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opole

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  1. Like
    opole got a reaction from South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - December 29 - January 6   
    Both Aiava and Hradecka winning their matches easily.
    Good start.
     
  2. Like
    opole got a reaction from eros in Tennis Tips - December 29 - January 6   
    WTA Brisbane qualif.
    Destanee Aiava @ 2.17 Pinnacle 4/10
    Don't know what to think about Vania King. Obviously she struggled a lot with injuries during the last couple of years. She only played 15 matches in 2018 and 7 matches in 2017. She retired twice in 2018 during her matches and also gave a walkover once. It looks like her body isn't doing well at singles competition. I read a couple of interviews and she clearly said she is focusing on doubles in 2019 so i don't know how to rate her here. Aiava is a huge talent although she wasn't playing her best tennis during the 2018 season but she has a good history in Brisbane, in 2017 she won four matches there reaching the second round losing to Kuznetsova. We all forget about the fact she is still very young and just turned 18 this year. I really like her powerful game. She is a huge prospect and i expect her to start strong at the Australian summer as Aussies always playing really good there. 
  3. Like
    opole got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - December 29 - January 6   
    WTA Brisbane qualif.
    Destanee Aiava @ 2.17 Pinnacle 4/10
    Don't know what to think about Vania King. Obviously she struggled a lot with injuries during the last couple of years. She only played 15 matches in 2018 and 7 matches in 2017. She retired twice in 2018 during her matches and also gave a walkover once. It looks like her body isn't doing well at singles competition. I read a couple of interviews and she clearly said she is focusing on doubles in 2019 so i don't know how to rate her here. Aiava is a huge talent although she wasn't playing her best tennis during the 2018 season but she has a good history in Brisbane, in 2017 she won four matches there reaching the second round losing to Kuznetsova. We all forget about the fact she is still very young and just turned 18 this year. I really like her powerful game. She is a huge prospect and i expect her to start strong at the Australian summer as Aussies always playing really good there. 
  4. Like
    opole got a reaction from MarioDunav in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Martin Joseph Ward wins by KO/TKO/DQ @ 7 Ladbrokes 2/10
    Definitely worth a shot at these odds. Ward has some pop in his hands, he isn't the big puncher but he can bang and i think he will easily outbox Boschiero today who is simply too old and faded big in the last couple of years, it's a 12 rounder so Boschiero might be a bit tired in the later rounds and i can imagine Ward takes advantage of that and could probably stop Boschiero late. Another thing is, i can also imagine Ward going for the KO in the mid / late rounds as everyone knows the judges might be a bit biased here and giving Boschiero some close rounds so going for the knockout could be smart. I mean Boschiero hasn't big power so Ward do not have to fear getting lucky punched or something.
  5. Like
    opole got a reaction from Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Gashi is underrated i think. He is a beast in the ring, completly without fear and going forward, but he is also a bit crazy as we saw in the inner german fight vs. Schwarz where he was disqualified. I think Gashi was definitely winning the fight vs Schwarz and although Schwarz is a bum i do not think Gashi is without chances here today especially as Takam had a very brutal KO loss recently and we all know how difficult it is to recover from that at age 38. Plus, a very important thing, Gashi has an iron chin i think. The guy can eat big hands left and right and isn't going down. I also like that Takam isn't that tall. Schwarz is 6'5 and the height was a factor there but Takam is 6'1 while Gashi is a small HW with 6'0. Another thing is Gashi had a very short fight three weeks ago that should give him some confidence. I like the odds, i mean odds around 13 suggesting less than 10%...this is unreal.
    And yes...Korobov is an animal, really skilled, tough and of course has much more experience compared to Charlo who is untested yet as i wrote. Charlo looks good if it comes to the eye test but the eye test is only one thing. As we saw Trout was giving him much trouble and Trout is also a southpaw like Korobov, this is a dangerous matchup and of course it comes to the factor HOW much has Korobov left at age 35 with being quite inactive recently but i wouldn't be shocked if he shocks the world with a win vs. Charlo although it will be difficult as even if it goes to the cards i can see a robbery here. But as i wrote, odds are unreal high so it's worth a try even if it ends in a loss. 
  6. Like
    opole reacted to Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Leaning towards Chisora now guys, and backing off Korobov a little bit .. It was a nice dream, and I still hope he wins... but I think that Dereck Chisora win is far more likely at this point.. 
    Sorry for the back and forth .. I'm new to the boxing game .. just really trying to analyze Opole's picks and find the best one .. so final decision for me will Chisora @ 2.4/1.. I won't do any official posts or records on this forum because I have very little knowledge of the sport or reliable information. Good day all 
  7. Like
    opole got a reaction from Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Cristofer Rosales wins by KO/TKO/DQ @2.35 5dimes 5/10
    Rosales is a beast. I watched his last two fights and he developed so well since losing to Selby last year. Edwards has a padded record, he's a solid boxer but he hasn't the best punch resistance, Casimero who has a similar style compared to Rosales ko'd him and i think Rosales is more dangerous as he throws very very accurate and his body shots are crucial.
    Dereck Chisora wins by KO/TKO/DQ @7 Ladbrokes 2/10
    Chisora looks in great shape at the weigh in today, has almost the same weight as vs. Takam but his physique is much more impressive, that's the David Haye factor. Haye did the same with Joe Joyce who looked a bit flubby but turned into a strong and compact composition in short time period. Chisora is a beast and i think he won the first fight vs. Whyte on the cards, i had him winning the fight with 1 round. I think Whyte is always a matchup that brings out the best in Chisora. That was probably the best performance by Chisora ever and it was shame he was robbed in the end. Chisora knows he might get robbed again so i think he will try to be more aggressive especially in the later rounds as Whyte is always tiring late like he did vs. Parker where he was nearly stopped in the last round. I think this might be a tactic for Chisora who should be in awesome condition as Haye is probably the best coach you can have to be in shape and fit in the late rounds as he always was in his prime.
    Liam Williams @2.65 5dimes 4/10
    I don't know what to think about Heffron. He only fought bums so far and is hyped a lot, also has a good looks so he is easy to sell. We'll find out soon as Liam Williams is a hell of an opponent for a guy who almost has zero experience on that level. Williams is powerful and experienced and was never stopped in a legit way.
    Senad Gashi @13.50 5dimes 3/10
    Takam lost 3 of his last 5 fights and was brutally KOd by Chisora recently. He is old and you never how how he reacts to those kind of losses. On the other side Gashi is a damn tough mf to say it. He has an iron chin and always going forward to brawl, this could be a really good fight and if Gashi hurts him i think he will finish him off as he has a killer instinct.
    Joshua Buatsi by KO/TKO/DQ x Nathan Gorman by KO/TKO/DQ x Carl Frampton = @2.55 William Hill 4/10
    Solid parlay. Can't see Buatsi and Gorman going the distance. Frampton vs. Warrington might be closer on the cards than it really is but Frampton is just one level above i think. Frampton vs. Santa Cruz 3 in 2019 should be a lock.
     
     
  8. Like
    opole got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Cristofer Rosales wins by KO/TKO/DQ @2.35 5dimes 5/10
    Rosales is a beast. I watched his last two fights and he developed so well since losing to Selby last year. Edwards has a padded record, he's a solid boxer but he hasn't the best punch resistance, Casimero who has a similar style compared to Rosales ko'd him and i think Rosales is more dangerous as he throws very very accurate and his body shots are crucial.
    Dereck Chisora wins by KO/TKO/DQ @7 Ladbrokes 2/10
    Chisora looks in great shape at the weigh in today, has almost the same weight as vs. Takam but his physique is much more impressive, that's the David Haye factor. Haye did the same with Joe Joyce who looked a bit flubby but turned into a strong and compact composition in short time period. Chisora is a beast and i think he won the first fight vs. Whyte on the cards, i had him winning the fight with 1 round. I think Whyte is always a matchup that brings out the best in Chisora. That was probably the best performance by Chisora ever and it was shame he was robbed in the end. Chisora knows he might get robbed again so i think he will try to be more aggressive especially in the later rounds as Whyte is always tiring late like he did vs. Parker where he was nearly stopped in the last round. I think this might be a tactic for Chisora who should be in awesome condition as Haye is probably the best coach you can have to be in shape and fit in the late rounds as he always was in his prime.
    Liam Williams @2.65 5dimes 4/10
    I don't know what to think about Heffron. He only fought bums so far and is hyped a lot, also has a good looks so he is easy to sell. We'll find out soon as Liam Williams is a hell of an opponent for a guy who almost has zero experience on that level. Williams is powerful and experienced and was never stopped in a legit way.
    Senad Gashi @13.50 5dimes 3/10
    Takam lost 3 of his last 5 fights and was brutally KOd by Chisora recently. He is old and you never how how he reacts to those kind of losses. On the other side Gashi is a damn tough mf to say it. He has an iron chin and always going forward to brawl, this could be a really good fight and if Gashi hurts him i think he will finish him off as he has a killer instinct.
    Joshua Buatsi by KO/TKO/DQ x Nathan Gorman by KO/TKO/DQ x Carl Frampton = @2.55 William Hill 4/10
    Solid parlay. Can't see Buatsi and Gorman going the distance. Frampton vs. Warrington might be closer on the cards than it really is but Frampton is just one level above i think. Frampton vs. Santa Cruz 3 in 2019 should be a lock.
     
     
  9. Like
    opole got a reaction from Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Yeah wouldn't be surprised if Korobov is outboxing CHarlo for 5-6 rounds and then getting caught by a right hook again...BUT i expect him to be very fit and in good shape as he was supposed to fight on the same event vs. a different opponent. Maybe the weight loss could be a factor as he has to loose 3-4 kg within a week but still very tasty odds for such a matchup.
    I don't know if i believe in the Charlo hype. I rewatched the Trout fight last night and i am pretty sure Trout beat Charlo on the cards, this was a first class robbery. Trout is a southpaw like Korobov is. Let's see....nice odds, let's shock the boxing world haha
    btw: Good bets for UFC next week. I think i will tail the first the one on Douglas Silva.
  10. Like
    opole reacted to Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Odds look really tasty on this one .. seems to be a chance 
  11. Like
    opole got a reaction from Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Matt Korobov @16.75 5dimes 2/10
    Korobov is 35 yrs old now, probably past his prime and very inactive recently BUT he is a superb talented boxer who beat names like Usyk, Jacobs or Derevyanchenko at the amateurs, he won several national and international titles and was a decorated amateur. As a pro he only lost to once and it was a lucky punch loss. He beat Uzcategui for example who is a world title holder right now at SMW. I know it's very unlikely he still has it BUT Charlo is untested yet, only faced one decent opponent so far (Trout) and Trout beat Charlo IMO but was robbed on the cards. Huge odds but it's not impossible that Korobov will shock the world here.
  12. Like
    opole got a reaction from Stevecw in Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season   
    Pakistan F3
    Aqeel Khan @ 4.5 5dimes 4/10
    Khan isn't feeling that comfortable on clay i think but he looked pretty decent in the first round and the courts are faster than i thought so it might fancy him a bit. Noguchi is nothing spectacular tbh, i think he is solid but lacking a real weapon in his game. If Khan has the stamina and feeling well it should be much closer.
  13. Like
    opole reacted to Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Its not really my sport either either, but i'm studying it for awhile .first post here was a success. i had some questionable picks in the football forum .. its more difficult sport .. i like to only bet on one athlete for less variables.. 2-0 +3.75 units.. Also there is some other guy who posts there Danshot .. he's had some really good results... wouldn't take u long at all to catch on especially with your history scouting fights. There is a site i can link you also where a ton off mma bettors pick sides, and their career profit results are color coded.. It helps give a sense for who to back .. but it doesn't always help.. this card really was purely on evaluating the weigh in of the fighters... the strength and attitude. 

  14. Like
    opole got a reaction from Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    UFC isn't my area to be honest, i am watching the bigger events from time to time but only placed a few bets there over the last years.
  15. Like
    opole reacted to Grass Cash in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    There is a huge market for ufc fights, and it is always getting more popular.. i hope that u will cap these matchups, or look into it.  There will be a smaller card to choose from, and we can narrow down on some sure bets with two votes. Its pretty exciting.. I respect boxing, but I don't bet on it. Hope to see you over there sometime. @opole
  16. Like
    opole got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season   
    Only few books having odds so i'll give no stake here but it looks like those two are very solid bets.
    Lotto NK Tennis
    Jesse Timmermans @ 3.5 
    Jasper Smit @ 3.4 
    If you can bet there or waiting for the inplay odds you might can place more money.
    Jasper Smit would be a mid stake bet, i really like him, he is a good player and should be prized around 1.9...
     
  17. Like
    opole got a reaction from Simeon Borisof in Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season   
    ITF W Cairo
    Yekaterina Dmitrichenko vs. Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
    Steur is 14 years old, she is looking promising, no doubt, i saw her at german junior tournament earlier this year but she has to work on so many things and she is so young, it's too early to say if she has it to make it to the top or something but there are so many questionmarks about her in such a matchup and i prefer to take Dmitrichenko here as she is much more experienced and has a couple of pretty decent results. 
    Yekaterina Dmitrichenko @ 3.17 Pinnacle 4/10
  18. Thanks
    opole got a reaction from eros in Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season   
    ITF W Cairo
    Yekaterina Dmitrichenko vs. Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
    Steur is 14 years old, she is looking promising, no doubt, i saw her at german junior tournament earlier this year but she has to work on so many things and she is so young, it's too early to say if she has it to make it to the top or something but there are so many questionmarks about her in such a matchup and i prefer to take Dmitrichenko here as she is much more experienced and has a couple of pretty decent results. 
    Yekaterina Dmitrichenko @ 3.17 Pinnacle 4/10
  19. Like
    opole got a reaction from hristofor in Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season   
    Only few books having odds so i'll give no stake here but it looks like those two are very solid bets.
    Lotto NK Tennis
    Jesse Timmermans @ 3.5 
    Jasper Smit @ 3.4 
    If you can bet there or waiting for the inplay odds you might can place more money.
    Jasper Smit would be a mid stake bet, i really like him, he is a good player and should be prized around 1.9...
     
  20. Like
    opole got a reaction from hristofor in Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season   
    ITF W Cairo
    Yekaterina Dmitrichenko vs. Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
    Steur is 14 years old, she is looking promising, no doubt, i saw her at german junior tournament earlier this year but she has to work on so many things and she is so young, it's too early to say if she has it to make it to the top or something but there are so many questionmarks about her in such a matchup and i prefer to take Dmitrichenko here as she is much more experienced and has a couple of pretty decent results. 
    Yekaterina Dmitrichenko @ 3.17 Pinnacle 4/10
  21. Like
    opole reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - 2018 Off-Season   
    good luck on it brother. 
  22. Like
    opole got a reaction from cluelessG in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Josh Kelly vs. David Avanesyan
    Under 9.5 rounds @ 1.80 The Greek 7/10
    Kelly is one of the biggest prospects at 147 lb, i think he might be a future superstar, of course it's a strong division but Kelly has everything in his game to be a world title winner one day. I think Avanesyan is a good step up here but i doubt the guy will do anything special here. Avanesyan coming back from a stoppage loss to Kavaliauskas earlier this year. Kavaliauskas stopped him in the sixth round and i don't know why Kelly should not repeat that?! I think Kelly with his working rate, power and variety should be too much to handle. I think we'll see a mid round stoppage between 5-7.
     
  23. Thanks
    opole got a reaction from cluelessG in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Thabiso Mchunu vs. Thomas Oosthuizen
    Thomas Oosthuizen @ 1.83 Intertops 4/10
    This is a rematch for the African Boxing Union Cruiserweight Title and South African Cruiserweight Title. The first fight ended in a Majority decision for Oosthuizen (115-113, 115-113, 114-114). The scorecards were pretty tight but in my opinion Oosthuizen was dominating the fight and won a close but clear decision. Considering the fact that Oosthuizen was out for 16 months with some really bad stuff happened before they fought on September 1st this year i expect a even better version of Oosthuizen for the fight today. Oosthuizen was dominating the first fight from the distance with his jab, he had a very solid game plan and Mchunu as always had huge problems with the southpaw stance. Mchunu having five losses on his record now and all losses were vs. southpaw opponents: Oosthuizen, Bejenaru, Usyk, Mwekassa and Makabu. This is a pattern. Sometimes orthodox fighters have huge problems vs. left handed opponents and i think this is the case with Mchunu who is definitely solid and a good boxer but for a reason he wasn't able to deal with good southpaw opponents. As i wrote Oosthuizen was a bit rusty in the first fight and still was able to dominate although the judges scored it close, i definitely can see wider cards today.
  24. Like
    opole got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Thabiso Mchunu vs. Thomas Oosthuizen
    Thomas Oosthuizen @ 1.83 Intertops 4/10
    This is a rematch for the African Boxing Union Cruiserweight Title and South African Cruiserweight Title. The first fight ended in a Majority decision for Oosthuizen (115-113, 115-113, 114-114). The scorecards were pretty tight but in my opinion Oosthuizen was dominating the fight and won a close but clear decision. Considering the fact that Oosthuizen was out for 16 months with some really bad stuff happened before they fought on September 1st this year i expect a even better version of Oosthuizen for the fight today. Oosthuizen was dominating the first fight from the distance with his jab, he had a very solid game plan and Mchunu as always had huge problems with the southpaw stance. Mchunu having five losses on his record now and all losses were vs. southpaw opponents: Oosthuizen, Bejenaru, Usyk, Mwekassa and Makabu. This is a pattern. Sometimes orthodox fighters have huge problems vs. left handed opponents and i think this is the case with Mchunu who is definitely solid and a good boxer but for a reason he wasn't able to deal with good southpaw opponents. As i wrote Oosthuizen was a bit rusty in the first fight and still was able to dominate although the judges scored it close, i definitely can see wider cards today.
  25. Like
    opole got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Boxing: October/November/December 2018   
    Josh Kelly vs. David Avanesyan
    Under 9.5 rounds @ 1.80 The Greek 7/10
    Kelly is one of the biggest prospects at 147 lb, i think he might be a future superstar, of course it's a strong division but Kelly has everything in his game to be a world title winner one day. I think Avanesyan is a good step up here but i doubt the guy will do anything special here. Avanesyan coming back from a stoppage loss to Kavaliauskas earlier this year. Kavaliauskas stopped him in the sixth round and i don't know why Kelly should not repeat that?! I think Kelly with his working rate, power and variety should be too much to handle. I think we'll see a mid round stoppage between 5-7.
     
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