buga00

Thanks

Yes Madam, sorry mistake mine 

Fair to say the 1st Round didn't go anywhere near as well as the 4th Qualifying Round and I was caught out a little by how many upsets there were. Hard to put an exact reason behind that, but I do think no crowds is a factor. The Non-League sides are always going to be up for it, but it was clear that the same couldn't be said of the Football League sides in the 1st Round. I have picked out 6 of the Non-League sides that I think can cause an upset over the weekend as well as putting up a 4 fold. If they all win then I might retire! Tips for now and the previews will follow. Don't forget Bet365 have their acca bonus and early payout if a team goes 2 in front if you want that safety net so I have put top price and Bet365 price if shorter.
Morecambe v Solihull Moors
A slight concern that Solihull have had a Covid enforced break and haven't played since November 11th, but this does look a game they can win to me. They were good in beating Scunthorpe in the previous round and although Morecombe are doing better than they are in League 2 there recent form isn't great. In the league they have only won one of their last 9 games and Solihull will be confident they can cause an upset. 
Peterborough v Chorley
I am taking a bit of a flyer here, but I thought Chorley did superbly well in coming from 2 down to beat Wigan in the last round. I know Wigan had 10 men, but even so it was a hell of an effort. Peterborough lost a couple of games before beating Plymouth last time and that gives a bit of hope. Also I can't imagine this will be high up on the list of targets for them. The lack of home fans I think favoured the Non-League sides in round 1 and that is why we saw so many go through and Chorley do have it in them to cause an upset. I think they are in a bit of a false position in the National League North and I just can't make them as big as 18/1 so its worth a having a crack at that price.
Mansfield v Dagenham & Redbridge
Mansfield have only won once in the league all season and given Dagenham beat Grimsby in the previous round I think they could cause their League 2 hosts some issues here. They haven't played in nearly a couple of weeks and that will have helped them focus on this. They seem to be improving from earlier in the season and on their day the have the players to beat Mansfield.
Bristol Rovers v Darlington
Darlington caused an upset in Round 1 when beating League 1 Swindon and I think they can beat another League 1 side in Rovers. They have only picked up 2 points in their last 6 league games. 2 starts back they lost to Swindon and last time they only got a point at Wigan. Rovers' record against Non-League sides in the FA Cup hasn't exactly been the best in recent years either. Darlington had a couple of good wins in the league before losing to Bradford (Park Avenue) on Tuesday night, but I don't mind that because this is a much bigger game for them. They look over priced to me.
Shrewsbury v Oxford City
I would have preferred it if Shrewsbury hadn't announced their new manager on Friday as players will be looking to impress now, but with no win in 8 in the league they will still find this game tricky. City were superb in beating Northampton in the 1st Round and although their league form has taken a bit of a hit since, they have still been playing very well at times including when losing 3-2 to top of the table Dorking on Tuesday night. If they play as well as they did against Northampton I think they have got a real chance of reaching Round 3.
Barnet v MK Dons
Barnet are really struggling in the league this season and their performance against Burton in the 1st Round sticks out like a sore thumb. It was superb and they fully deserved to win. Sometimes you get teams who do well in the cup despite the fact they aren't anything special in the league and I just wonder if Barnet will be like that this season. MK Dons have only won 3 league games out of 14 this season and again it looks a match where we could see an upset.
Acca
Tranmere v Brackley get the action underway on BBC2 tonight and with Tranmere looking good at the moment I think they will be too strong for their National League North opponents. They have a new manager who has just taken over and he wont want a defeat in this. Kings Lynn scored with what was pretty much their only shot against Port Vale in Round 1 and I think Portsmouth will do a professional job on them. For the 3rd Round running I am trying to get Marine beat, but not being able to play since knocking out Colchester is hardly ideal. Havant are a very strong side as well. Boreham Wood have surprised me by their lack of goals in the league this season, but I can't see Canvey Island keeping them out. Canvey were very fortunate to knock out Banbury in the previous round and I would be disappointed if Wood blew this great opportunity to get to the 3rd Round
Solihull 1pt @ 3/1 with Bet365
Chorley 1pt @ 18/1 with Betfair (14s with Bet365)
Dagenham & Redbridge 1pt @ 9/2 with Bet365
Darlington 1pt @ 17/2 with Betfair (15/2 with Bet365)
Oxford City 1pt @ 9/1 with Betfair (8/1 with Bet365)
Barnet 1pt @ 4/1 with Bet365
Tranmere/Portsmouth/Havant & Waterlooville/Boreham Wood 2pts @ 3.1/1 with Bet365

@buga00, and that's why I tout you as the best tipster of Portuguese football on the scene! I bet you absolutely loved that one! Can you follow it up for this weekend's games?

FA CUP 
Fabril ( III division) - Porto (premiere league)  - saturday 21 November 14.30h PM
 
FC Porto has all the conditions to achieve a very positive result in this first game in the Portuguese Cup. For having a squad with more individual values, the Porto club should dominate and have the best chances to score goals, setting aside any eventual surprise on the part of its opponent. Fabril Barreiro should play a more cautious game, trying to act only on the counterattack. Having said that and taking into account these factors, betting on market  ‘’ FC Porto and More 2.5 Goals ’’ market is a good option.
 
Best bet : Porto to win and over 3,5 goals  @1.44 (1xbet) confidence 4
Porto -1 goal handicap 1st half @ 1.44  (1xbet) confidence 5
over 1,5 goals on 1st half @1.64 confidence 4

FA CUP 
Paredes ( III division) - Benfica (premiere league)  - saturday 21 November 21.15h PM
 
The most probable scenario for this match will be for Benfica to score several goals. Despite playing away from home, I believe that the red team dominates much of the game and will enjoy more opportunities to score goals, as it displays enormous technical-tactical quality in its squad. In addition, the Paredes team has some weaknesses in their game model, and in this game they will, most likely, suffer several goals.
Best bet ; Benfica to score more than 2,5 goals @1.71 (1xbet) confidence 5
Benfica to win 1 st half @1.45  (1xbet) confidence 5
Benfica -1 goal handicap 1st half @2.01  (1xbet) confidence 4

FA CUP 
Oriental ( III division) - Famalicáo (premiere league)  - saturday 21 November 11.15h AM
Oriental is my local team, i grow up in zone nearest this clube and i play there when i was 15 years old.
My grand father it was one of the 3 founders of the club in 1946, so i know a little bit f the reality of this my heart team. They´re playing on 3 portuguese division and is a poor club the players are semi professionals earning around 500 ans 1200 € month.
 They´re on last place on 3 rd division Serie G  ( https://www.futbol24.com/national/Portugal/Campeonato-Nacional-de-Seniores/2020-2021/Serie-G/ ) with one point in 5 games only a draw, away and the only good result was on last cup round they also won away 0-2 with a team from 3 rd division. They had a new coach on last game where they lost 3-0 at home , and i saw the game on TV and the players it seems without trust i think morale will not be the best for this game and I predict an easy victory for Famalicao team , from premiere league and sensation on last championship with 6 st place 2 points to get in on Europa leaague. They lost some best players to Porto and Sporting but i think they will not great problem to  winning the gamer .
My best Bet : Famalicão -2 goals handicap @1.61 (1xbet) confidence 5
Famalicão to win 1st half @1.44 (1xbet) confidence 5
Famalicão -1 goal handicap halftime @1.91 (1xbet) confidence 4
Famalicão -2 goals handicap halftime @2.77 (1xbet) confidence 2
Famalicão -2,5 goals handicap  @2.05 (1xbet) confidence 3
 
My predict is 0-3 ....... smal stake   @5,5  confidence 2
 
 

Yeah I then got a load of Gateshead fans disagreeing with me. Even the goal scorer said he got lots of help from the keeper. It should have been a routine save and was the sort of howler you would see on a gaffes clip show

Yeah Rowe has been poached by Chesterfield. Fully understand why he has gone and as long as he doesn't nick players (I don't think he will) then I am not that bothered by it. I'm confident we will get a good manager in to replace him and we obviously still have a great team. 
As for tonight McClure has been confirmed as missing and we have another couple of players injured as well. We will do well to get a point in my view and no surprise Gateshead are now favourites.

Saturday was reasonable, but could have easily been a full house given Chorley hit the front late on and Sutton were 2 up and comfortable. Still a profit is a profit and we move on to Tuesday night where I have 4 bets.
Barnet v Hartlepool
Given how bad Barnet have been in the league on the whole I am still amazed they managed to knock out Burton in the FA Cup Since that they have lost 3-1 to Bromley and 2-0 to Kings Lynn at home and then on Saturday they lost 4-1 at Woking who only had 10 men for an hour of the game. Hartlepool were well beaten by a superb Torquay performance last month, but apart from that they have done fairly well this season. They were impressive in seeing off current bottom side Yeovil 3-1 on Saturday and if they put in another performance like that they can see off Barnet as well.
Gateshead v Gloucester City
Here is a surprise for you all I am opposing Gloucester in this game. Obviously I hope I am wrong, but when it comes to punting you have to let head rule heart and I do fear this could be a game where we lose our unbeaten record. City are without Asante due to suspension which is a big loss as it is, but their other striker McClure had to go off on Saturday because of injury. It is unknown at this stage how bad it was and it could be that it was more of a precaution, but if City are missing both I do fear we will struggle to score a goal. Gloucester have also had a lot of football and did look a bit leggy at times on Saturday. Gateshead are in good form themselves and were really good on Saturday when putting 4 past Southport. They are unbeaten in 3 and as we know Gloucester struggle to keep a clean sheet. Every chance 1 could be enough for the home side and I would have the prices for the match the other way round. Therefore at 8/5 I make Gateshead a bet.
Bath City v Dulwich Hamlet
Bath have won just once and lost their other 5 games in the league and Dulwich haven't won at all although have managed 4 draws so are one place above their hosts. After conceding 7 in two games Dulwich have at least managed to keep a clean sheet against Dorking and only concede 1 at Hemel on Saturday despite going down to 10 men. Bath played in a poor game against Hampton on Saturday and lost out by a penalty. To me there are signs that Dulwich are close to getting that vital win they need and there is no way Bath should be odds on here.
Dorking v Oxford City
I just wonder if Oxford have got on eye on the FA Cup at the moment. They don't seem to be quite hitting the levels they were and certainly not as good as they were against Northampton in Round 1. I think they will be eyeing up Shrewsbury at the weekend and a chance of reaching Round 3 whereas Dorking will be fully focused on this. It was surprising they couldn't find the net against Dulwich a week ago, but they put 3 past Concord on Saturday in a game they ended up with 9 men compared to Concord's 10. They had scored 4 and 3 in their two games prior to the Dulwich one and they are clearly going to be title contenders. I would make them odds on for this and 7/5 makes plenty of appeal.
Hartlepool 2pts @ 23/20 with William Hill
Gateshead 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365
Dulwich Hamlet 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365
Dorking 2.5pts @ 7/5 with Bet365

A massive win for Like A Roughie and a few other trebles landed get us off to a good start. 
Just 3 bets carrying over til Monday, then I'll update and put overall table up.  Edited: one more winner
 

 

 

 

 

 

ASTON VILLA PLEASE
 

west ham please
thanks

A few bets for Saturday..
Havant to beat Welling @ 2.05 3/5 Units
Maidstone to beat Billericay @ 1.91 3/5 Units
Ebbsfleet to beat Tonbridge @ 1.87 2/5 Units
Dorking to beat Concord @ 2.30 2/5 Units
Aldershot X2 vs Wrexham @ 1.93 2/5 Units
Hemel vs Dulwich OVER 2.5 goals @ 2.25 2/5 Units
Gateshead vs Southport UNDER 2.5 goals @ 2.12 2/5 Units

Tuesday was a bit of a mess all round with the Havant and Dorking games being called off and switched and then finding draws rather than winners when it came to the bets. Saturday's fixtures look tough, but there are 4 matches which appeal from a betting point of view.
Kings Lynn v Dover
Dover look in desperate trouble this season. It is amazing they beat Notts County on the opening day of the season because they have lost 6 of their following 7 games. They have scored just 6 goals and conceded 22 and had another heavy defeat on Tuesday night against Woking. Kings Lynn have had a very mixed time of things as they have managed to concede even more goals, 24 in 9 matches, but they are one of the top scores in the division with 14 goals. They had a good win at Barnet on Tuesday night and even managed to keep a clean sheet. Given the goals they have in them I can see them scoring at least 2 against a poor Dover defence. 21/20 is well worth taking about a home win.
Wealdstone v Sutton
This is the live game on BT Sport and I fancy Sutton. I think Wealdstone have had a fair bit of fortune on their side which has seen them pick up plenty of wins. They have had a kind fixture list or in the case of their last win against Halifax end up playing 9 men. They lost 2-0 on Tuesday night against Eastleigh and I think they will struggle against the better teams in the division. Sutton have had a cracking start to the season and have only lost to Notts County so far. They picked up a point on Tuesday against Dagenham, but they are improving so that wasn't a bad result. I am happy to take even money about an away win as I think Sutton will be too strong for the home side.
Guiseley v Gloucester
Yes I am backing Gloucester again. They had to work hard against Hereford for the points on Tuesday night and were more defensive than they have been in previous games, but Hereford couldn't take advantage of the chances which did come their way in the 2nd half and Gloucester carried on with their unbeaten start to the season. That was City's 8th league game of the season yet Guiseley were only playing their 4th game of the season on Tuesday. It wasn't great for them either as they were well beaten 4-1 by Darlington and its hardly the performance you wan when the league leaders are up next. Granted they could have been a bit rusty, but I watched them in their previous league game against Boston and although they got a point, Boston were totally dominate and should have won easily. I think if Gloucester go back to their more attacking system then they will get plenty of fortune in front of goal. I don't often put up odds on shots, but 10/11 is value for me.
Hereford v Chorley
I know Hereford scored 3 against Blyth last Saturday, but having seen them on Tuesday night it is clear they are going to struggle for goals this season as they lacked the quality needed to take one of their chances against Gloucester. Chorley lost their first 4 league matches, but they looked a fair side against Gloucester and they did beat Wigan in the FA Cup. In the league they stopped the defeats with a draw against BPA and then beat AFC Telford on Tuesday night. They look over priced at 3/1 as the teams are much more closely matched than those odds suggest.
Kings Lynn 2.5pts @ 21/20 with William Hill
Sutton 2.5pts @ Evs with Bet365
Gloucester City 4pts @ 10/11 with Bet365
Chorley 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor

ok @StevieDay1983i will  made some tips for some games on FA CUP on Saturday

The next round of Portuguese Primeira Liga matches are still a short while away but I thought I might as well get the odds and ratings up now. @buga00, I assume there's the Portuguese FA Cup taking place this coming weekend? Anyway, if any of you have bets in mind for these games then post them down below! 

We´ve got here a Win...
Unluck with @DarranPicks, early Goal for Tonbridge and Oxford can´t take the Lead to the Finish...  Great Pick with Gloucester again

Spennymoor's game is now off due to Covid. I would just cash out of the double now as its pointless at the odds.

I'd be wary of backing Hemel they aren't very good and Hampton are certainly the better team out of the two. Welling are a poor side as well.

Apart from the games off because of Covid we have a full fixture list in the 3 National League's on Tuesday night. There looks to be plenty of value around as well as I have 7 bets.
Aldershot v Maidenhead
The two teams who won for us on Saturday go up against each other and I think Maidenhead look a big price. They did well to come from behind against Chesterfield on Saturday and that made it 5 wins on the bounce now. Sam Barratt is the league's top goalscorer having scored 9 goals in 8 games. As I mentioned on Saturday Aldershot are doing well enough themselves, but I just can't make Maidenhead as big as 23/10 as I would have them around the 13/8 mark myself.
Bradford Park Avenue v Southport
Fair play to Bradford for getting a point at Gloucester on Saturday as they took full advantage of a couple of defensive errors in what was a crazy game. Bradford certainly look a very different team from last season as there results suggested, but the bookies haven't paid any attention to that and have priced them up as the outsiders here. That made it 4 games unbeaten now after losing their 1st 2 games of the season. Southport had a very good start to the season although their 3 wins have come against Chorley, Hereford and Blyth and I think Bradford are better than them. Southport were poor on Saturday against Spennymoor and I would make BPA favourites rather than 2/1.
Hereford v Gloucester
Talking about teams who should be favourites Gloucester should be market leaders in this game. At 3-1 on Saturday I thought it was going to be another comfortable afternoon for City, but they gifted a goal to Bradford and the away side took confidence from that. Once Gloucester got it back to 4-4 though they were the better side in what had become dreadful weather and bar a superb save from the keeper they would have won it in injury time. As I keep saying the silly goals that City concede is frustrating, but they have so many goals in the side that most of the time it hasn't mattered. They certainly look so much stronger than Hereford going forward and I would make them around 11/10 to win this not the 17/10 that they are.
Bath v Havant & Waterlooville
Two sides who reached the play-offs last season, but fair to say they are having very different seasons this time around. Bath have been horrendous losing 4 of their 5 games and only managing to beat a Billericay side who lost their 1st 4 games. Havant again look set to be in the promotion pictures and have one of the strongest sides in the division. The only time they have lost was to current league leaders Dartford and they beat a good side in Oxford on Saturday in a dominant 2nd half performance. They really should have too much for Bath and even money looks a big price.
Dulwich Hamlet v Dorking
Dulwich are not doing well this season having picked up just 2 points in their 5 league games. I watched their FA Cup game against Christchurch last month and they didn't look a great side in that match. I just don't see how Dorking don't have too much for their hosts here. They have scored 17 goals in their 6 league games and the only time they haven't won was when they drew a blank against Hungerford. Dulwich have conceded 7 goals in their last 2 league games and I find it hard to see anything other than an away win. They should be odds on shots so the 5/4 looks huge.
Oxford City v Chippenham
I mention above that Havant dominated Oxford in the 2nd half on Saturday, but in the 1st half Oxford were the better side and could have been out of sight. That was two league defeats on the bounce, but as I mentioned on Saturday they showed how good a side they are in their FA Cup win over Northampton. Chippenham have lost 4 of their 6 league games and the only two they have won were against Dulwich and Braintree. That clearly is not saying much and City have been easily the better side of the two so far this season. 6/4 looks a huge price as I would have them odds on.
Tonbridge Angels v Eastbourne
Another baffling price here as Eastbourne should be clear favourites. They haven't lost a league game since the opening day of the season when they lost to Dorking. Since then they have won 4 and drawn 2. Not surprisingly they had a comfortable time of things on Saturday when beating Braintree 4-0. They are clearly a decent side this time around and certainly a better team than Tonbridge. Dorking beat them 4-1 on Saturday and although I wouldn't have Eastbourne at quite the same level as them, they should have too much for the home team.
Maidenhead 1pt @ 23/10 with Bet365
Bradford Park Avenue 1pt @ 2/1 with BetVictor
Gloucester City 1pt @ 17/10 with BetVictor
Havant & Waterlooville 3pts @ Evs with Bet365
Dorking 4pts @ 5/4 with Betway
Oxford City 2pts @ 6/4 with Betfred
Eastbourne 2pts @ 17/10 with Betfred

@andypandy23 i think Torquay will win , they haven t lost of their last 7  home matches in all competitions , and they  won 6 of their  last 7 competitions games .....

A tiny profit on Tuesday and Wednesday night with a couple of easy wins for Gloucester and Solihull. Back to a full league fixture list on Saturday (unless Covid gets in the way) and I have 5 bets across the 3 divisions.
Altrincham v Aldershot
Altrincham were comfortably beaten by Solihull on Wednesday night and in more bad news for them they suffered more injuries. They already had plenty missing and given they have struggled for goals all season I fancy that Aldershot will probably only need to score 1 to win this. Score 1 is what they did against Notts County last Saturday as they took full advantage of an error to score their only shot on target of the whole game. I wouldn't read too much into that as the tactics were too make things hard for County and try and force them into an error which is what happened. Aldershot have scored in all 6 league games so far and apart from a 4-1 loss to league leaders Torquay they have been performing well. The 29/20 about an away win makes plenty of appeal.
Chesterfield v Maidenhead
After losing their 1st 3 games and conceding 10 goals in the process it looked like it would be a tough season for Maidenhead, but they went and won their next 4 league games. That has put them to 6th in the table and although I think they have had a bit of fortune along the way, the 3-1 over Solihull in their last league game was probably their best performance of the season. Chesterfield on the other hand have have won 2 and lost 4 of their 6 league games and although they have had some tough fixtures they haven't been playing that well. In their last league game they beat current bottom side Yeovil 1-0 and even then I didn't see anything that would make me think they should be odds on to beat a tough Maidenhead side. The 23/10 about an away looks decent value to me.
Blyth Spartans v Hereford
Thanks to Covid issues Hereford have only played 3 league games so far this season and they have had one of each result. October 27th was their last league game when they lost 2-0 to Bradford Park Avenue and they don't seem in a good place at the moment. Granted Blyth conceded 16 goals in their 1st 5 games, but they have looked much improved in their last 2. Saturday they beat Curzon 3-0 and then got a 1-1 draw against Farsley on Tuesday. They come into this game with plenty of confidence and that could be enough to see off a rusty Hereford. I am certainly happy to take a chance on them at 13/5.
Gloucester City v Bradford Park Avenue
I have watched all of Gloucester's games so far this season and it feels like I am not watching my own side given how impressive we have been. I tipped us up at the start of the season to win the league based on the team which looked strong and it has been great to see that they have performed on the pitch. I was concerned about manager's James Rowe lack of experience, but full credit to him as he has got the team playing well and it is clear there is great team spirit in the squad. An impressive 19 goals have been scored and I think the home performances have been especially impressive. The one concern is the lack of a clean sheet and again on Tuesday night they gifted Telford with a goal in the first 2 minutes. They weren't great in the 1st half, but in the 2nd half half City were totally dominant and fully deserved to run out 4-1 victors. As much as BPA are clearly a better side than the one that would have been relegated last season I just don't see how they can stop a rampant City forward line. Bookies still don't seem to have cottoned on to the fact City are one of the best sides in the division and the 10/11 that is available would be much shorter if York or Fylde were hosting BPA. I'm also going to add a bet on the -1 handicap at 23/10 which City have covered in all their home games so far.
Havant & Waterlooville v Oxford City
I know that Northampton were rubbish on Monday night, but that shouldn't take anything away from a superb performance from Oxford. That effort backs up their good form so far this season and although they lost to Hampton in their last league game that certainly doesn't put me off backing them against Havant. Havant are clearly one of the best teams in the division, but I think Oxford have it in them to win this and I would have them around the 2/1 mark and not the 3/1 they currently are.
Aldershot 2pts @ 29/20 with Bet365
Maidenhead 1pt @ 23/10 with Bet365
Blyth Spartans 1pt @ 13/5 with BetVictor
Gloucester City 3pts @ 10/11 Bet365 
Gloucester City -1 1pt @ 23/10 with Betfair
Oxford City 1pt @ 3/1 with Betfred