Irish Racing - EW betting

[Xtc12]

Needed to start a new thread here so this is what I came up with. 

On looking at my Irish bets in my thread the Conflict Cup the Strike Rate (Win Bets) over 6 years is 32.97% giving me a loss of 25.18 Pts from 1274 bets.

Over the last 3 years and the current year the selections have shown a strike rate of 70.83%, 65.78%, 62.93% and for the current year 70.58% for the selections to come in the first three.

Now, from this I cannot tell whether all these horses were in place payout positions but also 4th and 5th place finishes are not taken into account. 

I am going to do an EW bet in most races at most meetings in Ireland and see how it goes. 

How will I pick the selections : I will continue to pick my daily selections for the Conflict  Cup and if any of these guarantees me a profit (or stake return) they will be a selection here. Otherwise I will pick a horse that would be my next best in the race. All selections will have odds of better than 4\1 or 5\1 depending on the place payout.

I started this on paper on the 2nd April with the Leopardstown meeting and up to and including Tramore and the Curragh yesterday things look like this.

Lets see how it goes, starting with Tramore today all odds will be with Bet365. For the exercise all bets will be 5 Pts EW

16.30 Igraine @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

17.30 Aunty Audrey @ 8\1  1/5 1-4

18.00 Frazel Express @ 7\1  1/5 1-4

18.30 An Droichead Eile @ 11\1  1/5 1-3

19.00 Singing Banjo @ 7\1  1/5 1-4

[Xtc12]

From todays selections we had a 2nd and a winner.

Igraine @ 5\1 - 2nd

Frazel Express @ 15\2 - 1st

Update :

Dundalk tomorrow.

[Xtc12]

Dundalk

17.30 Sarcastic @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

18.00 Jake Peter @ 11\2  1/5 1-4

19.30 Amanirenas @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

20.00 Inishmot Prince @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

20.30 Cherry Bloom @ 5\1  1/5 1-4

[Xtc12]

3 placed yesterday - Jake Peter @ 11\2, Amanirenas @ 5\1 & Cherry Bloom @ 5\1 for a return of 30.50

Gowran Park

16.50 Tharif @ 11\2  1/5 1-3

17.20 Helpmeout @ 11\2  1/5 1-4

17.50 Plunkett @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

18.20 Kiss You Later @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

18.50 Bay of Bengal @ 7\1  1/5 1-3

19.20 Needle Lace @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

 

[alexcaruso808]

You seem to be off to a great start. Good luck with this ?

[Xtc12]

Two winners ... Plunkett @ 6\1 & Bay of Bengal @ 8\1 .... Needle Lace 3rd @ 6\1 ..... returns 115

 

[Xtc12]

Clonmel

16.15 Joseph Conrad @ 11\2  1/4  1-2

16.50 Rare Conor @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

17.20 Shes Some Doll @ 6\1  1/5 1-4

17.50 Simpatico @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

18.20 Trouble and Strife @ 15\2  1/5 1-3

18.50 Iridescent @ 11\2 1/5 1-5

19.20 Cool Survivor @ 7\1 1/5 1-3

[harry_rag]

Well done yesterday, always nice to get in front with a new system rather than start with a lean spell. Might be worth recording the returns to 10 point win bets as well for comparison.

[Xtc12]

3 Placed yesterday and 2 Non Runners ...... Simpatico @ 7\1, Trouble and Strife @ 10\1 & Iridescent @ 11\2

Cork & Fairyhouse tomorrow, possibly blow the whole profit tomorrow 

 @harry_rag good idea on keeping totals for just the win !

 

 

Edited April 15, 2022 by Xtc12
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[Xtc12]

Well two meetings today, this is where it could get a bit dodgy 

Cork

13.40 Esculenta @ 8\1  1/5 1-3

14.15 London Palladium @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

14.50 Breaking Story @ 7\1  1/5 1-5

15.25 Federica Sophia @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

16.00 Martinstown @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

16.35 Sussex @ 6\1  1/4 1-2

17.10 Tip of the Spear @ 6\1  1/5 1-5

17.45 Gabby's Girl @ 6\1  1/5 1-4

Fairyhouse

13.55 Harald Hardrad @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

14.30 Everything Now @ 10\1  1/5 1-5

15.05 She's Commanche @ 5\1  1/5 1-4

16.15 Belle Metal @ 7\1  1/5 1-5

16.50 Glan @ 9\1  1/5 1-5

17.25 Oakroom Lady @ 9\1  1/5 1-3

[Xtc12]

Cork - Esculenta 2nd @ 8\1, London Palladium 2nd @ 17\2, Breaking Story 4th @ 7\1, Martinstown NR, Sussex 2nd @ 10\1, Tip of the Spear 1st @ 10\1 

Fairyhouse - Everything Now 5th @ 10\1, Glan 1st @ 9\1, 

**Another Double Day tomorrow Cork & Fairyhouse.

 

[Xtc12]

Cork

13.10 Wee Willie Nail @ 12\1  1/5 1-3

13.45 Copper Nation @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

14.20 Cash Back @ 13\2  1/5 1-3

14.55 Old Town Garde @ 12\1  1-3

16.05 Au Fleuron @ 11\2 1-5

16.40 Martha Divine @ 6\1 1/5 1-5

Fairyhouse

14.00 Brookie @ 13\2  1/5 1-3

14.35 Womalko @ 15\2 1/5 1-6

15.10 Lunar Display @ 25\1 1/5 1-4

15.45 The Dara Man @ 7\1 1/5 1-3

16.20 Grange Walk @ 6\1 1/5 1-3

16.55 Master McShee @ 13\2  1/4 1-2

17.25 Dr Eggman @ 15\2  1/5 1-3

 

[Xtc12]

Cork : Wee Willie Nail 3rd @ 12\1, Copper Nation 1st @ 5\1, Cash Back 2nd @ 13\2, Martha Divine 2nd @ 10\1

Fairyhouse : Master McShee 2nd @ 7\1, Dr Eggman 3rd @17\2 

Cork

13.50 Friends N Commerce @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

14.25 The Niffler @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

14.59 Whiskeywealth @ 15\2  1/5 1-3

15.34 Sofia's Castle @ 6\1  1/4 1-2

16.44 Down the Highway @ 14\1 1/4 1-2

17.54 Rocknrye @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

Fairyhouse

14.05 Vadaly @ 11\2 1/5 1-5

14.40 Lunar Power @ 6\1  1/4 1-2

15.15 Festival D'Ex @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

15.50 Heaven Help Us @ 8\1  1/5 1-4

16.20 Easy Game @ 4\1  1/4 1-2

17.00 Time To Get Up @ 14\1  1/5 1-7

17.40 Donkey Years @ 4\1  1/5 1-4

[Xtc12]

Cork : Friends N Commerce 3rd @ 11\2, The Niffler 3rd @ 5\1, Down the Highway 1st @ 17\2 

Fairyhouse : Festival D'Ex 5th @ 5\1, Easy Game 1st @ 15\2 

Have to be happy after coming off two three day meetings in Cork and Fairyhouse.

Bellewstown tomorrow.

[Xtc12]

Bellewstown

15.30 Cyrus Dallin @ 7\1  1/5 1-3

16.05 Kaliysta @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

16.35 Mary Salome @ 13\2  1/5 1-4

17.10 Harmony Rose @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

17.45 Red Wasp @ 7\1  1/5 1-4

18.20 Alabaster @ 6\1  1/5 1-4

18.50 Gift of Kings @ 11\2  1/5 1-4

19.20 Granville Street @ 7\1  1/5 1-3 

[Xtc12]

Bellewstown ?‍♂️Kaliysta 3rd @ 17\2 , Mary Salome 4th @ 13\2 , Harmony Rose 3rd @ 9\1, Granville Street 3rd @ 15\2 

Kilbeggan

16.45 Unbreakable Bond @ 15\2  1/5 1-3

17.15 Mullins Cross @ 12\1  1/5 1-4

17.45 Park Hind @ 11\2  1/5 1-5

18.15 Pale Blue Dot @ 11\4  1/5 1-5

18.45 Phil's Choice @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

19.15 Bella Bliss @ 13\2  1/5 1-3

Tipperary

15.55 Treasure Trove @ 9\2 1/4 1-2

16.25 Messa Concertata @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

17.00 Livingston range @ 14\1  1/5 1-3

17.30 Hymn Book Too @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

18.00 Inchiquin Star @ 8\1  1/5 1-5

18.30 Stay Local @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

19.00 Lady Leanora @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

19.30 Emphatic Answer @ 4\1  1/4 1-2

 

 

[Xtc12]

Kilbeggan : Disaster, not even close to a place

Tipperary : Messa Concertata 1st @ 6\1, Hymn Book Too 1st @ 10\1, Inchiquin Star 2nd @ 8\1, Stay Local 3rd @ 5\1 

Kilbeggan

16.25 Zoom Tiger @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

17.00 Gotthenod @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

17.30 Shoot First @ 8\1 1/5 1-3

18.00 Ask and Answer @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

18.30 Ciao Bella @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

19.00 Different Strokes @ 13\2  1/5 1-4

19.30 Western run @ 10\1  1/5 1-3

 

[Xtc12]

Kilbeggan : Gothenod 1st @ 9\1 - two Non Runners Ciao Bella & Western Run

** Kilbeggan hit me hard 11 selections 1 winner & zero place horses. 

Limerick

13.40 James Henry @ 10\1  1/5 1-3

14.15 Zuhra @ 15\2  1/5 1-3

14.50 Coins Cross @ 8\1  1/5 1-5

15.24 Talbot @ 11\2  1/5 1-5

15.55 Maristella @ 7\1  1/5 1-3

16.30 Business @ 11\2  1/5 1-4

17.00 Prophets Voice @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

17.30 Breffni Girl @ 13\2  1/5 1-5

Navan 

14.00 Wild Rover @ 12\1  1/4 1-2

14.35 Andromedas Kingdom @ 7\1  1/5 1-4

15.10 Eloquent Arthur @ 5\1  1/5 1-4

17.21 Female Approach @ 5\1  1/4 1-4

17.55 Fumata @ 10\1  1/5 1-3

 

             

Win Only

 

 

[Xtc12]

Big step backwards yesterday

Limerick : Coins Cross 4th @ 8\1, Maristella 3rd @ 7\1, Prophets Voice 2nd @ 5\1

Navan : Not a thing 

Naas tomorrow !

 

 

[Xtc12]

Naas

16.40 La Dolce Vita @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

17.15 Nordic Passage @ 17\2  1/5 1-4

17.45 Juno Beach @ 13\2  1/5 1-4

18.45 Champagne @ 15\2  1/5 1-3

19.15 Knightlaila @ 6\1  1/5 1-4

19.45 Hot Bell @ 9\1  1/5 1-5

20.15 Tooso @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

** need a good day 5 day meeting coming up at Punchestown  

[Xtc12]

Naas : La Dolce Vita 3rd @ 5\1, Knightlaila 4th @ 6\1

Punchestown

16.15 Mighty Potter @  10\1  1/4 1-2

16.50 Eskylane @ 9\1  1/5 1-5

17.25 Andy Dufresne @ 20\1  1/4 1-2

18.00 As Tears Go By @ 10\1  1/5 1-4

18.35 Fury Road @ 6\1  1/4 1-2

19.45 Vadsa Queen @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

 

[Xtc12]

Punchestown : Mighty Potter 1st @ 20\1, Vadsa Queen 2nd @ 6\1 

Punchestown

15.40 Life In the Park @ 15\2  1/5 1-6

16.15 IA Connect @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

16.45 Gibraltar @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

17.55 Clan Des Obeaux @ 11\2  1/5 1-3

18.30 Redemption Day @ 9\1  1/5 1-3

19.05 Fancy Foundations @ 8\1  1/5 1-4

[Xtc12]

Punchestown : Life in the Park 1st @ 15\2, Clan Des Obeaux 2nd @ 11\2, Redemption Day 2nd @ 10\1 

Punchestown

15.40 Ideal Pal @ 15\2  1/5 1-6

16.50 Tout Est Permis @ 11\2  1/5 1-4

17.25 Sire Du Berlais @ 5\1  1/4 1-2

18.00 Mac's Charm @ 10\1  1/5 1-6

18.35 Blue Lord @ 11\2  1/4 1-2

19.10 Deja Vue @ 7\1  1/5 1-4

19.45 Music Drive @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

[Xtc12]

Punchestown : Tout Est Permis 4th @ 11\2 R4, Blue Lord 1st @ 11\2 R4 55p

Punchestown

15.40 Jigginstown King @ 10\1  1/5 1-3

16.15 French Dynamite @ 13\2  1/5 1-4

16.50 Scarlet and Dove @ 4\1  1/4 1-2

17.25 Teahupoo @ 12\1  1/4 1-2

18.00 Flame Bearer @ 4\1  1/4 1-2

18.35 Dorking Cock @ 12\1  1/4 1-2

19.10 Bring On the Night @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

19.45 Golden Wonders @ 5\1  1/5 1-4

 

[Xtc12]

Punchestown : French Dynamite 3rd @ 13\2, Scarlett and Dove 1st @ 4\1, Flame Bearer 2nd @ 8\1 

Punchestown

14.35 Stand Up and Fight @ 8\1  1/5 1-4

15.10 Anibale Fly @ 8\1  1/5 1-4

15.50 Telmesomethinggirl @ 13\2  1/5 1-3

16.25 Donkey Years @ 7\1  1/5 1-4

17.00 Fil Dor @ 9\2  1/4 1-2

17.30 Comprond @ 5\1  1/5 1-6

18.05 Spirit of Legend @ 5\1  1/5 1-4

Edited April 30, 2022 by Xtc12
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[Xtc12]

Punchestown : Donkey Years 1st @ 7\1, Fil Dor 2nd @ 9\2, Camprond 1st @ 5\1 

Sligo

14.50 Myrcella @ 5\1  1/5 1-4

15.25 Tai Sing Yeh @ 6\1  1/5 1-4

16.00 Lariat @ 11\2  1/5 1-4

16.35 Startedwithakiss @ 11\2  1/5 1-4

17.10 Irish Lullaby @ 11\1  1/5 1-3

[Xtc12]

Sligo : Tai Sing Yeh 1st @ 15\2, Lariat 2nd @ 13\2, Irish Lullaby 1st @ 11\1 

Curragh

13.10 Simpson's Paradox @ 6\1  1/5 1-3

13.45 Ocean Vision @ 8\1  1/4 1-2

14.20 Wexford Native @ 4\1  1/4 1-2

14.55 Queens Pardon @ 16\1  1/5 1-4

15.30 Sh Boom @ 5\1  1/5 1-3

16.40 No Patience @ 15\2  1/5 1-5

17.15 Cailin Cliste @ 13\2  1/5 1-6

Down Royal

14.00 Freddie Robdal @ 11\2  1/5 1-3

14.35 Invivo @ 14\1  1/5 1-5

16.20 Amaulino @ 7\1  1/5 1-3

17.30 Self Isolation @ 11\1  1/5 1-3

[Xtc12]

Curragh : Wexford Native 2nd @ 4\1, Queens Pardon 3rd @ 16\1 

Down Royal :  Nothing 

Ballinrobe

16.50 Be Fierce @ 8\1  1/5 1-3

17.25 Peace Party @ 8\1  1/5 1-4

18.30 Golden Glen @ 5\1  1/5 1-4

19.00 Creggsman @ 8\1  1/5 1-4

19.30 Jackson's Gold @ 13\2  1/5 1-3

20.00 Defan @ 8\1  1/5 1-3

20.30 Can't Beat History @ 7\1  1/5 1-3

[Xtc12]

Ballinrobe : Peace Party 2nd @ 8\1, Jackson's Gold 2nd @ 8\1, Defan 1st @ 8\1, Can't Beat History 2nd @ 7\1

Gowran Park

16.50 War Effort @  7\1  1/5 1-3

17.20 Adonis @ 11\2  1/5 1-3

17.50 Barrington Court @ 11\2  1/5 1-3

19.20 Gold Lunula @ 13\2  1/5 1-5

19.50 Phoenix Open @ 7\1  1/5 1-5

20.20 Tooso @ 5\1  1/5 1-5

 

[Xtc12]

Gowran Park : Nothing

Tipperary

17.45 No Thanks  @ 15\2  1/5 1-6

18.15 Jack Holiday @ 12\1  1/5 1-5

19.45 Susie Miller @ 11\2  1/5 1-3