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four-leaf

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  1. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from MABS in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    @CzechPunter I think both your bets tomorrow looks worth taking and making a parlay of so...
    Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 5.00 
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.25 
    Double total odds at 16.25 with bet365 
  2. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from yogg in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    @CzechPunter I think both your bets tomorrow looks worth taking and making a parlay of so...
    Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 5.00 
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.25 
    Double total odds at 16.25 with bet365 
  3. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from trix in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    @CzechPunter I think both your bets tomorrow looks worth taking and making a parlay of so...
    Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 5.00 
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.25 
    Double total odds at 16.25 with bet365 
  4. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Feliciano Lopez to beat Matteo Berrettini at 2.00 with bet365
    @CzechPunter I think I can take some of your writing from GG-Lopez match here. Feli has won Gstaad before because he is not only a player who can hit big shots, but also the conditions suits him. Like you said the clay in Gstaad tends to be fine for bigger hitters and he's the bigger hitter in this match-up, with Matteo being more of a typical grinder that would enjoy something slower and muddier. Feli has the experience to still win matches where he can dictate the match with his serve and big shots and I think that could be exactly what we're going to see on Friday.
  5. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from yogg in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Feliciano Lopez to beat Matteo Berrettini at 2.00 with bet365
    @CzechPunter I think I can take some of your writing from GG-Lopez match here. Feli has won Gstaad before because he is not only a player who can hit big shots, but also the conditions suits him. Like you said the clay in Gstaad tends to be fine for bigger hitters and he's the bigger hitter in this match-up, with Matteo being more of a typical grinder that would enjoy something slower and muddier. Feli has the experience to still win matches where he can dictate the match with his serve and big shots and I think that could be exactly what we're going to see on Friday.
  6. Like
    four-leaf reacted to South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Hyeon Chung to beat Taylor Fritz at 1.95
    I'm well aware that this is Chung's first match back from injury and thus there is a large degree of risk involved in this bet. However, besides going out to Haase in the first round of the Madrid Masters (when he was clearly injured), he has won a few matches in other tournaments he has played, making the quarter-finals of the Miami and Indian Wells Masters. Fritz has done well this year, but mainly on the Challenger circuit.
     
  7. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.22 with Marathonbet
    Pretty drastic odds given that Basilashvili has already won three matches against decent opposition in this tournament. Cuevas has always been the better clay court player of the two and everything, but his form has been VERY shaky in recent times and I just don't believe that he can be trusted as a big favorite against players that can actually play, which Basilashvili can. In terms of value, there's only one play to make here and I prefer the outright win over the handicap lines (if Basilashvili loses, chances are that it's going to be by a big margin, he's often that kind of a guy).
    Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 4.97 with Pinnacle
    Odds odds odds. Dutra Silva has many of these odd losses against worse players and Safranek will have the home conditions on his side here, so 5.00?
  8. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Tallon Griekspoor to beat Martin Cuevas at 2.00 with bet365
    Tallon looks like a player on the rise. Martin is not the most dangerous player to face and it never looks like he can win a match on the challenger tour until he beats some lower ranked player or like in the case of yesterday when he managed to beat Pedro Cachin who just recently won a futures tournament. I don't belive for a second Tallon will lose this match as I see him as a mutch better player.
  9. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Vera Zvonareva to beat Kaia Kanepi at 2.62 with bet365
    Vera might have lost badly last week to Ons Jabeur but I belive she'll be good enough to keep this match tight and maybe even win it. The match is at home for Vera in Moscow but the surface clay might not be her best but it's also hard to say that it's Kaias best surface. They met 8 years ago in US open quarters and Vera won in 2 back then but both where better at that time, Vera was a top 10 player and Kaia almost top 30. I think Vera can fight her way back to top 100 at least and that's done by winning matches like this.
  10. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Ramkumar Ramanathan to beat Steve Johnson at 4.00 with bet365
    Ramkumar currently has the level to win this or maybe we could say Steve doesn't have the level to win this. Anyway the odds are understandable but Ramkumar is underrated and will have a chance to win this match. He's played so well this tournament so I'd be surprised to see him lose this in 2. Ramkumar is worth a shot.
  11. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Preseason bets update   
    @CzechPunterTomas Berdych dropping 35 places to no.59 after SW19 and suddenly it's looking very good for Lucas Pouille to have the higher year end ranking so you were wrong about Tomas since he's going somewhere and it's down. Mikael Ymer will crack the top 300 soon if he keeps going the way he's been doing in july. He will soar at least 25 places after Swedish open. Corentin Moutet at no.117 way under 150 so far and it looks like he will keep it up. Dominic Thiem will be higher year end ranked than Stan who has dropped to no.199. Donna Vekic looking good, Belinda Bencic looks 50/50, who knows she might pull off a great US hard court swing. Forget about Yibing Wu. Caro Garcia still looks bad since it's only 1000 points separating her from Jelena Ostapenko. Sloane Stephens still looks 50/50. Naomi Osaka still looking good for both of us. I can forget about C-M Stebe. Nick Kyrgious girlfriend Ajla looks good at no.62.
    That's about it. We'll see how it looks like in September.
  12. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Rajeev Ram is one exception since he is 100% american but with an indian name.
  13. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Ramkumar Ramanathan to beat Tim Smyczek at 2.00 with bet365
    Once again Ramkumar is underrated and given even money even though he's played great tennis this week. Tim is ranked 123 and Ramkumar 161 and it's probably what makes Tim favored to win but I'll go for the indian again. I mean he's doing some good stuff so why not. Tim isn't anything special.
  14. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from MrCrossover in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Andrey Rublev to beat Robin Haase at 1.72 with bet365
    Andrey has already beaten Robin twice on clay and hardcourt, last time this season in Monte Carlo. Going against Robin looks worth it this time.
    Evgeny Donskoy to beat Marco Trungelliti at 2.37 with bet365
    Evgeny has a 2-0 record in this matchup and I think he has a good chance of extending his record. The price on Evgeny is a mystery. Marco has done nothing to deserve 1.57. I will defenitely be on Evgeny here.
  15. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from TheEdge in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Ramkumar Ramanathan to beat Vasek Pospisil at 3.00 with bet365
    Ramkumar beat Denis Kudla and I see him as a better player than Vasek at the moment. If he could play so well yesterday I see no problems in repeating that.
  16. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from Teodore in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    And there we go, Ramkumar Ramanathan into semifinal 
  17. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Jason Kubler to beat Ernesto Escobedo at 1.57 with Paddy Power
    Ernesto Escobedo is as one-dimensional as it gets and I was really shocked by some of his recent performances, the one against Joyce was exceedingly bad, for example. He might also be tempted to jump ship and hope to get into the Atlanta qualifiers, so, all in all, I fancy the much better player to prevail here.
     
  18. Haha
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    He finally got his double espresso 
  19. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Ramkumar Ramanathan to beat Vasek Pospisil at 3.00 with bet365
    Ramkumar beat Denis Kudla and I see him as a better player than Vasek at the moment. If he could play so well yesterday I see no problems in repeating that.
  20. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from divelloso in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Laslo Djere to beat Pablo Cuevas at 2.50 with bet365
    Pablo is in freefall, the uruguayan is going down and has been all season long. Saw him play this week against Jozef Kovalik in the Braunschweig quarterfinals and he was plain awful. Really the worst I've seen from him in a long time. Laslo won a challenger title on clay the week before Wimbledon and should be able to handle this. It's as close as he can get to home playing in Umag so he should be full of motivation to do good in Umag and he has the quality to win this match.
    Benoit Paire to beat Marton Fucsovics at 1.83 with bet365
    Benoit was 2.20 to beat Marton in Pune earlier this season and I had a bet on him then and will have another bet on him now. I still say Benoit is better than Marton which explains why he has a 2-0 record in this matchup. Benoit should reach the Umag quarters at least where he probably will face Damir Dzumhur.
    Alex de Minaur to beat Ivo Karlovic at 1.72 with bet365
    This youngster can do big things in the future and knocking out dr. Ivo should be no problems. Ivo at 39 years old finally has started to slow down while Alex at 19 years old only has begun to pick up speed.
  21. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Laslo Djere to beat Pablo Cuevas at 2.50 with bet365
    Pablo is in freefall, the uruguayan is going down and has been all season long. Saw him play this week against Jozef Kovalik in the Braunschweig quarterfinals and he was plain awful. Really the worst I've seen from him in a long time. Laslo won a challenger title on clay the week before Wimbledon and should be able to handle this. It's as close as he can get to home playing in Umag so he should be full of motivation to do good in Umag and he has the quality to win this match.
    Benoit Paire to beat Marton Fucsovics at 1.83 with bet365
    Benoit was 2.20 to beat Marton in Pune earlier this season and I had a bet on him then and will have another bet on him now. I still say Benoit is better than Marton which explains why he has a 2-0 record in this matchup. Benoit should reach the Umag quarters at least where he probably will face Damir Dzumhur.
    Alex de Minaur to beat Ivo Karlovic at 1.72 with bet365
    This youngster can do big things in the future and knocking out dr. Ivo should be no problems. Ivo at 39 years old finally has started to slow down while Alex at 19 years old only has begun to pick up speed.
  22. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 16 - July 22   
    Radu Albot to beat Pedro Sousa at 2.07 with Pinnacle
    Albot is being underestimated once again imo. He didn't do much damage against Isner, but I still liked his Wimbledon run and he's universal enough to go back to clay and beat someone like Sousa. The man from Portugal has lost to many much weaker players recently, so having him as the favourite here looks a bit wrong to me.
    Vasek Pospisil to beat Donald Young at 1.68 with Pinnacle
    Young has always been prone to losing streaks and he's in such a bad form at the moment that I'm actually willing to trust Pospisil for once. He's not a great singles player right now, but he's still a level above Young imo, both game-wise and mental-wise.
    Sergiy Stakhovsky to beat Jason Jung at 1.53 with Marathonbet
    Stakhovsky did surprisingly well during the European grass court swing and he should be able to convert that into at least one win in Newport. Jung has jumped back to hard courts in the meantime and I'm not sure that he has what it takes to beat someone this strong on a surface that he hasn't done anything great on so far.
  23. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from liquidglass in Wimbledon 2018   
    Well I can't say I reached to any conclusion. Just bad betting by me.
  24. Like
    four-leaf reacted to liquidglass in Wimbledon 2018   
    One quick comment. I just do not think that it makes sense opposing Collin the way you have decided to go about it.  He has a better win record than Krueger this year regardless of where those wins were achieved. Another thing is that the outcome of any match is not like tomatoes that you can weigh on a scale and get specific results. Giron and Aragon being ranked higher than Collin means nothing in terms of how Collin is going to match up with Krueger. Krueger's price @ 1/2 on the face of it is risky enough even thinking of win purposes only. He has also played 2 three setters in his last two matches. Collins should really being on a high here in my honest opinion and looks like the one that should really be backed to win a set. What do I know1 I could still be wrong. Good luck!!!
  25. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from losingpunter in Wimbledon 2018   
    Tom Jomby to beat Tom Fawcett at 2.75 with bet365
    I'm having trouble seeing Tom Jomby going out after he's clinically sent out Reilly Opelka. This Winnetka challenger is full of upsets but having Jomby as underdog to wild card Tom Fawcett is something I can't understand. 27 year old Tom Jomby playing at protected ranking with current ranking 501 and career high 337 achieved 2015 meets Tom Fawcett 22 year old wild card ranked 764 and career high 725 achieved in april this season after a successfull winter. With semifinal in Calabasas F8 futures losing to Marcos Giron and before that qualifying for Newport challenger after beating Jason Jung, Chris Eubanks and Marcos Giron and at the time Eubanks were ranked 323 and Jung 235. Now both are or have been top 200 since Eubanks have fallen a few spots off his career high 183. But even though Fawcett has been on the move this season I have to try a bet on Jomby. Also Fawcett is coached by experienced former ATP player Paul Goldstein with 11 hardcourt challenger titles and career high 65 in 2006 and 85 wins and 115 loses on the regular tour.
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