richard-westwood

Yes a bit early I know but strong ratings and good ante post prices has forced me to play early 
325 winc badger ales trophy 
Master Dee    99,12
Double shuffle   99.11
Present man    99.06
Present man represents Nicholls so warrants respect but at 6/1 given his limited experience that looks very poor value ....on the flip side the top two here are being priced up at 16/1!! ....double shuffle particuly is 10/1 generally and only paddyp currently have him at 16/1 so im having that before its gone 
Master Dee 10pts win 16/1 corals 
Double shuffle 10pts win 16/1 paddyp

745 chelm
Pearl spectre  98.93
Miracle garden  98.91
Tropical rock  98.89 
Firm decisions  98,89
Rollover from today 30pts so may as well play in this open race .....top two have been running fairly well and look ready to run big races today .....any one of top 4 could win this but paddyp have quoted pearl spectre at 16/1 !! (Bet365 15/2 ) ....so lets play and roll the dice 
Pearl spectre 15pts win 16/1 pp
Miracle garden 15pts win 10/1 pp

Wins nicely 6/5 .....44pts returned nice ....would have been a fabulous day had that first not fell off lol

Quick look wins nicely ....makes up for earlier roll over to tomorrow 

Wins nicely 6/5 .....44pts returned nice ....would have been a fabulous day had that first not fell off lol

Wins nicely 6/5 .....44pts returned nice ....would have been a fabulous day had that first not fell off lol

Quick look wins nicely ....makes up for earlier roll over to tomorrow 

320 nott 
Ebitda    99.01
Ayrsome Angel    98.84
coistd bodhar   98.83 
Unusual for me to even look at an odds on but ebitda is so far in front here its unreal ......prob the equivalent to 20lbs or more so the 8/11 doesnt look that bad based on that so ill play as a one off 
Ebitda 20pts win 8/11 bet365

250 nott 
Quick look  98.88
Memories galore 98,88 
Tricky race ...both are in form but quick look probably has more scope for improvement if the drop in dist isn't inconvenient ....let's go hunting for another double up so may as well start here
Quick look 5pts ew 9/2 bet365  
 

250 nott 
Quick look  98.88
Memories galore 98,88 
Tricky race ...both are in form but quick look probably has more scope for improvement if the drop in dist isn't inconvenient ....let's go hunting for another double up so may as well start here
Quick look 5pts ew 9/2 bet365  
 

Quick look wins nicely ....makes up for earlier roll over to tomorrow 

320 nott 
Ebitda    99.01
Ayrsome Angel    98.84
coistd bodhar   98.83 
Unusual for me to even look at an odds on but ebitda is so far in front here its unreal ......prob the equivalent to 20lbs or more so the 8/11 doesnt look that bad based on that so ill play as a one off 
Ebitda 20pts win 8/11 bet365

Quick look wins nicely ....makes up for earlier roll over to tomorrow 

so backing all daily selections in each race would have made a profit of £21,363.81 from 16,178 bets
Backing all selections 4/1 and above would have made a profit of £25,521.84 from 8,418 bets
 

Born to finish wins nicely ....good day

Grey Destiny wins ...nice

Well done excellent tipping 

Good luck everyone! 
Here's my take on this very special race. 
Melbourne Cup 2017 - Preview:
The race that stops the nation.... or the race that disrupts my sleep. Yep, it's back - the one and only Melbourne Cup!
Thankfully only once a year. Getting up at 3.30am on a regular basis is probably not recommended. Nonetheless, Tuesday morning I will. All in the name of my favourite race on this beautiful planet!
Not because I've ever been particularly successful finding the winner. I have not. But because the build-up. The atmosphere. The enormity of the whole event. It's special.
One day I gonna be there. To see it with my own eyes. Wide awake and alert. Unlike tomorrow morning. When I watch on with red eyes.
As close as I ever came to the mecca that Flemington is: I drove passed it with a rental car earlier this year on a trip to Australia.
Let's talk about the actual race: off at 4am Irish time. Here's hoping my neighbours are prepared for the screams of joy when Rekindling strolls over the line as the winner of the 2017 Melbourne Cup!
In past years I always backed multiple horses in the race. Didn't do me any good. Only the bookies were smiling. This year I pin all my hopes on the Joseph O'Brien trained three year old colt.
But let's move all the negative factors out of the way first: no doubt there are a handful of good reasons why this lad won't get anywhere near the money tomorrow morning. Some smarter people than I am are probably right if they say Rekindling had a long season, the Cup is a mere afterthought on the back of an excellent Ledger performance and therefore he'll find this really tough.
Rekindling is not a particularly imposing individual in terms of physical presence either. He didn't have a prep run Down Under. And he's a galloping sort who might not enjoy the start-stop nature of the race.
All fair points. However at 14/1 I am prepared to take a chance on Rekindling, fully aware I will likely go back to sleep at roughly 4.30am after yet another Cup disappointment.
But hold on, let's hear for all the good reasons why Rekindling will win the 2017 Melbourne Cup:
Weight, Class and Ratings. He's a classy 116 rated individual, a multiple pattern class winner and was only 2 lengths beaten - and in my view unlucky not to get closer - when 4th in the English St. Leger.
He gets into the Cup with a featherweight thanks to WFO, however on Aussie terms is actually a four year old. He's got as little as 8st 2lb to carry. He's third highest ranked in terms of time speed and Racing Post Ratings. Granted, the merit of these ratings is questionable for obvious reasons - it still is another little piece in the puzzle.
The draw. It could hardly be any better. Stall 4 gives every opportunity. Not allot of energy needs to be wasted early on, as long Rekindling breaks alright. Which he should.
Form. An  impressive winner of the Curragh Cup, and an equally as impressive 4th in the English St. Leger. A performance I rate particularly highly. That is because he came from a long way back that day, trailing for most parts, and when travelling strongly on the bridle over three furlongs out, he did not get a clear run and lost valuable momentum and ground as a consequence.
Yet he produced the joint fastest sectionals for the last four furlongs and finished in fourth, only 2 lengths behind Capri. That form in its own right is strong, but has already been franked multiple times.
I also don't subscribe to the fact Rekindling would not be suited to the start-stop nature of the Melbourne Cup. In fact this lad is not a mere galloping sore who travels strongly and grinds things out. No, he has pace and a turn of foot. He showed it quite clearly when producing a superb effort over 10 furlongs in the lowly ran Ballysax Stakes earlier this year.
Now, I do really love the chance of this horse. I understand why people compare him to Bondi Beach in last years Cup. However I feel Rekindling is a different animal altogether.
I strongly believe he's more for than against him - with one only concern: he's usually held up. Here's hoping Rekindling will be utilized to full effect from his positive draw and does not settle farther off the pace than midfield.
I readily admit that it is a huge ask, nonetheless. And the field is incredibly competitive. I do not quite buy into the hype of Marmelo and find it hard to see Almandin doing it all again - however Red Cardinal would be my absolute prime chance in this race - if not for the wide draw.
Now this must not be a problem necessarily given he'll settle off the pace anyways, regardless of the draw. Still, he'll be too far back I fear. Max Dynamite, if fully fit - and he looked good during his comeback run - is another one to like a lot. The runner-up of 2015 has even less weight to carry this time round.
Tiberian, despite a wide draw, might be able to cross over as there seems not too much early pace here. If so, he's a dangerous horse. Hugo Palmer's Wall Of Fire had the perfect preparation - he's a major player.
Nonetheless, it's Rekindling or nothing for me. And what a story it would be. Joseph O'Brien in his first season as a trainer winning the Melbourne Cup - a feast his record breaking father never achieved? Go son, go!
Selection:

 10pts win - Rekindling @ 14/1 William Hill

335 ascot 
Go conquer  99.12
Anthony  99.08
Emerging force   99.08
Very open race but nothing is shining here ....go conquer looked to improve vastly last time and was cruising at the finish so the step up could bring about further improvement today ....quiet day so I'll just try an e.w bet
Go conquer 5pts ew 9/1 willh

Wins easily ....about 60pts returned 

Wins easily ....about 60pts returned 

Breeders cup juvenile turf 1050
Masar     99.12
Mendolson   99.11
Catholic boy 99.07
Catholic boy looks an improver but hes quite a bit behind the top two here one of which is ridden by r Moore .....both priced at 11/2 they look pretty good value to both make a play for this so I'll play on this one race tonight 
Masar 10pt win 11/2 lads
Mendohlson 10pts win 11/2 willh
 

Castebridge wins nicely ...rollover landed 120 pts returned

Castebridge wins nicely ...rollover landed 120 pts returned

Mendohlson and moore win easily 65pts returned