Jump to content

Darran

Administrators
  • Posts

    7,224
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    185

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Wednesday 14th July   
    More Buck's ran an absolute stinker on Sunday although if you did back Babytaggle without the front two in the betting you did have a winner and he remains one to keep an eye on.
    The 2.30 at Uttoxeter is a really weak contest where hardly any of them have any credentials which suggests they can win a race. There are two horses here who both come off the back of a maiden point win. I was at Chaddesley Corbett to see That's Me win and it was a very weak contest (the 2nd pulled up next time) which suggests to me that a mark of 92 is too high. To be fair under rules he has been running over shorter and over hurdles so maybe he will improve for 3m and fences as he did when he won last time, but to me he needs to come down the weights even in a weak race like this. 
    The other horse Go On Chez makes much more interest. Again he is going over rules fences for the first time having shown very little over hurdles and shorter trips last year. His 3 runs in points have been good though and although his win was over 2m4f last time I actually think his best run was when he was 2nd at Garthorpe on quick ground in April. The horse who beat him was making his debut and made £45k at the sales and was also giving him 10lbs so I think it was a very good effort. All 3 runs suggest a mark of 78 is one he can win off and in my view they were stronger races than the one That's Me won. He is only 5 so could be finally showing his potential which he wasn't able to do last year.
    Sometimes in these races something comes from nowhere to win, but outside of Lawtop Legend and Pakie's Dream I couldn't see any dangers to Go On Chez. All bookies apart from Bet365 (who are also shortest price anyway at the time of writing) and BetVictor are going 5 places and it would be disappointing if he wasn't at the very least able to do that.
    Go On Chez e/w @ 7/1 with William Hill, Betfair, Betfred (5 places)
  2. Thanks
    Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Wednesday 14th July   
    More Buck's ran an absolute stinker on Sunday although if you did back Babytaggle without the front two in the betting you did have a winner and he remains one to keep an eye on.
    The 2.30 at Uttoxeter is a really weak contest where hardly any of them have any credentials which suggests they can win a race. There are two horses here who both come off the back of a maiden point win. I was at Chaddesley Corbett to see That's Me win and it was a very weak contest (the 2nd pulled up next time) which suggests to me that a mark of 92 is too high. To be fair under rules he has been running over shorter and over hurdles so maybe he will improve for 3m and fences as he did when he won last time, but to me he needs to come down the weights even in a weak race like this. 
    The other horse Go On Chez makes much more interest. Again he is going over rules fences for the first time having shown very little over hurdles and shorter trips last year. His 3 runs in points have been good though and although his win was over 2m4f last time I actually think his best run was when he was 2nd at Garthorpe on quick ground in April. The horse who beat him was making his debut and made £45k at the sales and was also giving him 10lbs so I think it was a very good effort. All 3 runs suggest a mark of 78 is one he can win off and in my view they were stronger races than the one That's Me won. He is only 5 so could be finally showing his potential which he wasn't able to do last year.
    Sometimes in these races something comes from nowhere to win, but outside of Lawtop Legend and Pakie's Dream I couldn't see any dangers to Go On Chez. All bookies apart from Bet365 (who are also shortest price anyway at the time of writing) and BetVictor are going 5 places and it would be disappointing if he wasn't at the very least able to do that.
    Go On Chez e/w @ 7/1 with William Hill, Betfair, Betfred (5 places)
  3. Like
    Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Australian Jumps season 2021   
    Back to South Australia and Murray Bridge on Wednesday morning with a chase and a hurdle. Sunday sees an all jumps card at Pakenham which should be a cracking day's racing.
    Race 1 (3.05am)
    Just the 4 runners and it looks a match between Historic and Pentelligentsia who were 1st and 2nd here last month. Historic backed up a few days later with a win whilst the winner ran respectably at Warrnambool. Now he's found his form Historic might be able to reverse form, but I don't have a massively strong few so no bet for me.
    Race 2 (3.40am)
    I like Buckeye Nation here. He's 2/2 over hurdles here having won a weak race in April and then winning the BM120 at the last meeting here. That was a slightly stronger contest and he clearly thrives at this track. He did finish behind Mr One Eleven at Casterton in May, but I think he can reverse that form now. Mr One Eleven is the favourite and he has been running solid races on the whole this season including at Casterton last time. He looks the main danger. Master Poet is capable of winning this, but I think he will need at least one more run to get him up to peak fitness. Mazaz is the other one in single figures and I don't think he will reverse form with Buckeye Nation from last time.
    Buckeye Nation 1pt @ 7/2 with Betfred
  4. Like
    Darran got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Australian Jumps season 2021   
    Back to South Australia and Murray Bridge on Wednesday morning with a chase and a hurdle. Sunday sees an all jumps card at Pakenham which should be a cracking day's racing.
    Race 1 (3.05am)
    Just the 4 runners and it looks a match between Historic and Pentelligentsia who were 1st and 2nd here last month. Historic backed up a few days later with a win whilst the winner ran respectably at Warrnambool. Now he's found his form Historic might be able to reverse form, but I don't have a massively strong few so no bet for me.
    Race 2 (3.40am)
    I like Buckeye Nation here. He's 2/2 over hurdles here having won a weak race in April and then winning the BM120 at the last meeting here. That was a slightly stronger contest and he clearly thrives at this track. He did finish behind Mr One Eleven at Casterton in May, but I think he can reverse that form now. Mr One Eleven is the favourite and he has been running solid races on the whole this season including at Casterton last time. He looks the main danger. Master Poet is capable of winning this, but I think he will need at least one more run to get him up to peak fitness. Mazaz is the other one in single figures and I don't think he will reverse form with Buckeye Nation from last time.
    Buckeye Nation 1pt @ 7/2 with Betfred
  5. Like
    Darran got a reaction from cannotbebeat in Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July   
    Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.
    More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.   I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!   More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone
  6. Like
    Darran got a reaction from azzybear in Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July   
    Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.
    More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.   I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!   More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone
  7. Like
    Darran got a reaction from NAGNAGNAGNEIGH in Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July   
    Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.
    More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.   I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!   More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone
  8. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Minterdan in Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July   
    Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.
    More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.   I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!   More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone
  9. Like
    Darran got a reaction from gbettle in Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July   
    Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.
    More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.   I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!   More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone
  10. Like
    Darran got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July   
    Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.
    More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.   I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!   More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone
  11. Like
    Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July   
    Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.
    More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.   I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!   More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone
  12. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July   
    Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.
    More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.   I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!   More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone
  13. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Monday 5th July   
    The 5.15 at Worcester is a fairly weak contest and wide open because of it and there are a few you could give a chance to on bits and pieces of form. I think though Rossderrin is worth a small e/w bet on. There are two main reasons why I think he could land a race off a mark of 90. First of all his owner and former trainer isn't riding him today which is a plus to chances. The other one is his 2nd to Dressedforsuccess back in April which clearly looks useful now. He finally landed a Restricted 4 starts later at Hexham. That effort probably equates to around this sort of mark so I don't think he has a load in hand, but the jockey claims 7lbs and you can add in a few pounds for the fact his owner isn't on top. He ran OK at Hexham a month ago and he could easily hit the frame.
    Rossderrin e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 (others are shorter and going 5 places and Skybet are going 6 places)
    NB currently 11/1 with Bet365 and others are going 4 or 5 places now with the NR
  14. Like
    Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Monday 5th July   
    The 5.15 at Worcester is a fairly weak contest and wide open because of it and there are a few you could give a chance to on bits and pieces of form. I think though Rossderrin is worth a small e/w bet on. There are two main reasons why I think he could land a race off a mark of 90. First of all his owner and former trainer isn't riding him today which is a plus to chances. The other one is his 2nd to Dressedforsuccess back in April which clearly looks useful now. He finally landed a Restricted 4 starts later at Hexham. That effort probably equates to around this sort of mark so I don't think he has a load in hand, but the jockey claims 7lbs and you can add in a few pounds for the fact his owner isn't on top. He ran OK at Hexham a month ago and he could easily hit the frame.
    Rossderrin e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 (others are shorter and going 5 places and Skybet are going 6 places)
    NB currently 11/1 with Bet365 and others are going 4 or 5 places now with the NR
  15. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Minterdan in Racing Chat - Monday 5th July   
    The 5.15 at Worcester is a fairly weak contest and wide open because of it and there are a few you could give a chance to on bits and pieces of form. I think though Rossderrin is worth a small e/w bet on. There are two main reasons why I think he could land a race off a mark of 90. First of all his owner and former trainer isn't riding him today which is a plus to chances. The other one is his 2nd to Dressedforsuccess back in April which clearly looks useful now. He finally landed a Restricted 4 starts later at Hexham. That effort probably equates to around this sort of mark so I don't think he has a load in hand, but the jockey claims 7lbs and you can add in a few pounds for the fact his owner isn't on top. He ran OK at Hexham a month ago and he could easily hit the frame.
    Rossderrin e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 (others are shorter and going 5 places and Skybet are going 6 places)
    NB currently 11/1 with Bet365 and others are going 4 or 5 places now with the NR
  16. Like
    Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Monday 5th July   
    The 5.15 at Worcester is a fairly weak contest and wide open because of it and there are a few you could give a chance to on bits and pieces of form. I think though Rossderrin is worth a small e/w bet on. There are two main reasons why I think he could land a race off a mark of 90. First of all his owner and former trainer isn't riding him today which is a plus to chances. The other one is his 2nd to Dressedforsuccess back in April which clearly looks useful now. He finally landed a Restricted 4 starts later at Hexham. That effort probably equates to around this sort of mark so I don't think he has a load in hand, but the jockey claims 7lbs and you can add in a few pounds for the fact his owner isn't on top. He ran OK at Hexham a month ago and he could easily hit the frame.
    Rossderrin e/w @ 16/1 with Bet365 (others are shorter and going 5 places and Skybet are going 6 places)
    NB currently 11/1 with Bet365 and others are going 4 or 5 places now with the NR
  17. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Offramp in Racing Chat - Thursday 1st July   
    If you were able to get 4 places on Master Sunrise then you got something back on him and he's run a solid enough race again. He's actually stayed on well after being headed and looking like he would be well beaten. As for Royal Chance that was just really frustrating. He was just starting to get into contention when he was hindered at the 4th last. Not only have we done our money yesterday, but we also don't even know if the wind op has worked or not. He might well have found little, but at least if he stays up we know that for future races. It's almost certain he will be a bet next time and hopefully he can find just as weak a contest as that one was.   More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   For Jim is in good in form and likes good ground, but he hasn't won off a mark this high before. He is the main danger though. Hitman Thread has won twice over course and distance in his last 3 starts so he clearly has to be respected although is up to 105 in the handicap now. Istimraar won over course and distance last summer beating a horse I put up. He looked well handicapped that day, but hasn't actually won since. Clearly though he does have it in him off this mark.    Ultimately though More Buck's has around 15lbs in hand of the handicapper based on his pointing efforts over this trip and if he repeats those efforts it is hard to see him being beaten although there will be weaker class 5 contests than this. I also wouldn't want to go much shorter than 9/4 either because of that, but there is still some juice in that price.   More Bucks @ 9/4 with Bet365
  18. Like
    Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Thursday 1st July   
    If you were able to get 4 places on Master Sunrise then you got something back on him and he's run a solid enough race again. He's actually stayed on well after being headed and looking like he would be well beaten. As for Royal Chance that was just really frustrating. He was just starting to get into contention when he was hindered at the 4th last. Not only have we done our money yesterday, but we also don't even know if the wind op has worked or not. He might well have found little, but at least if he stays up we know that for future races. It's almost certain he will be a bet next time and hopefully he can find just as weak a contest as that one was.   More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   For Jim is in good in form and likes good ground, but he hasn't won off a mark this high before. He is the main danger though. Hitman Thread has won twice over course and distance in his last 3 starts so he clearly has to be respected although is up to 105 in the handicap now. Istimraar won over course and distance last summer beating a horse I put up. He looked well handicapped that day, but hasn't actually won since. Clearly though he does have it in him off this mark.    Ultimately though More Buck's has around 15lbs in hand of the handicapper based on his pointing efforts over this trip and if he repeats those efforts it is hard to see him being beaten although there will be weaker class 5 contests than this. I also wouldn't want to go much shorter than 9/4 either because of that, but there is still some juice in that price.   More Bucks @ 9/4 with Bet365
  19. Like
    Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Thursday 1st July   
    If you were able to get 4 places on Master Sunrise then you got something back on him and he's run a solid enough race again. He's actually stayed on well after being headed and looking like he would be well beaten. As for Royal Chance that was just really frustrating. He was just starting to get into contention when he was hindered at the 4th last. Not only have we done our money yesterday, but we also don't even know if the wind op has worked or not. He might well have found little, but at least if he stays up we know that for future races. It's almost certain he will be a bet next time and hopefully he can find just as weak a contest as that one was.   More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   For Jim is in good in form and likes good ground, but he hasn't won off a mark this high before. He is the main danger though. Hitman Thread has won twice over course and distance in his last 3 starts so he clearly has to be respected although is up to 105 in the handicap now. Istimraar won over course and distance last summer beating a horse I put up. He looked well handicapped that day, but hasn't actually won since. Clearly though he does have it in him off this mark.    Ultimately though More Buck's has around 15lbs in hand of the handicapper based on his pointing efforts over this trip and if he repeats those efforts it is hard to see him being beaten although there will be weaker class 5 contests than this. I also wouldn't want to go much shorter than 9/4 either because of that, but there is still some juice in that price.   More Bucks @ 9/4 with Bet365
  20. Like
    Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Thursday 1st July   
    If you were able to get 4 places on Master Sunrise then you got something back on him and he's run a solid enough race again. He's actually stayed on well after being headed and looking like he would be well beaten. As for Royal Chance that was just really frustrating. He was just starting to get into contention when he was hindered at the 4th last. Not only have we done our money yesterday, but we also don't even know if the wind op has worked or not. He might well have found little, but at least if he stays up we know that for future races. It's almost certain he will be a bet next time and hopefully he can find just as weak a contest as that one was.   More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.   For Jim is in good in form and likes good ground, but he hasn't won off a mark this high before. He is the main danger though. Hitman Thread has won twice over course and distance in his last 3 starts so he clearly has to be respected although is up to 105 in the handicap now. Istimraar won over course and distance last summer beating a horse I put up. He looked well handicapped that day, but hasn't actually won since. Clearly though he does have it in him off this mark.    Ultimately though More Buck's has around 15lbs in hand of the handicapper based on his pointing efforts over this trip and if he repeats those efforts it is hard to see him being beaten although there will be weaker class 5 contests than this. I also wouldn't want to go much shorter than 9/4 either because of that, but there is still some juice in that price.   More Bucks @ 9/4 with Bet365
  21. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Rishi Persad............... how does he manage it????   
    If you think chapman is actually knowledgeable then you actually need to listen to what he says. He can be a good interviewer but so often he has to make it all about himself and that lets him down big time. The worse pundit on tv is Josh Apalfi on Sky. Just woeful and he shouldn’t be anywhere near a microphone. 
    Basically it shouldn’t matter what sex you are what colour you are or anything it should be just down to if you can do the job. Sadly some get given opportunities they shouldn’t be getting.
  22. Like
    Darran got a reaction from MCLARKE in Rishi Persad............... how does he manage it????   
    If you think chapman is actually knowledgeable then you actually need to listen to what he says. He can be a good interviewer but so often he has to make it all about himself and that lets him down big time. The worse pundit on tv is Josh Apalfi on Sky. Just woeful and he shouldn’t be anywhere near a microphone. 
    Basically it shouldn’t matter what sex you are what colour you are or anything it should be just down to if you can do the job. Sadly some get given opportunities they shouldn’t be getting.
  23. Like
    Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Wednesday 30th June   
    The 1.55 at Worcester is a terrible contest and I have to give Royal Chant a decent chance as he makes his handicap debut off a mark of 92. He wouldn't be obviously well handicapped on the basis of his hunter chase form although he did get an RPR of 94 for his Musselburgh 4th and that is probably about right I would say. His last two efforts within a few days of each other at Southwell and Cartmel weren't as good, but his jockey reported that he stopped quickly at Southwell and he looked to do the same on the long run-in at Cartmel behind Dressedforsuccess. He has been given a wind op which you would think is what he needs based on those last two efforts. If it works then he really ought to be hitting the frame at the very least in this awful race which is certainly weaker than any hunter chase he's run in.   The only real danger I can see is Regaby who went off favourite last time but fell at the first on his chasing debut. The hurdles run prior to that was decent and he could be on a fair mark. Conceal has had a wind op as well, but he had gone the wrong way over hurdles. If the op works though he could be capable of winning this. I find it hard to make any sort of case for the others though so hopefully the wind op has done the trick because Royal Chant looks over priced at 10-1. The Bowen horse was well backed last night, but he has shown little worthwhile form including when going off favourite last time. Maybe there was an issue that day and the yard are in much better form of course, but he wouldn't be for me.   Royal Chant e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365   The 3.05 looks like being a fairly strong race for the grade, but I think Master Sunrise is worth a small e/w play again. He ran well enough when 2nd for us last time and the winner did it well. This is probably a stronger heat, but if he runs his race again then he could easily hit the frame and he's always the type of horse worth risking at a double figure price.   Master Sunrise e/w @ 10/1 with Bet35 (some bookies are going 4 places)
  24. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing Chat - Wednesday 30th June   
    The 1.55 at Worcester is a terrible contest and I have to give Royal Chant a decent chance as he makes his handicap debut off a mark of 92. He wouldn't be obviously well handicapped on the basis of his hunter chase form although he did get an RPR of 94 for his Musselburgh 4th and that is probably about right I would say. His last two efforts within a few days of each other at Southwell and Cartmel weren't as good, but his jockey reported that he stopped quickly at Southwell and he looked to do the same on the long run-in at Cartmel behind Dressedforsuccess. He has been given a wind op which you would think is what he needs based on those last two efforts. If it works then he really ought to be hitting the frame at the very least in this awful race which is certainly weaker than any hunter chase he's run in.   The only real danger I can see is Regaby who went off favourite last time but fell at the first on his chasing debut. The hurdles run prior to that was decent and he could be on a fair mark. Conceal has had a wind op as well, but he had gone the wrong way over hurdles. If the op works though he could be capable of winning this. I find it hard to make any sort of case for the others though so hopefully the wind op has done the trick because Royal Chant looks over priced at 10-1. The Bowen horse was well backed last night, but he has shown little worthwhile form including when going off favourite last time. Maybe there was an issue that day and the yard are in much better form of course, but he wouldn't be for me.   Royal Chant e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365   The 3.05 looks like being a fairly strong race for the grade, but I think Master Sunrise is worth a small e/w play again. He ran well enough when 2nd for us last time and the winner did it well. This is probably a stronger heat, but if he runs his race again then he could easily hit the frame and he's always the type of horse worth risking at a double figure price.   Master Sunrise e/w @ 10/1 with Bet35 (some bookies are going 4 places)
  25. Like
    Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Wednesday 30th June   
    The 1.55 at Worcester is a terrible contest and I have to give Royal Chant a decent chance as he makes his handicap debut off a mark of 92. He wouldn't be obviously well handicapped on the basis of his hunter chase form although he did get an RPR of 94 for his Musselburgh 4th and that is probably about right I would say. His last two efforts within a few days of each other at Southwell and Cartmel weren't as good, but his jockey reported that he stopped quickly at Southwell and he looked to do the same on the long run-in at Cartmel behind Dressedforsuccess. He has been given a wind op which you would think is what he needs based on those last two efforts. If it works then he really ought to be hitting the frame at the very least in this awful race which is certainly weaker than any hunter chase he's run in.   The only real danger I can see is Regaby who went off favourite last time but fell at the first on his chasing debut. The hurdles run prior to that was decent and he could be on a fair mark. Conceal has had a wind op as well, but he had gone the wrong way over hurdles. If the op works though he could be capable of winning this. I find it hard to make any sort of case for the others though so hopefully the wind op has done the trick because Royal Chant looks over priced at 10-1. The Bowen horse was well backed last night, but he has shown little worthwhile form including when going off favourite last time. Maybe there was an issue that day and the yard are in much better form of course, but he wouldn't be for me.   Royal Chant e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365   The 3.05 looks like being a fairly strong race for the grade, but I think Master Sunrise is worth a small e/w play again. He ran well enough when 2nd for us last time and the winner did it well. This is probably a stronger heat, but if he runs his race again then he could easily hit the frame and he's always the type of horse worth risking at a double figure price.   Master Sunrise e/w @ 10/1 with Bet35 (some bookies are going 4 places)
×
×
  • Create New...