Fellcrawler

369.57
Having another crack at the Cheltenham Novice races 
2.05 - Allmankind 7/4 and Botox Has 5/1
4.25 - Streets of Doyen 9/4 and Minella Encore 10/3
prices bet365 bog
4 x £5 doubles

Tried so many of my own systems but only succeeded in losing money.  Grateful for all the hard work put in by the experts on this forum.  Thanks to The Accountant and others like Trotter and Richard Westwood?

“Of course they are all flying in as I did not back today following a bad run, not just these but other stuff falling over in the last few days killing my bank!”
Sorry Nick but if you consider what we’ve been on as a “bad run” then I can only scratch my head. I’ve been very happy with the progress. Maybe your bank is too small relative to your staking and you need to review. I wouldn’t consider us to have been on a losing run at all. 
Re: the comment about the system criteria etc firstly I meant no offence but it was pretty obvious to me that the poster hadn’t even taken the time to review the thread in full (which was only 3 pages) they saw the profit only and then asked for the exact detail in their first post - this was the trigger for my “arsey” comment. I’ve been trading for over 24 years, I’ve spent thousands and thousands of hours (& euro’s) looking at angles across several sports so it annoys me to have some one not even bother to scan 3 pages on a free site and expect chapter and verse. Rant over ?
Re the criteria. It’s system based, I have a set number of criteria that I narrow the fields with. I then look at the price and make a judgment call. It’s specific to the horse, not for example the race type and/or track. The criteria would be specific and are based around my own ratings - that’s as much as I will be posting, not because of any reason other than it’ll lead to a load of follow on questions.
Re taking the early prices, yes I generally do and then record at BSP. On which there’s a small error in the place bank which I’ll amend on Monday. I’ll also put up a link for a records sheet if that is permitted/useful to people.
I’m happy to stay posting if there’s interest in it. It doesn’t concern me where in the forum. 
 
 
 
 

Winner last night.
Wigan v Salford: 15 points on Powell to score a try at 13/5 Lads
(Fine at 5/2 without boost.)

this month +322.90
Navan 2.30 - Inflection Point 2/1 and Tide of Time 3/1
Ludlow 3.10 - Eritage 10/3 and Monsieur D'Arque 7/2
prices bet365 bog
4 x £5 doubles

returns 86.67, profit 66.67
this month +389.57

Day dreamin wins 6/1 

230 leopard 
Day dreamin 244 
Silk cravat 242 
These two are a few points clear of next horse so I'll play 
Day dreamin 5pts win 4/1 betv 
Silk cravat 5pts win 7/1 bet365 

730 chelm 
War glory is a better horse on the all weather so better suited today by conditions .....I'll try an ew bet 
War glory 10pt ew 10/1 betv
 

240 curr 
Secret sea  247 
Cliffs of freedom 245 
Youceeyoucee 241 
Youcee is popular amongst the tipsters but top 2 have been running just as well so should run big races hopefully 
Secret sea 10pt win 7/2 bet365
Cliffs of freedom 10pt win 22/1 pp

Sermon wins ....9pts profit 

830 wolv
Sermon  277
May song 277
Right action  274
Right action is popular today ....has run well on all weather in past but not for 2 years .....so I'll take top 2 rated and take him on 
Sermon 5pts win 4/1 willh
May song 5pts win 8/1 willh
6x1pt rev forecasts top3 
 

Great white first ...summer moon second .....not so sleepy 4th ...jeez

Cesarewitch 
Great white shark    355
Not so sleepy   352 
Summer moon 352  
Huge handicap and pinsticker but these 3 are a good few points ahead of rest so as good as any in a hard race 
Great white shark 10pt win 8/1 bet365
Not so sleepy 10pt win 12.0 betfair 
Summer moon 10pt win 25.0 betfair 

Back today with two selections. We are backing for €100, place & back.

16:50 Leicester John Clare 17:40 Lingfield Bird To Love  

1.00 Catterick - 1pt e/w Country Charm @ 8/1 Bet365
Big price but shaped well behind some solid yardsticks on debut when not beaten far. Trainer wouldn't have many debutant winners so eyecatching that he wasn't beaten far at all and should improve for the run too. Sire won a group one on soft so whilst unraced on this surface, there's promise there and is an attractive each-way price.
1.30 Catterick - 1pt e/w Bert Kibbler @ 12/1 Bet365
Has improved with each race to date and was only beaten a couple of lengths last time out. On that evidence, this mark doesn't look beyond him considering he's progressing with each run and his dam had a similarly progressive profile in her short career. Another who looks quite a nice price today.
2.10 Lingfield - 2pts win El Conquistador @ 9/2 Bet365
Has improved with each run to date and shaped well when 3rd last time out after a lengthy absence. On that evidence, the fact he's progressing with each outing and that each of his two half siblings have shown better form than this one has to date, there looks more to come under conditions that clearly are no issue. 
3.00 Catterick - 2pts win Jill Rose @ 4/1 Bet365
Put this one up when she won over c&d last time out under these conditions and I see no reason why she can't back it up off 4lbs higher. Won going away there having had to come from a bit off the speed and I think she could do better with a more prominent ride. She stays strongly under these conditions and with the favourite proving vulnerable at the finish a few times, I think this filly can back up her recent success.
3.20 Leicester - 2pts win Majalaat @ 7/1 Bet365
Backed this at big odds a couple of starts back when running a sound race behind horses who enjoyed it on the front end on deep ground in a class 4. Has dropped down the handicap after a no-show last time but a stiff 6f on heavy ground looks ideal and now drops in grade to a much more winnable race. Hopefully can bounce back today and if so, can go very well.
3.40 Lingfield - 1pt e/w Commonsensical @ 12/1 Bet365
I thought this one would win at Goodwood last time but showed nothing on horrible ground and I think it can prove wise to focus on the remainder of its form. On its two seconds previously, this looks a fair enough mark and conditions suit here. Not too worried about wide draws at Lingfield and the Dascombe yard is finally getting going after a slow start to the year. Plenty of unexposed types in here but this one looks capable off this mark.

To those above, unfortunately the tragic news about BH will sadly be the answer to what I hoped was an innocuous thing ?
I came back on to post my selections at Wolverhampton this evening - I feel somewhat guilty doing so given the circumstances but the best tribute I suppose we can pay is to maintain and continue to build the community we have here, so I've included these below.
5.20 Wolverhampton - 1pt e/w Bay of Naples @ 8/1 Bet365
5.55 Wolverhampton - 2pts win Whatwouldyouknow @ 11/2 Bet365
6.30 Wolverhampton - 2pts win Running Cloud @ 5/1
7.00 Wolverhampton - 1pt e/w Raven's Raft @ 33/1 PP

USA naps
belmont park
race 1 super wicked charm 9/1 placed
race 2 queentigua 12/1lost
race 3 Saratoga love s/p won 15/2
race 4 undine 12/1 Lost
race 5 venous 9/2 Lost
race 6 willing to speed s/p lost
race 7 bustinmygroove 9/1 Lost
race 8 life on top s/p lost
race 9 half right 4/1 Lost
race 10 shandian s/p lost
all bets 25p e/w coral ?

2 placed from 5 yesterday which left us with a small loss on the day. None won but Master Milliner traded into 1.10 only to beaten so we were unlucky there.
Place Bank is +€792.98
Win Bank is +€5,533.63

Place backs for today are below.
 
13:10 Warwick Trincomalee 13:45 Warwick Midnightreflection 15:40 Salisbury Diamond Cottage 18:00 Chelmsford Molinari 18:30 Chelmsford Restless Rose

grrr ...... bit of an 'if only' there !
Still the EW part comes up and gets me back over 1000.00 for the first time in a while
returns 135.00, profit 115.00, bank 1004.62
this month - stakes 40.00, P/L +121.13

4.00 rip
Able handy 227+2 
Royal residence 227 +1
Joint top here so hopefully they can run well in this 16 runner hcsp 
Able handy 10pt win 13/2 wh
Royal residence 10pt win 8/1 willh

Able handy wins 

nice drifter in the 1.50 !
returns 87.50, profit 67.50, bank 883.49

1st and 2nd 

120 RIP 
Horzadar 221 +1 
Hesslewood 220 
Tricky race with a couple of the bookies favs as potential improves but these 2 have posted good form recently so I'll stick with them 
Horzadar 10pts win 6.0 betfair
Hesslewood 10pts win 13/2 betv