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Djordje

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About Djordje

  • Birthday 02/19/1975

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  1. Such a sad news and such a sad reason for me to come back to this forum. Never had a chance to meet Paul in personal, but I have spent nights chatting with him about football, betting systems, P/L forum, Leeds United, politics, war in former Yugoslavia, etc. In that time we used Hotmail's messenger - that must be 10+ years ago... My poor English also improved thanks to those long chats... As one of moderators of P/L forum years ago I'm sure he left P/L in good hands and that you'll be able to continue without him because he would want that. R. I. P. Paul
  2. I was expecting something closer to 1.50 for Liverpool to beat Newcastle, so away win @1.60 looks like great price. In their recent games away from home Liverpool took easy wins at Chelsea, Man City and Southampton, so they should be able to see off struggling Newcastle today. No Coutinho probably again and Can is out through suspension, but Henderson is back, Sturridge is back, and Newcastle seem to have few players out through injuries.
  3. I suppose you are backing Everton, not Bournemouth? As you say odds on Everton really look like ridiculously high. If any of City, United, Arsenal, Liverpool, Spurs, or even out of form Chelsea played Bournemouth today, they would be priced probably around 1.50, but Everton are obviously not rated that way by the bookmakers. Everton failed to record back-to-back wins this season if I'm not wrong, Paul Ross' ratings suggest that Everton are not superior in this fixture, and with odds to good to believe, it is probably the best to leave this match alone.
  4. Completely agree about Burton. 2.05 is not available anymore, so if you got that price that was a good job. 1.90 available still looking good. Bristol City @2.50 also looks good. Rotherham ended 4-games losing string with a win at Leeds, but their defense is joke and Robins look as better equipped for this match. Carlisle are pretty unpredictable, but they look as a good bet at home against Crawley at 2.50.
  5. Re: Championship > 11th Jan - 12th Jan Under 2.5 goals in Burnley vs Palace match, price is 2.10 at Ladbrokes. Burnley could be without Austin, Paterson and McCann, who scored 31 goals between them from 40 Burnley scored this season, while Palace have doubts over Murray and Zaha. But it wouldnt surprise me if all of them play and score today :\
  6. Re: Norwich City v Wigan Athletic > Sat 15th December I also agree Norwich are great price to beat Wigan. Norwich were beaten by Villa in League Cup, but their league form is fantastic, so I wouldnt give too much weight to their cup defeat. Wigan are always capable of surpises, but 2.20 and higher for Norwich win is still fantastic price.
  7. Re: Championship > 30th Nov - 2nd Dec What kind of odds would you expect for a match like this? 1.60 looks like fair price having in mind Cardiff home record, form, team quality compared to Wednesday's. What puts me off here is their 9/9 at home, that will have to end at some point :unsure And I also dont like when Ladbrokes offers the best price on red hot favorite - 1.61 at the moment.
  8. Re: Manchester City v Everton > Sat 1st December Well done, great tip. Didnt follow, but good job from Fellaini for my fantasy team :\
  9. Re: Championship > 30th Nov - 2nd Dec Leicester and Derby are both strong home sides, and obviously Leicester will have home advantage here :\ Foxes are coming to this match after defeat to Leeds, but should be strong enough to bounce back with a win. Derby are unbeaten in last two games, but lost their last 3 games away from home. 1.70 at blue square Nottm Forest are 2.50 to beat Hull and it looks way too high for a home win. I dont think there's too much difference between these two sides, but problem I have with this match is head to head stats - Hull are unbeaten in last 4 against Forest, and won last two corresponding fixtures. Probably no bet. Huddersfield vs Leeds is local derby, and I saw some evil blood today between ex-Leeds manager and current Terriers manager Simon Grayson, and Peter Lorimer. Home win looks tempting at 2.50, but Leeds won against top sides Palace and Leicester in last two, so probably best idea to stay away from this one. Millwall against Charlton is another derby match (right?), and both sides are on nice run lately. But 2.10 for Milllwall at william hill looks like decent price. I usually fancy them at home against anybody in this league, and despite Charlton are doing well away from home this season, price still looks good enough for a small bet. Bolton are 1.75 at william hill to beat Ipswich. Although McCarthy seems to be doing good job at Ipswich, their last two road games were embarassing: 0-5 at Palace, 0-6 at Leicester, and I don't think they are capable to improve drastically in this one.
  10. Re: Manchester City v Everton > Sat 1st December Everton are boogey team for City over the past several years: *they won won 8 out of last 10 against City *they won 4 out of last 5 at Manchester I'm usually paying attention to head to head stats, but this statistics can be missleading in this case. As you all know City improved drastically since last season, and last season both side won its home match. There are doubts over City form this season, but actually they are the only unbeaten team in league so far. Although I agree that they are not playing especially well. Everton are not playing that well lately, and they lost the form from the start of the season. They have only one win in last 6 games, and in this period they faced some struggling sides like Reading (lost 1-2) and QPR (1-1). Common sense says City is going to win this match, but odds of ~1.55 are far from being fair and I would say something about 1.70-1.75 would be acceptable price. On the other hand backing Everton ~7.00 simply doesnt look like good idea, although there is some marginal value in those odds. My bet here is Over 2.5, the best price at the moment is 1.75 at 188bet and canbet Last time Everton kept clean sheet was at the end of September against Swansea, they failed to score only once this seaon, in defeat to WBA on September 1st. I guess both sides should score in this match, score 2-1 win for City probably.
  11. Re: Championship > Nov 27th - Nov 28th Not sure about Watford, but I'm also on Palace. Defeat at Leeds wasnt the end of the world, and I'm sure they can bounce back with a win at Hull. Anything higher than 3.00 represents value in my opinion.
  12. Re: Championship > Nov 27th - Nov 28th :welcomeEl Dufus! Ratings are provided by forum admin, Paul Ross, and as I remember he uses teams' attacking play to calculate them. Probably goals, shots on goal, corners, etc.
  13. Re: Championship > 17/18 November I dont think Leeds can do worse than they are doing in last couple of weeks, even with Pearce, Austin and Brown missing for this one. I dont think Brown's absence is big handicap, but first two are surely important players. Warnock will probably play Peltier at the centre back, which is not his natural position definitely, so Leeds will hardly sort out their defensive problems. But I cant imagine another Watford result in this one anyway. If McCormack can make his return, Leeds will be much more dangerous in attack, so I would expect them to score in this match. From what I saw so far, Millwall are capable of destroying anyone on their day, so even without Henderson they should be capable of scoring. Over 2.5 should be logical bet and 1.70 looks like ok price (1.76 at 188bet right now).
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