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harry_rag

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  1. Like
    harry_rag reacted to richard-westwood in HORSE RACING VARIABLES   
    Made me laugh .....my computer uses 17 of your list as I worked down so they must all have a big effect ...lol šŸ¤£
  2. Like
    harry_rag reacted to MCLARKE in HORSE RACING VARIABLES   
    When I first started betting back in the early 80s I used to follow tipsters, mostly Newsboy from the Daily Mirror (a good socialist rag). I struggled to make a profit, probably because his tips were widely followed.
    As I am always on the quest for value rather than winners it might make sense to bet against popular tipsters as their selections are probably overbet.
    My data doesn't include such tipsters data so it's not an area I can really comment on with authority.
    Spread betting (for racing) still on my to do list !
  3. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing chat -Saturday 20th april   
    Would you believe that's the hat trick!Ā 
    Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble!Ā 
  4. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from black rabbit in HORSE RACING VARIABLES   
    To be flippant, whoā€™s tipped a horse on here when Iā€™ve got a freebie or offer to utilise! But, for some people maybe tipster selections/naps can be a positive or negative signals as part of a selection process.
    Then thereā€™s spread betting prices, something I suspect hardly any racing punters would pay any heed to. Probably a red herring as my gut feel is they wouldnā€™t be of much use for that sport, but theyā€™re hugely predictive for me in betting on goal and tryscorers so, if I was ever going to take a proper tilt at betting on racing Iā€™d want to explore that angle if only to eliminate itĀ 
  5. Like
    harry_rag reacted to Hotspur88 in Football Selections āš½ļø   
    Typically I forgot to post this selection on here so I won't record it but posting to show I do know what I'm actually doing re football šŸ¤£šŸ¤¦šŸ¼ā€ā™‚ļø. Should have gone home wins & over 2.5 however...

  6. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from Torque in Football Statistics   
    I say, are you Fred Elliott by any chance!
    I can answer for him (and myself); no as they're a bunch of risk averse barstewards who long since escorted us off the premises.
  7. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing chat -Saturday 20th april   
    Would you believe that's the hat trick!Ā 
    Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble!Ā 
  8. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from Bronxie in Racing chat -Saturday 20th april   
    Would you believe that's the hat trick!Ā 
    Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble!Ā 
  9. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from MCLARKE in Racing chat -Saturday 20th april   
    Would you believe that's the hat trick!Ā 
    Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble!Ā 
  10. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from richard-westwood in Racing chat -Saturday 20th april   
    Would you believe that's the hat trick!Ā 
    Had a fiver with a 50% odds boost. Shame I didn't roll them over as a treble!Ā 
  11. Thanks
    harry_rag reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat -Saturday 20th april   
    225 Ayr champion hurdleĀ 
    Favour and fortune. 9.0 11/2Ā 
    First street.Ā  8.9 12.0 BetfairĀ 
    These two are a bit clear clear of rest ...I'll try 5pt wins both šŸ˜
  12. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from monty63 in bookies traps   
    6 by my reckoning. If you dutched them all at best bookies price it would pay around 3.45. If you dutched them all at current exchange price it would pay around 4.7.
    Rule 1 for these sort of bookies offers is to compare them to what you could get by simply taking the best available price(s). This one looks just short of being fair given that it falls between best bookie and exchange odds.
    Always assume a bet the bookies are pushing at you is poor value unless you do the ā€œdue diligenceā€ and have a reason to think otherwise.Ā 
  13. Like
    harry_rag reacted to Skittle in Your Turn, My Turn...   
    Union Berlin v Bayern Munich...Bayern + 2 @ 1.06.
  14. Like
    harry_rag reacted to Labrador in Super League & NRL Predictions > April 19th - 21st   
    Whilst Castleford should arguably tighten up somewhat after last week's Challenge Cup drubbing by Wigan, they could easily get tonked again with Wigan's star backs having another field day. The one bit of value for me was Jake Wardle at 20/21 with Bet 365.
  15. Like
    harry_rag reacted to Skittle in Your Turn, My Turn...   
    Yes, but I've just had a look around for tonight and there's nothing that interests me. There will inevitably be something tomorrow though.
  16. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from The Brigadier in Advice and/or suggestions   
    They're giving you special "celebrity" treatment because of your high profile role on here!Ā 
    Not as daft an idea as it might sound if we subscribe to the occasionally mooted notion that "they" are watching us (I'm sure Kevin Pullein was only able to get lumpy bets on because of who he was while those who followed him struggled to get a fiver on his selections) but perhaps just good fortune in this instance. I too had only heard negative stuff other than your experience.
  17. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from Torque in Advice and/or suggestions   
    They're giving you special "celebrity" treatment because of your high profile role on here!Ā 
    Not as daft an idea as it might sound if we subscribe to the occasionally mooted notion that "they" are watching us (I'm sure Kevin Pullein was only able to get lumpy bets on because of who he was while those who followed him struggled to get a fiver on his selections) but perhaps just good fortune in this instance. I too had only heard negative stuff other than your experience.
  18. Like
    harry_rag reacted to MinellaWorksop in RBC Heritage   
    Best of luck Tony,
    I like the look of,
    Kurt Kitayama 90/1 Bet365
    Handled himself pretty respectably last week at The Masters.
  19. Like
    harry_rag reacted to tonythepaint in RBC Heritage   
    Going to be a more regular on this thread.
    Going to keep a profit/ loss for the rest of the year.
    Lost Ā£3 on the masters.
    YTD -Ā£3
    This week Tom Hoge 110/1 ew, 6 places, 1/5Ā  odds.
    Also same player 70/1 ew, 1st round leader, 6 places, 1/5 odds. Both with Sky bet.
    Good luck everyone.
  20. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from ThunderDan9 in Champions League Quarter Finals Predictions > 16th & 17th April   
    After backing 6 players to score from outside the area in the first legs of last night's ties (only for 3 of them to score but from too close to the goal) I decided to revisit those players last night and found 5 at prices that appealed with Vitinha landing for PSG at 25/1. Forgive the after timing on that one but my results have been so bad of late on the straight anytime bets that I think it was my first profitable day since the weekend before last!Ā 
    Going to need a lot of bets to judge the merits of that particular angle given the typical odds but, so far this season, that makes for 2 winners from 21 bets (the other being Lejuene for Vallecano, posted on here, at 50/1). Had a proper look at tonight's games and gone with these players:
    Haaland 28/1 and De Bruyne at 9/1
    Valverde 22/1 and Rodrygo at 66/1
    Kimmich 28/1, Goretzka 33/1 and Sane at 20/1
    Odegaard at 15/1 and Rice at 22/1
    One enough for a reasonable profit and a decent interest across both games.
  21. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from MCLARKE in SPEED RATINGS   
    Patience is its own reward!
  22. Like
    harry_rag got a reaction from fd1972uk in The Masters 11th April   
    Place return on D-C puts me somewhere in the neighbourhood of break even.
  23. Haha
    harry_rag reacted to MCLARKE in SPEED RATINGS   
    Haven't had a penny on any of them yet !
  24. Haha
    harry_rag got a reaction from MCLARKE in SPEED RATINGS   
    Missed that one. You've gone from 0 to "King of Speed" in no time at all!Ā 
  25. Haha
    harry_rag reacted to MCLARKE in SPEED RATINGS   
    Top rated on todays going is UNDER THE TWILIGHT in the 3.50 based on its 3rd at Newbury last May over todays distance. It is rated second overall to the favourite Tiriac. Available at 12/1 (4 places).
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