Grass Cash
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Posts posted by Grass Cash
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Never let the bookies intimidate you @CzechPunter I and some others believe in you!
believe me , there is plays for tomorrow!
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Sinner requested a medical exam for his knee on the changeover.. I am hoping he doesn't retire from the match. He didn't have the timeout, and play is now continued.
- Torque and CzechPunter
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1 hour ago, four-leaf said:
Gilles Simon to beat Marin Cilic at 5.00 with Betsson
This edition of RG is featuring Simon when at his best despite his 37 years on earth. I'm happy to back him for another win especially when he's got Cilic number through out their careers. He's 6-1 up on Marin and has only lost in USO 2014 when Cilic had the best weeks of his 17 year career as a pro.
If Mcdonald takes this set .. Sinner could be potentially in trouble.. It's been a grind em out match so far, and Sinner playing with tape under his knee. I would guess that Macdonald has more in the tank for a 5 set match, I have a feeling he might start to play better if he levels the match. I agree that Simon has a chance in this one, but my gut was telling me Cilic.. I think Simon has like crazy 5-1 or 6-1 h2h in this matchup.. Good luck on your bets today.
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Thanks @Torque. I'd love to see more of your tips like that.. Win or lose - it's always good to see what people are betting and why. I actually like Mcdonald more than Ymer, and just betting Mikael at big odds.. I'm sure I'll get proven wrong, but it could be a close match also. I think Stefanos might be experimenting on his backhand drive a bit.. Could explain some mixed results recently.
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2 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:
the match against schwartzman was so random, thats what pisses me off , cause there was no way for me to see that he's gonna play so horidly after a very good clay season for him. There was no rhime or reason to it, shows you that he''ll never change.
Diego schwartzman is a proficient clay court player. It really was not on Dimitrov. I thought the line was off when I first saw it, because if Diego is ever going to win; then it's going to be on clay, and he likes Roland Garros also.
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Mikael Ymer to beat @+1200 to beat Tsitsipas
Mackenzie Mcdonald@+800 to beat Sinner
Shelby Rogers@+210 to beat Kasatkina
With William Hill: Here we have some clear inflated lines. I agree with four leaf's read, and had already bet this.. Ymer hit 49 winners in his last match.. He's friendly with Stefanos, and could be a let down, and rest spot for the Greek. I'm high on Mcdonald for some reason.. I like the way he hits the ball and his experience.. He has a history of doing well with surprises in majors.. Let's also not forget that Sinner may be dealing some feet issues, and might not be playing at his peak level if that's the case for this match.. I just like Rogers on clay.. she hits hard, and plays well when she's on. I see the match very close, and tough to deal with Shelby's firepower.
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William Hill
Emil Ruusuvuori to beat Casper Ruud @+400
These are value bets. Emil is cruising in Barcelona with lack of clay court experience.. Perfectly designed game for the surface, and if he wants it.. maybe there is some magic. It's possible to expose Casper Ruud backhand imo.
Emma Radacanu to beat Iga Swiatek @+800
Just no on these odds.. Swiatek has had a few injury concerns of recent, and Swiatek is transitioning to new surface. Swiatek rolled in her last match but her opponent played tough three sets before that, and may have just been empty gas tank. I'm sorry, but these odds are ridiculous.. If Radacanu has blisters like Torque said .. maybe she'll throw match, but this is first epic meeting between two of the very top young players on tour. I was wrong about Rybakina, but maybe this is the better choice.. Radacanu will beat anyone on her day with flawless technique.
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William Hill
Rybakina to beat Badosa @ odds +150
Imo Rybakina is the more talented player taking nothing away from Badosa.. I also feel the indoor clay courts will be to her liking.. I think she is rested and ready to go here.. I also am concerned about the withdrawl in MIami from Badosa, although it was reported as an illness.. I think these odds should be closer to -110 for each player, and think the line is a complete joke. I have large stake on Elena.. GL fam
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I seen her.. the last couple points of the match, and she looked ferocious. I am uncertain how to proceed with that. I will wait to see some results because this match is not for 8 hours
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3 minutes ago, neilovan said:
An interesting day ahead with the potential for plenty of upsets.
Aryna Sabalenka plays Andreescu. Andreescu won't be intimidated here. It is just a question of where her comeback game is at. I think 2 to 1 on Andreescu is quite generous here, considering Sabalenka's form.
Not an upset here, but Badosa should have too much game for Rybakina. Biggest liability for Rybakina is her movement , which is so poor. I think a regulation win for Badosa here.
I think Lloyd Harris gets past de Minaur. de Minuar has improved, but up against a player with weapons, his game just looks so ordinary (at elite level). Not much difference in the current rankings and I'm somewhat unsure as to how he shows up as such a big favorite.
Was not impressed with Auger-Aliasimme yesterday. He won, but he didn't play particularly well. His opponent just lacked a little belief. His game was so 1 dimensional it was crazy. Auger-Aliasimme hit one drop shot to an opponent who was 4 meters behind the baseline. It was a bore feast. Tiafoe a much stronger opponent, should cause him all kinds of problems.
Not been impressed with Karatsev so far this year. I think he is overplayed. Also, opponents will start figuring out his weaknesses. No place to hide on the tour. Otte has a decent chance here against an opponent who is misfiring.
I have one treble which is Alcaraz, Ruud and Kudermetova all to win. Works out at 7.5 to 10 which is ok.
I like your treble chances, and also believe Harris stands a chance. I do believe you are wrong about the Rybakina match.. She is very good indoor player, and I think that advantage will edge her in the first meeting between the two young stars.
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what kind of chances are u guys giving Siegemund vs Sakkari? the odds are pretty outrageous.. I have quite a few potential underdogs on tomorrow's card.. I'd love to hear some thoughts!!
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William Hill
Laura Siegemund to beat Tamara Zidansek @ +230
Laura has a good history in this tournament, and a couple practice matches on clay under her belt indoors. Tamara has the same, but the durability and health favors Laura imo. I am not sure what Zidansek is doing right now, but I do know that she retired earlier this year, and is dealing with some sort of injury. German got destroyed by top player Rybakina, but she was hitting the ball well, and match seemed much closer than it actually was.. She should be more rested than Zidansek who played 3 matches that the BJ classic.. I like the odds alot, and it seems like more of a coinflip type of chance.. I've been on this match since the line opened days ago.
- CzechPunter and darko08
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Handshake wager on the Harris - Ramos match with @raduvlad1995?
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William Hill
Carlos Taberner to beat Felix Auger Aliassime @odds +210
Taberner is just hot player on the clay. I picked him for the upset over Korda yesterday, and I believe Auger will be a stiffer challenge, and will rise to that challenge. Really heavy topspin shots should cause havoc with Auger's timing who is great on all surfaces, but is not in the best run this moment.
LLoyd Harris to beat Albert Ramos @odds +165
big talent Harris will face Ramos for the first time. He served 9 aces and 0 doubles yesterday in a impressive straight sets win. Alot of people picked him over Baena from what I saw, and I think he out-serves, and outhustles Ramos for another win here. I think Harris has had some nice time on the clay battling Marton Fucsovics in Monte Carlo.
- darko08 and Foo_Fighter
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Djere to beat Tsitsipas @+600 - Ridiculous price for a competent clay court player in form and confident. Stefanos has had too many letdowns in the past, and his bright future might have to wait a year or two. If those goes to a dog fight, then I'm gonna trust Laslo's consistency on the backhand wing and mental fortitude more. I've made alot of betting mistakes in the past, but win or lose this won't be one of them. I've had success betting Djere in the past on clay, and expect this to be no different. Disrespectful line to the Serbian.. I think he gets alot of balls back returning, and the match plays out extremely close. You would only need to win 14% of your bets at these odds to break even.. I would say there's atleast an 11% advantage, and I'm giving Djere 25% chance or more. I've already placed this straight, and parlayed hours ago.
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@CzechPunter@darko08 @four-leaf@opole@Torque@raduvlad1995can you hit us with another pick for todays card? Definitely going to be a few dogs hitting somewhere. I've been on the Goffin train since Marrakech, and missed a few punts on him. I'm worried it's arriving at the station today.. Feels like the match could go either way, and the better price is with the Spaniard. I really couldn't say who will win but I'm sure it will be a fun match, and my mind won't let me take Goffin anymore, but the problem is I have a history of losing Davidovich Fokina, or watching careless tennis from him.. He seems very motivated this time though, and its probably unlikely to see alot of that today. The more people we can get making punts in here the better.. I'd love to see some analysis also from new guys.
- CzechPunter and raduvlad1995
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4 hours ago, AgaRadwanska said:
welcome to clay season. what, you didn't foresee Foki beating Novak? ?
I had a feeling Novak would lose.. I love to bet against him in Monte Carlo. I had bet Jiri Vesely to beat him here in 2016 at around 18/1 in his opener. Davidovich looked great in the first round, but I avoided the match like the plague for my own superstitious reasons, and was disgusted when I saw the result.
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Holger Rune to beat Casper Ruud@+450 with William Hill
Rune has had alot of matches on clay already now.. He has some injury problem in his career, but I am not sure how healthy he is.. Odds look way off.. closer to a 30% chance.. Will try it.
I am watching the match.. I guess Rune will probably lose.. That's my last post for today.. gl
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He will need to serve much stronger to win the match, which I see possible, and explained that Korda has a match under his belt in Monte Carlo already which could be useful.
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Sebastian Korda to beat Carlos Alcaraz @+320 with William Hill
I tend to agree with Czech Punter that Emil Ruusuvori has a chance today, but considering that Korda has had more success on clay, a match under his belt, and Carlos first match on clay. Well, I think it will be a difficult transition for him, and he may be preparing for the Spanish tournaments such as Barcelona, Madrid, Rome, and Roland Garros. I like what I've seen from Korda. He hits a heavy ball, and could put alot of pressure on Carlos if he falls behind. I feel that Alcaraz has had an incredible amount of success on hard courts recently because is so solid from the back line, but if there is some doubts on clean ball striking today.. This match could be up for grabs to the other extremely high rated prospect.
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Durasovic to beat Mejia Live @ Mexico @ odds pk em around
I took +165, and estimating odds to get this in quick in case anyone sees.. 10 minutes ago the odds was +340 on Durasovic.. I figured half the value is good enough to try.
I have arbitraged the bet. not confident enough to ride it out, and will pull a profit on either side.. Don't recommend the play though
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I'm not sure my bookie's rules on the first set.. They changed the grading rules, and its confusing. Maybe Emil or Korda will take the match.. I am going to strongly consider this though.. The odds look funny.
Tennis Tips - June 13 - June 19
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
missed this comment... Yesterday I went small.. Didn't want to be very bold, and Czech Punter was right.. the bookies were fairly spot on yesterday.. I trusted his word, and this is reason I don't bet big.. Saves me some money.. I hit big future bet on Golden state Warriors.. So, right now my bankroll is completely flush..
as for tomorrow. I am leaning Belinda Bencic because I think she is in form, and a very fierce grasscourt player.. What scares me is that Sakkari seems to be doing well also, and ran through Kasatkina.. I imagined this was more of Kasatkina just not playing usual level because of alot of matches recently. Sakkari leads 2-0, but they haven't played on grass before, and seems like a perfect revenge spot for Belinda Bencic who is battle tested in this tournament. I don't think Kudermetova is an easy opponent to beat, and I'm not sure if she's in form or not, but I do rate Bencic especially on this surface.. I missed both of their matches yesterday.. If anybody saw them or has opinions on it.. Would be helpful.
I also noticed that Shuai Zhang is playing very well, and thinking this could be a bit safer, because it seems dangerous to go against Sakkari for some reason in my mind.. Bencic had 7 double faults last match. going to be some tough decisions