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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Punchestown : Fakir Doudairies 2nd @ 11\2, Top Bandit 2nd @ 15\2
Naas
12.05 Mars Harper @ 15\2 1/5 1-3
12.35 Shes Some Doll @ 11\2 1/5 1-5
13.25 Clodders Dream @ 5\1 1/5 1-3
14.05 All for Rachel @ 7\1 1/5 1-3
15.06 Go Gill Go @ 8\1 1/5 1-6
15.40 Givehimthehonour @ 6\1 1/5 1-3
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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Thurles : Ballykeel 3rd @ 12\1, Arverne 4th @ 13\2, Belle the Lioness 2nd @ 13\2, Gaillimh A Run 1st @ 11\2
Punchestown
13.10 Routine Excellence @ 13\2 1/5 1-5
13.40 La Malmason @ 8\1 1/5 1-3
14.10 Fakir D'Oudairies @ 4\1 1/4 1-2
14.40 Top Bandit @ 6\1 1/5 1-3
15.10 Glenloe @ 7\1 1/5 1-4
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Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup
Double Up 1st @ 6\4 & 1st @ 9\4
Evolicatt 18.00 Chelmsford 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)
Latest win in claimer at Redcar in October. 3/1, below form when seventh of 10 in nursery at Kempton (7f) 47 days ago. Sets a solid standard judged on her penultimate effort so fancied to go close.
Blizzard of Oz 15.40 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)
14/1, 3 lengths second of 8 to Impulsive Dancer in listed bumper at Limerick (16f, good to soft) on debut in March. Split a promising Willie Mullins pair then and has since joined his yard. Obvious claims.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Thurles
12.44 Ballykeel @ 12\1 1/5 1-3
13.14 Arverne @ 13\2 1/5 1-5
13.44 Yabo @ 6\1 1/5 1-4
14.14 Belle the Lioness @ 13\2 1/4 1-2
14.44 Blanketontheground @ 6\1 1/5 1-4
15.44 Gaillimh A Run @ 5\1 1/5 1-3
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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Just spotted a mistake in the above stats (for the better.) Total Bets should be 1526, which would change the ROI to 4.08%
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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Dundalk
13.40 Seven Hills @ 5\1 1/5 1-3
14.15 Nevada Queen @ 12\1 1/5 1-3
14.45 Fast Trek @ 8\1 1/5 1-4
15.15 Sea Spray @ 6\1 1/5 1-3
15.45 Royal Tribute @ 11\2 1/5 1-4
16.15 Tynamite @ 6\1 1/5 1-4
16.45 Chocolat Blu @ 15\2 1/5 1-3
17.15 Mads Black Eight @ 6\1 1/5 1-4
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Xtc12 reacted to Fader in World Cup Competition - Quarter Final Winners
I think BBBC has the title swen up. If France win then it gives Catijohn an extra 5pts but that would take him to 202 and still 4pts behind and both have France and Argentina. Nobody near the top has the other 2. Congrats to BBBC.
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Xtc12 reacted to justanotherpunter in ADDITIONAL ANNUAL PRIZE
Could be a very good idea -
However some thought could be made to make it more of a challenge -
Any dumpling could enter the lowest price of the day and claim to have the best strike rate??? as now happens in the main comp.
Maybe consider no odds on shots allowed and also restrict odds to under 20/1 at time of bet placement to rule out wild 250/1 ew shots
Also no ew bets allowed as this would then give meaning to most winners
Only my thoughts of course - feel free to ignore ?
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Xtc12 reacted to Zilzalian in ADDITIONAL ANNUAL PRIZE
I am with you on this, as i see it and its only my personal opinion the spirit of the comp is nap of the day i, like many submit every day. The month i won it even when i was well in front i still submitted daily, A month later i would have won the comp again if i had stopped at 20 but i like "the spirit" of the comp so always submit daily. I recognise that people go on hols or are occasionally ill so cant submit every day but i think 20 per month is far fairer than 15 (25 would be my choice). and maybe a ten month comp ie drop the worst 2 months of each of the competitors.
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Xtc12 reacted to Alastair in ADDITIONAL ANNUAL PRIZE
Yes we all have our different approaches but I think it would be a bit odd if the forum announced to the outside world that their "Most Winners" player had tipped 7 winners in 11 months.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Dundalk
17.30 Brasilian Princess @ 5\1 1/5 1-3
18.00 Secret Spy @ 9\1 1/5 1-3
18.30 Lion Ring @ 5\1 1/ 5 1-4
19.00 Circles @ 13\2 1/5 1-4
19.30 Hodd's Girl @ 11\2 1/5 1-3
20.00 Inishmot Prince @ 7\1 1/5 1-4
20.30 Matilda with Me @ 5\1 1/5 1-4
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Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in ADDITIONAL ANNUAL PRIZE
I think it should be more than half of the yearly amount. I would be looking at 230/235 bets with a profit of 80\90 pts. These figures are based on the average of the top 10 in the above list.
235 bets will allow for 20 bets in the month.
90 Pts will give you a profit of 7.5 Pts a month.
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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
No bother, you are welcome.
Unlucky with Irish Point.
Take the good days there will be plenty of bad days
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Xtc12 reacted to alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Thank you @Xtc12. I made a nice wee bit here for Christmas and I appreciate your sharing of selections.
Just looking back and I realised something - I "accidentally" put a win only bet on Mighty Potter. Turned up to be a lucky mistake!
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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Fairyhouse : Halsafari 3rd @ 15\2, Epson Du Houx NR, An Mhi 2nd @ 7\1, Landrake 1st @ 7\1
Fairyhouse
11.55 Alice Avril @ 15\2 1/5 1-3
12.55 Punitive @ 13\2 1/5 1-4
13.25 Irish Point @ 12\1 1/5 1-3
13.55 Mighty Potter @ 5\1 1/5 1-3
14.30 Echoes In Rain @ 10\1 1/5 1-5
15.05 Pinkerton @ 5\1 1/5 1-5
15.35 Monsieur Azul @ 7\1 1/4 1-2
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Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup
Double Up Yesterday 1st @ 6\5 & 2\1
Faithful Flyer 14.40 Kelso 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)
Left previous efforts behind when winning 13-runner handicap hurdle at Musselburgh (23.8f, soft, 8/1) 13 days ago. Unexposed as a stayer and can improve enough to go in again.
Champ Kiely 13.25 Fairyhouse 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)
Promising type. Won 7-runner Joe Mac Novices' Hurdle (4/5) at Tipperary (16f, good) 63 days ago by 4½ lengths from Brazil, impressively. Ought to go close.
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Xtc12 reacted to calva decoy in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - November 2022
Congratulations to the winners ?
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Xtc12 reacted to The Equaliser in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - November 2022
Good luck Michael, surely you will pick an odds-on shot for your final bet. Vangovin needs a good-priced winner and of course, we can never underestimate Alastair's ability to choose a winner at a good price. Very exciting
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Xtc12 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Irish Racing - EW betting
Navan : Comfort Zone 1st @ 5\1, Rebellious Gale 5th @ 11\2, Lifetime Ambition 2nd @ 10\1, Gallant John Joe 3rd @ 14\1
Punchestown
11.45 Grandero Bello @ 15\2 1/5 1-3
12.15 Exciting Oscar @ 6\1 1/5 1-4
12.50 Ellis Boyd redding @ 14\1 1/5 1-3
13.55 Weseekhimhere @ 4\1 1/4 1-2
14.25 The Truant @ 6\1 1/5 1-3
14.55 Silver king @ 12\1 1/5 1-3
15.25 Anyonecanhaveitall @ 8\1 1/5 1-6
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Xtc12 reacted to MCLARKE in Naps - Monday 28th November
No odds on selections today.
Not having a bet on this but purely an attempt to capture the most winners title.
KEMPTON 2.15
JACKS PROFIT 8/1
BET365
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Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Irish Racing - EW betting
Fairyhouse : Ginnets Girl NR,
Dundalk : Getaway Queen 1st @ 14\1, Dragon Roll 4th @ 9\1, Plezantlysurprised 3rd @ 17\2
Clonmel
13.12 Meetingofthewaters @ 13\2 1/5 1-3
13.47 Vischio @ 5\1 1/5 1-4
15.23 Kingston Kid @ 8\1 1/5 1-5
15.53 Diamboy Des Carres @ 4\1 1/4 1-2
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Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Irish Racing - EW betting
Navan : Moonovercloon 6th @ 12\1, Hollow games 1st @ 5\1, Imagine 2nd @ 4\1, Ashdale Bob 3rd @ 10\1, Captain Guinness 1st @ 8\1 R4 50p, Changing the Rules 5th @ 15\2, Summer Melody 1st @ 14\1 R4 20p
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Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup
Pair of 3rd's yesterday
Year 6
Overall
** Things have changed right around in Ireland recently going from a loss (something that I didn't think that I could turn around) to a profit of 3.28%. This was mainly down to a 7\1 winner Walking On Glass and 8\1 winner Getaway Queen plus having a SR 43.2% since 11th August.
Unfortunately UK has gone backwards and this was the one that I was confident of turning around but, it is still in profit overall, well just about.
On to today :
Scarlet Ruby 13.10 Leicester 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)
Struggled on the Flat this year but much improved when getting off the mark over hurdles in a C&D handicap (good to soft) 13 days ago. Given that she and the runner-up pulled 14 lengths clear of the third a 4 lb rise for that looks more than fair.
Grangeclare West 12.50 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 6/5 (bog)
Bought for £430,000 after making a winning point debut. 2/11, easily won 10-runner bumper at Punchestown on NH debut. Off 18 months ahead of his hurdles debut but still a big player.
Grangeclare West