richard-westwood

Cheltenham 1.45 Eleven line up for this two mile handicap chase which has an open look about it. Joe Tizzard’s Triple Trade ran well at the last meeting here when finishing runner up to the Irish winner Dancing On My Own with Guy 4L back in fifth. He can confirm that form and give Joe Tizzard another winner. He’s struck with six of his last 17 runners at the time of writing. A one pound rise is unlikely to bother him here and he may have most too fear from the Skelton runner Calico.   TRIPLE TRADE 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234   Cheltenham 2.20 Just the four line up here for this two mile Grade 2 Novices’ Chase. The favourite JPR One looks bad value at around the 6/4 mark and I’m happy to take him on with Homme Public. Trained by the very much in form Oliver Greenall and Josh Guerriero he made a winning chasing debut in a handicap at Wetherby last month, jumping particularly well and looks the value bet here under Henry Brooke.   HOMME PUBLIC 1 point win @ 5/1 BetVictor   Cheltenham 2.55 A field of thirteen for this Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase. It maybe fought out by the top two in the Gordon Elliott trained pair of Delta Work and Galvin. At level weights there was 2 1/2L in favour of Delta Work at the Festival and although he is actually a pound better may have to play second fiddle to his stable companion Galvin who has such a great record fresh and can give Elliott a one two.   GALVIN 1 point win @ 7/2 William Hill   Cheltenham 3.30 It’s hard to look beyond favourite Captain Teague who can carry a 5lb penalty and beat his seven rivals in this 2M 5F Grade 2 Novices’ Hurdle. A smart bumper horse last season who did best of the English contingent in the Cheltenham bumper in finishing third, he made a winning debut in the Grade 2 Persian War Novices’ Hurdle last month and his trainer Paul Nicholls thinks the world of him. He’ll be very to beat.   CAPTAIN TEAGUE 3 points win @ 4/6 William Hill  

340 newc 
Bergerac. 8.6 9/2 
Brooklyn nine nine.  8.0 4/1 
Strong Johnson.  7.7 9/1 
Bergerac looks a strong rated horse here ....but Brooklyn might be capable of better now he comes to all weather ....I'll try 5pt wins top 2 as they look quite strong together to take on the field 

340 newc 
Bergerac. 8.6 9/2 
Brooklyn nine nine.  8.0 4/1 
Strong Johnson.  7.7 9/1 
Bergerac looks a strong rated horse here ....but Brooklyn might be capable of better now he comes to all weather ....I'll try 5pt wins top 2 as they look quite strong together to take on the field 

Leading active trainers at Cheltenham
Sorted by strike rate since the start of the 2018/19 season (minimum 25 runners)
Gavin Cromwell 22.86% (8-35) John McConnell 19.61% (10-51) Emma Lavelle 15.91% (7-44) Henry de Bromhead 15.71% (22-140) Leading active jockeys at Cheltenham
Sorted by strike rate since the start of the 2018/19 season (minimum 25 rides)
Keith Donoghue 20.69% (6-29) Paul Townend 20.41% (20-98) Richard Patrick 18.18% (8-44) Rachael Blackmore 17.71% (17-96) Gina Andrews 17.24% (5-29)

Just finished ratings ...so any thoughts just stick em in here 😀
Il ridoto. 9.0. 7/1
Unexpected party. 8.9. 7/1
Fugitif.  8.9 8/1
Notlongtilmay   8.4
Stagestar    8.4
Sebastopol.  8.3
Top 3 look a little clear of the rest and unexpected party looks like an improving novice type ...the type to do well in this race ...can't really split the top 3 as each has its merits so rather than go Ew I'll try 5pt wins top 3

Easy As That                                        2 20 Chlt/                      1/40th of a pt ew      28/1
Hapers Brook                                     2 20 Chlt/                       1/40th of a pt ew      22/1
 
 
P/L  + 173.75 pts

Shout out to @The Brigadier going for 6/6 on naps today and sitting in 3rd place. 

Just finished ratings ...so any thoughts just stick em in here 😀
Il ridoto. 9.0. 7/1
Unexpected party. 8.9. 7/1
Fugitif.  8.9 8/1
Notlongtilmay   8.4
Stagestar    8.4
Sebastopol.  8.3
Top 3 look a little clear of the rest and unexpected party looks like an improving novice type ...the type to do well in this race ...can't really split the top 3 as each has its merits so rather than go Ew I'll try 5pt wins top 3

Just finished ratings ...so any thoughts just stick em in here 😀
Il ridoto. 9.0. 7/1
Unexpected party. 8.9. 7/1
Fugitif.  8.9 8/1
Notlongtilmay   8.4
Stagestar    8.4
Sebastopol.  8.3
Top 3 look a little clear of the rest and unexpected party looks like an improving novice type ...the type to do well in this race ...can't really split the top 3 as each has its merits so rather than go Ew I'll try 5pt wins top 3

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Ground isn't brill at all on the courses especially aintree where it's literally a mudpit so I'll just stick to a race on the a.w 
730 chelm 
The waiting game and Cuban breeze had a battle royale lto with the former just coming out on top bookies seemed to have overlooked the pair but  ....speed ratings suggest that was a fast rAce and the latter is two pounds better off at the weights ....priced at 10/1 and 14/1 they both look very overpriced so I'll try 5pts Ew both as it's a quiet day ratings wise 

2.oo Nass 2pts e/w SUMMERVILLE BOY  14/1 5p Bog- Decent form this horse and from strong trainer and jockey had been overlooked in the betting earlier in the day i  actually got 20's.  Looks to have a strong e/w claim in a decent looking race.
2.00 Nass 0.5 e/w DROP THE ANCHOR 33/1 Bog 5p- A big outsider here and rightly so shown nowt on flat or over hurdles so far in 2023 i just feel  this 9yo McManus owned runner has a race or 2 in him yet!
5pts Invested

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Ground isn't brill at all on the courses especially aintree where it's literally a mudpit so I'll just stick to a race on the a.w 
730 chelm 
The waiting game and Cuban breeze had a battle royale lto with the former just coming out on top bookies seemed to have overlooked the pair but  ....speed ratings suggest that was a fast rAce and the latter is two pounds better off at the weights ....priced at 10/1 and 14/1 they both look very overpriced so I'll try 5pts Ew both as it's a quiet day ratings wise 

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Gesskille won ...percussion 2nd..frero 3rd  ...nassalam and fantastic lady 4th and 5th ........+15.00

3 places 100/1 1 winner 
+£105
week 2 +£108.60

Chelmsford 2030
 
TAMLUCK
MY OPINION
BIG NARSTIE
Combination tricast
Tamluck
my opinion
both win
BIG NARSTIE
each way
traverse law and draw data the influences here. Draw data says stall five but stall seven won this race just two years ago. TAMLUCK drops in class to six for the first time. Looks to hold every chance here. Tamluck has rocketed down the ratings and runs here off a career low on drop in class and stands to make a bold bid….

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Mr Richard you are going great guns there.
chelmsford 2000
draw data
Average  stall for winners stands at 9.33
True statesman 
see you boy
both each way

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀