harry_rag

To be flippant, who’s tipped a horse on here when I’ve got a freebie or offer to utilise! But, for some people maybe tipster selections/naps can be a positive or negative signals as part of a selection process.
Then there’s spread betting prices, something I suspect hardly any racing punters would pay any heed to. Probably a red herring as my gut feel is they wouldn’t be of much use for that sport, but they’re hugely predictive for me in betting on goal and tryscorers so, if I was ever going to take a proper tilt at betting on racing I’d want to explore that angle if only to eliminate it 

Typically I forgot to post this selection on here so I won't record it but posting to show I do know what I'm actually doing re football 🤣🤦🏼‍♂️. Should have gone home wins & over 2.5 however...

I say, are you Fred Elliott by any chance!
I can answer for him (and myself); no as they're a bunch of risk averse barstewards who long since escorted us off the premises.

Would you believe that's the hat trick! 
Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble! 

Would you believe that's the hat trick! 
Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble! 

Would you believe that's the hat trick! 
Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble! 

Would you believe that's the hat trick! 
Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble! 

225 Ayr champion hurdle 
Favour and fortune. 9.0 11/2 
First street.  8.9 12.0 Betfair 
These two are a bit clear clear of rest ...I'll try 5pt wins both 😁

6 by my reckoning. If you dutched them all at best bookies price it would pay around 3.45. If you dutched them all at current exchange price it would pay around 4.7.
Rule 1 for these sort of bookies offers is to compare them to what you could get by simply taking the best available price(s). This one looks just short of being fair given that it falls between best bookie and exchange odds.
Always assume a bet the bookies are pushing at you is poor value unless you do the “due diligence” and have a reason to think otherwise. 

Union Berlin v Bayern Munich...Bayern + 2 @ 1.06.

Whilst Castleford should arguably tighten up somewhat after last week's Challenge Cup drubbing by Wigan, they could easily get tonked again with Wigan's star backs having another field day. The one bit of value for me was Jake Wardle at 20/21 with Bet 365.

Yes, but I've just had a look around for tonight and there's nothing that interests me. There will inevitably be something tomorrow though.

They're giving you special "celebrity" treatment because of your high profile role on here! 
Not as daft an idea as it might sound if we subscribe to the occasionally mooted notion that "they" are watching us (I'm sure Kevin Pullein was only able to get lumpy bets on because of who he was while those who followed him struggled to get a fiver on his selections) but perhaps just good fortune in this instance. I too had only heard negative stuff other than your experience.

They're giving you special "celebrity" treatment because of your high profile role on here! 
Not as daft an idea as it might sound if we subscribe to the occasionally mooted notion that "they" are watching us (I'm sure Kevin Pullein was only able to get lumpy bets on because of who he was while those who followed him struggled to get a fiver on his selections) but perhaps just good fortune in this instance. I too had only heard negative stuff other than your experience.

Best of luck Tony,
I like the look of,
Kurt Kitayama 90/1 Bet365
Handled himself pretty respectably last week at The Masters.

Going to be a more regular on this thread.
Going to keep a profit/ loss for the rest of the year.
Lost £3 on the masters.
YTD -£3
This week Tom Hoge 110/1 ew, 6 places, 1/5  odds.
Also same player 70/1 ew, 1st round leader, 6 places, 1/5 odds. Both with Sky bet.
Good luck everyone.

After backing 6 players to score from outside the area in the first legs of last night's ties (only for 3 of them to score but from too close to the goal) I decided to revisit those players last night and found 5 at prices that appealed with Vitinha landing for PSG at 25/1. Forgive the after timing on that one but my results have been so bad of late on the straight anytime bets that I think it was my first profitable day since the weekend before last! 
Going to need a lot of bets to judge the merits of that particular angle given the typical odds but, so far this season, that makes for 2 winners from 21 bets (the other being Lejuene for Vallecano, posted on here, at 50/1). Had a proper look at tonight's games and gone with these players:
Haaland 28/1 and De Bruyne at 9/1
Valverde 22/1 and Rodrygo at 66/1
Kimmich 28/1, Goretzka 33/1 and Sane at 20/1
Odegaard at 15/1 and Rice at 22/1
One enough for a reasonable profit and a decent interest across both games.

Patience is its own reward!

Place return on D-C puts me somewhere in the neighbourhood of break even.

Haven't had a penny on any of them yet !

Missed that one. You've gone from 0 to "King of Speed" in no time at all! 

Top rated on todays going is UNDER THE TWILIGHT in the 3.50 based on its 3rd at Newbury last May over todays distance. It is rated second overall to the favourite Tiriac. Available at 12/1 (4 places).

Place return on D-C puts me somewhere in the neighbourhood of break even.

Place return on D-C puts me somewhere in the neighbourhood of break even.

Could just be dumb luck! To be fair it’s more about trying to rank the players based on value in the price rather than pure chance of winning. It’s quite labour intensive so I doubt I’ll do it every week but I’ll at least try and do all the majors.