Datapunter Posted October 1, 2005 Author Share Posted October 1, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) Celtic matched @ 1.27 Rangers matched @ 1.21 Anderlecht matched @ 1.25 Gretna needs to move a little bit more, will probably get matched at 1.27 Joe just added Anderlecht as one of his selections as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 1, 2005 Author Share Posted October 1, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) Gretna didn't get matched :sad , no bet for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 1, 2005 Author Share Posted October 1, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) Livingston v Celtic +2.565 Rangers v Dunfermline +1.995 Celtic won 5-0, Rangers 5-1, ... THAT'S THE SPIRIT , MORE MORE MORE. Profit at -3.41 ( that would be Loss actually :o ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 1, 2005 Author Share Posted October 1, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) and Anderlecht wins, +2.375 almost there, profit at -1.035 late addition for tomorrow: 2005-10-02 19:00 Brondby v AC Horsens @ 1.29(1.2755) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 2, 2005 Author Share Posted October 2, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) AC Milan matched @ 1.24(1.228) Real Madrid matched @ 1.29(1.2755) Brondby matched @ 1.29(1.2755) Come on guy's :hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 2, 2005 Author Share Posted October 2, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) :lol :rollin :rollin Milan heard me, they just scored as i was typing that last post. :clap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeday Posted October 2, 2005 Share Posted October 2, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) At time of writing Brondy are winning 4-1 and Real 3-0....so hopefully should be ok for the last two. I've decided that i'm going to add other selections to my bets in this system too. For example, i'd added CSKA Sofia and IFK Gothenburg this week. Prices are sometimes bigger (1.50 on CSKA Sofia), but with the thought that they should all win with ease, so taking the price restriction off, but looking for "certainties". If i find any more, i'll post up on here for people to take a closer look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 2, 2005 Author Share Posted October 2, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) yep, they heard me :lol , 3 winners AC Milan +2.28 Real Madrid +2.755 Brondby +2.755 Total staked 346.7 Total returned 353.3 Yield 1.019206731 +1.92% Winners 30 Losers 6 Strike Rate 83% Current bank 106.66 Profit/Loss +6.66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 2, 2005 Author Share Posted October 2, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2.78% ) Thanks Highlander61, It has been a slow start all summer. But no worries mate, look at the strike rate. It's been hovering around the 80's. And i've been getting an average price of 1.24. Now then if the average price remains the same, and no reason to think it won't, and the strike rate goes up to the expected +/-87% we are in for a great season. Now if only these favourites could get the message they are supposed to win :lol Bring it on Jake, Just remember, the bigger the price the smaller the price bias, and that is where the profit in this system comes from. So you'll have to compensate by getting a bigger strike rate than the one implied by the odds, and that you do by being selective. Not for me because i don't know the first thing about football really. But for someone with decent knowledge that should be possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeday Posted October 3, 2005 Share Posted October 3, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +1.92% ) True DP. I just think that occasionally there are bets out there in Europe that the first couple of books price wrong and everyone else follows. Most of the teams in this system have a very strong record and are playing teams with a significantly weaker record. If i gave you a team that last year had a record in the league of 25-4-1 (thats 25 wins out of 30) and this year were already 5-1-0, and they were playing a team in the bottom four of the league, how would you price it up. Last year:- Celtic 27-2-4 (81% success) Rangers 25-6-2 (76% success) AC Milan 23-10-5 (61% success) Brondby 20-9-4 (61% success) CSKA Sofia 25-4-1 (83% success) - yet you could get 1.50 for CSKA Sofia's latest game.... I basically use the same criteria throughout all European leagues and end up with virtually the same selections that Joe turns up with...but occasionally there is a real suprise in there...and at 1.50 its a nice suprise. I will post anymore that i find like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 7, 2005 Author Share Posted October 7, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +1.92% ) here we go with the world cup 2005-10-08 17:00 Slovakia v Estonia @ 1.30 2005-10-08 17:00 England v Austria @ 1.26 2005-10-08 17:00 Russia v Luxembourg @ 1.03 2005-10-08 20:00 Bosnia v San Marino @ 1.05 2005-10-08 20:10 Israel v Faroe Island @ 1.10 2005-10-08 20:15 Norway v Moldova @ 1.23 2005-10-10 00:10 Argentina v Peru @ 1.33 bit optimistic on some prices but i'll see how the markets go tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 8, 2005 Author Share Posted October 8, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +1.92% ) Slovakia @ 1.31 matched England @ 1.24 matched no match on russia, price now down to 1.02 i'm not going to bother, no bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 8, 2005 Author Share Posted October 8, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +1.92% ) 2 winners there and matched prices are : Bosnia @ 1.05 Israel @ 1.09 Norway @ 1.23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 8, 2005 Author Share Posted October 8, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +1.92% ) all winners, just lovely, and a new high bank. Slovakia +2.945 England +2.280 Bosnia +0.475 Israel +0.855 Norway +2.185 Total staked 396.667 Total returned 412.065 Yield 1.038819328 3.88% Winners 35 Losers 6 Strike Rate 85% Current bank 115.398 Profit/Loss 15.398 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 9, 2005 Author Share Posted October 9, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) Argentine matched at 1.31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ Posted October 9, 2005 Share Posted October 9, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) It's looking good DP, well done i'm doing something very similer this season, but I'm now 180+ bets in, with a yield of only 0.75% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 10, 2005 Author Share Posted October 10, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) thanks foolsgold, looks like we finally have lift off, it may be a low risk system but its also a high patience system :lol Argentina a winner + 2.945 Total staked 406.6666667 Total returned 425.01 Yield 1.045106557 4.51% Winners 36 Losers 6 Strike Rate 86% Current bank 118.3433333 Profit/Loss 18.34333333 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 11, 2005 Author Share Posted October 11, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) internationals, here we go then 2005-10-12 02:00 USA v Panama @ 1.25 2005-10-12 02:30 Brazil v Venezuela @ 1.19 2005-10-12 18:00 Albania v Turkey @ 1.23 2005-10-12 18:00 Greece v Georgia @ 1.27 2005-10-12 18:00 Kazakhstan v Denmark @ 1.19 2005-10-12 19:30 Netherlands v FYR Mac @ 1.20 2005-10-12 19:30 Sweden v Iceland @ 1.15 2005-10-12 20:15 Luxembourg v Estonia @ 1.34 2005-10-12 20:30 Italy v Moldova @ 1.22 also possible, but i tend to let the really short priced ones go, 2005-10-12 20:45 France v Cyprus @ 1.04 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 11, 2005 Author Share Posted October 11, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) almost missed these crackers 2005-10-12 20:30 San Marino v Spain @ 1.03 ( no bet for me ) 2005-10-12 20:30 Portugal v Latvia @ 1.33 Anyone know for sure when Brazil and USA are playing, its either in a few hours or over 24 hours ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 11, 2005 Author Share Posted October 11, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) right, according to the Fifa site its the 13th at 1:30 UK time, that makes it tomorrow night. ( it will still be the 12th in south america ) :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 12, 2005 Author Share Posted October 12, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) matches at lunchtime 2005-10-12 18:00 Albania v Turkey @ 1.23 matched, price has gone to 1.27 :wall 2005-10-12 18:00 Greece v Georgia @ 1.27 2/3 matched at 1.28 2005-10-12 18:00 Kazakhstan v Denmark @ 1.19 unmatched, still looking for 1.19 2005-10-12 19:30 Netherlands v FYR Mac @ 1.20 unmatched, price now at 1.18 2005-10-12 19:30 Sweden v Iceland @ 1.15 2/3 matched at 1.16 2005-10-12 20:15 Luxembourg v Estonia @ 1.34 2/3 matched at 1.34 2005-10-12 20:30 Italy v Moldova @ 1.22 matched at 1.22 , price gone to 1.25 2005-10-12 20:30 Portugal v Latvia @ 1.33 unmatched, price now at 1.34 lokking for 1.35 2005-10-13 02:00 USA v Panama @ 1.25 1/2 matched at 1.25 2005-10-13 02:30 Brazil v Venezuela @ 1.19 2/3 matched at 1.20 always nice to use the entire bank :D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dennis60 Posted October 12, 2005 Share Posted October 12, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) Totesport didn't take too kindly to being hit on the 15/9 UEFA Cup ties. Just discovered that my limits for Premiership matches are now 10% of what they were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 12, 2005 Author Share Posted October 12, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) 2005-10-12 18:00 Albania v Turkey @ 1.23 matched 2005-10-12 18:00 Greece v Georgia @ 1.28 matched 2005-10-12 19:30 Sweden v Iceland @ 1.16 matched 2005-10-12 20:15 Luxembourg v Estonia @ 1.34 matched 2005-10-12 20:30 Italy v Moldova @ 1.22 matched 2005-10-13 02:00 USA v Panama @ 1.25 matched 2005-10-12 20:30 Portugal v Latvia @ 1.33 unmatched, price now at 1.32 looking for 1.34 2005-10-13 02:30 Brazil v Venezuela @ 1.19 2/3 matched at 1.20 price for Denmark has suddenly dropped from 1.18 to 1.14, i guess i missed something, goint to try and get a good price in-running otherwise no bet 2005-10-12 18:00 Kazakhstan v Denmark @ 1.19 price for holland dropped to 1.15 now, goint to hold out for 1.17 otherwise no bet 2005-10-12 19:30 Netherlands v FYR Mac @ 1.20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 12, 2005 Author Share Posted October 12, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) well denmark went in-running and was suspended after 2 minutes, has not come back in-play, so no bet on that one meanwhile Brazil completely matched and Greece in the lead 1-0 :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 12, 2005 Author Share Posted October 12, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) and no bet on holland and Portugal matched at 1.34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 12, 2005 Author Share Posted October 12, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) well well, lucky basterd i am again, missed the loser on Holland, so that's why it's been so quit all evening :rollin the rest all winners (with Bolivia and USA to come). Profit is now at 33.168 points :nana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris49 Posted October 13, 2005 Share Posted October 13, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) Nice one Datapunter as you know I bet this way but decided to leave the games alone tonight. Always look in on your thread hoping that things are well and was gutted about Holland expecting them to have messed up your night. Thankfully you got away with it.:clap Well done onwards and upwards.:drums :drums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepBlueDevilFish Posted October 13, 2005 Share Posted October 13, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) Bad luck with Bolivia DP but well done swerving the Dutch. Still going well ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted October 13, 2005 Author Share Posted October 13, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +3.88% ) Dennis, sorry to hear that, luckily there's plenty more places to bet. Chris49, thanks, always nice to get a winning streak, even if it is with a bit of luck :lol DBDF, my apologies , i have no idea why i typed Bolivia, i meant Brazil :loon ( see earlier in the thread ), which means....... 2 more WINNERS Brazil +1.805 USA +2.375 Total staked 486.6666667 Total returned 524.01 Yield 1.076732877 7.67% Winners 44 Losers 6 Strike Rate 88% Current bank 137.3433333 Profit/Loss 37.34333333 At this point i would like to make it absolutely clear to newcomers that i have been quite lucky in getting this winning streak ! The strike rate of 88% is what's expected, but the yield is very high, i would normally expect about 4 - 5 % , so please take this into consideration if you descide to hop on board at this point. Joe has been less fortunate and is currently on a yield of 0.70% after 136 bets and a strike rate of 83%, still in profit thou ! Just goes to show this really is a system to look at in a long term context. And now... :nana :beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepBlueDevilFish Posted October 13, 2005 Share Posted October 13, 2005 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +7.67% ) Even better then DP. I thought Bolivia was a very odd choice for this system. Away to Peru at altitude is never going to be an odds on shot. Should have checked earlier in the thread to see you mean't Brazil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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