guy, who has nothing to do to run Kelly’s offense and finally, they brought DC Billy Davis with abysmal records in past jobs. (with 49ers, he took the 30th worst defense of the league and improved to the 29th and 27th only, before getting sacked. with Cardinals, he took 17th worst defense in terms of allowed points and created 32th worst, before getting sacked...) They restructured contract of QB Michael Vick, who should’ve been done to be a starting QB long time ago, who’s a turnover prone and struggled huge to read the defenses last season. As they’ll miss WR’s Jeremy Maclin and Arrelious Benn, they’re thin at receiving deparment. And, they’ll have to learn an offensive scheme, none of the starters saw before, Chip Kelly is famous for heavy running, incredibly up-tempo offensive schemes. Two starters of offensive line are coming from season ending injuries in 2012, Michael Vick looks for his old days and they have to get used to a very different scheme. It’s sad that they’ll have hard time to torture Skins’ vulnerabilities at secondary. At the defensive end, they’ll start a completely new secondary line, they lack depth at there because of couple injuries, CB Cary Williams didn’t see any action during preseason camp and games, couple other starters, S’s Patrick Chung and Kelly Phillips have injury hit backgrounds. Things are not bright for front seven as well, they’re changing 4-3 to 3-4, which means some players to change their positions, like DE Trent Cole to become an OLB after playing all career as a defensive end, or DT Fletcher Cox to become a DE. There are too many changes with Eagles, whereas Skins kept most of the starters and structurally, they’re not changing anything. Eagles definitely needs time and I believe this’s the best play of week 1. I suspect this line to be opened such low and even dropped one point at favour of Eagles, because of Eagles’ nice preseason performances and question marks about RGIII. I don’t take preseason into account that much and and if RGIII puts up a decent performance, at least and I believe there’s nothing to prevent it, injuries wise, Skins will destroy Eagles. Redskins(-3.5) 3/10 @ 1.98 All bets are taken from pinnacle. Hope for a great NFL season to all...

[mcege]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Refs keep holding the game because of strong windy conditions, Peyton Manning is known for having same warm up routing until his very first day back in Colts, I'm eager to see how the weather conditions are gonna effect him. Joe Flacco is known for throwing accurately under such weather conditions and if the game turns into a running mayhem, then Ravens will have a small edge from there, as well. Bettingwise, I'm feel close to Ravens to cover as I told in previous posts, but I'm not touching it and not offering that, this close to kick off.

[mcege]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Well done to Broncos' backers, I'm happy as I stayed away and I have Julius Thomas in my fantasy team and my match up this week, doesn't have Peyton, or Demaryius Thomas. (Although, my initial instinct over won by miles...) I'm not gonna give a recap, or such, as it's very well deserved win by Broncos and actually the difference might have even been bigger, but also it was a game full of incredibly amateur mistakes. Only conclusion that can be taken out of this game would be the strength of Broncos' receiving corpse, as Manning-Welker connection looks incredible. Ravens obviously disappointed me, probably everybody, but I had already put a L for this game, when taking my outright bets and they're a strong franchise, who can regroup quickly. Just if you're interested with this sport and you couldn't watch this game, you must check these from tube websites, I'm sure videos for all of them (at least 1st, 3rd and 4th) will be out tomorrow: -An undrafted rookie special teamer from Ravens, hits his teammate Jacoby Jones, when Jones looking for the ball in the air after Denver's punt. And Jones left the field, couldn't return. It didn't seem too serious, but may cost him 1-2 weeks. -Ravens' TE Dallas Clark drops one of the easiest catches I've seen, at the very end of the first half. -In the second half, if I remember correctly, first drive of Broncos, Wes Welker dropped a pass, but refs called it as a completion. Ravens' Corey Graham started to jump and give signals to coach Harbaugh to challenge it, but Harbaugh didn't challenge it on time (probably, he was waiting confirmation from upstairs) and instead of a 3&out, Broncos continued their drive and scored the TD and gained the lead for the first time in game. -This is definitely the best, at the fourth quarter after the winner was already decided (the points difference was 3 possessions and there were 8-9 minutes on clock), Broncos' Danny Trevathan intercepted Flacco, went to end zone, but before stepping into it, he dropped the ball as a part of a celebration figure and as he went out of end zone as a part of his celebration, too, it's called as a touch back. So, instead of 7 points, they gave ball to Baltimore at their own 20. I'm watching this sport for 4-5 years this closely and 7-8 years occassionally, this was the stupidest thing I've ever seen. I seriously advise you to check those out. ps: I tried to edit the above post, since neither of them has betting picks, I felt I should edit it, instead of causing this topic to get crowded by couple posts without any picks. But, I couldn't do as I have 20- posts. So, sorry if you get bored with the posts without any picks. If there's such a tendency, I'll appreciate to get warned by PM. ps2: Excellent call on Julius Thomas to score first touchdown, danj2202, really close...

[AGurv]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Redskins -3 (-130) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Chargers +3.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[trips]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Great game missed the last 9 min with game starting late but it was all over by then , shocked at how easy it was for Denver in the end, Ravens Offence became very predictable in 2nd half . Cant remember Tory Smith or Rice influencing the game at all after the break ,usualy feel 3rd and long is a lost cause against Ravens, not the case last night. seemed to have no coverage when Denver got within end Zone.can only put that down to a weaker defence this year than brilliant offence by Denver, only time will tell on that one. certainly not as intimidating this year, that was a massive part of their game in past seasons. Denver impressed me very much,not just because of the win but the way the defence and offence both adjusted after looking mediocre early on to look a very decent side. I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of in running bettors got badly burned last night.

[danj2202]

I think the michael oher injury was massive and i never thought i would hear those words leave my mouth!! They were getting hardly any pressure at all and the ravens were taking the lead as it happened 14-7 bar garbage time points they scored 3 after that and there were broncos in flaccos face all the time. It was amazing the downgrade the rookie replacement was. That was how i saw it. Oh and peyton was superb as well Sent from my GT-I9505 using Tapatalk 2

[AGurv]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Mcege what was even worse then the pick 6 that turned into a touchback was deshawn Jackson doing it a couple years ago. It's one thing for a linebacker to do it, but a WR doing it is unbelievable

[mcege]

Re: NFL Week One Picks

Mcege what was even worse then the pick 6 that turned into a touchback was deshawn Jackson doing it a couple years ago. It's one thing for a linebacker to do it' date=' but a WR doing it is unbelievable[/quote'] Wow, I missed it somehow, I'm excited to watch it and laugh my ass off...

[trips]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Not exactly the same but very similar and most stupid mistake i have ever seen, and it was in the Superbowl about 20yrs ago, absolutely sick,cost me a lot of money as well,long story but i had backed something like over 10 touchdowns for massive odds. Dallas walking away with the Superbowl and 9 touchdowns scored.then Buffalo fumble somewhere near their 20 yrd line, Dallas defender picks up loose ball and is certain to score as nobody to stop him. the plonker starts celebrating walking towards the end zone with both arms outstretched, he doesn't even bother to look round to see a Buffalo wide receiver running back from a hell of a distance to knock the ball out of his outstretched hand literally right on the line for a touch back, everyone saw the funny side in Dallas team,all full of grins, i could of throttled him ,lol. i will see if it's on you tube somewhere. found it.still hurts watching it :)

[danj2202]

Mcege what was even worse then the pick 6 that turned into a touchback was deshawn Jackson doing it a couple years ago. It's one thing for a linebacker to do it' date=' but a WR doing it is unbelievable[/quote'] In particular a wide receiver who had done exactly the same in their college career as well Sent from my GT-I9505 using Tapatalk 2

[allthethings]

Re: NFL Week One Picks New Orleans v Atlanta, under 55 points I hate the pick, but 55 is a big number when it's a divisional rivalry and both teams spent the winter trying to shore up their defenses. Their two games last season finished with 58 and 36 points...if Brees doesn't throw an interception at his one-yard line, this number should be too high.

[blackcrow]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Kansas -6.5 @ 2.15 centrebet Cincinnati @ 2.20 centrebet Seattle -3.5 @ 2.05 centrebet Minnesota +3.5 @ 1.94 centrebet Green Bay +3.5 @ 2.02 centrebet

[kevshat]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Sunday TV previews: 4pts New Orleans to beat Atlanta 1.6 Boylesports Matches between these two are generally tight but Brees and Payton have a very good record against the Falcons and I think the Saints can edge this one too, particularly if Rex Ryan’s arrival as defensive co-ordinator has the desired effect. Atlanta look better in the running back department than they were last year which will help them run the clock down if they get in front but Brees will have an extra pep in his step with his main ally back so I’ll take the Saints here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atlanta-falcons--new-orleans-saints-betting-new-orleans-can-mark-sean-payton-s-return-with-a-win 4pts Green Bay (+4.5) to beat San Francisco 1.91 Ladbrokes These two sides played out a high scoring playoff match last season and this could well be the same way but this year the Packers go into this game with a more balanced offence and that could be crucial. If they can unbalance the 49er defence then you would think it will open the game up for Aaron Rodgers. They will need to stop Colin Kaepernick’s wheels but having had time to analyse where they went wrong last season that is possible. This should be one of the better games of the weekend and I like Rodgers to keep the Packers close, if not nick it. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/green-bay-packers--san-francisco-49ers-betting-packers-balanced-offense-can-keep-them-close 4pts Dallas (-3) to beat New York Giants 1.87 BetVictor Matches between these two are always high scoring and I see no real reason why this one won’t be either. I favour Dallas here though. I think in Dez Bryant they have a real match winner while in Jason Witten the Cowboys have another to get the job done offensively. New York have a few defensive issues and if DeMarcus Ware can get to Eli Manning then the Giants could struggle to keep up so I’ll take Dallas to win by at least a field goal. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/new-york-giants--dallas-cowboys-betting-dallas-can-see-off-the-giants-in-the-sunday-night-football

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: NFL Week One Picks 10pt acca @ 4.30 Bwin Panthers/Seahawks under 50.5 Jaguars/Chiefs under 48.5 49ers/Packers over 41.5 Browns/Dolphins under 45.5 10pts double @ 6.19 Skybet Peterson & Megatron both to score Ridley & Spiller both to score gl all

[kevshat]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Monday night previews: 3pts Philadelphia Eagles to beat Washington Redskins 2.65 Coral To me this match is all about the Eagles. If they play well and to the best of their ability then I think they have the personnel in their ranks to win this game. I’m not sure we’ll see as much from Washington as we did last season as teams will have had time to work them out. If the Eagles O-line can protect Vick and McCoy gets through plenty of work the Eagles are more than capable of taking this one. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/philadelphia-eagles--washington-redskins-betting-philadelphia-can-remind-everyone-of-their-talents-in-washington 4pts San Diego Chargers Under 20.5pts 1.95 Coral It is hard to see too many sides scoring freely against this Texans defence and I’m far from convinced that San Diego will be able to manage it. This looks an offense missing a bit of quality and genuine balance and I’ve never been one who has been completely convinced by Philip Rivers. Houston are good up front and they now have enough cover in the back field to make this a long night for the Chargers offense. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/houston-texans--san-diego-chargers-betting-chargers-offense-could-struggle-against-solid-texans-defence

[Backbencher]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Philadelphia @ Washington, over 51.5, @1.91 (WHill), 2/10 points Chip Kelly didn't show in the preseason what he is going to do on the offensive side. It will be something fast and with lots of scoring opportunities. The defence has looked terrible in the preseason, not used to the new schemes and RG3, Morris and Garcon should score too. I don't usually like lines over 50, but I'm making an exception here trusting Chip Kelly.

[trips]

Re: NFL Week One Picks On last seasons stats I just don't see how Washington can be opposed,especially with it being the first game of the season,seen many teams physically drained before the 4th quater this weekend, would expect Washington to have a lot of possession running the ball. Eagles will have to go to the air a lot and you would think that wont help their defence get a breather either. small interest on eagles half time- Washington full time, Hopefully close first half and Washington dominate a tired defence 2 nd half. Washinton -3.5. Evens PP Eagles half time,- Washington full time. 13/2 PP.

[danj2202]

I see points in the eagles skins game and it should be fun to watch. I think the skins have the better defensive unit but only just....anyway 10 pts houston texans -3.5 to beat san diego chargers 19/20 betfred I generally try to avoid more than a field goal on the road but the chargers offensive line is not going to be able to contain a texans defensive unit that contains reigning defensive player of the year the superhuman jj watt and the returning brian cushing, phillip rivers will spend the night running for his life and he isnt quick which will lead to hits and sacks and eventually the sadly now standard deer in the headlights look before making horrible throws and the texans will feast. Melvin ingram is done for the year on the chargers defensive unit which leaves them with little other than weddle the safety of note on the d side of the ball, i dobt see how they contain foster even if he is below 100% and we should get a look at this years "receiver opposite andre johnson" in deandre hopkins, the texaans offense can struggle to keep up against the elite scoring offenses of the league but in the chargers they are not facing one, i would prefer three points but this looks a potential statement game and a blowout for the texans to me Good luck to all who play Sent from my GT-I9505 using Tapatalk 2

[blackcrow]

Re: NFL Week One Picks

Kansas -6.5 @ 2.15 centrebet :) Cincinnati @ 2.20 centrebet :eyes Seattle -3.5 @ 2.05 centrebet :) Minnesota +3.5 @ 1.94 centrebet :eyes Green Bay +3.5 @ 2.02 centrebet :eyes

Add: Washington v Philadelphia under 49.5 @ 2.17 sportsbet Houston -6.5 @ 2.26 sportsbet Record: 2-3 (-0.80)

[valuepunter]

Re: NFL Week One Picks Don't have time for a writeup but I fully agree with mcege's post on this game, just wanted to throw this up before the game starts: Redskins -3.5 @ 1.95 - 5 units

[trips]

Re: NFL Week One Picks WOW .This new coach has worked wonders for the Eagles.cant believe they are still offering evens for Philadelphia.they look far superior in every way, greened out for a small win if they win.