buga00

Ok, got that one wrong, accept that Hungerford were possibly in a false position, but evens on the away side? Odd. I'll just have to take that one on the chin. Good shout on Gloucester Darran - a very convincing win.

If it was Covid the game would have been off. Just the Asian punters fancying Hampton for some reason. I don’t think hungerford are as good as their record suggests and Hampton did beat Oxford last time, but they only played a tough fa cup game on Sunday so for me the prices were wrong. Any big movement in a non league game is likely to have been because of the Asian markets 

The Dorking game is off because of Covid.

It was a very frustrating weekend on the FA Cup front. The tone was set on Friday when Harrogate conceded a late goal to stop the -3 handicap bet from landing. Boreham Wood did go 2 up and those who had the bet with Bet365 will have got paid out with their 2 up offer (unless you have had offers taken off your account). Solihull were the only actual winners over the weekend though. Back to league action this week and I have 4 bets
AFC Fylde v Spennymoor
AFC Fylde did well at Exeter on Saturday in the FA Cup having gone a goal up and then going down 2-1, but this will be a tough game for them back in the league. I watched Spennymoor on Saturday against Gloucester and was impressed in what was a good game of football. Fylde dropped their first league points of the season last week against Alfreton and this will be a tougher game. Both sides are unbeaten so far and I suspect both will be in play-off contention at the very least. I would make Spennymoor no bigger than 2/1 so the 11/4 with Bet365 makes plenty of appeal from a value perspective.
Gloucester City v AFC Telford
I don't think Gloucester were at their best on Saturday and it does concern me that we keep conceding goals, but at least we are scoring plenty and I think that will be the case again here. Telford lost on Saturday to Southport and it was interesting to read that they struggled to cope with Southport's attack including set pieces and long throws. Given Gloucester's strength is their forward play I can see them putting Telford under plenty of pressure and scoring goals from it. I think they should be odds on to win this and the 11/10 with Betfred is a decent price.
Concord v Welling
I would love to have taken on Stevenage in the FA Cup on Saturday, but wasn't sure if Concord would be up to it. As it turned out I was sort of right, but it was a hell of an effort to take it to penalties after a 2-2 draw. That was on the back of a 4-1 win at Dulwich last Tuesday and they should take plenty of confidence from both performances after they lost 6-0 to Maidstone. Welling are not having a very good season. They lost to a Step 5 side in the FA Cup, they have blown a 4-1 lead to only get a point against Slough and then on Saturday Chelmsford beat them 4-0. I think 5/4 with Bet365 is a solid price about a home win.
Altrincham v Solihull Moors
There are two National League games on Wednesday, this one and Notts County v Stockport on BT Sport which should be a cracker. This is the game I think is worth betting on though and I am happy to back Solihull on the back of their FA Cup win on Sunday. Granted they weren't great in the last league game when losing 3-1 to Maidenhead, but apart from that they are doing well in the league. Altrincham on the other hand are struggling a bit on the whole and didn't offer a great deal against Wealdstone on Saturday. I think odds against quotes on an away win offer value.
Spennymoor 1pt @ 11/4 with Bet365
Gloucester City 2pts @ 6/5 with Betfair
Concord 2pts @ 5/4 with Bet365
Solihull 1pt @ 23/20 with William Hill

great work @avongirl  thanks

great work @avongirl  thanks

great work @avongirl  thanks

Final results are in for the weekend and here are the finishing positions for season 1 of 20/21.  We've had some massive wins along the way and some very consistent results.  Well done to members of Divisions 4 and 8 who communally produced a profit for their Divisions.
Thank you to everyone who took part and for continuing through the season. How this competition is set up and runs is a testament to the organisation of @BillyHills and I am honoured to have picked up the reins to continue it. 
We'll take a break for a week due to lack of suitable fixtures and continue with another 8 week season from games on Friday 20th.
I'll post instructions on Monday night for how the winners can contact us to claim their winnings, so if there are any queries on my calculations please post urgently. 
Just got to say, what an awesome result @MrJol
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Celtic to win @1.36
PSG to win @1.28
Barcelona to win @1.40
15£ on this trebleplease.
thanks

Benfica - Braga (20:00 h portuguese time )
The two teams will face each other separated by just three points in the standings and looking for a victory that will allow them to approach the top of the table. At home, Benfica will always try to be the  dominating team, but will face a Braga that does not refer too much to his defensive process, play against whoever plays. Therefore, a well-contested game is expected, where both advances are able to take advantage of the defensive permeability that exists in both the most backward sectors.
Best bet : both teams to score YES @ 1.65 (1xbet)  confidence 5
over 1 goal halftime @ 1.44 (1xbet) confidence 4
over 1,5 goals halftime@ 2.15 (1xbet) confidence 2
Benfica to win 1st half @ 2.03 (1xbet) confidence 2
Benfica to win @1.51 (1xbet) confidence 3 
Benfica haandicap -1  @1.91 (1xbet) confidence 2

Having had one of my best ever days punting on 4th qualifying round day hopefully I can repeat the dose now we reach the 1st Round. I like 7 bets throughout the weekend where plenty of games will be covered via the BBC or BT Sport.
Harrogate V Skelmersdale
The 1st match of the weekend sees the 1st bet in a game live on BT Sport. Skelmersdale were one of the sides I put up in the last round and they duly beat Stafford 4-1. Stafford play in Step 3 and have only picked up 1 point in the league so playing a Harrogate side 3 levels higher and having a decent start in their first season in the Football League. Skelmersdale play at Step 5 of Non-League football and whenever a team from that level reach the 1st Round they always get outclassed. Granted they might have had this game on their minds, but they have lost their 2 league games since the Stafford victory 3-1 and 4-0. As Harrogate have just come from Non-League I can't see them under estimating their opponents and I fully expect them to take it seriously and win the game comfortably. The -2 handicap is now odds on, but I am going to go for the -3 which is 11/4 with Betfair.
Boreham Wood v Southend
It might seem odd putting up a team who are evens to beat a team from a higher level, but when Southend are bottom of League having picked up just 2 points it is easy to see why Boreham Wood are the price they are. They have scored just 5 goals in the league, but one of those was an own goal and another a penalty. I think Boreham Wood are better than their league position suggests and they have conceded just three times in their 5 league games so far. You would think they could keep Southend quiet and that Boreham Wood certainly have the forwards capable of causing Southend no end of problems.
Cheltenham v South Shields
South Shields were another team I put up in the previous round when they caused an upset in beating Halifax. Granted Cheltenham are having a good season in League 2, but I think South Shields could pull off another upset. They have a very good side for their level and are essentially a Step 2 side at Step 3 level. If they play at the top of their game I make their chances of causing an upset better than an 8/1 chance so am happy to take a chance.
Colchester v Marine
Marine caused an upset in the previous round beating Chester, but I struggle to see the Step 4 side doing much against League 2 Colchester. They have won 3 of their 5 league games, but 2 of them came against 2 of the weaker sides in the division and they should be easily outclassed in this. Colchester are in solid form in League 2 this season and I think they can cover the -2 handicap here.
Dagenham & Redbridge v Grimsby
Dagenham are currently bottom of the National League and have really struggled this season. Their only win came against Wealdstone who were poor that evening and Dagenham did enough to deserve the win without looking that great themselves. Grimsby are doing well enough in League 2 and have done well away from home so far this season. They are better than Dagenham and odds against quotes look good value to me.
Hayes & Yeading v Carlisle
Hayes were another side who won for me in the previous round when they caused an upset by beating Wealdstone. This game will be much tougher though and Carlisle are currently in 5th position in League 2 having beaten top of the table Newport on Tuesday night. The fact there are no fans will help the away side as the home fans can't create a hostile atmosphere and attempt to make things tricky for the Football League side. I think Carlisle will win this with ease and they can cover the -1 handicap.
Scunthorpe v Solihull Moors
Another solid National League side taking on a poor side from League 2 in this tie. Scunthorpe were hit with Covid and that means they haven't played for 2 weeks. When they were playing though they only managed to pick up 4 points in 8 games, scoring just 3 goals in the process. I was a bit surprised Solihull lost 3-1 to Maidenhead last Saturday, but prior to that they had only lost one of their 1st 5 games. They should be in the play-off picture this season and given how bad Scunthorpe have been so far this season they could easily cause an upset here. 
Acca
I have put together an 8 fold acca where I think the Football League side will knock out the Non-League. I am putting in Harrogate, Colchester and Carlisle as per the bets above. I am then adding Bradford to win at Tonbridge, Port Vale to beat Kings Lynn, Doncaster to beat FCUM in the live BBC2 game, Oldham to win at Hampton and Blackpool to win at Eastbourne. The acca pays 11.4/1 with Betfair.
Harrogate -3 1pt @ 11/4 with Betfair
Boreham Wood 2pts @ Evs with Bet365
South Shields 1pt @ 8/1 with William Hill
Colchester -2 2pts @ 9/5 with Betfair
Grimsby 2.5pts @ 11/10 with Bet365
Carlisle -1 2pts @ 11/10 with Betfair
Solihull Moors 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365
Harrogate/Bradford/Port Vale/Colchester/Doncaster/Oldham/Carlisle/Blackpool 1pt acca @ 11.4/1 with Betfair

I've taken a few bets for the weekend..
Curzon Ashton to beat Blyth @ 1.95 2/5 Units
Hungerford to beat Braintree @ 2.25 3/5 Units
Alfreton to beat BPA @ 2.40 2/5 Units
Maidstone DNB to beat Slough @ 2.00 2/5 Units

My focus is on the FA Cup this week as the handful of league games taking place make no appeal from a betting point of view at this stage. Anyone else of course is welcome to add any fancies here.

Check out the latest odds and ratings from the Portuguese Primeira Liga with this set of matches coming up this weekend before the international break next weekend. @buga00 was smashing some big tips again last week so keen to hear his thoughts but also want to hear from others of you out there! 

Boavista - Benfica   (21.00h  portuguese time )
Benfica team appears highly motivated and playing good football in recent weeks, on the other hand Boavista appears under big pressure and with Boavista coach being able to suffer the consequences of a new defeat. The fact is that Boavista has been a very weak team defensively, which in the face of a Benfica with a lot of offensive quality should be expensive. I see a game dominated by Benfica and i think they will win easy
best bet : Benfica -1,5 goals @ 1.87  (1xbet)  confidence 5
over 1 goal halftime @1.48 (1xbet)  confidence 5
Benfica to win 1 st half @1.72 (1xbet)  confidence 4
over 1,5 goals halftime @2.21 (1xbet)  confidence 3
Benfica -1 goal handicap halftime  @2.65 (1xbet)  confidence 3
 
 

Sporting - Tondela (20.00h portuguese time )
 
This will be a game where Sporting, in case of victory, will be able to temporarily go to the first place , so the young team of Sporting may be anxious, right from the defensive process, where they have made some mistakes. Tondela should refer to his defensive organization most of the time, but will hardly be able to not suffer against a Sporting team that has evolved in the last third. On the other hand, Tondela team prefer “lions” in transition, so it is likely that both teams will have good situations to score and contribute to an emotional game.
best bet :  both teams to score :  yes @ 2.25 ( 1xbet)  confidence 4

Boavista - Benfica   (21.00h  portuguese time )
Benfica team appears highly motivated and playing good football in recent weeks, on the other hand Boavista appears under big pressure and with Boavista coach being able to suffer the consequences of a new defeat. The fact is that Boavista has been a very weak team defensively, which in the face of a Benfica with a lot of offensive quality should be expensive. I see a game dominated by Benfica and i think they will win easy
best bet : Benfica -1,5 goals @ 1.87  (1xbet)  confidence 5
over 1 goal halftime @1.48 (1xbet)  confidence 5
Benfica to win 1 st half @1.72 (1xbet)  confidence 4
over 1,5 goals halftime @2.21 (1xbet)  confidence 3
Benfica -1 goal handicap halftime  @2.65 (1xbet)  confidence 3
 
 

Another cracking day on Saturday with 3/4 winners and October was an incredible month. It will be almost impossible to keep that strike rate up, but hopefully the profits will continue. It looks like this will be the last set of matches for the Step 3 leagues for a month given lockdown, but with elite sport able to carry on we will have the 3 National League divisions to keep us going over lockdown.
First of all I am going to add a couple of ante-post tips to those I put up at the start of the season. It was hard to not be impressed with Torquay on Saturday as the hammered Hartlepool 5-0. For me they have the best manager in the division and he got Cheltenham promoted despite them not having the best squad in the league and he could easily do that again. They have only lost once and already 5 points clear at the top. 8/1 e/w looks a solid bet for me at this stage. 
The other team I have been impressed with in the past week is Boston and I think they have a big chance in the National League North. I am obviously happy with my 20/1 about Gloucester, but Boston looked good on Tuesday night despite the fact they dropped 2 points late on. It was clear they will be title contenders and again they look a solid e/w bet at 7/1.
Torquay 1pt e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365
Boston 1pt e/w @ 7/1 with William Hill
Folkestone v Hornchurch
Onto Tuesday's bets and we start in the Isthmian Premier with Hornchurch. They were one of my ante-post bets and had a disappointing start to the season, but they have looked much better in recent weeks and have scored 11 goals in their last 4 league games. They have conceded just twice in that spell as well. Folkestone aren't going anywhere near as well as they did last season. The 3 league games they have won have been against some of the weaker sides in the division and I think Hornchurch will be too strong for them.
Gainsborough Trinity v South Shields
South Shields will be disappointed they find themselves 7 points from top and they are actually level on points with their hosts on Tuesday, but as their win against Halifax in the FA Cup showed they are a very good side. Usually I would have a bit of a concern that they might have one eye on their FA Cup tie at Cheltenham at the weekend, but given the season is likely to be stopped after tomorrow a win here will be crucial. They have a much better side on paper than Gainsborough and odds against quotes look value.
Redditch v Hednesford
Redditch were expected to be whipping boys again, but they have done amazingly well and are currently in 6th place and 5 points clear of Tuesday's opponents. Granted Hednesford are showing signs of improvement for the change of manager and did beat Bromsgrove 5-1 in their last league game. Bromsgrove are having a dire season so far though and this will be tougher. I just don't understand why the away side are odds on for this and at over 2/1 the value has to be with the home side.
Treble
There are 3 sides I like who are all at home and all odds on, but look likely to win. The treble pays 2.7/1 with Betfred. Buxton host a Stratford side with just 1 point and should be too strong. Swindon Supermarine have a good side and should beat a struggling Hartley Wintney side. In the same division Chesham host a Beaconsfield side who are bottom with just two points to their name.
Hornchurch 1pt @ 13/8 with Bet365
South Shields 1pt @ 5/4 with Betfred
Redditch 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365
Buxton/Swindon Supermarine/Chesham 1pt @ 2.7/1 with Betfred

First of all I am going to add a couple of ante-post tips to those I put up at the start of the season. It was hard to not be impressed with Torquay on Saturday as the hammered Hartlepool 5-0. For me they have the best manager in the division and he got Cheltenham promoted despite them not having the best squad in the league and he could easily do that again. They have only lost once and already 5 points clear at the top. 8/1 e/w looks a solid bet for me at this stage. 
The other team I have been impressed with in the past week is Boston and I think they have a big chance in the National League North. I am obviously happy with my 20/1 about Gloucester, but Boston looked good on Tuesday night despite the fact they dropped 2 points late on. It was clear they will be title contenders and again they look a solid e/w bet at 7/1.
Torquay 1pt e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365
Boston 1pt e/w @ 7/1 with William Hill

A few picks running over til Monday and a better week overall for winning bets with the possibility still of every division making a profit this week. 
Some big price winners again
I will update Mon night
UPDATED: Just missed out on a clean sweep of profits.
 

 

 

 

 

 

PSG to win @1.36
Bayern Munich to win @1.18
Dortmund to win @ 1.44
110 £ on this treble please
thanks