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Darran

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  1. Like
    Darran got a reaction from gbettle in Racing Chat - Thursday 29th July   
    I really hope Babytaggle can find a race before the summer is out. Ran another cracker to finish 2nd again and the form of his first 2nd was franked with the winner going in again today despite going up massively in the weights. At the very least it is good to see that my thinking he ran a hell of a race at Huntingdon back in May has turned out to be profitable when he went back into handicaps.
  2. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing Chat - Thursday 29th July   
    I really hope Babytaggle can find a race before the summer is out. Ran another cracker to finish 2nd again and the form of his first 2nd was franked with the winner going in again today despite going up massively in the weights. At the very least it is good to see that my thinking he ran a hell of a race at Huntingdon back in May has turned out to be profitable when he went back into handicaps.
  3. Like
    Darran reacted to The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Thursday 29th July   
    Had £4.30 at 3.45 3TBP = £10.32; Thanks
     
  4. Thanks
    Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Thursday 29th July   
    My old friend Babytaggle is back out in the 3.55 at Stratford and at a double figure price I think he is value for a small e/w bet. He bumped into another well handicapped horse last time and I think late on he paid for trying to go with the winner. He did at least hold on for 2nd and I think he has a solid chance of at least hitting the frame again.
    Babytaggle e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365 (11/1 with them to 4 places if you want the extra place)
  5. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Mindfulness in Racing Chat - Thursday 29th July   
    My old friend Babytaggle is back out in the 3.55 at Stratford and at a double figure price I think he is value for a small e/w bet. He bumped into another well handicapped horse last time and I think late on he paid for trying to go with the winner. He did at least hold on for 2nd and I think he has a solid chance of at least hitting the frame again.
    Babytaggle e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365 (11/1 with them to 4 places if you want the extra place)
  6. Thanks
    Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing Chat - Thursday 29th July   
    My old friend Babytaggle is back out in the 3.55 at Stratford and at a double figure price I think he is value for a small e/w bet. He bumped into another well handicapped horse last time and I think late on he paid for trying to go with the winner. He did at least hold on for 2nd and I think he has a solid chance of at least hitting the frame again.
    Babytaggle e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365 (11/1 with them to 4 places if you want the extra place)
  7. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Wanderlust in Racing Chat - Thursday 29th July   
    My old friend Babytaggle is back out in the 3.55 at Stratford and at a double figure price I think he is value for a small e/w bet. He bumped into another well handicapped horse last time and I think late on he paid for trying to go with the winner. He did at least hold on for 2nd and I think he has a solid chance of at least hitting the frame again.
    Babytaggle e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365 (11/1 with them to 4 places if you want the extra place)
  8. Like
    Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Australian Jumps season 2021   
    3 contests at Sale on Sunday morning
    Race (1.45am) Flickitova is current favourite and didn't have things go his way on his hurdles debut at Warrnambool at the start of the month. A faller nearly took him out at 2 out and before the race he got kicked. In the ground I think he found it hard work to get himself back into contention so he should do better here. Latin Beat was well fancied at Pakenham last week and ran well enough when a close 4th. They have the best form of those who have been over hurdles, but I prefer to look to a newcomer as I don't think either set a stiff standard. Tamarack is a useful enough flat horse having come from Queensland to his current yard. He ran well on the flat at Cranbourne last time and has trialled well over hurdles. He looks a spot of value against those who have already been over hurdles.   Tamarack 1pt @ 15/2 with Bet365   Race 2 (2.20am) Sivar and Onset were 2nd and 3rd behind Norway at Warrnambool at the start of the month and even getting within 10L and 17L was a fair effort. Onset went to Pakenham last week and was just beaten into 2nd place so the form does look reasonably strong. Those two certainly have claims, but I have been impressed with Roland Garros' trials and had been all set to tip him up in one of the maidens last week when he was scratched. Instead of going for a maiden he comes straight into handicap company for his hurdles debut. He reached a decent level on the flat and could be another on from the yard to improve again for going over hurdles.   Roland Garros 1pt @ 13/8 with Betfred   Race 3 (3am) Onset was 2nd to White Heath and he makes his chasing debut in this contest. He was game last week, but he's a short price favourite here so he seems worth taking on in my view. Zedman makes his first jumping start here having been in New Zealand prior and he beat the favourite in a trial a few weeks ago. Historic finally won again at Casterton 2 starts back, but it didn't go his way last time when he was pulled up as the rider thought he had gone lame. I don't think he would have won anyway and was a bit disappointing. Once Were Lost finished 2nd in that race and might be capable of beating him again. The one I am going to go for though is Historic's stablemate Laylite. He's been running consistently and although he was a 30L 2nd to Social Element at Warrnambool I still think that was a good effort as he led at a decent speed and as we saw last week he is one of the best chasers in Oz at the moment. He was 3rd at Casterton behind his stablemates Historic and Mapping the time before, but I think this shorter trip will suit him more than Mapping and he might be able to finish in front of Historic this time. He certainly looks to me to be the best value in the race.   Laylite 1pt e/w @ 10/1 with Betfred (scratched)
  9. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Offramp in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    That was my fault as completely forgot we were already on the 22nd when I started the thread
  10. Like
    Darran got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    That was my fault as completely forgot we were already on the 22nd when I started the thread
  11. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  12. Like
    Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  13. Like
    Darran got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  14. Like
    Darran got a reaction from waggy in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  15. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  16. Like
    Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  17. Like
    Darran got a reaction from peanut peanut in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  18. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Minterdan in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  19. Like
    Darran got a reaction from harrisman in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  20. Like
    Darran got a reaction from vikki37 in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  21. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Offramp in Racing Chat - Thursday 22nd July   
    One of the most frustrating bets I have put up this year was Royal Chant at Worcester 3 weeks ago. I thought he had potential to be well handicapped based on his pointing and hunter chase form and that a wind op could be just what he needed as he had finished weakly in his last two hunter chase at Southwell and Cartmel. He went off 16/1 and was cruising into contention entering the home straight when he was hampered at 4 out and came down. Not only was it frustrating for that bet, but we also didn't find out if the wind op had worked or not. He could just as easily found nothing for pressure as he could have ended up winning the race. I have to back him again in the Worcester opener and although it is a larger field and he is a shorter price, it is still a terrible race he is capable of winning if the op has worked.    Given only 2 of these have won over fences before that does sum up what we are dealing with here. Write It Down is one of those and he ran OK when 3rd last time, but he is hardly one to trust. Freddie Darling makes his debut for Peter Bowen. It is also his chasing debut, but he didn't show much in three handicap hurdles for Harry Fry last season. I'd be wary of him, but at the same time you have to take a bit of a leap of faith to back him. Train Hill is making his chasing debut and ran well enough last time over hurdles which was his best effort in 5 starts over hurdles. Yaazaain ran well enough on his chasing debut 3 weeks ago and that was his first run since April so he would be a danger. The biggest danger could be Ardbruce though. He ran really well at Stratford last time given he made a terrible mistake at 3 out. He fell the time before that, but had been a close 2nd 3 starts back. If he can avoid any costly errors he would be my idea of the winner if Royal Chant didn't do it.    Ultimately though I have to give Royal Chant another chance to prove the wind op has worked and if it has then he will go very close to winning this.   Royal Chant e/w @ 8/1 with Bet365 (15/2 with them to 4 places other bookies going 4 and 5 places as well)   In the 4.35 Go On Chez is back out after his win last week and it looks a superb bit of placing. First of all its a hurdle race so he doesn't have to carry a penalty. Secondly it is an amateur riders race so if he wins he won't have to carry a penalty next time either. He is well in as his hurdle mark has gone up 6lbs and his chasing mark went up 11lbs for that win last week. This is a shockingly weak contest and although his hurdle form was poor last season, he clearly is a much improved horse now. Also the brush hurdles here are like mini point-to-point fences anyway so I don't see that being an issue. Toby Wynne is a decent amateur and he takes off 7lbs so he will only have 9-13 to carry. Obviously he's a much shorter price than last week, but if he is in the same form then he ought to win again.   Go On Chez @ 6/4 with everyone except Bet365
  22. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Wildgarden in Race Chat -Sunday 18th July   
    So Babytaggle returns in the 4.50 at Stratford and if you did happen to back him without the front two in the market a week ago then you collected as he finished 2nd to the favourite albeit a long way behind him. Today's race is an interesting one as there are horses in there where it is impossible to know how they will do. Time To Move On is making his debut for Laura Morgan having shown little over hurdles on soft ground so chasing debut on quick ground is rather different. Quite frankly anyone backing him is having a guess or has knowledge on how he is likely to run. Nicky Henderson can't run too many at this level and Royal Ruby makes his chasing debut after 527 days off the track. Again its guess work about how much ability he retains although in theory based on his hurdles form he has a chance here. Getabuck has obvious claims on his 2nd here last month over 2m1f on his first start after a wind op. The winner has done well since as well. The rest of them are had to fancy and Coniston Spa looks high enough in the handicap based on his runs in maiden points this year. Babytaggle has a higher rating than him as well and has to give him over a stone here once jockey claims are included.
    Franz Klammer is clearly a massive improver so even though he was 23L behind him last week it was still a reasonable effort. He comes down in trip and I would like to see them try to make the running again as they did at Huntingdon back in May. One of the 3 mentioned above could win, but I am not that worried about anything else in the race so at a double figure price I am happy to back him.
    Babytaggle e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365
  23. Like
    Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Race Chat -Sunday 18th July   
    So Babytaggle returns in the 4.50 at Stratford and if you did happen to back him without the front two in the market a week ago then you collected as he finished 2nd to the favourite albeit a long way behind him. Today's race is an interesting one as there are horses in there where it is impossible to know how they will do. Time To Move On is making his debut for Laura Morgan having shown little over hurdles on soft ground so chasing debut on quick ground is rather different. Quite frankly anyone backing him is having a guess or has knowledge on how he is likely to run. Nicky Henderson can't run too many at this level and Royal Ruby makes his chasing debut after 527 days off the track. Again its guess work about how much ability he retains although in theory based on his hurdles form he has a chance here. Getabuck has obvious claims on his 2nd here last month over 2m1f on his first start after a wind op. The winner has done well since as well. The rest of them are had to fancy and Coniston Spa looks high enough in the handicap based on his runs in maiden points this year. Babytaggle has a higher rating than him as well and has to give him over a stone here once jockey claims are included.
    Franz Klammer is clearly a massive improver so even though he was 23L behind him last week it was still a reasonable effort. He comes down in trip and I would like to see them try to make the running again as they did at Huntingdon back in May. One of the 3 mentioned above could win, but I am not that worried about anything else in the race so at a double figure price I am happy to back him.
    Babytaggle e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365
  24. Like
    Darran got a reaction from Bedlam in Race Chat -Sunday 18th July   
    So Babytaggle returns in the 4.50 at Stratford and if you did happen to back him without the front two in the market a week ago then you collected as he finished 2nd to the favourite albeit a long way behind him. Today's race is an interesting one as there are horses in there where it is impossible to know how they will do. Time To Move On is making his debut for Laura Morgan having shown little over hurdles on soft ground so chasing debut on quick ground is rather different. Quite frankly anyone backing him is having a guess or has knowledge on how he is likely to run. Nicky Henderson can't run too many at this level and Royal Ruby makes his chasing debut after 527 days off the track. Again its guess work about how much ability he retains although in theory based on his hurdles form he has a chance here. Getabuck has obvious claims on his 2nd here last month over 2m1f on his first start after a wind op. The winner has done well since as well. The rest of them are had to fancy and Coniston Spa looks high enough in the handicap based on his runs in maiden points this year. Babytaggle has a higher rating than him as well and has to give him over a stone here once jockey claims are included.
    Franz Klammer is clearly a massive improver so even though he was 23L behind him last week it was still a reasonable effort. He comes down in trip and I would like to see them try to make the running again as they did at Huntingdon back in May. One of the 3 mentioned above could win, but I am not that worried about anything else in the race so at a double figure price I am happy to back him.
    Babytaggle e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365
  25. Like
    Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Race Chat -Sunday 18th July   
    So Babytaggle returns in the 4.50 at Stratford and if you did happen to back him without the front two in the market a week ago then you collected as he finished 2nd to the favourite albeit a long way behind him. Today's race is an interesting one as there are horses in there where it is impossible to know how they will do. Time To Move On is making his debut for Laura Morgan having shown little over hurdles on soft ground so chasing debut on quick ground is rather different. Quite frankly anyone backing him is having a guess or has knowledge on how he is likely to run. Nicky Henderson can't run too many at this level and Royal Ruby makes his chasing debut after 527 days off the track. Again its guess work about how much ability he retains although in theory based on his hurdles form he has a chance here. Getabuck has obvious claims on his 2nd here last month over 2m1f on his first start after a wind op. The winner has done well since as well. The rest of them are had to fancy and Coniston Spa looks high enough in the handicap based on his runs in maiden points this year. Babytaggle has a higher rating than him as well and has to give him over a stone here once jockey claims are included.
    Franz Klammer is clearly a massive improver so even though he was 23L behind him last week it was still a reasonable effort. He comes down in trip and I would like to see them try to make the running again as they did at Huntingdon back in May. One of the 3 mentioned above could win, but I am not that worried about anything else in the race so at a double figure price I am happy to back him.
    Babytaggle e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365
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