ETO Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 ETO. What do you reckon for Fredrikstad v Haugesund. Fredrikstad looks like favourite here because Haugesund has a lot of injured and doubtful players but I will skip this, FFK did not convince me in the past rounds, Haugesund could be surprise against similar teams... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ETO Posted June 29, 2011 Share Posted June 29, 2011 Viking FK - Sarpsborg 08 FF Kick-off: 30/Jun 19:00 CET Pick: Viking FK (-0,75) Odds: 1,85 @ Pinnacle Stake: 6/10 This pick does not need a big explanation. I have put on Viking last week against champions Rosenborg (with +0,25 asian handicap of course), both teams had a few goal chances but Viking had bigger and was a bit closer to win. They are in quite decent form this month since the coach made changes within the team but I have written a few lines about these several times. Age Hareide can use same players in the starting eleven, Sokolowski, Knarvik, Danielsen and Ingelsten are still injured, no other missing. 19 years old guy Landu has integrated into the team and plays pretty good on the midfield, Bjarnason is back from the Icelandic National Team and played very useful last week. The most negative disappointment is Nevland so far, he did not play as a chief so far. Sarpsborg managed amazing results at their home stadium, but totally different if plays on away field, they have gained only two points so far, which one was luckily 1-1 draw against Fredrikstad. Other draw against Tromsø was deserved, besides I did not see good performance from them during the whole season, Haugesund, Strømsgodset, Odd Grenland and Vålerenga beat them easily. On the top of that important attacking midfielder Røn is doubtful while key attacker – and topscorer – Hoås injured. It is not question that how seriously Viking players will approach this game. They are still under the safety line, it is shame with this squad but they are meeting a much weaker opponent. I do not expect a tight match, Viking must win this one by 2-3 goals margin. They are great club with decent financial background, have good players, very experienced coach. It could be a tough match for the visitors, who showed weaker performance during the past weeks and will be without their topscorer. More advantage for the hosts that use natural grass while Sarpsborg uses artificial pitch at home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jovinco Posted June 30, 2011 Share Posted June 30, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Saturday 2 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Vålerenga v Strømsgodset (17:00 BST) 1.68 4 5.5 102.71 % Sunday 3 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Brann v Stabæk (17:00 BST) 2.2 3.55 3.4 103.04 % Haugesund v Odd Grenland (17:00 BST) 2.15 3.55 3.6 102.46 % Lillestrøm SK v Viking FK (17:00 BST) 1.9 3.8 4.2 102.76 % Rosenborg BK v Sarpsborg 08 (17:00 BST) 1.34 5.8 11 100.96 % Start v Sogndal (17:00 BST) 1.8 4 5.4 99.07 % Molde v Aalesunds FK (19:00 BST) 1.87 3.9 4.6 100.86 % Monday 4 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Fredrikstad v Tromsø (18:00 BST) 2.5 3.4 2.9 103.89 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ETO Posted July 2, 2011 Share Posted July 2, 2011 FK Haugesund - Odd Grenland Kick-off: 03/Jul 18:00 CET Pick: FK Haugesund (-0,5) Odds: 2,11 @ 188Bet Stake: 6/10 There is only one point that separates two teams but as we know Haugesund is very strong at home. They are struggling with a lot of injury problems this year, regular left back J. V. Nilsen, key central back A. Tronseth, central midfielders E. Mæland and J. Steinsland are still out due to long term injuries. For this game best defender – considering only the fit players – T. Nordberg is doubtful. Anyway the defence has been shaky, Nordberg and Kristiansen (goalkeeper) showed good performance so it is not the best news that Nordberg is doubtful but the forward section works well and Bamberg – Sørum – Djurdjic trio will be back after minor injury problems. They have gained points thanks to their excellent attackers not due to a famous defence. The team was defeated last round against Fredrikstad, of course that was an away match and key attacking players were injured, no wonder that Haugesund was poor. Odd Grenland seems much weaker than previous year. They managed two wins lately against Fredrikstad and Molde, both ended of 1-0 and both was boring, low quality game. They visited Brann three days ago and suffered a 2-0 defeat deservedly. They can not create chances usually, only F. Johnsen plays well in front, Bentley is missing after sold to Brann before the season, Myklebust, Midtgarden, Storbæk, Krogsgård and Rashani are much too young or unexperienced at this level while Børven and Andersson are still out due to injuries. Haugesund can surprise at home any teams with great attacking players who are back after skipped last round, Odd Grenland has not serious chance there, I think so. More things which confirm this tip that Haugesund had four days to recover after last round while visitors had only three days and have to play two games in a row away from home. The hosts use natural grass at their home stadium, Odd Grenland uses artificial pitch. I expect a clear Haugesund win like against Start on their last home Tippeligaen meeting, they dominated and created a lot of chances and won despite that Bangura got red card after 64 minutes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodens Posted July 2, 2011 Share Posted July 2, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Sport Football (Norway) Event Valerenga - Stromsgodset Selection Over 3 goals Strength 10/10 Date 02/07/2011 Bookmaker/Price 188bet @ 2.09 Reasoning Valerenga can't afford to lose anymore points after losing 2-1 with Molde. They have a lot of potential in attack with the likes of Yssouf Kone, Shelton, Berre or Nielsen. Their opponents today aren't known for their defensive capabilities. When they win points they do it mainly thanks to their good offence, and they are one of my favorite candidates to be involved in high scoring goals as far as Tippeligaen is concerned for me. The last meetings between these 2 sides have also been overish, and I epect both teams to score and over 2.5 at the very least to deliver. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ETO Posted July 2, 2011 Share Posted July 2, 2011 Fredrikstad FK - Tromsø IL Kick-off: 04/Jul 19:00 CET Pick: Fredrikstad FK (-0,25) Odds: 1,94 @ 188Bet Stake: 6/10 Basically I put against Tromsø here. They are in bad financial situation and sold two very important players, midfielder Reginiussen and right defender Høgli have left the club this week. Key central defender Koppinen and team captain Rushfeldt are doubtful. The squad is quite short and I think Tromsø will be much weaker than was with Reginiussen and Høgli, if Koppinen and Rushfeld will be out that will be a big blow. On top of that they played Europa League qualification match in Daugavpils, Latvia (around 1800 Km) and have to travel to Fredrikstad four days later, more 1200 Km. They have played four times away from home this season, draw against Molde and newcomers Sogndal (who was closer to win!), another draw with Strømsgodset and finally lost against Rosenborg, poor away results. Fredrikstad improved after a downturn (4l – 1d), knocked out Odd Grenland from NM Cup then won over Sogndal and Haugesund, both 1-0 (Haugesund played without a lot of regular players). They did not impress me but this performance could be enough against Tromsø. Fredrikstad is playing two games at home during five days and uses natural grass while Tromsø uses artifical grass and has been more difficult schedule during these days. For this game FFK central defender Piiroja is doubtful but Martinsen could be a decent replacement, he was regular player last year just new signing Horn performed better and Martinsen became reservist player. All in all it is much more big price for FFK, I expect home win here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ETO Posted July 3, 2011 Share Posted July 3, 2011 IK Start - Sogndal Fotball Kick-off: 03/Jul 18:00 CET Pick: Sogndal Fotball (+1) Odds: 1,68 @ 188Bet Stake: 6/10 Start fight against the relegation this year and the guys played without self confidence lately. Coach Knut Tørum has left the club two weeks ago but it did not help, they are still hopeless with Frode Fredriksen. They knocked out Strømsgodset from the cup with poor performance and some lucky but then lost against Vålerenga and Lillestrøm. I must mention that Lillestrøm’s goalkeeper Magnússon got red card in the 77th minute when the result was 1-0 and Start equalized after penalty but was unable to keep the result and Lillestrøm won by 2-1 deservedly. Sogndal is still on the last place and seems hopeless after lost last game against Fredrikstad at home. But they had seven days to recover after a hard period when played four games during ten days, include Cup game with extra time and penalties. They eliminated against Brann and now concentrate only the championship. They played defensive minded football, I think Start is not strong enough at the moment and can not win by two or more goals margin against them, I see bigger chance for a draw than a huge home win. We can find only two games when Sogndal lost by two goals margin during the last three months, first against Brann, that was the worst match for goalkeeper Udjus, who performed well during the whole season but made huge mistakes against Brann. Second was against Molde but that was tighter match than the result shows, could have been 0-1 with a bit lucky. And of course Brann and Molde are both much stronger than Start this year. Start will play with their best starting eleven likely while Sogndal will be still without team captain E. Bakke, it is not serious problem becouse he did not have a single good match this season which could have been expected. Regular central midfielder Furebotn and some reservist guys are still out due to injury problems. Both teams are in very bad form, this -1 asian looks too high for me. The visitors could be in better condition after rested seven days while the hosts played five games during two weeks and did not have big victory since 16th April. Much more handicap in my opinion, I expect a very tight game, 0-0, 1-1 or similar. The price dropped a lot despite that most of punters favoured Start, bookies know something... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodens Posted July 3, 2011 Share Posted July 3, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Sport Football (Norway) Event Brann - Stabaek Selection Over 3 goals Strength 10/10 Date 03/07/2011 Bookmaker/Price Canbet @ 1.95 Reasoning Both teams are in good scoring form lately. Brann scored 7 in their last 2 games while Stabaek has 11 in their last 4 league games. There is some doubt regarding the fitness of Stabaek striker Gunnarson. He is the top-scorer of the team and would be dearly missed, but everyone expects him to start. Otherwise no important absences in either sides. H2H these 2 teams have played entertaining matches in the last couple of seasons. One year ago this fixture ended with a 2-2 draw, all 4 goals being scored till the 60 minute. Stabaek won at Rosenborg this season, drew 3-3 with Tromso and have the best away record in the league. Brann can play high scoring games, can score/concede. All in all, I like the over here very much, 3 goals is a must. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FCP Posted July 3, 2011 Share Posted July 3, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Event Fredrikstad - Tromso Selection Fredrikstad Strength 10/10 Date 04/07/2011 Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 2.25 Reasoning Tromso is the second placed and Fredrikstad is on seventh place. On the seven home games that Fredrikstad played this season, they won three, drawn two and lost two, which mean that they are ninth placed on the home table. Away, Tromso, played four games, and they couldn't win any of them, drawing three and loosing one. And in the away table, they are placed as eleventh. Fredrikstad scored in every home games they played and they never conceded more than one goal. Tromso away just in one game they could not concede a single goal. After reading this statistic, we can see that despite the table is saying, Tromso won't have a easy game today. Fredrikstad has quick forwards and tromso has a slow defence, which will have many problems in stopping players like Tarik. At home, Fredrikstad should be considered as favourite and i am seeing them winning this game easily. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spkutano Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Frederikstad - Tromso Pick: Home win at 2.20 Sportingbet Frederikstad has no important missing players for this encounter. The striker Raio Piroja is doubtful, but it is expected he will play. On contrary, the situation is Tromso is not that good. Coach Per Mathias Hogmo will miss the captain and key-player Sigurd Rushfeldt. Rushfeldt is the club top scorer so far with 6 goals from 11 games. Two more players are doubtful with injuries - Ludvig Rinde and Miika Koppinen. The second one is important defender that played 9 matches so far. There are two more reasons for my pick - the current form and the tradition. Frederikstad is in series of two consecutive victories. Here are the results: 29.06. Fredrikstad - Haugesund 1:0 26.06. Sogndal - Fredrikstad 0:1 On contrary, Tromso have no victory in the last two rounds. Finally, Frederikstad have a perfect record against Tromso at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion: 07.05.2009. Fredrikstad - Tromso 3:0 11.08.2008. Fredrikstad - Tromso 2:0 26.08.2007. Fredrikstad - Tromso 2:1 29.05.2006. Fredrikstad - Tromso 5:3 23.05.2005. Fredrikstad - Tromso 4:2 24.10.2004. Fredrikstad - Tromso 1:0 I expect another victory for Frederikstad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenspm Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Lots of money being put on Fredriksad today, and Tromsø's odds have been flying. Tromsø have jumped from 3.40 to 3.77 over the last 24 hours, and I wouldn't be surprised if this continues up to the 3.90's at kick-off. I think this is an overreaction to Tromsø's recent sales (of albeit key players) and Fredrikstad's recent (statistical) form, carried on by an in-form Tarik Elyounoussi. I'll do some more research after work, but a bet on Tromsø is definitely on my short-list if the odds keep rising.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ETO Posted July 4, 2011 Share Posted July 4, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 I think Tromsø price under 4,80 does not represent value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jovinco Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Saturday 9 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Rosenborg BK v Strømsgodset (17:00 BST) 1.4 5.4 9.39 100.60 % Sunday 10 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Vålerenga v Tromsø (19:00 BST) 1.8 3.87 4.9 101.80 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenspm Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Rosenborg v Strømsgodset Strømsgodset @ 10.00 - Bet3000 These odds are insane. Sure, Rosenborg are a big name, sure Strømsgodset are a poor away team, but 10 is far too high even for them. Rosenborg aren't the team they once were. They seem to have hit a recent run of form, but they've hardly been impressive victories. Against Sarpsborg they were expected to win big, and they did (4-0), but that's barely worth noting. They only just got past Lillestrøm in the cup (and were lucky in doing so) on penalties. Their main striker, and best player, Prica, has been out for a while, but is expected to return here - not sure how well he's going to perform in his first match back from injury. Rosenborg are rightfully favourites, but this is just severe. Strømsgodset are a young, talented team, and on a good day they can beat anyone. It's just that these good days tend to be at home. However, this has improved. Coach Deila has really worked well with his young team, and they seemed to have gained composure and maturity, which is reflected in their away performances. Last round they impressively held Vålerenga (normally strong at home) to a 2-2 draw away. They beat Haugesund 3-1 at home the round before that, and are currently lying sweetly in fourth place. As I said, they're a young team, and young teams tend to perform in waves with high tops and low bottoms. They're on their way up a wave now, and at these odds I think they're worth backing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marockee Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 woow, maybe Stromsgo to score 2, but straight aw, hm... :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ETO Posted July 9, 2011 Share Posted July 9, 2011 Rosenborg BK - Strømsgodset IF Rosenborg BK - Strømsgodset IF Kick-off: 09/Jul 18:00 CET Pick: Strømsgodset IF (+1,5) Odds: 1,87 @ Pinnacle Stake: 6/10 Rosenborg performs quite poor this year, gained only 19 points after 13 rounds. Midfielders Skjelbred and Henriksen plays well, goalkeeper Örlund and attacker Prica were also good sometimes, but some youngsters, who got chance from coach Jan Jönsson – Svensson and Bakenga – need more time at this level. Hamburg has signed Skjelbred this week but RBK want keep him until 5th August because the Champions League qualify games, he is very important midfielder and he did not glad, he wanted to join to Hamburg earlier. For this game Rosenborg will be without key striker Rade Prica, who picked up an injury against Viking. He is not 100% fit and Jönsson won’t risk before the important Champions League qualify game against Breidablik, RBK will play with same starting eleven like against Sarpsborg last week. Yes, they won by 4-0, but without doubt Sarpsborg is much weaker than Godset, furthermore played without their two best players Jørgensen and Hoås. Add to this that Rosenborg had seven days while Sarpsborg had only three days to recover before that meeting. This clash against Strømsgodset will be different in my opinion. The guests improved a lot at defence compared with last year. Riddez has left before the season, but central defenders Madsen and Aas recovered after long term injuries and both are key players this year. Key left back Vilsvik have injured against Vålerenga, but all other regular players are reported as available, Sætra – Madsen – Aunan – Aas defence is most likely. The midfield seems also decent, but I miss the goals from the attacking players. Kamara scored four goals, Keita only one, Storflor and Berget are goalless so far, it is not enough, but fact that Godset is playing well as team and they are near the top three with 23 points after 13 games, while Brann gained 26 points after 15 games, leader Molde has 29 points after 15 games. It seems a very high handicap for me. Godset is rated as poor travellers but they earned a 2-2 draw against Vålerenga last week, before that lost against Viking (NM Cup) by 1-0 despite that played well and deserved at least draw. Bookies offered similar odds with -1,5 asian last year on Rosenborg – Strømsgodset, but Rosenborg is much weaker while Strømsgodset looks more stable team this year, so it is a bit strange. I think the hosts are looking forward the CL qualify and they will improve after sign some new players, it could be more difficult match than the odds suggest, I expect a difficult home win (1-0, 2-1) or maybe we will see a surprise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ETO Posted July 9, 2011 Share Posted July 9, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Hmm, it was a "last minute" bet, price dropped a lot at Pinnacle and many serious bookies. Anyway Godset +1,25 still represents decent value over 1,80 in my opinion, Pinnacle, SBO, 12Bet, 188Bet, etc. offer around 1,85...1,88. GL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted July 9, 2011 Share Posted July 9, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Agree with you that Stromgodset looks like decent bet. However, Rosenborg are always slow starters from what I can recall, and after two convincing wins in last two home games, they could maybe start picking some results, so I would stay away from opposing them. Asian handicap looks tempting though. I went for conservative Over 2.5 goals @1.50 bet365. I would say that fair price for Overs is more like 1.40, and even with those possible absentees at Rosenborg, I think there will be at lest 3 goals in this match. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karamzin Posted July 10, 2011 Share Posted July 10, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 What about Tromso?:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jovinco Posted July 13, 2011 Share Posted July 13, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Friday 15 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Odd Grenland v Lillestrøm SK (18:00 BST) 2.04 3.75 3.84 101.73 % Sunday 17 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Sogndal v Sarpsborg 08 (15:00 BST) 1.95 3.86 4.11 101.52 % Molde v Haugesund (17:00 BST) 1.58 4.57 6.5 100.56 % Stabæk v Rosenborg BK (17:00 BST) 2.96 3.8 2.4 101.77 % Strømsgodset v Start (17:00 BST) 1.76 3.97 5.4 100.53 % Viking FK v Aalesunds FK (17:00 BST) 1.9 3.8 4.6 100.69 % Tromsø v Vålerenga (19:00 BST) 2.24 3.55 3.5 101.38 % Monday 18 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Fredrikstad v Brann (18:00 BST) 2.06 3.71 3.75 102.16 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ETO Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Very hard, unpredictable games. I think I am staying away from this round... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duuude Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Stabaek - Rosenborg Pick: Rosenborg 2.35 (Intralot) Viking - Aalesund Pick: Viking/Draw 1.17 (Intralot) Tromso - Valerenga Pick: Draw/Valerenga 1.60 (Intralot) Total Odds: 4.4 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
red87 Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 :\ molde goal early... didn't even have time to be thrilled by the game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jovinco Posted July 20, 2011 Share Posted July 20, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Friday 22 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Start v Molde (18:00 BST) 3.11 3.85 2.27 102.18 % Sunday 24 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Aalesunds FK v Stabæk (17:00 BST) 2.51 3.67 2.9 101.57 % Haugesund v Sogndal (17:00 BST) 1.6 4.23 5.89 103.12 % Lillestrøm SK v Tromsø (17:00 BST) 2.05 3.75 3.75 102.11 % Rosenborg BK v Fredrikstad (17:00 BST) 1.57 4.41 6.5 101.43 % Sarpsborg 08 v Strømsgodset (17:00 BST) 2.7 3.7 2.69 101.24 % Brann v Viking FK (19:00 BST) 2 3.82 4 101.18 % Monday 25 July 2011 Home Draw Away BPP Vålerenga v Odd Grenland (18:00 BST) 1.74 3.98 5.1 102.18 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zacharael Posted July 22, 2011 Share Posted July 22, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Hmm ETO around ? Or anyone has info on Start : Molde ? Has pretty high odds considering the standings but I don't know much about the game itself :/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tobbeni Posted July 22, 2011 Share Posted July 22, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Molde has two central backs away but I think they will win anyway! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dak Posted July 22, 2011 Share Posted July 22, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Start - Molde: Draw @ 3.75 (William Hill) 10/10 Surprisingly balanced odds for a match the has the first placed team (Molde) against the last placed team (Start). Nothing recommends Start to get anything from this and one would be inclined to jump on the odds for Molde. But, I find it suspicious. At the same time I can't bet on Start's win. The hosts have been absolutely awful (1-1-6 in the last 8). The odds indicate that Molde may stumble here and the odds for the draw are the better value and more likely given the teams' performance thus far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dak Posted July 22, 2011 Share Posted July 22, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Start - Molde has been postponed due to tragic terrorist attacks in Norway.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sprut Posted July 22, 2011 Share Posted July 22, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 Start - Molde has been postponed due to tragic terrorist attacks in Norway.... http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/norway/8655175/Oslo-explosion-live-coverage.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tobbeni Posted July 22, 2011 Share Posted July 22, 2011 Re: Norwegian Tippeligaen 2011 :cry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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