Fader

Any tips for tonight fader

4pts Kohli top RCB batsman 3/1 paddypower 
I'm surprised that paddy are boosting this because there is talk that Kohli is going to be opening for RCB and if that's the case, than 3/1 is quite a big price for a player who is favourite to be top batsman in the whole event. 

Just looking in the outright market with abit of value and despite the price not being huge, I'll go with Kohli's men. They have the favourites today and so there may be a better price later but I want to get in, incase they pull off the upset. Any team with Kolhi, ABDV and Maxwell in it, in a T20 team, is going to be dangerous
2pts E/W Royal Challengers Bangalore to win IPL 13/2 boylesports

Despite that disgusting bad beat lastnight, I will take one this afternoon and that's Hallworth to beat Grace. These two have had some close matches at Q School over the last few years, and Hallworth looked pretty good in his first round win. I think the 11/8 on offer looks good value
4pts S.Hallworth to beat D.Grace 11/8 bet365
WC bets -4pts
 

Yeah, one to leave alone in future, I think. One for tonight, for me. Jamie O'Neill to beat Jamie Clarke. I watched alot of Clarke's last match and it was an absolute slog against a 15 year old. Boiko is a good prospect but he didn't play well atall and Clarke couldn't hit more than one 50 break. Aslong as the moment doesn't get in his head, then 6/4 on O'Neill looks big in the battle of the Jamie's.
4pts J.O'Neill to beat J.Clarke 6/4 bet365

I'm also going to take Higginson on the handicap against Sargeant. Another player that looked dodgy in his last match. That may be because he was playing a female but Sergeant's form has hardly been that great before, anyway. I like Higginson as a player and he scores well. I can't see him losing more than 3 frames.
5.5pts A.Higginson (-2.5 frames) to beat B.Sargeant 8/11 paddypower

I'm backing six players for the straight win ahead of the start, all on the assumption that the top of the market is priced fairly at best whilst anything beyond 50 to 1 is that much less likely to take home the trophy. I may add to my position at the end of each round, but for now I've just got these on the exchanges, all of which I think occupy the sweet spot of good prices with a realistic chance of success.
5pts Rahm to win US Masters @ 14.50
5pts Cantlay to win US Masters @ 25.00
10pts Schauffele to win US Masters @ 29.00
5pts Morikawa to win US Masters @ 38.00
15pts Reed to win US Masters @ 44.00
10pts Hovland to win US Masters 48.00

Based on a book I read 30 years ago................It suggested that a player improves after the birth of his first child(not sure about LPGA).
Something to do with the relief of the birth and the joy of having a child.
John Rahm became a daddy for the first time on Sunday so he will be carrying my money
2 pence e/w  John Rahm to win the masters 11/1 Sky Bet (11 places 1/5 the odds)
 
 
(disclaimer I lost £2000 in the 90's following advice of aforementioned book)

Yeah, one to leave alone in future, I think. One for tonight, for me. Jamie O'Neill to beat Jamie Clarke. I watched alot of Clarke's last match and it was an absolute slog against a 15 year old. Boiko is a good prospect but he didn't play well atall and Clarke couldn't hit more than one 50 break. Aslong as the moment doesn't get in his head, then 6/4 on O'Neill looks big in the battle of the Jamie's.
4pts J.O'Neill to beat J.Clarke 6/4 bet365

I've noticed on Skybet that they are offering a free £1 bet for every birdie if you bet with them. I've taken Thomas myself as a main bet. I can see Spieth being hammered in the betting but I just feel like he always has that one bad round. 
With a huge 10 places on offer with Paddy, I've also gone for Xander, Morikawa, Im and Kokrak as my outsiders.
3pts J.Thomas to win US Masters 11/1 Skybet
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2pts e/w X.Schauffele to win US Masters 22/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w C.Morikawa to win US Masters 25/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w S.Im to win US Masters 45/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w J.Kokrak to win US Masters 80/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
 

Day 2 of the Premier League. I think I prefer not having to wait a whole week, for more Darts, atleast. Albeit, this isn't my favourite betting event.
Anderson Vs De Sousa
Clayton Vs Durrant
Van Den Bergh Vs Aspinall
MVG Vs Wright
Wade Vs Cross
It doesn't get any easier for Peter Wright, as he now faces MVG. The importance of winning the matches you SHOULD win become apparent very quickly. I think Anderson  beats De Sousa. I wasn't impressed with De Sousa yesterday atall. I wasn't that impressed with Aspinall either and I think Van Den Bergh has every chance. The only worry with Van Den Bergh is that he tends to raise his game against the likes of MVG. 
5.5pts G.Anderson DNB to beat De Sousa 10/11 skybet
5pts J.Clayton to beat G.Durrant and hit most 180s 11/10 skybet
4pts J.Wade to beat R.Cross 20/21 bet365
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2pts Clayton, Van Den Bergh, Wade & Wright 17/1 skybet
1pt Anderson, Clayton, Van Den Bergh, Wade and Wright 42/1 betfair
1pt J.Clayton to win 7-2 9/2 paddypower
Prem league tips -6.5pts

Small profit lastnight. It was going so well until a couple of terrible performances from Wright and Wade. +2.5pts
Cross Vs MVG
Durrant Vs Van Den Bergh
Wright Vs Anderson
Aspinall Vs Wade
De Sousa Vs Clayton
I think Cross has a chance tonight. It's hard to know what MVG will turn up. He may relax after beating Wright and turn into the MVG of old but Cross has looked decent recently and I think he can atleast keep it close. You would have to fancy Van Den Bergh to beat Durrant. I'm going to give Wright one more chance, but only in the form of an accy. I think De Sousa has a good chance against Clayton. I thought Clayton looked pretty flat against Durrant. 
2pts R.Cross to beat MVG 4/1 bet365
2pts De Sousa to beat Clayton 9/4 bet365
4pts Van Den Bergh to win the match, Most 180s and Highest Checkout 7/4 paddypower
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1pt Cross / Van Den Bergh to win and hit most 180s & Wright 18/1 paddypower
1pt Aspinall and De Sousa both to win 10/1 paddypower
0.5pts Cross +2.5 legs / Van Den Bergh to win and hit most 180s / Aspinall / De Sousa 25/1 paddypower
 
Prem league tips -4pts

I've noticed on Skybet that they are offering a free £1 bet for every birdie if you bet with them. I've taken Thomas myself as a main bet. I can see Spieth being hammered in the betting but I just feel like he always has that one bad round. 
With a huge 10 places on offer with Paddy, I've also gone for Xander, Morikawa, Im and Kokrak as my outsiders.
3pts J.Thomas to win US Masters 11/1 Skybet
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2pts e/w X.Schauffele to win US Masters 22/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w C.Morikawa to win US Masters 25/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w S.Im to win US Masters 45/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w J.Kokrak to win US Masters 80/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
 

I've noticed on Skybet that they are offering a free £1 bet for every birdie if you bet with them. I've taken Thomas myself as a main bet. I can see Spieth being hammered in the betting but I just feel like he always has that one bad round. 
With a huge 10 places on offer with Paddy, I've also gone for Xander, Morikawa, Im and Kokrak as my outsiders.
3pts J.Thomas to win US Masters 11/1 Skybet
-------------------------------------------------------------
2pts e/w X.Schauffele to win US Masters 22/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w C.Morikawa to win US Masters 25/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w S.Im to win US Masters 45/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
1pt e/w J.Kokrak to win US Masters 80/1 paddypower (10 places, 1/5th)
 

One bet for me tonight is to stick with my pre-event pick of Oliver Lines. He faces Dominic Dale in Round 2 of qualification. He comes into this after beating Emery 6-1. Emery hit a century in his only frame, whilst Lines hit 3 centuries, a 93 and a 78. Dale holds a good head-to-head against Lines, having beaten him 3 times out of 3. However, Dale hasn't been in good form. Lost 4-0 to Pengfei 1st round at the Gibraltar Open. 4-1 first round defeat at the Welsh Open and both those results coming after a 5-0 whitewash from Ding in the Last 16 of the German Masters. 
4pts O.Lines to beat D.Dale 13/8 bet365

A successful week with 22 winning bets.  Half of the Divisions made a profit with best performances from Kingdom For (13/1) and tonythepaint (11/1) in Division 1 and BBBC (11/1) and this week's top performer Like A Roughie (16/1) in Division 6 
Will put this week's odds up Weds night.

 








 

West Ham (2) 2.60
£42.23 single please
 

To think Aspinall and Durrant made the final last year and yet both are near the bottom of the betting. Neither have good form atall. Aspinall has changed his darts and Durrant went off the rails before the Prem League win really. His only saving grace was the ridiculously good doubling that he showed. I think Aspinall wins this. I've seen some real poor efforts from Durrant recently and although he will take a few legs on his doubling alone, if Aspinall hits a half decent average, this win could ignite him.
In the second match, there is every chance that Rob Cross beats De Sousa. De Sousa was on fire a few months back but I think Cross keeps him honest here and may nick it. I think Wright beats Clayton. I think if this was a few nights in, it could be different. I think this is all new for Clayton and he will be desperate to impress. Wright has been there and done it. Wade Vs Anderson could go anyway really but with me taking a punt on Wade as an outsider, I would rather leave that to an outsider accy. MVG wins for me,
3pts Wright and MVG both to win and hit atleast 2 180s in their matches 6/1 skybet
2pts Aspinall, Wright & MVG to win 7/1 paddypower
1pt Cross, Wade & Wright to win 15/1 paddypower
0.5pts accy - Aspinall, Cross, Wade, Wright, MVG all to win 50/1 paddypower
 

Tonight is the start of the Premier League, it's new "Covid" format, which changes things alot. Before, form was hard to gauge because we had matches each week. This week, we will have matches everyday and so anybody in abit of form this week could catch fire.
This week will be "Phase 1" with "judgement night" being on the 22nd April. We will then lose the bottom 2 and go into "Phase 2" a fortnight later. The semi-finals and finals will be played May 28th.
In terms of outright winners, it's so different without the mass crowds that you're probably better off favouring with the players who have done well at the Super Series. I think Peter Wright is the man to beat at the moment, but Johnny Clayton has put in some real good performances over the last few months. De Sousa started well but has dropped in his level recently.
** Gerwyn Price has been withdrawn with a positive Covid test and James Wade will take his place **
I'm going with Peter Wright as my main bet. I like Clayton but you can't be having him at just 7/1. I'll take a punt on James Wade. We see all the time a player getting a free pass into an event and taking an opportunity and I can see Wadey getting into phase 2 atleast.
5pts P.Wright to win Premier League 4/1 paddypower
2pts E/W J.Wade to win Premier League 16/1 bet365

Hard one to take that. 3 of the bets make the semi-final and the only one who didn't, wins ofcourse. Williams was 2-0 up on Wilson and so was Higgins in the semi-final. 
each way placing at 33/1 (16.5/1 winner)

The qualifiers for the big one get going tomorrow. Players have to get through 4 rounds of snooker before they can have the chance, in Round 1, against the "big boys" 
One of the stand out ties and infact THE stand out tie, must be Hendry taking on Jimmy White.
Here are my fancies to qualify :
4pts R.Milkins to qualify Group 3 6/4 skybet
2pts S.Carrington to qualify section 8 5/1 boylesports
1pt S.Hendry to qualify Group 1 33/1 paddypower
1pt O.Lines to qualify Group 2 25/1 paddypower
1pt S.Vahedi to qualify section 4 33/1 skybet
1pt J.Cahill to qualify section 12 18/1 unibet

Well, he's done the first part. Mark Williams wins the group to make tomorrow's final. His 33/1 is now just 7/1. Tomorrow's line-up then :
Yuelong
Dott
Higgins
Trump
K.Wilson
Carter
Williams
Anybody following this thread will have 4 of the 7 players covered with the following bets :
Higgins 12/1 e/w
Dott 25/1 e/w
Yuelong 33/1 e/w
Williams 33/1 e/w

This continues tomorrow.
The final group, which is played Tuesday/Wednesday, with the finals being played Thursday/Friday. Current finals group :
Yuelong
Dott
Higgins
Trump
K.Wilson
Carter
- FINAL NAME -
Tomorrow's group  :
Maflin
Bingtao
Robertson
Perry
Williams
Gilbert
McGill
barring any withdrawals. I'm not sure if Robertson will bother with this, for example. Maflin, too, hasn't played for a long, long time.
I haven't seen any markets up yet for the group winner and that's most likely because we will indeed see some change. However, after Mark Williams just won a similar event, in the WST Pro Series, I am surpised that you can get him at 33/1 to win the event. This isn't an amazing group and it's one that he will be favourite to win if Robertson pulls out. If he does indeed win it then that 33/1 will go to single figures
1pt e/w M.Williams to win Championship League 33/1 betfair

Robertson wins with ease, really. +5pts tonight but -3.5pts for the event, for me. I'm never too excited about betting on these events, where it's the cream of the crop in a small field. Onto the Championship League and the Worlds, next month.

5pts N.Robertson to beat R.O'Sullivan evens willhill