liquidglass

I just cannot see how you can justify both tips based on the reasoning that you have provided. Firstly this is just the beginning of the season, so to throw tiredness in as a possible factor why two in-form players should both lose is ludicrous. The point of Cecchinato having a title to defend next week is just speculative and empty. Only Cecchinato knows his plans for next week.
Furthermore if you are a student of the Odds Movement Academy you will know that a very swift move of odds resulting in the unjustified favouritism of a player is a case of what is known in betting circles as “Sharp Money” . I will find it somewhat strange for Moutet and Londero to both win following those generic market moves. So confident of both not winning as a double that I recommend a 10/10 likelihood. However, I will separate them by taking Monteiro to beat Moutet in what I expect to be a decisive victory. He was the original favourite. He is also the better and most in form player.

Djokovic vs Thiem
On the whole I feel that it has really been a superb tournament considering the dramatic build up to the final. An unprecedented sequence of events that just could not have worked out better.
It has to be noted that before the appearance of Tsitsipas and Medvedev, Thiem and Zverev have always been the bonafied heirs of the number 1 & 2 positions in men’s tennis and thanks in part to Zverev that he somehow was able to rediscover his game to play his part in the build up to What can only feel as the crowning of the new prince. And why would there be any reason to think differently?
Thiem was arguably on form the best player of last year as he finished the season with a bang and has just seamlessly continued from where he left off. In the semi-finals, with Thiem and Zverev at 9/2 and 17/2 respectively, I advised my students on one of the tennis online forums to snap up those prices of whichever of the two guys they preferred as I had a gut feeling that this first tournament of the new decade had the propensity to give birth to something really special. Form or no form, I feel there should only be one option for any punter betwise. The mentality should really be that in most cases we always end up losing anyway and taking Thiem here is a justifiable mistake if it turns out that way. 2020? You just cannot afford to put new wine in old skins.
Thiem is also a confident strong, determined and fearless who has bested Djokovic in 3 of their last 4 meetings. There is no reason not to win no4 despite playing more hours on court. This is a man who is drastically raise the bar on the tennis front this year. Interestingly enough when Djokovic finished his semi-final against Federer he was 1/6 awaiting the winner of Thiem/Zverev. He would have stayed that way had Zverev won. He is now 2/9 against Thiem. I have always been an advocate of positive price moves speaking ahead of form. This should really be a thriller with only one expected outcome. Welcome to the new tennis era.

Djokovic vs Thiem
On the whole I feel that it has really been a superb tournament considering the dramatic build up to the final. An unprecedented sequence of events that just could not have worked out better.
It has to be noted that before the appearance of Tsitsipas and Medvedev, Thiem and Zverev have always been the bonafied heirs of the number 1 & 2 positions in men’s tennis and thanks in part to Zverev that he somehow was able to rediscover his game to play his part in the build up to What can only feel as the crowning of the new prince. And why would there be any reason to think differently?
Thiem was arguably on form the best player of last year as he finished the season with a bang and has just seamlessly continued from where he left off. In the semi-finals, with Thiem and Zverev at 9/2 and 17/2 respectively, I advised my students on one of the tennis online forums to snap up those prices of whichever of the two guys they preferred as I had a gut feeling that this first tournament of the new decade had the propensity to give birth to something really special. Form or no form, I feel there should only be one option for any punter betwise. The mentality should really be that in most cases we always end up losing anyway and taking Thiem here is a justifiable mistake if it turns out that way. 2020? You just cannot afford to put new wine in old skins.
Thiem is also a confident strong, determined and fearless who has bested Djokovic in 3 of their last 4 meetings. There is no reason not to win no4 despite playing more hours on court. This is a man who is drastically raise the bar on the tennis front this year. Interestingly enough when Djokovic finished his semi-final against Federer he was 1/6 awaiting the winner of Thiem/Zverev. He would have stayed that way had Zverev won. He is now 2/9 against Thiem. I have always been an advocate of positive price moves speaking ahead of form. This should really be a thriller with only one expected outcome. Welcome to the new tennis era.

Borna Coric vs Carballes Baena
Coric 15/7 on hard courts this year and 2/4 recently would seem way way overpriced against a claycourter like Baena who is really no mug on hard courts. He is 3/4 this year and most importantly 3/4 in current form. Coric has no major weapons and thrives on consistency during rallies. I really think Baena can hold his own comfortably against him. Coric 1/14 is a clear depiction of a piss-take. And just like they heard me, a price slash happens this minute, now Coric 1/12. This match really has the potential to drag for some considerable length considering that their only meeting many years ago ended in a tight 3 setter on clay. Verdict. over 30games in total 10/10

Zvonareva Vs Sabalenka
Sabalenka clearly running on reserves should not be able to give the veteran Zvonareva a 5.5 start. I see Zvonareva pushing her well enough to go over the total 19.5 games barrier as well. Verdict over 19.5 games

Simona halep Vs Kaya Kanepi
This one here is a product of market force where the possible outcome of this match is clearly determined by the digital movement of the odds. Those who understand the dynamics of market forces will know that in most situations odd movements are a more dependable tool for pointing to the outcome of any match than any stats will dare to do. That also will depend on the interpreter of these movements. It is true to say that they do not always turn out to be 100% accurate but in most cases if the trace factor is dependable, should return over 80% accuracy. This has worked for me with over an 80% success rate using my own statistical analysis on the price movement. the conclusion clearly says Kanepi is a very strong positive in this match up. the question is to what extent? This is where judgemental wisdom is applied. In my opinion Kanepi is positive even to the stage of calling a mild upset alert. Kanepi to win a set is also good at 7/10 still. However, I am going to make what should be a brilliant investment call @ Kanepi over 6.5 total games

This is an indication that your knowledge in the sport is somewhat suspect. What then is your idea of a world class tennis player? Will you restrictively confine it to the top 2 or 3 in the world. I would say certainly not. One  described as such is one who can hold their own certainly among the very best in the world. Goerges is that player. One who more than often maintains her consistency in winning matches she is supposed to win. Goerges is that player. One who no one will bat an eylid wondering what went wrong with the others if she suddenly won a slam. Goerges is that player.
I am somewhat baffled by your unsubstantiated and pointless arguement in reference to her playing bad against a 17year old and being almost defeated by another 17year old. What has age got to do with the price of milk my friend? Playing badly is not synonymous with results. In the end she won. Ask Mr Morinho, he will brief you better. Even after all is said and done, if you know your tennis well should't those 17year olds and alikes like the ones you mentioned be the most feared in the sport today? If a player is going to be really progressive everyone expects to see those signs by 17years old. It is the reason whywe do not refer to talents such as Anisimova as mere 17year olds. 
Players are human and have rigorous and hectic schedules. They are also by default always certain to run into a bad patch at some point. The length of this bad patch could vary from player to player. If your idea of a world class player is "one who always wins when I bet on them" then may I suggest you reboot your thought process!

Simona halep Vs Kaya Kanepi
This one here is a product of market force where the possible outcome of this match is clearly determined by the digital movement of the odds. Those who understand the dynamics of market forces will know that in most situations odd movements are a more dependable tool for pointing to the outcome of any match than any stats will dare to do. That also will depend on the interpreter of these movements. It is true to say that they do not always turn out to be 100% accurate but in most cases if the trace factor is dependable, should return over 80% accuracy. This has worked for me with over an 80% success rate using my own statistical analysis on the price movement. the conclusion clearly says Kanepi is a very strong positive in this match up. the question is to what extent? This is where judgemental wisdom is applied. In my opinion Kanepi is positive even to the stage of calling a mild upset alert. Kanepi to win a set is also good at 7/10 still. However, I am going to make what should be a brilliant investment call @ Kanepi over 6.5 total games

Did you watch semi with Goerges v Sabalenka? very high standard of tennis from both.

Simona halep Vs Kaya Kanepi
This one here is a product of market force where the possible outcome of this match is clearly determined by the digital movement of the odds. Those who understand the dynamics of market forces will know that in most situations odd movements are a more dependable tool for pointing to the outcome of any match than any stats will dare to do. That also will depend on the interpreter of these movements. It is true to say that they do not always turn out to be 100% accurate but in most cases if the trace factor is dependable, should return over 80% accuracy. This has worked for me with over an 80% success rate using my own statistical analysis on the price movement. the conclusion clearly says Kanepi is a very strong positive in this match up. the question is to what extent? This is where judgemental wisdom is applied. In my opinion Kanepi is positive even to the stage of calling a mild upset alert. Kanepi to win a set is also good at 7/10 still. However, I am going to make what should be a brilliant investment call @ Kanepi over 6.5 total games

Shapopalov vs Aliassime
I clearly recall Shapovalov's interview after beating Edmund in the first round of queens Club where he was praised for his very high work rate that had brought the dramatic increase in his play. He said, if you think I work hard you really need to meet my friend and mentor Auger Aliassime. "He is what I call an endless workhorse, an epitome of perfection. I look up to him because I want to be like him. He will certainly govern the world one day" From that day I kept looking for this raw talent borne out of Africa whose name the interviewer was having a torrid time pronouncing.
The head to head stands at 1-0 Shapovalov. I guess that was then; this is now where the most anticipated match of the FA cup of tennis lies a few hours away. It has to be said that Shapovalov has currently lost his shine but is still there as the favorite and deservedly so. They are best of friends and double partners and I just hope that the last revelation does not delete the competitive edge of this great match up. Aliassime played his qualifying rounds perfectly despatching everything in sight in straights and conserving energy for the main event. This should be really good first round match. verdict: Aliassime to win; over 38.5 games.

In my humble opinion, it would be a sweeping statement to say "she threw" the match. The girl has not even grown up enough to work for enough food for herself talk less of throwing away. In a big tourney such as New Haven she would only have been trying her hardest best to arrive at victory. Not even the best of players can afford to throw matches away in a tournament of that magnitude. Goerges in recent times has been nothing short of world class material. You really have to earn victory from those sort of players even if they are at their tiredest low. Gritt is the difference between the old Goerges and the new one. It is from a similar fabric that the new Sabalenka has emerged from - doggedly and annoyingly clutch. This brings me to my second observation; To be successful in this indulgence, you must be pokerfaced at all times devoid of emotion. People sometimes get emotional when a player clearly lets them down and they now somehow find themselves chosing a pick which is more from a payback to the offending player. All players will always be guilty of coniving against us at one point or another. Fact. The only person that can disappoint you is you who made a bad pick. She would not have be seen to throw the match away had you been on Goerges.
I also think it is the same case with Stephens. Surely she has to be allowed a flop here or there especially judging from the alarming consistency by which she now appears at the business end of these big tournaments. Going against her at home in the first round with a player of no repute would seem a disastrous call just even pondering over the potential matchup. Sloane has a lazy style that has effectively lands most opponents in handcuffs bar a few. I just do not think Rodina has the credentials to get over that bar. Time will tell if she is able to shut my big mouth.

Thanks all guys for your hard work. 
Last week didn't watch any tennis game, but now it's time. Based on your thoughts and my feelings I decided to go with double:
Dmitrov @2.1x [email protected] at WilliamHill
I see that Vavrinka is coming back, but don't think he is ready for 4-5sets, this is why I "backing" Dmitrov as I see 50/50 game, but if Dmitrov will win First or even second set, I can't see Vavrinka will continue same level for 4th set...
Ruud is good youngster, and if he will keep his qualification form, he should beat Pella, who have no game practice recently.
I like Troicki @3.25 or over in this game, because I now Troicki can play very good tennis, but his mentality it's not strong, but I am going because Sandgren is not like he was in AO, so it's blind bet for me, as don't know what to expect from Troicki. 
Don't trust Giorgi, so like over but afraid she can lost it in straight sets, so will go with +5.5 @1.9 at William Hill for Whitney.
Good luck for all.
P.S. My favourites to win USO Tsitsipas and Svitolina.
What a great start for me! Once again teenager with no fight spirit let me down to be on truck...Giorgi was nothing special, but Whitney....this f** woman's sport!!! Have a good night everyone who fallow UO...I going to bed...LOL
 

Shapopalov vs Aliassime
I clearly recall Shapovalov's interview after beating Edmund in the first round of queens Club where he was praised for his very high work rate that had brought the dramatic increase in his play. He said, if you think I work hard you really need to meet my friend and mentor Auger Aliassime. "He is what I call an endless workhorse, an epitome of perfection. I look up to him because I want to be like him. He will certainly govern the world one day" From that day I kept looking for this raw talent borne out of Africa whose name the interviewer was having a torrid time pronouncing.
The head to head stands at 1-0 Shapovalov. I guess that was then; this is now where the most anticipated match of the FA cup of tennis lies a few hours away. It has to be said that Shapovalov has currently lost his shine but is still there as the favorite and deservedly so. They are best of friends and double partners and I just hope that the last revelation does not delete the competitive edge of this great match up. Aliassime played his qualifying rounds perfectly despatching everything in sight in straights and conserving energy for the main event. This should be really good first round match. verdict: Aliassime to win; over 38.5 games.

In my humble opinion, it would be a sweeping statement to say "she threw" the match. The girl has not even grown up enough to work for enough food for herself talk less of throwing away. In a big tourney such as New Haven she would only have been trying her hardest best to arrive at victory. Not even the best of players can afford to throw matches away in a tournament of that magnitude. Goerges in recent times has been nothing short of world class material. You really have to earn victory from those sort of players even if they are at their tiredest low. Gritt is the difference between the old Goerges and the new one. It is from a similar fabric that the new Sabalenka has emerged from - doggedly and annoyingly clutch. This brings me to my second observation; To be successful in this indulgence, you must be pokerfaced at all times devoid of emotion. People sometimes get emotional when a player clearly lets them down and they now somehow find themselves chosing a pick which is more from a payback to the offending player. All players will always be guilty of coniving against us at one point or another. Fact. The only person that can disappoint you is you who made a bad pick. She would not have be seen to throw the match away had you been on Goerges.
I also think it is the same case with Stephens. Surely she has to be allowed a flop here or there especially judging from the alarming consistency by which she now appears at the business end of these big tournaments. Going against her at home in the first round with a player of no repute would seem a disastrous call just even pondering over the potential matchup. Sloane has a lazy style that has effectively lands most opponents in handcuffs bar a few. I just do not think Rodina has the credentials to get over that bar. Time will tell if she is able to shut my big mouth.

In my humble opinion, it would be a sweeping statement to say "she threw" the match. The girl has not even grown up enough to work for enough food for herself talk less of throwing away. In a big tourney such as New Haven she would only have been trying her hardest best to arrive at victory. Not even the best of players can afford to throw matches away in a tournament of that magnitude. Goerges in recent times has been nothing short of world class material. You really have to earn victory from those sort of players even if they are at their tiredest low. Gritt is the difference between the old Goerges and the new one. It is from a similar fabric that the new Sabalenka has emerged from - doggedly and annoyingly clutch. This brings me to my second observation; To be successful in this indulgence, you must be pokerfaced at all times devoid of emotion. People sometimes get emotional when a player clearly lets them down and they now somehow find themselves chosing a pick which is more from a payback to the offending player. All players will always be guilty of coniving against us at one point or another. Fact. The only person that can disappoint you is you who made a bad pick. She would not have be seen to throw the match away had you been on Goerges.
I also think it is the same case with Stephens. Surely she has to be allowed a flop here or there especially judging from the alarming consistency by which she now appears at the business end of these big tournaments. Going against her at home in the first round with a player of no repute would seem a disastrous call just even pondering over the potential matchup. Sloane has a lazy style that has effectively lands most opponents in handcuffs bar a few. I just do not think Rodina has the credentials to get over that bar. Time will tell if she is able to shut my big mouth.

Osuigwe Whitney vs Giorgi
This should be a very easy game for Giorgi or a cake walk as someone has once before described on this forum. Giorgi has had some good workouts on hardcourts recently and has maintained a good winning ratio beating people that she should normally beat but perhaps getting to no milestone of importance in all those victories. 
Giorgi in my opinion is an intresting vibrant and engaging player with her heavy groundstrokes and quickplay. She is also very regressive (A Player in orbit on a destination to nowhere) Lost recently to Bencic 6-4 6-4, prior to that, brushed aside by a mundane and insipid Keys and lost in a three setter to Kuzmova who really in my opinion is a player for the future. 
Whitney Osuigwe represents hope for the future of American tennis. She is the reigning ITF junior world champion and a former no1 junior in the world. Osuigwe also won the 2017 French Open to become the first American to win the girls' singles event in 28 years. She is currently 16yrs old and has been playing well recently to be worthy of mention. I expect her to improve a lot from her recent defeat to Bencic and play with more confidence and freedom against a clueless Giorgi. I will not go overboard here with anxiety. Verdict: over 19.5 total games. Good luck all!!

Osuigwe Whitney vs Giorgi
This should be a very easy game for Giorgi or a cake walk as someone has once before described on this forum. Giorgi has had some good workouts on hardcourts recently and has maintained a good winning ratio beating people that she should normally beat but perhaps getting to no milestone of importance in all those victories. 
Giorgi in my opinion is an intresting vibrant and engaging player with her heavy groundstrokes and quickplay. She is also very regressive (A Player in orbit on a destination to nowhere) Lost recently to Bencic 6-4 6-4, prior to that, brushed aside by a mundane and insipid Keys and lost in a three setter to Kuzmova who really in my opinion is a player for the future. 
Whitney Osuigwe represents hope for the future of American tennis. She is the reigning ITF junior world champion and a former no1 junior in the world. Osuigwe also won the 2017 French Open to become the first American to win the girls' singles event in 28 years. She is currently 16yrs old and has been playing well recently to be worthy of mention. I expect her to improve a lot from her recent defeat to Bencic and play with more confidence and freedom against a clueless Giorgi. I will not go overboard here with anxiety. Verdict: over 19.5 total games. Good luck all!!

While I think you may be right in the pick, I think that they are players of equal potential especially with Muchova leading the h2h 1-0 and very much in form. Well.....maybe Yastremska just looks a bit more polished at this level and has despatched better opposition recently especially if the goerges match is a true reflection of her current ability level. Good luck!

Osuigwe Whitney vs Giorgi
This should be a very easy game for Giorgi or a cake walk as someone has once before described on this forum. Giorgi has had some good workouts on hardcourts recently and has maintained a good winning ratio beating people that she should normally beat but perhaps getting to no milestone of importance in all those victories. 
Giorgi in my opinion is an intresting vibrant and engaging player with her heavy groundstrokes and quickplay. She is also very regressive (A Player in orbit on a destination to nowhere) Lost recently to Bencic 6-4 6-4, prior to that, brushed aside by a mundane and insipid Keys and lost in a three setter to Kuzmova who really in my opinion is a player for the future. 
Whitney Osuigwe represents hope for the future of American tennis. She is the reigning ITF junior world champion and a former no1 junior in the world. Osuigwe also won the 2017 French Open to become the first American to win the girls' singles event in 28 years. She is currently 16yrs old and has been playing well recently to be worthy of mention. I expect her to improve a lot from her recent defeat to Bencic and play with more confidence and freedom against a clueless Giorgi. I will not go overboard here with anxiety. Verdict: over 19.5 total games. Good luck all!!

Hard match to call here which I really believe is better not calling as I see it as a match of potential distress. In my opinion Bertens pulling out will seem to be the favorite call. I really do not think Kontaveit will beat Bertens neither will Bertens allow herself get beat for free. It just will not happen. There is the confidence factor to defend if anything. The second best call which is not beyond the realms of possibility is Kiki the Beast Bertens continuing her winning streak

Cilic looks good for me @2.62 bet365
It's at least 55/45 game for me, so it worth try at this odds.
 

No Aryna Sabalenka should experience power failure for sure, Madison Keys played some awesome stuff against Angie Kerber. Should be a good one and Amanda Anisimova I've had serious thoughts about winning against Elina Svitolina. Why not since that 16 year old is something special. I think she's better then Elina is many aspects of her game.

Tennis Black Friday
Hello Everyone,
Well....you guessed it right. I am the pioneer of Tennis Black Friday perhaps borne out of a lack of something better to do....or maybe just easily coined out of pure undiluted thought and imagination. However, it is what it is. Black Friday come early. I came up with this idea just pondering over the numerous rain delays that have plagued tournaments in the last week or so causing stress and hectic schedules to players and most of all creating huge opportunities for punters.
The effect of matches being stopped and started ultimately leads to inconsistent and uncertain outcomes in various permutations of expectations. Players become frustrated and confused from not knowing when they are playing or from suddenly being faced with the prospect of playing two long matches in one day. The bookies on the other hand lose track of their pricing methodology and do not really know how to price up certain players. Out of the resulting confusion bookies like Paddy Power already reknowned for their dodgy behaviour of manipulating numbers, blank their inplay screens as their once dependable faculties begin to buffer. 
Collectively in enjoying the fun of Black Friday, we can all come together as one potent unit (lol) to open our eyes like hawks looking for bargains and possible power failures. My idea of a power failure is something like this; Sabalenka vs Keys with the amount of games and three set matches and narrow escapes that Sabalenka has already had, despite her scintillating form, she should experience power failure against a very fresh Maidison Keys.
I also think Anisimova will benefit from the continuous mayhem with a bit of confidence drawn from the combination of beating Martic, an extra day's rest and home advantage. Anisimova should win a set and possibly more.
Finally to enjoy the best of both worlds, I have decided to quickly take the day trip to New Haven to wholly benefit from the experience and come back in enough time to join play at Cincinatti. This is where I find my bargain of the day with Maria Mateas standing a more than decent chance of flooring a waning Kristina Pliskova. Okay, lets not be greedy guys. we can take the Mateas 5,5 head start for a confident win. I will look to a big shout from bullish tennis hawks like Czech and Four Leaves (lol) for some more spice. Good Luck everyone and happy Black Friday!!!

Not sure what I can add to that, I've basically put Cincy aside already. I did have some thinks about New Haven though and I guess that you are right about Mateas-Pliskova. My approach to that would be to see a couple of games and then decide, but I reckon that there won't be any streams for the qualifiers. Sabalenka is a massive enigma to me, I have no idea how she keeps winning so many three-set matches, the four games streak against Garcia yesterday was a bit unreal.