richard-westwood

Brittania 5.00 asc 
Finns charm   8.5 40/1 
Saxon King 8.5  18/1 
Royal Cape 8.3  22/1 
Betterdayscomin  8.1 25/1 
Docklands   7.8 
Surely not   7.7 
Incredibly difficult race as you can tell by betting ... .bookies going  16/1 2nd fav !!!....so its gotta be worth a punt ..... biggest factor i have is I think 12 /24 winners were drawn within 5 of either rail .(50%) .....un fortunately all top 4 are all drawn within 5 ...noooo....but huge prices and stats are in their favour so I'll try 10pt wins all 4 and hope a nice win is on the cards 👍 

4 places is crap ....can only think because odds are so high they are  worried about ew payouts 

Brittania 5.00 asc 
Finns charm   8.5 40/1 
Saxon King 8.5  18/1 
Royal Cape 8.3  22/1 
Betterdayscomin  8.1 25/1 
Docklands   7.8 
Surely not   7.7 
Incredibly difficult race as you can tell by betting ... .bookies going  16/1 2nd fav !!!....so its gotta be worth a punt ..... biggest factor i have is I think 12 /24 winners were drawn within 5 of either rail .(50%) .....un fortunately all top 4 are all drawn within 5 ...noooo....but huge prices and stats are in their favour so I'll try 10pt wins all 4 and hope a nice win is on the cards 👍 

Brittania 5.00 asc 
Finns charm   8.5 40/1 
Saxon King 8.5  18/1 
Royal Cape 8.3  22/1 
Betterdayscomin  8.1 25/1 
Docklands   7.8 
Surely not   7.7 
Incredibly difficult race as you can tell by betting ... .bookies going  16/1 2nd fav !!!....so its gotta be worth a punt ..... biggest factor i have is I think 12 /24 winners were drawn within 5 of either rail .(50%) .....un fortunately all top 4 are all drawn within 5 ...noooo....but huge prices and stats are in their favour so I'll try 10pt wins all 4 and hope a nice win is on the cards 👍 

Crazy results....... ouzo ew 6th 

4 places is crap ....can only think because odds are so high they are  worried about ew payouts 

There are 2 big heritage handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot. The first is the King George V Stakes. It is open to 3-year-olds and is run over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 211 yards. The off time is 15.05.
22 go to post and with some bookmakers offering 6 places it makes it an excellent betting proposition.
 
I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 years and these are my key conclusions.
Outsiders do not have a good record. There have been 71 horses with forecast odds over 14/1 and none of them has won.
It is best to have had a decent break from the last run. Those horses that last ran more than 24 days ago have a record of 7 wins from 89 runs with a profit of 21 points at Betfair Starting Price. Those that ran more recently have won just 2 from 67 with a loss of 49 points.
Those horses drawn in stalls 1 to 7 have a poor record with just 1 win from 53 attempts.
The ideal weight range is 8st 9lbs to 8st 12lbs with 5 wins from 56 runs and a profit of 43 points.
 
2 horses meet these criteria.
DAVIDEO 14/1
VALIANT KING 12/1
I suggest backing these each way with bookmakers offering 5/6 places.

Brittania 5.00 asc 
Finns charm   8.5 40/1 
Saxon King 8.5  18/1 
Royal Cape 8.3  22/1 
Betterdayscomin  8.1 25/1 
Docklands   7.8 
Surely not   7.7 
Incredibly difficult race as you can tell by betting ... .bookies going  16/1 2nd fav !!!....so its gotta be worth a punt ..... biggest factor i have is I think 12 /24 winners were drawn within 5 of either rail .(50%) .....un fortunately all top 4 are all drawn within 5 ...noooo....but huge prices and stats are in their favour so I'll try 10pt wins all 4 and hope a nice win is on the cards 👍 

Brittania 5.00 asc 
Finns charm   8.5 40/1 
Saxon King 8.5  18/1 
Royal Cape 8.3  22/1 
Betterdayscomin  8.1 25/1 
Docklands   7.8 
Surely not   7.7 
Incredibly difficult race as you can tell by betting ... .bookies going  16/1 2nd fav !!!....so its gotta be worth a punt ..... biggest factor i have is I think 12 /24 winners were drawn within 5 of either rail .(50%) .....un fortunately all top 4 are all drawn within 5 ...noooo....but huge prices and stats are in their favour so I'll try 10pt wins all 4 and hope a nice win is on the cards 👍 

Just posting early as I'll be working...
Royal hunt çup 
Astro King  9.1 12/1 
Ghaly    8.8 11/1 
Point lynas   8.5 36.0 
Ouzo   8.3  40/1 
Blue for you 8.2 
Supremely competitive pin sticker but lots of value on offer as a result ....my idea of winner is astro King who is looking very well hcapped currently and conditions shoukd suit if not too much rain ....I'll try 10pt wins top 2 ...5pt ew point and ouzo ....gotta be in it to win it .....and forecasts all 5 
 

Just posting early as I'll be working...
Royal hunt çup 
Astro King  9.1 12/1 
Ghaly    8.8 11/1 
Point lynas   8.5 36.0 
Ouzo   8.3  40/1 
Blue for you 8.2 
Supremely competitive pin sticker but lots of value on offer as a result ....my idea of winner is astro King who is looking very well hcapped currently and conditions shoukd suit if not too much rain ....I'll try 10pt wins top 2 ...5pt ew point and ouzo ....gotta be in it to win it .....and forecasts all 5 
 

Skybet doing 8 places at 33/1 too.

305 asc
Yerwanthere  8.5 6.4
Tarrabb    8.3  9.0
Indian  wish  7.8 
Crystal caprice   7.8 
Tricky race as the top 2 have "potential " ....prices in betfair are generous so 'll play top 2 ....10pt wins 

Saw it yesterday ....anything in top 5 can go well .....I'm more worried about ground ...its goid sft on round course and factor in draw and its a bit of a difficult puzzle 

Just posting early as I'll be working...
Royal hunt çup 
Astro King  9.1 12/1 
Ghaly    8.8 11/1 
Point lynas   8.5 36.0 
Ouzo   8.3  40/1 
Blue for you 8.2 
Supremely competitive pin sticker but lots of value on offer as a result ....my idea of winner is astro King who is looking very well hcapped currently and conditions shoukd suit if not too much rain ....I'll try 10pt wins top 2 ...5pt ew point and ouzo ....gotta be in it to win it .....and forecasts all 5 
 

305 asc
Yerwanthere  8.5 6.4
Tarrabb    8.3  9.0
Indian  wish  7.8 
Crystal caprice   7.8 
Tricky race as the top 2 have "potential " ....prices in betfair are generous so 'll play top 2 ....10pt wins 

Saw it yesterday ....anything in top 5 can go well .....I'm more worried about ground ...its goid sft on round course and factor in draw and its a bit of a difficult puzzle 

Just posting early as I'll be working...
Royal hunt çup 
Astro King  9.1 12/1 
Ghaly    8.8 11/1 
Point lynas   8.5 36.0 
Ouzo   8.3  40/1 
Blue for you 8.2 
Supremely competitive pin sticker but lots of value on offer as a result ....my idea of winner is astro King who is looking very well hcapped currently and conditions shoukd suit if not too much rain ....I'll try 10pt wins top 2 ...5pt ew point and ouzo ....gotta be in it to win it .....and forecasts all 5 
 

Ascot 2.30   The Norfolk kicks the day off and could turn out to be a match between the American challenger American Rascal, who’s dam Lady Aurelia loved Ascot and Karl Burke’s Elite Status who was so impressive at Sandown last time. They’re both priced accordingly mind and I’ll look for a bit of value with the Donnacha O’Brien trained Devious who won on his debut at Naas in good style.   DEVIOUS 1 point each way 14/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234   Ascot 3.05   As alway a highly competitive renewal with several unexposed three year olds. My shortlist comprises of top weight Bertinelli who won the London Cup last time and may still have a bit in hand of the handicapper, Davideo who makes his handicap debut here following a Newmarket maiden success and Sir Michael Stoute’s Perfuse making his handicap debut. A tough call but the pick is the Aiden O’Brien top weight Bertinelli.
BERTINELLI 1 point each way 7/1 bet365   Ascot 3.40   The supplemented Al Asifah looks very smart and is arguably the best three year old filly around. She’ll be hard to beat but has been priced accordingly at around the Even money mark. Bluestocking can turn the tables on her Newbury conqueror Warm Heart and looks one for the frame but I can’t look beyond Al Asifah who looks very good.   AL ASIFAH 2 points win 10/11 888Sport   Ascot 4.20   A good renewal of this famous staying race with no standout champion this season. Coltrane is the most obvious contender as he loves the track and stays so well whilst last year’s St Leger winner Eldar Eldarov ran a great trial at York and promises to be well suited by this longer trip. The Gosden’s have had such a great time of late in the race with Stradivarius and may have found another good one in the unbeaten Courage Mon Ami who is also stepping up markedly in trip but wasn’t stopping last time and on ratings hasn’t much to find. An unbeaten horse ridden by Frankie Dettori he’s the pick here with the Godolphin runner Yibir another to consider if he sees the trip out.   COURAGE MON AMI 1 point each way  7/1 bet365 1/5th 1234   Ascot 5.00   As always a real minefield of a race with thirty three year olds hurtling down the straight course. My short list consists of Sheila Lavery’s well thought of Fort Vega who looks nicely treated, Royal Cape who ran into one last time out at Haydock and the five timer seeking Racingbreaks Ryder who may still be ahead of the assessor. My pick is the Irish raider Fort Vega who his trainer still harbours Group aspirations for him.   FORT VEGA 1 point each way  25/1 bet365 1/4 1234 ROYAL CAPE 1 point each way 20/1 bet365 1/4 1234   Ascot 5.35   Another tough contest where it maybe worth chancing Exoplanet who was a real eye-catcher last time out in the London Cup at Newbury where he was badly drawn and had a wide trip all the way round but still finished third. Torito and Caernarfon look possible dangers but to small stakes it’s Exoplanet each way.   EXOPLANET 1 point each way 15/2 William Hill 1/5th 1234   Ascot 6.10   Another 29 runner cavalry charge in the shape of the Buckingham Palace Stakes Handicap. Kingdom Come is the tentative pick now dripping back in trip for Clive Cox. He appeared to run out of petrol within the final furlong last time out at Newbury and can be thereabouts.   KINGDOM COME 1 point each way 14/1 Coral 1/5th 123456        

Glad to see Ouzo well up  in your rating  Rich ithink the Osborne runner can go well at a massive price looks a really good e/w shout.

3.40
Equilateral
Each way

Just posting early as I'll be working...
Royal hunt çup 
Astro King  9.1 12/1 
Ghaly    8.8 11/1 
Point lynas   8.5 36.0 
Ouzo   8.3  40/1 
Blue for you 8.2 
Supremely competitive pin sticker but lots of value on offer as a result ....my idea of winner is astro King who is looking very well hcapped currently and conditions shoukd suit if not too much rain ....I'll try 10pt wins top 2 ...5pt ew point and ouzo ....gotta be in it to win it .....and forecasts all 5 
 

The big handicap on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Royal Hunt Cup. It is one of three perpetual trophies at the meeting, along with the Gold Cup and the Queen’s Vase, which can be kept permanently by the winning owners.
This heritage handicap is open to horses aged three years or older. It is run over 7 furlongs and 166 yards. The off time is 17.00.
There is a bumper field of 33. Some bookmakers are offering 7 places which makes it a good betting proposition.
 
I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 years and these are my key conclusions.
The ideal weight is 9st to 9st 3lbs with 7 wins from 86 runs and a profit of 61 points at Betfair Starting Price. The remainder have just 2 wins from 169 runs with a loss of 135 points.
4-year-olds have the best record with 7 wins from 115 runs and a profit of 7 points.
Horses that did not finish in the 1st 4 last time have won just 2 from 118 attempts.
 
Only 1 horse matches these criteria.
DAWN OF LIBERATION 40/1
I suggest backing this each way with bookmakers offering 6/7 places.

I like the look of The Berkshire EW double 
Berkshire Shadow 22/1 2.30 / Berkshire Rocco 16/1 6.10 . 0.50 ew double win bet 206.84 place bet 11.34 
That will do me today 5 points invested plus 3 points on the lucky 15 competition += 8 points for the day . Hopefully this rain carries on so I can make it back in time to watch first couple .

2.30 Ascot Lusail 33/1 
5.00 Ascot Calling the wind 12/1
5.35 Ascot Notre bell bele 28/1
6.10 Ascot Get shorty 25/1
O.1 e/w lucky 15 bet 365 not bog
3pts invested
3pts e/w calling the wind 12/1 6p not bog = 6pts
Total 9pts invested