andrewcalo

Lost it at the avatar 

Hahahaha, what the f...  

Honestly, it's fine. I do need the help! Come guys, don't be shy. Dig deep. I need to find my next meal from somewhere after Jose threw that last one away!

I doubt they will rest players. Winning the EL guarantees them a CL group stage spot. If they wanted to qualify through the league, they would have given up on the EL long ago. Their inconsistent league form doesn't make things easier for them.

Seriously lads why didn't we take Palace -2.5 AH line? Complete oversight by all concerned, especially me. I can only apologise.

Jeremy Mathieu ladies and gentlemen! 

Everyone is bad mouthing Arsenal, but I think you have to give Palace a lot of credit. Game plan and tactics were brilliant. Work rate excellent. Palace are a decent side. They just had a terrible time under Pardew. It's amazing to see Zaha coming on. He has 9 assists this season. AT 12.5million he was Fergie's gift to Moyes (who wouldn't know talent if it hit him on the forehead), who never played him. It's a pity that Allerdyce crapped the bed at England, because I think they could have done things. Southgate, come on, wet behind the ears.
I think the Man United v Chelsea game will be interesting for the following reasons...
1) Mourinho lost twice to Chelsea this season. Shown up in the league game. It has to be burning him.
2) He would love to throw a spnner in their Championship ambitions, Especially to those guys that betrayed him last season.
3) He needs to see how far Man United are off the pace, are they able to play with these guys ?
I don't think you can make a bet, until you see the Thursday night Europa. If United score early, he will take players off, and close up. That game determines a lot about the starting 11 on Sunday.  
 
Again I go with the HT/FT Spurs win over Bournemouth. At the moment no team is playing better than Spurs. They are dominant at home, and opponents cannot stop/contain their wingbacks / fullbacks. Bournemouth have taken 6 points out of a possible 30, and I think their troubles continue.
 
I think the 1.75 is a decent price for the HT/FT HW.

Can't really get a read for this game mate, there's just too much weird stuff with missing players etc. Sounds obvious but it'll come down to whoever shows up on the night. I just don't see a big error in the prices as things stand, I think markets are in the right region here. I'm just gonna chill and watch the game, see what madness unfolds, if any.

Looks totally primed for the Over 2.5 Goals to me. Arsenal can't defend full stop, but have to go for it to have any chance of top 4. Palace have to go for it and also can't defend. I can't see anything but goals, could be a cracker of a match!  
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 Paddy Power 

They're absolutely no value though and the motivation is priced in. I honestly don't agree and I've seen countless times, teams that needed to win, were shorter odds than they should have been and absolutely collapse, so I'd be very very careful!

damn i got 8 out of 10 correct. it was pretty close. carlisle lost the match in 5 minutes and i don't know what the hell happened to blackpool. oh well

Happy for @andrewcalo to write a weekly preview and get others involved once the odds are posted by a mod. In fact, we'd love that. Just need to keep the posting of odds and ratings amongst mods so the forum doesn't get cluttered with double posts and confusing for members. 
Anybody loving this Tottenham annihilation of Watford?

I'm not so good a valuing markets that aren't 1X2 or AH. Best price at the time of writing this for BTTS (yes) is 1.68 so they're saying there's a 59.5% chance that both teams will score. I expect Palace to concede here as our defence is fairly makeshift atm. Can we score here? I really don't know. Arsenal are weird and inconsistent, who's gonna show up? 3rd game at the end of a 3 game week. I don't see much value in BTTS odds in this situation but don't let me put you off. If you feel you've got to go with it then go with it.

Betting at this stage of the season changes. One thing counts here 
MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !MOTIVATION !
Find teams that are motivated, either to win something (European places, avoid relegation etc). These teams will make you money.
Two middle of the table, nothing to lose or gain teams against each other will produce goals. They can't get into Europe, they can't be relegated, they are already on holiday. Just cruising the rest of the season, and trying not to  pick up an injury.
I really like Spurs to smack Watford in the early kickoff. I think it's a proper hiding.
HT/FT home win 1.73
Win to nil 1.83 Spurs
 
 
 
 

@Icongene has beat me to it.
I've been eyeing up Falkirk all week and can't believe the bookies have priced them so big. I've said it before, Dundee Utd have been over-rated all season and a look at the form table tells you everything about this game. 3.50 for the away win is a huge price but i'll play a little bit safer, Falkirk won't get beat here and the 1.65 for Falkirk +1 is my bet of the day.
On a similar note, 2 teams on good form in the English Championship versus 2 teams with patchy form to say the least, Wolves +1 and Reading +1 double pays 2.62, lubbly jubbly.
Hibs have let me down once too often lately so I'm giving them a miss today. You just know what will happen now!!!!
 

St Johnstone +1   2/5

Reckon Brighton should be to good for us.. but our home form is pretty good.. staying away from this one! 
All over Derby away to Birmingham.. Rowett has a point to prove after his ridiculous sacking at Birmingham! 
Blackpool at home to Grimsby.. Blackpool need this win for play offs and Grimsby have nothing to play for. Grimsby also don't score a lot away from home.
other notable prices... wolves away look very good at the moment.
reading away.. Ive noticed the bookies continually price them wrong.. they showed that at home to Blackburn last game at 2.15... never should've been those odds.
also Newcastle away to Sheffield weds seem big.. 
enough from me ha ... before I tip every game! 

@andrewcalo
As we say in Edinburgh. You're a fuckin radge.

i am on burnley to win their first away match tomorrow. middlesbrough are trying to play more open attacking football but after going entire season trying to prevent teams scoring i only imagine it will backfire again as it did versus hull few days ago when they conceded four.

I'll take 100 per cent shame my bookie dosent see it that way!

These had been posted on the thread I'd started but please find them here. @andrewcalo, if you leave the posting of match odds topics to the mods to avoid duplicate threads being posted and causing confusion. 

@andrewcalo, hahahaha you nut. If it's a bitch I'm fine with that

Did'nt Understand this rating...
 
I just made one bet in Leicester and got it right. How Am I 50%?

@andrewcalo .In my books i'm 66,66% on this premier league forum. You're taking tips and not actual bets in to consideration. Here's an overview of my bets
Burnley-Stoke draw  -
Arsenal bts/Swansea+1,5 ACCA -
Hull win+
Crystal palace x2 -
Chelsea win+
Chelsea over 2,5 +
Eriksen to score +
Southampton-palace bts +
Leicester win +
That's 6/9
You probably considered my acca's as single bets and added to this the Leicester/Man utd parlay. I wrote in a later post that I'm only betting on Leicester and Stoke as singles.You forgot about my Eriksen pick.In your calculation that's 5/11 (45%).
I'm a real competitor so had to clarify this.I find this a great idea!Maybe it's interesting to put the amount of bets next to the hit percentage.
I know my way of posting picks can be confusing,my first posts are possible picks.After my research I will post again. if I'm not convinced of one of my picks I will not go through with it. If I do not update I followed my possible picks.From now one I will only post final picks.
 

Spurs goals at 88, 90+2 and 90+4 minutes.
Never in any doubt really.