Grass Cash
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Posts posted by Grass Cash
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I'm also picking Cornet to win the match. I just don't like the odds much on it to risk anything.
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Heather Watson, to win at odds +126
I love this bet because I think that Heather is going to track down every ball. She seems motivated and moving well and she’s also striking the ball. Well as for Golubic. she’s playing with tape on her leg and looks out of shape and forcing shots on the grass but I think that Heather will outlast her with consistency probably -
29 minutes ago, Smiles Tennis said:
I would expect Sakkari's flat hitting to cause massive problems for Cornet, did Cornet win or did Maria lose? I haven't seen any highlights.
I saw some highlights of the match, and I think it was a bit of both.. Sakkari is clearly not in form on grass, but what I saw of Cornet looked pretty solid.. I was considering to back USA player because she seems overlooked, and I don't even know who she is. She's also playing really well, but I am afraid to go against Cornet.. It should be a clear dog or pass situation. I would never consider backing Cornet at that price, and I thought both women looked equally strong with maybe a slight edge to Cornet.. But, it's hard to tell from the highlights.
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7 hours ago, Smiles Tennis said:
Jeanjean pulled out so it's void. The rest resulted in a loss of 0.32 points so nothing major.
Totals currently:
Staked: 124
Profit: 22.52
ROI: 18.2%
I will do tomorrows picks in the morning.
It seems this is not your style, but I would really like to see matches for larger events.. There is huge grass court tournaments going on right now, and many good betting options away from the lower ranked tournaments. I have done this strategy before also, but the lines should be soft enough on grass to provide some information rather than betting itf matches where you have players withdrawing from injuries, and betting options for those are not available for some people. Thank you if read!
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I found betting on it a long time ago. I used to play poker at a friends house many years ago, and my friend was training Jiu JItsu and following UFC events in the very early years and fighting tournaments in Japan. 5 years or so went by having been introduced into the sport, and it gained more popularity worldwide. Being an avid sports bettor. I liked the angle of only relying on one person to win, and I've also been interested in martial arts off and on throughout my own life. Eventually, it can relate to gathering as much information as possible. So, If i'm betting American football "NFL" and they are only playing one game a week.. Well I have an idea of where to place money if I'm following the sport closely, and there isn't much research even to be done if you are watching scores and live match studying. The same thing happened in fighting as you broaden your knowledge base to find lucrative betting opportunities.
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3 hours ago, Fader said:
How do you find betting on it? lots of value or normally always the fav wins or?
I would say it varies, but far more underdogs winning than boxing for example. There is alot more fights though in general, and the fights are much shorter than a boxing fight which makes it all that more efficient and interesting to gamble on. If there is a card of for example 12-15 fights total right. Then a realistic possibility is for 3-4 of the underdogs to win. There will be times 5-7 dogs win, and there will be cards where only one underdog wins. There is quite a few mma promotions, and there is usually a wait for the weekend when the events happen, but if you have other interests.. This would suit your needs perfectly as you'll have ample time to do any desired research.
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5 hours ago, Swami said:
I was actually thinking about taking Garin here, he won the tournament in 2019 and last year he made the semis… he clearly likes the surface and has points to defend
Good call for sure.. Looks like it was one sided... I initially thought the match was in EStoril, and if it was.. I would have bet Dellien and probably lost for sure.. Sorry for the confusion about the locations tho.. Garin is much better on faster surfaces than Dellien, and I am not even 100% sure Houston is much faster but pretty confident it is.. Estoril is known for being one of slower ATP 250 clay courts from what I remember. I guess everything is comparable, but I would guess that Estoril plays something similar to Rome.. I haven't placed any tennis bets today other than my stake that was cancelled on Kuzmanov.. I was really excited to watch that match. I"m going to watch some live video on these guys now .. a bit of research for future matches.
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Yes @Fader. It would be great to get you involved in the MMA sceene.. I think you will find it more entertaining than boxing to watch, and juicier action when it comes to betting as well. I have limited boxing knowledge nor do I follow it regularly. I was betting Tommy Fury to beat Jake Paul, and the fight was much closer than I expected.. I didn't even realize you had a post here about that, and should have been on the lookout for it. Also, this will probably be a good card to get started watching if you do get the chance.. Some of the fights are completely hit and miss and can end up being wrestling snoozefests or low volume striking matches.. But, there is also flat out wars, and insane head kick KO's that are mindblowing.
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Being that Jule Niemeier is no form at all. I would be tempted to go on McNally as an underdog... She did have nice results in 2021 Charleston beating Sevastova and winning a set/match vs Rybakina who retired. I don't think Jule has good control over her shots, and also hasn't been serving well recently. I do expect her to get back in form later this year, but right now it's a circus going on. I was just really unimpressed watching one of her matches a couple weeks ago. I turned off the stream in a match I thought she had a chance of fighting in, and checked the score later to see that she was demolished. I believe this was against Blinkova in Miami.
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Actually the Garin match is in Houston which is faster clay courts I would guess, and he is the former champion. I'm not sure how that changes my view of the match. I might be back on later but four leaf.. you will need say a specific match, and I can tell you what I think.
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Any opinions on the Dellien - Garin match in Estoril?
It's a close match between two south American players that sometimes go underrated. For me as I've mentioned I"m a fan of Christian Garin, and also Dellien somewhat to be fair. I don't think Garin can be trusted to win this match, and Dellien is more adjusted to clay court tennis right now. If you watch his final in Santiago three weeks ago.. He looks very fit, and is hitting the ball well.. I need to finish studying this.
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13 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
Good Luck. I don't hate it.. It could be three sets.. I don't bet over unders.. I had bad experiences with this style of bet. I think it's profitable to take the over on two big servers with tennis. For this match.. It seems close but it doesn't qualify for me.. I don't have a strong opinion either way under or over, but it feels like a crapshoot to me.
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And to @amity.. I am respectfully asking you to not react to my posts because I am not looking for a fan club.. Only intelligent tennis discussion. Thanks!
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20 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
@money44 are you sure you've thought enough about this? You're taking a pretty big risk.
what are you even talking about bro .. I am crushing my bets.. You don't know what I'm risking.. I have the most money I've had in 10 years right now. You are telling me I"m betting too many underdogs, and yet I"m cashing 11/1 outright winners you don't even know about..
Give me some tennis analysis and not random robot talk please. If you do disagree with my bets thats fine, but tell me why.. I'm not looking to compete with you amigo.. I'm here to cooperate without ego's, and tear the bookies apart. @four-leaf Yes I'm sure btw that the value is on Kuzmanov.. The match is a clear 50/50 chance in my opinion.
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Hello all and good day. I have some extremely hot takes for this card, and I am also very well known in the MMA handicapping community. My goal is to make this a place where people can share profitable information. The fighting forum on Punters lounge has very low activity here, and we need to get a bigger following for this because when I want to make secure and safe investments.. I will always prefer to do this on martial arts specifically. If you have any betting tips or thought about this card.. Please feel free to share and we can read your ideas.. I always prefer humility and kindess over arrogance.
Apr 8 Sat 2023- UFC 287 -
Sorry. I have changed my mind once more, and the second chance I was looking at is not something available, and turns out was probably going to lose anyways.
I have seen some more video on Kuzmanov as well as Coria, and I believe this is a good chance. I see the match in the balance, and Dimitar is also serving well in the qualifications 65% and 67% first serves in his first two matches, and he's winning good % on his second serve also.. Yes, they could be lesser opponents but in my mind that is not super relevant, and I am trust my instincts for this.
Dimitar Kuzmanov to beat Coria @ odds +210 with William Hill
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Screw it.. I found something that I like the odds way more, and seems the same chance of winning.. Gonna pray that Kuzmanov loses, and pass on this one for now. I'll try to post it here when I decide to place real money.
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@CzechPunterI know it's probably too late to get your opinion on this, but did you have any analysis for the Kuzmanov - Coria match in Marrakech? I don't think Coria should be lined that way considering his recent form?
Kuzmanov is a strong clay court player, and difficult to deal with. Not only that but he has two matches under his belt here already in qualies, and I think in this situation that's a huge advantage that could push him over the mountain.
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6 hours ago, Swami said:
Don’t like anything today, except for the 2-0 Ostapenko I already posted about in the previous thread. The second week of a 1000 is generally kind of boring betting wise ?
I honestly don't know how someone could consider backing Ostapenko to win in her current form. The thought never crossed my mind. She is a fade player, and dissapoints alot of the time. I do believe she has a chance to come back and win the match tho.
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Lehecka @4.0 to beat Khachanov. Will be looking to back Khachanov at a good price next, and get a no risk play.
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@CzechPunter I know you will find this one strange, but any opinion on the chances of Trevisan today? She is a player that is under-estimated at times. What are the chances she finally learned how to play on hard courts, and cause a huge upset. Well, we can look at her recent results, and she's having some success.. I don't really rate her last win vs Claire Liu much, but she's beaten Hibino in straights, beaten Brengle, and three sets with Muchova at Indian Wells. I have been suspicious of a surprise here. I've seen some film on Trevisan's matches, and her footwork and ball striking looks great to me.. If she is aggressive off the Ostapenko second serve, and can move her around there should be a chance.. Any opinions?
I am now considering a Trevisan/Alexandrova 12.53 parlay. I will have fun more fun with this bet, and perhaps do singles also which is undecided. However.. I think the chances of this hitting are relatively similar to my last suggestion in which the estimate could have been high. But ultimately, I am trying to decide if Trevisan will actually get this thing done, and maybe ride her solo to begin today's matches.
Update: still searching for a bet to make, and have not found anything reliable.. Good luck!
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Well. It doesn't upset me at all. I always like to hear your thoughts, and respect your tennis opinions at the highest level. I completely disagree with you betting that price on Kvitova because her serve is a massive liability. Gracheva has been consistently underrated in recent matches. I watched some of her highlights, and her game seems really nice to me.
Kvitova would have more of an advantage in slower hard courts, clay, or grass courts in my opinion. I will admit that I am not following Petra at all in Miami, and could easily be wrong about this. But, I will guess this is going to be a tight match.
Update: I have reviewed Petra's last match in Miami briefly, and I agree with Czech Punter that Petra Kvitova is indeed in top form right, and I will most likely be looking for a different bet because I cannot trust Gracheva enough to win this.
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Hi. I am curious if there is anyone backing Gracheva today?
I am thinking of parlay with Khachanov/Gracheva. The odds are good 4.61. It feels like I'm going to hit this parlay 30% of time or so. This is a 38% ROI overall with this estimate factoring wins and losses. It's going to be big chance to lose of course.
Tennis Tips - June 5 - June 18
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted · Edited by money44
update above ^