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canaries91

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Posts posted by canaries91

  1. 22 minutes ago, Judeksi said:

    Bournemouth home win might be the bet of the weekend. Maybe Bournemouth with -1 asian handicap too. There's always the fear that Norwich might have finally sorted out their defence, but on the other hand Norwich hasn't been able to score many goals on away matches either. Moreover, I think Pukki might be a bit tired after two EURO 2020 qualification matches (and plenty of travelling that comes with it) even though he scored 2 goals against defensively quite weak Armenia.

    Spoiler alert! Norwich haven’t sorted out the defence. ?

  2. I’ll keep this short as I’m currently at work.

    I tend not to get involved in matches where Norwich are playing but this weekend is an exception.

    Bournemouth at 8/11 (various) are an absolute banker. Norwich have got progressively worse since the start of the season, have been woeful away from home and are still plagued by an injury crisis. One or two of the 13 injured players are back in training but this weekend will come too soon for them. Norwich still have big problems personnel wise in the centre of defence and central midfield.

    Bournemouth with handicaps will also be worth looking at. 

  3. On 20/12/2018 at 1:00 PM, mrclubbie said:

    Nottingham vs QPR

    QPR has never won at City Ground - Lost 16, draw 11.

    Record may continue to hold as Nottingham continues to push to reach the top 6 for a chance for promotion

    I never like historic stats. What sort of relevance does a game have from 20, 30, 40 years ago? Is anyone else the same or is it just me? :lol

  4. 5 hours ago, MarioDunav said:
    Watford - Man City

    After Man City 100% start to the season, the wheels look to have really come off for Watford, who now have just two wins to their name from their last 10. Things don't get any easier for the Hornets here either as they welcome a Manchester City side unbeaten since September to Vicarage Road.
    What's more, City have won their last eight meetings with Watford, and have scored 11 goals in their last two visits to Vicarage Road. Watford may have been solid at the back under Gracia, but few will give them a fighting chance of keeping City out.
    Indeed, this should be a routine win for the visitors.

    Somethin lik 1-3, 0-4 is nice bet, good value for Over 2,5 (1,50).

    Match preview straight from whoscored :\

     

    https://www.whoscored.com/Matches/1284857/Preview/England-Premier-League-2018-2019-Watford-Manchester-City

  5. On 28/11/2018 at 11:58 PM, yossa6133 said:

    Done an acca on Forest, Derby, Norwich and Birmingham @ 10.5/1.

    Also tempted by Stoke around evens.

    Just a word of caution on Norwich. 

    Farke has confirmed today that Moritz Leitner and Onel Hernandez are both out injured.

    Leitner has been Norwich’s most influential player this season, pulling all the strings and orchestrating play. If the season was to stop now, he would arguably be awarded Norwich’s player of the season.

    Probably second most influential player is Hernandez. The Cuban has been a constant threat from the left wing this season, with his electric pace and trickery.

    Big, big losses for tomorrow, and as mentioned in another post, Rotherham have been playing well recently, and were the better side against Sheffield United.

    Another side story to the game is that of Millers boss Paul Warne. He is a Norfolk lad and Norwich fan, with all his family still living in the region. He has (understandably) been saying in the press all week how motivated he is for this game. 

    I don’t really have any betting advice on this game though, and in my opinion Norwich are on the short side, in what is a typically competitive Championship. I just thought I would share some thoughts and injury news.

  6. 13 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

    Ipswich vs Preston

    After having success with betting against Ipswich a lot this season I see that there's another chance to earn a fair wedge by doing that this weekend. The Tractor Boys host Preston in a 3pm kick-off at Portman Road this Saturday and it will be new manager Paul Lambert's first league game in charge.

    Ipswich are having a torrid season so far and many pundits are suggesting it's going to take more than a managerial change to sort their campaign out. The Suffolk club are currently rock bottom of the Championship and 3 points behind the team above them.

    Preston aren't doing much better. Alex Neil has seen his team pick up a bit of form after a terrible start. The Lilywhites remain in 20th place but they are unbeaten in five league games having scored 13 goals during that period. So they will come into this game full of confidence.

    I'm not sure how Lambert will do here. He thrived at Colchester and Norwich but has since struggled to make an impression at Aston Villa, Blackburn, Wolves, and Stoke. Has he lost the spark? Is this an appointment that is destined to fail? He already has his back to the wall as a former Canaries manager.

    It's been a while since Preston came away from Portman Road with a win. In fact, it was the opening day of the 2008/09 season. Will this be the game that changes? I think at the price they've being offered then it could well be backing Neil's side to take all three points.

    Preston to Win @ 2.30 with Bet365

    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.75 with Unibet

    I personally wouldn’t oppose Ipswich today as it’s Paul Lambert’s first game so it should lift the Ipswich players. He has struggled at some of his latest jobs but I think he may do a bit better with Ipswich, with the Norwich connection firing him up a bit. I almost think it is what he has needed to reignite him and be a success again after going slightly stale at Wolves and Blackburn. 

  7. Reading (2.78 with betfair) to beat Norwich.

     

    The Norwich head coach Daniel Farke has just given an injury bulletin, and to say Norwich will be entering this match with an injury crisis is almost an understatement! 

    Already, Norwich we’re without captain and best defender Grant Hanley. Along with important midfielders Thompson and McLean. Now, to add to that, Marshall is now sidelined, along with Pinto and Stiepermann who produced a great game on Saturday is a major doubt. 

    However, the one big major blow is that of Onel Hernandez. If Player of the season was awarded now, he would win it by a landslide. He has been something of a revelation, and is now sidelined for the next 5 games with a hernia.

    Norwich will be going into this game with Reading with a real threadbare side, with teenagers (albeit decent) filling both full back spots, and real holes in midfield and no pace in attack.

    Reading have come off the back of an impressive win at Preston and represent cracking value at 2.78, which cannot be ignored imo.

  8. 12 hours ago, allyhibs said:

    Hibernian v Molde.

    It's Easter Road for goals!

    You have to go back to 30/3/18 for the last competitive Hibs home game to have less than 3 goals scored, in the 7 games since then there has been a staggering 40 goals scored, we seem to play with the attitude of 'score if you want, we'll score more'.

    Molde are no slouches in front of goal either and this has the makings of yet another entertaining goal fest at Easter Road.

    Over 2.5 goals @ 2.08 looks way overpriced.

    Cue the 0-0!

  9. I’ll have to keep it short as I’m at work. The one sticking out massively for me is Ipswich at home to Blackburn at around 2/1.

     

    This price is absolutely ridiculous, and there is now way Blackburn should be favourites for this. Paul Hurst has joined Ipswich and has brought back the feel good feeling within the club. He has made some impressive signings and has had a decent pre season. There are reports of a big (for Ipswich) crown of around 18,000 today and I think they are a cracking bet.

  10. 22 hours ago, PokerWolf1 said:

    Tricky week. I'm expecting Cardiff to just do enough and grab that win but I think Wolves, Villa and Bristol could all potentially slip up.

    Not really any straight forward matches. Think there is some value in that Ipswich price away at an inconsistent Norwich but every game pretty tough to call. I think Sunderland will probably lose again but would want a bigger price for Brentford.

     

    I agree about Ipswich. Norwich are much too short, no doubt about that. 

     

    Norwich have had an inconsistent season, with the better performances all coming away from home. At home, Farke’s style has not suited the team at all. Slow, pedestrian play which is easy to defend against and counter attack.

     

    Imo, Norwich’s style of play at home will play right into Ipswich’s hands. When Ipswich are able to play this game (sitting back, soaking up pressure and counter) they have been successful. When they are playing against teams at home like Burton (no offence) like last week, with the onus on them, they have struggled.

     

    Although James Maddison has received all the plaudits this season, Tom Trybull has been arguably Norwich’s most important midfielder this season. He arrived on a free transfer from Holland and has been nothing short of a revelation. However Norwich received news this week that he is out for the season, which is a huge blow for Norwich and a massive lift for Ipswich going into this game.

     

    I personally will be leaving this game alone but imo Norwich are far too short and are worth a lay/DNB punt in Ipswich with the game situation set to suit their play.

  11. 18 hours ago, waynecoyne said:

    wilder has said that he doesn't think the Wednesday players will be up for it-

    thanks for doing luhukay's team talk for him chris

    I will buy him a bottle of white lightening to celebrate with on his park bench

    Very best of luck to Wednesday tonight! Sheff Utd fans and especially Chris Wilder came across as arrogant and downright horrible when we played them in the season, have honestly never come across anything like Wilder in the past. Really hope you can do it, although form/injuries certainly point to a home win as you say. 

     

  12. I would love to tip my team Norwich but unfortunately I just can’t at the moment. We are still in a bad phase, and after saying last week that I couldn’t understand how they were favourites at home to Preston (and drawing 1-1!), I can’t see them getting anything at all from tonight’s game at Cardiff.

     

    The squad is still injury-ravaged. To add to the long injury list I gave last week, Jerome and Watkins are now both sidelined as well. So we are now left with one striker in Oliveira, who’s commitment has been questioned by some fans of late, and are still woefully short in central midfield. Preston missed a number of golden chances at Carrow Road last week and were unlucky not to win imo. 

     

    Ive not always been a massive fan of Neil Warnock, but I’ve really admired the job he’s done with Cardiff this season. I was on them pre season to finish in the Top 6 and in the top half. They have been rock solid at home this season and have one of the best records. The style both teams play should suit Cardiff down to the ground. Teams who have played against Norwich with a similar physical game to Cardiff this season have really enjoyed themselves. I can’t overstate how poorly Norwich have been playing the last 4-5 weeks, and although I will be avoiding the game as a Norwich supporter, the price of around 10/11 on a home win is absolutely huge.

  13. 18 hours ago, rangers234 said:

    Didn't realise you guys were in that much trouble!. Think Preston at 3.50 is a decent shout! Reckon it'll probably be a 1-1 as Preston play quite tight. 

    1-1. On the balance of play Norwich were a bit lucky to get a point. Preston missed plenty of chances, Norwich missed just the one, an open goal from Josh Murphy (who by the way has been receiving horrendous abuse from the fans for a number of weeks). Maybe a draw was a fair result. 

  14. 7 hours ago, rangers234 said:

    I reckon there may be goals at Sunderland and btts could be decent. 

    Sheff united should be the banker.

    no way should Norwich be odds on they're awful at the moment and think Preston could sneak a win here.

    also Ipswich at 6 to one is a tad high! 

    Like the look of boro playing well but I reckon could be a tight game against derby. 

    I agree re Norwich.

     

    Right, there is no way they should be that short against a well organised Preston side. There are a few points to make about this game. The sub-plot is the return of Alex Neil. He did a great job at Norwich, achieving promotion via the play-offs, giving the fans a day out at Wembley. It unraveled somewhat with the subsequent relegation and poor season last season, but he remains a decent manager. He will be keen to get stuck into this game, knowing full well the crisis Norwich are in.

     

    Norwich themselves have been playing nothing short of atrocious of late. This has been compounded by the squad being decimated by injuries. Klose is now injured and joins the lengthy injury list. The 3 centre mids of Tom Trybull, Alex Tettey and Harrison Reed are all injured, leaving no fit senior midfielders at the club. The squad is already paper thin and in his press conference yesterday, Daniel Farke admitted he may have to make a “crazy decision”, in reference to team selection. He said “Yes I am thinking of a crazy decision or two. We have so many injury problems.”

    Key player Alex Pritchard has been out since pre season following a horror challenge v Cambridge Utd. He was originally meant to return to under 23 games in the New Year, and Farke even said last week he is still a long way from first team action, but changed his tune yesterday by saying he may have to play him today as he has such a shortage of bodies.

     

    Whatever happens, I can’t quite see how Norwich can with this game given the circumstances, and Preston will be set up well to counter with their strong attacking players. 

  15. I’m going on Sunday to the O2 for both sessions so really looking forward to it. I usually bet on football and horse racing, and not so much tennis, but I’m wanting to place a couple of interest bets on Sundays matches. 

     

    Im a big fan of Zverev, and think I might get involved in this match in some way. Has anyone got any insight into this match (Zverev v Cilic)? Thanks 

  16. On 26/08/2017 at 0:52 PM, canaries91 said:

    I have refrained from betting on the football league matches so far as I've felt it's all been a bit more of a lottery than normal at this early stage.

     

    However, I can't see past a home win for Millwall against Norwich today.

     

    Millwall have played well so far this season without getting the reward imo. In their last home game, they battered Ipswich yet went on to lose 4-3, with a combination of bad luck and poor goalkeeping.

     

    Norwich on the other hand have been poor. If anything they have been even worse defensively than last season, which is saying something. It seems like Farke doesn't know his best 11, and has been rotating/resting players already.

     

    I think Millwall will definitely be giving someone a good beating soon, and I can easily see that day being today against a below par Norwich side. Millwall at odds of around 7/4.

    Comfortable winner at 7/4.

  17. I have refrained from betting on the football league matches so far as I've felt it's all been a bit more of a lottery than normal at this early stage.

     

    However, I can't see past a home win for Millwall against Norwich today.

     

    Millwall have played well so far this season without getting the reward imo. In their last home game, they battered Ipswich yet went on to lose 4-3, with a combination of bad luck and poor goalkeeping.

     

    Norwich on the other hand have been poor. If anything they have been even worse defensively than last season, which is saying something. It seems like Farke doesn't know his best 11, and has been rotating/resting players already.

     

    I think Millwall will definitely be giving someone a good beating soon, and I can easily see that day being today against a below par Norwich side. Millwall at odds of around 7/4.

  18. 11 minutes ago, WiggoBets said:

    Looking at the battle at the wrong end of the table, I think the value bet may be QPR to go down at 4s. They haven't strengthened at all this summer, and they were a poor outfit last year led by a poor manager who was very lucky to keep his job after a horrendous run of defeats when he first rejoined them. QPR, Millwall and Ipswich will be the three teams to perish I think. 

    Agree 100% about QPR. I think they're in big trouble. Struggled last year, haven't strengthened and looking at their squad, I just can't see how they're going to have enough to stay up. Unless of course they have a really busy end to the transfer window.

     

    Im not so sure about Ipswich. I think they will be down there in the bottom half, but whilst they have McCarthy, they always seem to just have enough to survive despite his poor, negative tactics. Hope they do go down though!

  19. Just now, StevieDay1983 said:

    How are you feeling about Norwich? I still think you have a strong squad but a dozen teams do this season. It's the most unpredictable season yet!

    I really don't know! And that's how most Norwich fans feel. Pre season has been positive, but of course that doesn't equal a strong season.

    Im happy with the business we have done. Howson was arguably our best player last season, although there was a feel around the place that he is/was replaceable. We have got rid of a lot of deadwood in Bennett, Ruddy, Bassong, Lafferty amongst others. Some real big earners that reportedly had poor attitudes. Jacob Murphy has also left but we received a good figure for him, and we have also kept his twin Josh, who is thought of at Norwich as the better twin.

    In terms of incomings, the most impressive during pre season has been Harrison Reed for me. He is on a season long loan from Southampton and he looks absolute class. We have been playing 4141 and 3142 formations and he plays as the sitting 1 in midfield in both systems. He is a pit bull type midfielder but is also brilliant on the ball. The only problem is that if he gets injured/suspended, his replacement is Alex Tettey, who although has been a good servant, isn't really up to it, in terms of the system and the possession based game we now play.

    i think we may be a little short in some areas in terms of squad strength, but I think and hope we should be around the top 6, and I'd be happy with this.

  20. On 19/07/2017 at 0:08 PM, StevieDay1983 said:

    Hahaha, you just sound like a stereotypical worn down Championship fan. Our fans are very optimistic about this season but I am always pessimistic. I just always struggle to see where the 45-50 points for survival will come let alone the other points for potential promotion. I look at our best XI and it's probably...

    GK: Etheridge (not great - would have loved to see Marshall return)

    DR: Paterson (quality addition if he can stay fit)

    DL: Bennett (another attacking full back - Warnock looking to re-kindle the Blades days when he briefly had Walker and Naughton!)

    DC: Manga (looking forward to seeing him return to his best now he's committed to a contract extension)

    DC: Morrison (not the biggest fans' favourite but the physical brute we need to complement Manga's more classy approach)

    MR: Hoilett (one of a number of potential wide men. Could bring the assists to the table and a huge improvement on the shot Noone)

    ML: Ward (another player who might not make the starting XI but is my personal choice)

    MC: Ralls (still think he's a better central midfielder but Warnock keeps playing him out wide. Hopefully, that changes)

    MC: Gunnarsson (our player of the season last year. Warnock gets the best out of him. Can lead our charge. Amazed he's not captain)

    AM: Tomlin (sitting him in the hole will work well)

    FC: Zohore (proven he can score goals up top on his own)

    When you think that squad doesn't even include the likes of Bamba, Richards, Damour, Mendez-Laing, Saadi, Connolly, or Pilkington it shows how much more depth we have this season. I'm still backing us to make top 6 but it's going to be close. As you said, it's very congested. Wolves and Middlesbrough going all out to appear as the early favourites but so many other teams could be in the mix.

    Cardiff have been in my betting thoughts all summer so it's good to hear you sound so positive about them. I've been toying whether to take them for a top half finish or not but with Warnock and a good squad, I'm hoping they'll be up there!

  21. On 19/07/2017 at 0:08 PM, StevieDay1983 said:

    Hahaha, you just sound like a stereotypical worn down Championship fan. Our fans are very optimistic about this season but I am always pessimistic. I just always struggle to see where the 45-50 points for survival will come let alone the other points for potential promotion. I look at our best XI and it's probably...

    GK: Etheridge (not great - would have loved to see Marshall return)

    DR: Paterson (quality addition if he can stay fit)

    DL: Bennett (another attacking full back - Warnock looking to re-kindle the Blades days when he briefly had Walker and Naughton!)

    DC: Manga (looking forward to seeing him return to his best now he's committed to a contract extension)

    DC: Morrison (not the biggest fans' favourite but the physical brute we need to complement Manga's more classy approach)

    MR: Hoilett (one of a number of potential wide men. Could bring the assists to the table and a huge improvement on the shot Noone)

    ML: Ward (another player who might not make the starting XI but is my personal choice)

    MC: Ralls (still think he's a better central midfielder but Warnock keeps playing him out wide. Hopefully, that changes)

    MC: Gunnarsson (our player of the season last year. Warnock gets the best out of him. Can lead our charge. Amazed he's not captain)

    AM: Tomlin (sitting him in the hole will work well)

    FC: Zohore (proven he can score goals up top on his own)

    When you think that squad doesn't even include the likes of Bamba, Richards, Damour, Mendez-Laing, Saadi, Connolly, or Pilkington it shows how much more depth we have this season. I'm still backing us to make top 6 but it's going to be close. As you said, it's very congested. Wolves and Middlesbrough going all out to appear as the early favourites but so many other teams could be in the mix.

    Cardiff have been in my betting thoughts all summer so it's good to hear you sound so positive about them. I've been toying whether to take them for a top half finish or not but with Warnock and a good squad, I'm hoping they'll be up there!

  22. On 19/07/2017 at 0:08 PM, StevieDay1983 said:

    Hahaha, you just sound like a stereotypical worn down Championship fan. Our fans are very optimistic about this season but I am always pessimistic. I just always struggle to see where the 45-50 points for survival will come let alone the other points for potential promotion. I look at our best XI and it's probably...

    GK: Etheridge (not great - would have loved to see Marshall return)

    DR: Paterson (quality addition if he can stay fit)

    DL: Bennett (another attacking full back - Warnock looking to re-kindle the Blades days when he briefly had Walker and Naughton!)

    DC: Manga (looking forward to seeing him return to his best now he's committed to a contract extension)

    DC: Morrison (not the biggest fans' favourite but the physical brute we need to complement Manga's more classy approach)

    MR: Hoilett (one of a number of potential wide men. Could bring the assists to the table and a huge improvement on the shot Noone)

    ML: Ward (another player who might not make the starting XI but is my personal choice)

    MC: Ralls (still think he's a better central midfielder but Warnock keeps playing him out wide. Hopefully, that changes)

    MC: Gunnarsson (our player of the season last year. Warnock gets the best out of him. Can lead our charge. Amazed he's not captain)

    AM: Tomlin (sitting him in the hole will work well)

    FC: Zohore (proven he can score goals up top on his own)

    When you think that squad doesn't even include the likes of Bamba, Richards, Damour, Mendez-Laing, Saadi, Connolly, or Pilkington it shows how much more depth we have this season. I'm still backing us to make top 6 but it's going to be close. As you said, it's very congested. Wolves and Middlesbrough going all out to appear as the early favourites but so many other teams could be in the mix.

    Cardiff have been in my betting thoughts all summer so it's good to hear you sound so positive about them. I've been toying whether to take them for a top half finish or not but with Warnock and a good squad, I'm hoping they'll be up there!

  23. I feel the same about Blackburn. Peter Whittingham is a class player and could still do a job in the Championship. The only reservations I have about them is a) the expectation they might have on them week in, week out and b) the manager. I have never been a big fan of Mowbray and I don't know if he'll necessarily be the right man to lead them to promotion. Hopefully he will be though.

  24. The one I've had a look at at a slightly bigger price is Chesterfield. They signed Chris O'Grady who is by no means a prolific striker, but at this level could be seen as an eye catching signing, dropping from the Championship. I have only looked at this division briefly so will delve into it with more detail before the season starts.

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