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League 1 - Oct 27-29


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[TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617]

[TR] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 27 October 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Brentford v Hartlepool United (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.66[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.9[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]6[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]102.31 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Bury v Walsall (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]102.75 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Carlisle United v AFC Bournemouth (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.8[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.62[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]103.22 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Crawley Town v Oldham Athletic (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.33[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]100.85 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Crewe Alexandra v Yeovil Town (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.35[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]103.71 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Leyton Orient v Coventry City (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.95[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]102.66 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Notts County v Doncaster Rovers (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.16[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]102.37 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Scunthorpe United v Milton Keynes Dons (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.25[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.3[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]103.66 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Shrewsbury Town v Colchester United (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.37[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.25[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]102.29 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Stevenage v Swindon Town (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.62[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.35[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.95[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]101.84 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Tranmere Rovers v Preston North End (15:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.2[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]99.90 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TH] [/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Monday 29 October 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=align: center]maximize.gif[/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Sheffield United v Portsmouth (19:45 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]1.83[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.75[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]102.26 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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I'll admit my bet on Pompey + 0.25 was a poor call midweek as we went down 2-1. I think because they went ahead within the first fifth teen minutes the onus was on us to attack a lot more, which resulted in us creating slightly more than Stevenage. We conceded two poor goals again, which is worrying because we have a fairly experienced centre back pairing. Lee Williamson started at right back again, which is baffling to me, as surely he's much more adept at a midfield place. I think Sheffield United do struggle to score, but they don't concede many either. For that reason it may be one to leave, or bet in play as whomever scores first will likely go on to take all three points. Are we justified at almost five? Probably not, but you just couldn't trust our defence. But then again, they may have an easier time of it against a shot shy Sheffield United. Too many ifs and buts for my liking. I suppose this could be the one game where we go under 2.5 goals.

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29

I'll admit my bet on Pompey + 0.25 was a poor call midweek as we went down 2-1. I think because they went ahead within the first fifth teen minutes the onus was on us to attack a lot more, which resulted in us creating slightly more than Stevenage. We conceded two poor goals again, which is worrying because we have a fairly experienced centre back pairing. Led Williamson started at right back again, which is baffling to me, as surely he's much more adept at a midfield place. I think Sheffield United do struggle to score, but they don't concede many either. For that reason it may be one to leave, or bet in play as whomever scores first will likely go on to take all three points. Are we justified at almost five? Probably not, but you just couldn't trust our defence. But then again, they may have an easier time of it against a shot shy Sheffield United. Too many ifs and buts for my liking. I suppose this could be the one game where we go under 2.5 goals.
I thought about the same bet here as the Blades are tough to beat in their defence. But by all accounts, their offense is struggling. They have 6-7 strikers in their team. Yesterday they beat Walsall 1-0 thanks to a goal after 14 minutes. But that goal came from a penalty as Walsall got a straight red card for that foul. So Walsall were down to 10 men for 75 minutes plus add-ons, but Sheffield were unable to score a second goal.
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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 A bit early this one but I've taken Stevenage because the odds offered by Betvictor are just too big to refuse. The true odds I work with are 1.96 and I've just taken 2.625.They've won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. If we look more into those results we can see they won away at Notts County and MK Dons and also Scunthorpe and and an improved Portsmouth at home. Their one defeat came away at Colchester who are going well with 4 wins from their last 5 so no disgrace there. Swindon are starting to struggle with just 1 win 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5.That 1 win came away at the then bottom club Bury. On top of this in the Swindon Advertiser Di Canio is talking of his fears of relegation due to the clubs failure to lift the transfer embargo hanging over it and at the moment according to him it's starting to take it's toll on the players. Stevenage v Swindon 2.625 Betvictor 10 units

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 What about Brentford-Hartlepool game.Brentford is one of the strongest home playing sides while Hartlepool are the worst visitors.Brentford beat Coventry at home 2 in midweek while at the same time Hartlepool lost again away 2:1 to Bury and they have lost 5 of their last 6 visits scoring 4 against 14 and those loses weren't against top teams.Before midweek games the odds for home win were 1.8 with bet365 now they are 1.53 and dropping maybe.

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 I wanted to add to my post last night about Swindon having a full back crisis but could I find where I read it could I heckers like.Piece found this morning and it appears Nathan Thompson faces several weeks on the sidelines and Federico Bessone has been ruled out for a month after both full-backs picked up knocks over the course of the past week.Also worth a mention that Di Canio is bemoaning the fact that they haven't got a striker that can score many goals. If true the fact that only Sheff Utd and MK Dons have conceded less goals than Stevenage can only give more confidence. Good Luck.

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29

What about Brentford-Hartlepool game.Brentford is one of the strongest home playing sides while Hartlepool are the worst visitors.Brentford beat Coventry at home 2 in midweek while at the same time Hartlepool lost again away 2:1 to Bury and they have lost 5 of their last 6 visits scoring 4 against 14 and those loses weren't against top teams.Before midweek games the odds for home win were 1.8 with bet365 now they are 1.53 and dropping maybe.
I agree with you Simeon that on paper Brentford shouldn't have too many problems beating Hartlepool.The only thing that puts me off is their true odds are 1.79 and you can only get 1.62 which is a bit skinny for me. Also they've just sacked the manager which could result in an upturn of their performances in the short term. Good Luck.
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What about Brentford-Hartlepool game.Brentford is one of the strongest home playing sides while Hartlepool are the worst visitors.Brentford beat Coventry at home 2 in midweek while at the same time Hartlepool lost again away 2:1 to Bury and they have lost 5 of their last 6 visits scoring 4 against 14 and those loses weren't against top teams.Before midweek games the odds for home win were 1.8 with bet365 now they are 1.53 and dropping maybe.
Tbh I wouldn't class Brentford as one of the strongest home teams.... Hartlepool are in poor form right and losing to Bury was easily the final straw, so you can't really make a case for Hartlepool to get anything. But IMO the fact Hartlepool are so poor has already been taken into account, donuts not one for me :ok
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Bury V Walsall Under 2.5 goals @ 2 - Stan James. Bury have had a couple of tight games recently and have been much improved in those games. A great win midweek against a poor Hartlepool side. I think here though they will probably have a slighter tougher proposition. I do fancy them to get at least a point, but if they do win I expect it to be a tight one. Maybe 1-0, or 1-1. Walsall aren't the best out there but they are solid enough to suggest they can keep things as right as Bury will. Bury have been playing with a lot more confidence recently so I think both teams will cancel each other out a bit.

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I'll admit my bet on Pompey + 0.25 was a poor call midweek as we went down 2-1. I think because they went ahead within the first fifth teen minutes the onus was on us to attack a lot more, which resulted in us creating slightly more than Stevenage. We conceded two poor goals again, which is worrying because we have a fairly experienced centre back pairing. Led Williamson started at right back again, which is baffling to me, as surely he's much more adept at a midfield place. I think Sheffield United do struggle to score, but they don't concede many either. For that reason it may be one to leave, or bet in play as whomever scores first will likely go on to take all three points. Are we justified at almost five? Probably not, but you just couldn't trust our defence. But then again, they may have an easier time of it against a shot shy Sheffield United. Too many ifs and buts for my liking. I suppose this could be the one game where we go under 2.5 goals.
Worth noting as well that midfielder Brian Howard is out suspended for the game against Sheffield United on Monday. Big miss IMO.
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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29

Bury V Walsall Under 2.5 goals @ 2 - Stan James. Bury have had a couple of tight games recently and have been much improved in those games. A great win midweek against a poor Hartlepool side. I think here though they will probably have a slighter tougher proposition. I do fancy them to get at least a point, but if they do win I expect it to be a tight one. Maybe 1-0, or 1-1. Walsall aren't the best out there but they are solid enough to suggest they can keep things as right as Bury will. Bury have been playing with a lot more confidence recently so I think both teams will cancel each other out a bit.
First post so I'll try not to crucify myself. I am a Walsall fan and thought it best I gave some input. This season we are much improved commpared to the last couple, our style of play has changed. Long gone is the channel and long ball to a target man, we've gone 100% total football. The issue for us at the moment is, we can create many, many chances but can't put them in the net and then at the other end we've only kept 1 clean sheet so we're a little bit leaky at the back. We've lost 5 of the last 6, but deserved 5 or 6 points from thoose games, however I think our confidence may have taken a hit and with Bury winning their first game on Tuesday night, it might turn out to be one of thoose 'london bus' situations. I fancy a bit of a wild scoreline, 3-2 or 2-2 something along thoose lines. Over 2.5 goals/Bury or Draw might be a good bet. It could go eitherway, but I'm leaning towards a home win.
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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 Paolos at it again surprised he cant make do with the 342444 players he has already signed. "People say if you are a good manager you have to prove your quality,(At Crewe on) Tuesday I proved it. I dominated the game without five players, I dominated the game, I created 17 clear chances, I was 45 minutes in the opponents’ box but you can’t go over that. You are not God. “I know someone wants to give me God quality, I have to disappoint him. I am a very, very good manager - one of the best because in the last three games with many injuries I dominated three games. Worth reading this article and then the first reader comment below it. Whoever made that comment Paolo would give them a serious slap. http://www.swindonadvertiser.co.uk/sport/sportlatest/10008769.Di_Canio_yearns_for_options_like_Tranmere/

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Crewe - 0.25 @ 2.10 - bet365 V Yeovil. Another one I like the look of is Crewe at home to Yeovil. I just think Yeovil are generally too short, when you take into account the away factor, I don't believe they should be priced at three or under away to a Crewe side that certainly have goals in them. Yeovil for me are still one of the worst sides in League One. They struggled past a ten man Bury side recently, and when we played them we dominated them, in what was probably our best performance of the season. Yeovil did however have a pretty fine win away to Shrewsbury midweek, and all credit should go to them for that. But when that win was against a pretty shot shy Shrewsbury it tells a different story. Especially as Shrewsbury look like certain relegation fodder to me. What I like here is that Yeovil do concede a fair few. They never look like keeping a clean sheet, and now come up against a Crewe side that know where the back of the net is. Tbh I was expecting around 2.2 on the straight win, so I'm surprised to see the bookies almost favouring an away win here. I don't think Crewe are as bad as their league position suggests.

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Worth noting as well that midfielder Brian Howard is out suspended for the game against Sheffield United on Monday. Big miss IMO.
And on top of this striker Wes Thomas has been recalled by Bournemouth. That is also big news as he's been in great form for us. A replacement is hoping to be signed before Monday night.
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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 Yeah Stevenage look a good bet here. Paolo is prioritizing the Aston Villa league cup game on tuesday so possibly he could rest 4 or 5 players in my opinion. Roberts, Ferry, Miller all could be rested even maybe Ritchie though he only played 40 minutes against Crewe. http://www.swindonadvertiser.co.uk/sport/10008748.Villa_is_the_priority__not_Stevenage___says_Di_Canio/?ref=mr Wouldnt even be that shocked if Paolo made 11 changes he is such a nutter anything is possible.

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 Personally think that bournemouth have a big chance away at carlisle. They are in a totally false position at the moment and are set to climb. Carlisle are near the bottom of the home form table and have one of the leakiest defences in the division. Rejuvenated under their new manager,Bournemouth got a great draw at notts co in midweek (a county side that had won at carlisle 4-0 on the saturday) they have recalled in form wes thomas from loan at pompey to add to their goal power. Would like a slightly better price but will still play at 13/8. I also think walsall should beat bury. I watched them on the tv against shrewsbury and bar the finishing they played a great game. They also played away at sheffield united with 10 men for 75 minutes and only lost 0-1. They are due a change of fortune and bury seem perfect opposition. Bury scraped their first win of the season in midweek thanks to rock bottom hartlepool missing a late penalty. Walsall go there with a near full strength squad and if they can convert some of the chances they create they will be worth a shout.

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 Tranmere Rovers v Preston NE over 2.5 at 1.7 @ Sportingbet Tranmere has lost the last 2 games, so the home win doesn't look so sure. Maybe it was just a mini slump, maybe they will bounce back this weekend. They have gone over in 4 out of last 5 games and 9 out of the 14 played so far. Preston NE has also gone over in 9 out of 14 games

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 Crawley v Oldham Crawley at 2.00 @ Sportingbet Crawley has won 5 games out of 7 at home, while Oldham has 3 defeats on the road, including their latest match at Carlisle, a win at Portsmouth at the beginning of the season when Portsmouth weren't playing too well, a win at Crewe and a draw at Sheffield Utd. Does anyone know of any important missing players for this game?

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 England League One- 27th of October- 16.00 CET- Stevenage-Swindon AH0 home @1.88 4/10 pinnacle Stevenage are on a decent run, currently being on the second spot of the table. A victory could lift them to the first spot as long as Tranmere don't emerge victorious from their match. But the most important fact that leads me to this bet is that Swindon's coach di Canio said he doen's take this match very seriously as the cup match against Aston Villa on tuesday is much more important. THey have been handed a transfer embargo because of over spending. AS di Canio feels the squad is too thin, he wants to add some players on loan, but he can't as long as the embargo goes on. Therefore he wants to beat Aston Villa to get some money (the money you get for achieving the next round) to cancel the embargo. He could rest a few players here. Williams (2 goals/2 assists) and Navarro, both important, are out. Stevenage have good chances to win here. GL

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 The thing with Swindon is they have a core squad of 21 players, but they are all capable League One players, therefore "resting" players isn't really going to be an issue here. I do think the League Cup is going to be an obvious distraction though regardless of Paolo's comments, which only adds further weight to the argument. Even without the League Cup and all the pre-match comments I'd think Stevenage would be a strong bet! Something like Swindon's last 10 games have all been against teams in the bottom half of the table, and they've not won in the last three! Another thing to remember is Swindon have a bit of a giant killing reputation in cups under Di Canio (Wigan, Bristol City, Burnley, Stoke to name a few) and every time this has happened they have performed poorly in the game afterwards. Might be worth opposing them at next weekend or on Tuesday after at home to Sheff Utd!

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29

England League One- 27th of October- 16.00 CET- Stevenage-Swindon AH0 home @1.88 4/10 pinnacle Stevenage are on a decent run, currently being on the second spot of the table. A victory could lift them to the first spot as long as Tranmere don't emerge victorious from their match. But the most important fact that leads me to this bet is that Swindon's coach di Canio said he doen's take this match very seriously as the cup match against Aston Villa on tuesday is much more important. THey have been handed a transfer embargo because of over spending. AS di Canio feels the squad is too thin, he wants to add some players on loan, but he can't as long as the embargo goes on. Therefore he wants to beat Aston Villa to get some money (the money you get for achieving the next round) to cancel the embargo. He could rest a few players here. Williams (2 goals/2 assists) and Navarro, both important, are out. Stevenage have good chances to win here. GL
Swindon won easily, wrong info given by di Canio as he played his best available squad
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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 4pts Portsmouth (+0.75) vs Sheff Utd 1.89 BetVictor Sheffield United’s unbeaten record is impressive but I’m sure everyone involved would rather have more wins than the seven wins and seven draws that they have. Portsmouth’s defeat to Stevenage last time out ended a run of four wins in five matches so they’ve been in fairly decent form themselves and with Sheffield United’s liking for a draw I see no reason why the financially troubled club can’t come away from South Yorkshire with a result of some kind here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/sheffield-united-vs-portsmouth-betting-troubled-portsmouth-can-come-away-from-sheffield-united-with-a-result

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Re: League 1 - Oct 27-29 I think Jase has it right that we (Blades) don't have many goals in us, and there's a good chance that one goal will be sufficient to win this one. Certainly, this season our defence has rarely been troubled, especially at home, with most of them coming from a rare counter-attack or a set piece. Under 2.5 could be a good shout here, but I think there are a few things to think about before placing any bets. Against Walsall last weekend we were dire. Dave Kitson is a clever player and single-handedly won us the game by coaxing the Walsall defender into murdering him in the box when he could have easily scored, he got a red-card and we got a penalty. 1 - 0 and game over. Walsall never looked like scoring again. However, after the game most Blades fans couldn't believe the lack of any sort of goal threat that we had shown for the final 75 minutes. As has been outlined previously, we have many strikers and finished the game with 4 on the field. This issue about the lack of shots and ability to break teams down at home has been questioned since our 5 - 2 victory over Bournemouth and I fully believe that it will have to be acted on sooner rather then later. It really wouldn't surprise me to see plenty of shots in this game as the pressure on Danny Wilson to find a new approach to our style of play at home has really mounted. On radio Sheffield after the game even he had to concede that, apart from the result, there was nothing really positive to take out of the game. It's the first time he's really acknowledged this so perhaps we'll see something different against Pompey. Another thing to think about is Portsmouth's abysmal record at Bramall Lane. I think that we have one of our best records against them at home in the League in our history as a club, and they haven't won here for years and years. To be honest, I think this is the reasoning behind the long odds on both a draw and a Portsmouth win for most bookies. Now I don't think that we will lose here tonight, but I certainly think a draw is possible. In honesty, I'm not going to touch this game as I do think our games at home are rather unpredictable. It could easily be 0 - 0 as easily as it could be 3 - 2 if Wilson can answer those critical of our style of play. In summary, if you were thinking of a bet I'd probably do it in-play. If Portsmouth score first then I wouldn't be surprised to see them go on and get all three points. Whilst you are watching if you see that we are particularly weak in attack then the chances are that will not change throughout the game. The odds of Kitson to score first are not particularly appealing, with 5.8 on Betfair, and if they were closer to 7 I would think about putting some small stakes on that. It's his former club and he will be willing to impress, as he has done since arriving in the Summer. He's really getting better game-by-game so I think the goals will soon start to come.

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Another factor is Lee Williamson's first game back at Brammal Lane.... I'd expect him to return to a midfield berth in the absence of Brian Howard as we're as bad defensively with or without him there. Dumbuya should come back in at right back. With Lee Williamson yet to score for us and probably looking to get one over United it's another wildcard factor here. Dave Kitson playing against us for the first time since he left is the other one, as pointed out above. Personally I don't rate him as he never earned his money for us and was about as much a goal threat as a small child. But the chances are he'll be fired up for the occasion, with it being a TV game too.

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Portsmouth + 2 Asian Corner Handicap @ 1.9 - bet365. Feel this is a decent bet here as I can see us chasing the game at some point, simply because I don't trust our defence. We usually play pretty offensive football and do fair well on corners. Sheffield United have had a couple of games where they've done well on corners, but there have been others where they've recorded small amounts of corners.

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