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BBOTD Friday 27th of January


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*Rose Of The Moon - Huntingdon 3:10* Going for the Pipe horse here who raced lazily last time out and blinkers are now reached for for the first time. Won well on first run of the season back in November at Uttoxeter but disappointed last time out at odds-on when ran in snatches and never really got going. The blinkers should keep the horse focused and it runs off a very leniant mark of 122, last handicap it ran off 128, plus Conor O Farrell takes off a further 3 pounds. The horse is still lightly raced and had good form back in 2010 when beating Koup De Canon who has been impressive this season. Should have a good chance. *1 Point WIN @ 4/1 Betfred BOG*

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January AP made his return from injury yesterday and came home 2nd in the bumper, he make the trip today just for the two rides. I'll stick with him in the last race of the day, the Jonjo trained 5yr old was a winner back in Nov be it a bumber race but this one looks to have been put aside. Its his first time over the sticks and hopefully the champ can get back on the score sheet. Huntingdon 4:10 - Favoured Nation. 1pt win @ SP

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January

1.20 Lingfield Welsh Inlet is just 1 of a few front runners in this field that should ensure a good gallop for the hold up performers to come to fore especially around here. He didnt get home last time out over 6f and should appreciate this return to 5f but has a poor strike rate and no easy task to dominate here. Sherjawy has dropped a long way in the weights and although has shaped a little better than recent finishing positions suggest he certainly doesnt stand out as a winner waiting to happen and probably for another day especially with the yard struggling for winners at the moment. Spic N Span is another front runner who appears here on the back of a 123 day absence and will probably need the run and doesnt look particularly well treated on his polytrack form (most winning form comes around Southwell on the fibresand) Dorothys Dancing won twice around here in early 2011 in 6 runner fields has since been rather disappointing and although not beaten far last 3 starts again probably high enough in the handicap still 2lb higher than last win. Chjimes is one of the underperformers of the AW season so far, usually wins his fair share with all his 10 AW wins coming around here, has dropped 8lb below last winning mark and has been shaping a little better recently but that has been over 6f and last few starts over 5f recently have suggested age has caught up with him being rather outpaced and may need 6f these days. Cliffords Reprieve is a confident selection, he has been difficult to win with but did get off the mark in a weak maiden at Kempton over this tripped, shaped very well back in handicap around here over CD on penultimate start perhaps snatched up slightly when gathering pace but finished with some effect, the form of that race has worked out very well the 2nd winning since off same mark, similar story at Kempton early in the week getting going too late but finishing with some effect in a race where the winner made all and 2nd chased leader so did best of those held up and has sound claims in a race where most have something to prove. 1pts win Cliffords Reprieve 3/1

>Bet365

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 7.10 Wolverhampton - Rosewood Lad - He has a definite liking for this course and distance with a total five runs here at Wolverhampton, resulting in three 1st's and two 2nd's. He won last time out and has been raised 2lb's only for that win and looks sure to go well again today with conditions in his favour. A line through Exemplary shows he possibly holds Crunched and Nezhenka at the weights. Last time out winning jockey is aboard again today and trainer/jockey combo here at Wolverhampton is running to 5 wins and 2 places from 18 runners to a level stake profit of 8.9pts. Dangers look to be Crunched, Three White Socks, Priceless Art, Not Til Monday and Nezhenka. Two look to be held at the weights (Crunched and Nezhenka). Three White Socks is in excellent form, but seems best at Southwell. Not Til Monday has previously finished ahead of Rosewood Lad, but may be better on turf while Priceless Art's trainer is firing at the moment with 8 wins and 2 places from 20, but Priceles Art's form looks better over shorter.

7.10 Wolverhampton: Rosewood Lad - 1pt win @ 11/2 Ladbrokes (BOG)

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 2.10 hunt Turbo du ranch is into a hcap for the 1st time and upped in trip. the trainer states he wanted to keep him in novice company due to his mark but has had a change of heart. However, he does state he will realy improve for the trip. He has a henderson horse to beat that won at the wk end and doesnt get a penalty as it was a conditional riders race. The trainer likes feily on his horses when he fancies one and i have a feeling this one maybe smashed tomorrow. TURBO DU RANCH 1pt win @ 9/2 pp

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 3.10 Huntingdon Dorset Square 1pt win 20/1 Bet365 Backed this horse last time out where he was so disappointing in a Pertemps Qualifier at Warwick where he finished tailed off and 15th of 16. It is very possible that the switch from Willie Mullins may be the reason for his poor run but I am willing to give him one more chance. On his last run for Willie Mullins he ran a cracker to win a competitive handicap at Cheltenham over this trip where he had Oscargo in behind in 3rd. That was a listed contest and Dorset Square is actually 1lb better off in the weights today, even taking into account Harry Derham’s 7lb claim. If Dorset Square can get back to that form then he would have a good chance of taking this seeing as Oscargo has been made the short priced favourite for the race. He does have to get over that very poor run but that was his first run for his new trainer and hopefully Sarah Humphrey will have him well prepared for this. They are making a pretty quick reappearance with the horse so it is possibly that connections feel they had him in very good order but he just had an off day. Sarah Humphrey is a good trainer but is not in the best of form at the moment. A lot of her horses are getting beat by long distances but I am hoping Dorset Square can kick-start a good run of form for the stable. Dougie Costello has had 4 recent winners and is showing a good level stakes profit in the last 14 days so confidence will be high with him. There are plenty of dangers in this race and Oscargo is the obvious starting point. He unseated last time out but was a very easy winner the time before that. Theologist could run a big race and the yard have had a similar type follow up today in Bellflower Boy. I think he is progressive and the blinkers seem to have made a difference with him. Sir Kezbaah returns from a break but was in great form last year winning his last 2 races. The only other one I am interested in is the top weight Benny Be Good, who goes for a combination in form. He is more than capable of carrying a big weight to victory but he may just find one or two too good.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 7.10 Wolverhampton Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Handicap Cl4 2m119y ROSEWOOD LAD @ 11/2 bog (Ladbrokes) Rosewood Lad stands a very solid chance in this race in my opinion. This 5yo trained by Moore has a cracking record over C&D and is in very good form off a good mark and with one of the best jockeys around on AW on board. Rosewood Lad raced 5 times over C&D in the last 11 months winning 3 times and finishing close second in the other two. His last run was over C&D three weeks ago and with Luke Morris on board the horse won in very good style beating Mark Johnston's Exemplary that won next time out and a few of today's rivals behind. It's been upped just 2lb and so the mark looks still pretty good especially because the way he won lto was very interesting. He came off the pace quickening very well in the last 100 yards and in a race raced at a very slow pace surely the closers weren't helped at all. Still Rosewood Lad mowed down rivals to get on top at the finish. It is a strong stayer and as written above it would have been better served by a stronger test something that should be at least more possible today. Follow The Flag, Nezhenka, Sam Lord, Priceless Art all look off difficult marks both at their best and with their current form. Crunched had a nice finish lto behind Exemplary but that line puts him still well behind Rosewood Lad. Penangdouble O One never raced here and is back on AW after 5 months with poor efforts over hurdles of late. Three White Socks is a dark horse as he is well treated at weights with his revised mark but is back after 239 days and his two wins came on Fibresand (never raced on Polytrack). Not Til Monday is the main rival of my selection and market leader atm with Keiren Fallon on board. This Jenkins-trained horse is back on flat after 86 days but won over hurdles on New Year's DAy. This horse knows how to win as his record is pretty impressive (6 wins in 12 races in the last 12 months) but his 3 efforts on AW (even if snatching two seconds) were not that good and this mark of 72 looks big enough even if Fallon goes very well with him since he rode Not Til Monday to two wins last Spring on flat (last off a 2lb lower mark which is his highest ever winning mark). Westlin' Winds comes back on flat after 214 days and the last effort over hurdles of this son of Montjeu was pretty good. Still he never showed anything on flat (never better than 4th on AW) but with 5lb claim of Raul Da Silva and the new training it could be a surprise. C P Joe has won twice this winter, once over hurdle and once in a selling stakes at Southwell over 12f and in the other races has always been in the frame or very close. Visor helped him (confirmed today) and could make a good effort today too but this is a huge step up in grade even with his featherweight. So a lot of pros and cons for his rivals but overall less value than this juicy 11/4 for the only true C&D specialist Rosewood Lad that could score again over his beloved C&D even off a 2lb higher mark than lto.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 3:00 Fontwell - Sir Du Bearn - Back A tad disappointing that he was only 13th out of 18 lto but that his seasonal reappearance after a long break and he'll no doubt have come on a ton for that. He's achieved far more than any of today's opposition and he's going to justifiably be a short price here. Looks to have taken well to fences and it would be disappointing if he couldn't win this 1pt win @ SP

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January Wolv 7.30 - Rosewood Lad - win at 11/2 Laddies Loves it round here with 3 CD wins, won last time out, has won in this class, only gone up 2 lbs, recorded a decent speed fig. The current fave is Not til Monday who's won a couple of handicap hurdles this season but he has no course form and his flat wins have come on good to firm ground. A bigger danger could be Nezhenka who finished a couple of lengths behind Rosewood Lad last time here and was hampered in the final furlong. Happy to take him on though as he's yet to get his head in front in handicap company

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 6:10 Wolverhampton - Marvo Straight 5th time out blinkered for this 8yo, who I believe has a wonderful chance today. He's running 1.5 furlongs less than LTO and has a fresh jockey, in Joe Fanning, sitting in the saddle. 6lbs less to carry. Only 6 winners in the last 100 AW runners for the trainer, but a decent place strike rate. EW

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January

Wolv 7.30 - Rosewood Lad - win at 11/2 Laddies Loves it round here with 3 CD wins, won last time out, has won in this class, only gone up 2 lbs, recorded a decent speed fig. The current fave is Not til Monday who's won a couple of handicap hurdles this season but he has no course form and his flat wins have come on good to firm ground. A bigger danger could be Nezhenka who finished a couple of lengths behind Rosewood Lad last time here and was hampered in the final furlong. Happy to take him on though as he's yet to get his head in front in handicap company
That race is at 7.10..........
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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 540 Wolverhampton – Could It Be Magic – EW – 6/1 BOG - Bet 365 Pulled out on Sunday when my BBOTD, this is the absolute definition of a 'pack' horse! So far, he will basically run to near the front of a group but not lead or break away. Having watched countless replays, I am sure he could compete off a mark of 80 and 60 and still finish in the same place!! 7f on the AW have produced his best results and he has gone well after a break on more than one occasion. Placed 60% of the time and 67% of the time over 7f on the AW I am giving him a chance to improve for the new stable. Has also been gelded and although this would in no way encourage me to run any quicker it does work for horses sometimes! Could easily finish out the back but with the oh so subtle booking of Luke Morris(first ride for the stable) I’m compelled to get involved despite the apparent poor form of the stable(Jackie Love 3rd Wednesday) Placed off a mark of 72 more than once - gets in off 64 today – well weighted but I think it's the horses attitude more than anything else that stops it winning.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 3.30 Fontwell - Mirific - 1pt Win 15/8 PP Been waiting a while for this one re-appear. First time in a handicap off a mark of 104 looks very lenient for this Michael Buckley owned hurdler. He stood no chance in Nov/Dec running against the likes of Jump City and Rowan Tiger but he should be able to cope with this kind of opposition off his current rating. Thought he ran a decent race lto when finishing fourth and wasn't knocked about at all. Had some decent form on the flat in France as a 3year old over 11f in soft conditions so trip and ground shouldn't be a problem today.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January The favourite in this contest may look difficult to beat, especially as he’s not penalised for a decent victory five days ago. However, he’ll encounter much different ground today and I think that DRUSSELL (14:10) can bounce back to something like his best today, especially as he’s been given plenty of time to get over his exertions from his last race. The Richard Phillips trained six year old was at one point rated as high as 131 in the ratings after two early-career successes over hurdles but has fallen to a much more realistic level in the meantime, and is now rated 100. His recent form however hasn’t been too disappointing, with his penultimate effort over this C&D making him of big interest. He shaped really well to finish 2nd, 11 lengths clear of 3rd. That race hasn’t worked out behind him but the winner has gone on to be rated 138 over hurdles and it rates as fair form, especially as Drussell gave him plenty to think about until the closing stages. He isn’t the most consistent horse generally, but his effort when last seen only 8 days later was too bad to be true, especially when sent off a well-backed 3/1 shot. He was beaten a fair way out and it shouldn’t have been the going that had caught him out, as he had previous winning form on soft ground. The run almost certainly came too soon, and that Huntingdon effort did come in a race that was run into a headwind, so it probably took more out of him than it looked. Today he returns to Huntingdon and over conditions he should enjoy, as he handles soft ground and obviously doesn’t mind the track itself. He’s 1lb higher than the aforementioned effort but I still think he has the potential to run about 10lbs higher than his current rating if everything falls into place, which after a 42 day break might not be so unlikely. The booking of Richard Johnson is one of intent (15% strike-rate for the yard) and this one is a decent value price I feel, and anything upwards of about 5/1 is worth investing in. Wise Move will be a tough nut to crack if in the same form, but I don’t really feel there’s much else in the contest worth worrying about from a value perspective, such horses like Turbo De Ranch probably being priced about right and on connections. I feel that Drussell still has mileage in his current mark at this distance; he should enjoy the ground and can give it a really good shot here today, this double figure price looks too big and I’m staking accordingly. Bets 14:10 Huntingdon – DRUSSELL; 1pts @ 10/1 Ladbrokes, BetVictor, William Hill (bog)

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 240 Huntingdon: Court Red Handed (9/4 Bet365) A couple of short price novice hurdlers running today but up against plenty of unknown quantities so will avoid them and take a chance on Court Red Handed at Huntingdon in the novice chase. He carries a 10lb penalty for winning twice this season but on my reckoning he's better off here than in a handicap against this field. His mark is 129 and the manin danger is Clash Duff who hasnt been rated as yet having only ran twice, he did run second to State Benefit who is on 124, i make Clash Duff roughly 110+ with some improvemnet to come but that still gives him something to find with the selection in my eyes. Court Red Handed was well beaten last time but was up against much better animals than he faces here and hopefully will get back to winning ways and looks the value in the race at 9/4.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 3.10 Huntingdon Sir Kezbaah ew 12/1 Paddy Power Got back to winning ways at the end of the last jumping season landing a two timer at Exeter and Cheltenham both on good ground. Has had a long lay off since the Cheltenham win but has gone well fresh before and will handle the testing ground on offer today and with question marks against a couple of the main contenders has place chances at least here if stripping fit.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 7.10 Wolverhampton: Nezhenka @ 11/2 Bet365 Still an All-Weather Maiden and only one win to date but I think she might be better then the bare results suggest. She ran really well at Wolverhampton three weeks ago, but was badly hampered in the closing stages and was therefore denied to finish better than fourth. She didn't ran that well at Kempton lto but I still think that a win is just waiting around the corner. She's down to a career lowest mark and I give her another chance today.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 1.20 Lingfield - 1pt win Dorothy's Dancing @ 7/1 (Bet365) Gary Moore's horse was in cracking form last year when rattling up two successive c&d victories before backing that up with subsequent good efforts at Kempton and Windsor. Soft ground caught her out at Sandown before running a really good race back to the all-weather after a break at Kempton. She was weak in the market on this occasion and pulled extremely hard through the contest. It looked as if she'd have no chance having done so, but was in the driving seat for much of the straight before emptying close to home and somehow finishing out of the frame. With her fitness improved for her next start she ran pretty well at Wolverhampton having come wide. However, I don't think 5f around there suits as much as the other a/w venues and Lingfield appears where she's most at home. Suffered from a slow pace last time here when not being able to get involve but there are a couple of pace angles in this race so she should get a bit more to run at. 7/1 looks very fair indeed.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 1:20 Lingfield: Dorothy's Dancing 1pt win 7/1 Bet365 (1/5 123) Dorothy's Dancing has a good record round here and with Gary Moore going well over the past couple of weeks, his filly could go close in a tight handicap. Dorothy's Dancing has won off a mark of a few pounds lower and is reunited with Fergus Sweeney who rode her to both wins in March last year.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January lingfeild 15:50 FALASTEEN 11/4 paddypower a good horse who's taking a sharp drop in class the today and the last run , this will surely benifit the horse and this is regualr from the ryan stables . we this horse from the slightly off form stable but one i love to follow the ryan yard and has the good ride of haley turner which must help . seems to outclass this company , should go well has won over D and should add for course soon

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January H3.10 Benny Be Good 0.5pt E/W 7/1 William Hill This one has been on the drift all day in light of the support for the Pipe horse which looks to have every chance but BBG has the form in the book and even the horses run LTO when upped in the handicap suggests that the handicapper might not have got to it just yet. The horse will love the conditions and rarely runs a bad race when able to gets its toe in. The trainer and jockey combo do really well when teaming up together and this looks sure to go well whilst some of the others have something to prove.

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 6:10 Marvo @ Wolverhampton - Has won at the distance before and was 2nd three races in a row over the last two months.Been running over 1 mile 2 furlongs lately the drop in trip will help and is now off a career low mark.Joe Fanning takes the ride and he is in great form this year so far with a 21% strike rate and he has a profit of +8.00 with 4+ year olds at Wolverhampton.Can go close. 0.5 pt E/W @12/1 VCBet

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January KHATEER 5.40 Wolverhampton. 0.5 points each way. Taking fitness on trust, but been gelded during his break and returns to go handicapping off a decent looking mark. Should improve now handicapping and the trip and surface shouldn't hinder, so at a big looking price can go well. Most of the others look quite predictable, so the standard shown shouldn't be bettered and we can go close, 'if' fit enough. 25/1 Betfred BOG

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January

KHATEER 5.40 Wolverhampton. 0.5 points each way. Taking fitness on trust, but been gelded during his break and returns to go handicapping off a decent looking mark. Should improve now handicapping and the trip and surface shouldn't hinder, so at a big looking price can go well. Most of the others look quite predictable, so the standard shown shouldn't be bettered and we can go close, 'if' fit enough. 25/1 Betfred BOG
That has been 16/1 since 16:34 with Betfred :ok
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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January 19:10 Wolverhampton Rosewood Lad Win (6,50) Ladbrokes Strong field, where all got a chance of winning the race. Rosewood Lad have done well over course and distance, whitin the last year. He won two and placed two, against horses in this grade. He generally looks good on aw and the 17f distance, have been a great succes so far. The 5 year old, won his recent run over C&D and are only up 2lb Rosewood Lad recent form. 2-8-7-5-1 The jockey Luke Morris are booked for the 3rd run in a row. !Postet Yesterday @ 20:55 in another threat.!

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Re: BBOTD Friday 27th of January Later bets at Wolver

7.10 Wolverhampton - Rosewood Lad - He has a definite liking for this course and distance with a total five runs here at Wolverhampton' date= resulting in three 1st's and two 2nd's. He won last time out and has been raised 2lb's only for that win and looks sure to go well again today with conditions in his favour. A line through Exemplary shows he possibly holds Crunched and Nezhenka at the weights. Last time out winning jockey is aboard again today and trainer/jockey combo here at Wolverhampton is running to 5 wins and 2 places from 18 runners to a level stake profit of 8.9pts. Dangers look to be Crunched, Three White Socks, Priceless Art, Not Til Monday and Nezhenka. Two look to be held at the weights (Crunched and Nezhenka). Three White Socks is in excellent form, but seems best at Southwell. Not Til Monday has previously finished ahead of Rosewood Lad, but may be better on turf while Priceless Art's trainer is firing at the moment with 8 wins and 2 places from 20, but Priceles Art's form looks better over shorter.

7.10 Wolverhampton: Rosewood Lad - 1pt win @ 11/2 Ladbrokes (BOG)

7.10 Wolverhampton Blue Square Winter Carnival iPhone App Handicap Cl4 2m119y ROSEWOOD LAD @ 11/2 bog (Ladbrokes) Rosewood Lad stands a very solid chance in this race in my opinion. This 5yo trained by Moore has a cracking record over C&D and is in very good form off a good mark and with one of the best jockeys around on AW on board. Rosewood Lad raced 5 times over C&D in the last 11 months winning 3 times and finishing close second in the other two. His last run was over C&D three weeks ago and with Luke Morris on board the horse won in very good style beating Mark Johnston's Exemplary that won next time out and a few of today's rivals behind. It's been upped just 2lb and so the mark looks still pretty good especially because the way he won lto was very interesting. He came off the pace quickening very well in the last 100 yards and in a race raced at a very slow pace surely the closers weren't helped at all. Still Rosewood Lad mowed down rivals to get on top at the finish. It is a strong stayer and as written above it would have been better served by a stronger test something that should be at least more possible today. Follow The Flag, Nezhenka, Sam Lord, Priceless Art all look off difficult marks both at their best and with their current form. Crunched had a nice finish lto behind Exemplary but that line puts him still well behind Rosewood Lad. Penangdouble O One never raced here and is back on AW after 5 months with poor efforts over hurdles of late. Three White Socks is a dark horse as he is well treated at weights with his revised mark but is back after 239 days and his two wins came on Fibresand (never raced on Polytrack). Not Til Monday is the main rival of my selection and market leader atm with Keiren Fallon on board. This Jenkins-trained horse is back on flat after 86 days but won over hurdles on New Year's DAy. This horse knows how to win as his record is pretty impressive (6 wins in 12 races in the last 12 months) but his 3 efforts on AW (even if snatching two seconds) were not that good and this mark of 72 looks big enough even if Fallon goes very well with him since he rode Not Til Monday to two wins last Spring on flat (last off a 2lb lower mark which is his highest ever winning mark). Westlin' Winds comes back on flat after 214 days and the last effort over hurdles of this son of Montjeu was pretty good. Still he never showed anything on flat (never better than 4th on AW) but with 5lb claim of Raul Da Silva and the new training it could be a surprise. C P Joe has won twice this winter, once over hurdle and once in a selling stakes at Southwell over 12f and in the other races has always been in the frame or very close. Visor helped him (confirmed today) and could make a good effort today too but this is a huge step up in grade even with his featherweight. So a lot of pros and cons for his rivals but overall less value than this juicy 11/4 for the only true C&D specialist Rosewood Lad that could score again over his beloved C&D even off a 2lb higher mark than lto.
Wolv 7.30 - Rosewood Lad - win at 11/2 Laddies Loves it round here with 3 CD wins, won last time out, has won in this class, only gone up 2 lbs, recorded a decent speed fig. The current fave is Not til Monday who's won a couple of handicap hurdles this season but he has no course form and his flat wins have come on good to firm ground. A bigger danger could be Nezhenka who finished a couple of lengths behind Rosewood Lad last time here and was hampered in the final furlong. Happy to take him on though as he's yet to get his head in front in handicap company
7.10 Wolverhampton: Nezhenka @ 11/2 Bet365 Still an All-Weather Maiden and only one win to date but I think she might be better then the bare results suggest. She ran really well at Wolverhampton three weeks ago, but was badly hampered in the closing stages and was therefore denied to finish better than fourth. She didn't ran that well at Kempton lto but I still think that a win is just waiting around the corner. She's down to a career lowest mark and I give her another chance today.
19:10 Wolverhampton Rosewood Lad Win (6,50) Ladbrokes Strong field, where all got a chance of winning the race. Rosewood Lad have done well over course and distance, whitin the last year. He won two and placed two, against horses in this grade. He generally looks good on aw and the 17f distance, have been a great succes so far. The 5 year old, won his recent run over C&D and are only up 2lb Rosewood Lad recent form. 2-8-7-5-1 The jockey Luke Morris are booked for the 3rd run in a row. !Postet Yesterday @ 20:55 in another threat.!
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