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Racing Chat - Friday 16th October


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UK-trained runners have a phenomenal record in the 19.45 at Dundalk. They have won the race five times from the past six renewals. Two UK-raiders are Dundalk bound on Friday It costs a pretty penny to bring these horses across the water and they aren’t travelling over for the fun of it.

muker The horse is sent on a 642-mile round trip from his base in North Yorkshire. He won on debut at Newcastle which is a major plus as he is proven on an all-weather surface.bet365 is 7/1 rest of bookies 4/1 first 3 places 

or

rocket action 802-mile round trip. Based in Newmarket, this is a long way to bring a horse just for the day out so he deserves respect. Shane Foley is a top jockey and gets the leg up.He is three from three at Wolverhampton and hasn’t been out of the first two from six starts on the all-weather

9/1 with paddypower 4 places or betfred 15/2 4 places 

worth a second look both ew?

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Hey guys new here nice to meet you all and also nice to be involved.

Haydock 1.45 COMMANCHE FALLS 9/2 betfair, career best last time and a repeat of that here on ground he handles will see him competitive.

 

Uttoxeter 2.23 AS I SEE IT(ew) 12/1 bet365, nice to see this one back over hurdles this season after uninspiring tries over fences. This race could see a bounce back to form. 

Edited by John W
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14 hours ago, John W said:

Hey guys new here nice to meet you all and also nice to be involved.

Haydock 1.45 COMMANCHE FALLS 9/2 betfair, career best last time and a repeat of that here on ground he handles will see him competitive.

 

Uttoxeter 2.23 AS I SEE IT(ew) 12/1 bet365, nice to see this one back over hurdles this season after uninspiring tries over fences. This race could see a bounce back to form. 

Welcome to Punters Lounge,  I hope that you enjoy your stay with us.  Good luck with your tips.

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12.40 Haydock - 0.5pts e/w Red Walls @ 40/1 Bet365

Not shown a great deal so far but actually ran okay from a prominent sit at 500/1 last time out, fading late on to be a respectable 5th over 6f. Is bred to be speedy and showed some dash there so the drop to 5f should suit and soft ground doesn't look an inconvenience. Can offer excuses at Chester in both runs there so now going handicapping, worth chancing at big odds if building on last time out.

1.45 Haydock - 1pt e/w Lincoln Park @ 11/1 Bet365

This one wants either a testing 6f or easy 7f and just did too much too soon over the latter at Chester last time out. Was rushed up to get handy but was pestered on the front end and faded late on. 6f on heavy ground here at Haydock will be ideal, has plenty of course form and holds each-way hopes.

1.50 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Killer Clown @ 15/2 Bet365

Competitive novice chase but I like Emma Lavelle's charge on chasing debut having shaped well albeit looking like fences could be the making of him in novice hurdles. Back from a break but the yard is going okay and can ready them. This one won its only start in a point to point when 11 lengths ahead of a horse who is now rated 120 in the chasing sphere so this one looks set to be competitive off 124 today if fit enough to do himself justice.

2.23 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Summer Name @ 14/1 Bet365

Rebecca Curtis' runner won after a mammoth absence last November in a novice event when pulling clear with a 130 rated rival and on that evidence, this mark shouldn't be beyond him. Didn't run as well in a hot novice won by Shishkin next time out but that was over 2 miles whereas its win came over 2m4f on soft ground. Despite racing on the flat, this one comes from a family of stout stayers (a couple of his half siblings stayed 2 miles/2m4f on the level) so the step up to 2m7f over hurdles should be okay and we know he can do the business fresh so with wind surgery since that latest run, could go well on its reappearance.

2.35 Redcar - 0.5pts e/w Explain @ 33/1 Hills

Have to take a leap of faith with this one but once upon a time was a good type and has tumbled down the weights in recent times. Shaped okay two and three starts back, keeping on from the rear but was lifeless last time. Been given a break since, however, and is a heavy ground winner so soft conditions aren't a problem. Have to take fitness and wellbeing on trust but will presumably bounce back at some point so worth chancing at a big price.

3.05 Redcar - 1pt e/w Martins Brig @ 8/1 Bet365

Has some decent form in the book and promisingly those runs suggest 7f on soft ground would be absolutely spot on for him. Well handicapped on a couple of those runs too having slipped down the weights for lesser shows in races where he's had excuses and couldn't get involved from the rear and a wide draw at Wolverhampton last time. Yard are going well, this track should help him get involved and can see a better run now.

5.05 Redcar - 1pt e/w Thorntoun Care @ 10/1 Bet365

Conditions suit for this one who's down to a handy mark and whilst getting on a bit now, has shown enough to suggest he's capable of landing a race this season. Shaped well three starts ago over slightly further off a higher mark and was outstayed at Catterick two starts back. Couldn't reel in the leaders when last seen in a race dominated by those towards the front (the only horse who finished ahead of this one from a similarly held-up position bolted up next time out) and with a decent pace likely here, should be coming home well.

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I have placed a few bets.

12.40 Hd Cuban Breeze (RK) £2.00 @ 4.10 = £6.08 (Looks like a cert on paper but I've been let down before)

2.35 Red Real Smooth (RD5) £2 win at 11/2

3.05 Red Chaplin Bay (JH) 45p win at 25/1
3.05 Red B Fifty Two (JE) 45p win at 28/1

4.05 Red Rainbow Mirage (CF) 45p win at 20/1

5.05 Red Bawaader (A Mc) 70p win at 10/1

I will be back later to look at William Buick's rides at Newcastle (too many hot jockeys there so I'll stick with him as his overall strike rate is the best)

Total stakes = £6.05

=====================================================================================================

A blank day on the singles, so a loss of £6.05 The balance c/fwd is now £175.32 (Bank £400) 

William Buick only had one winner at Newcastle so a little uninspiring.

Ascot later with Stradivarious out for compensation; not sure I want to oppose it.

 

 

Edited by The Equaliser
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