harry_rag
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Posts posted by harry_rag
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Bets 1033 & 1034
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Wow, where did the season go! Final set of regular season fixtures in Leagues 1 and 2 with bits and bobs to be settled, plus the SPL games. Let us know below if you find any decent bets in among the assorted dead rubbers.
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11/10 Trbojevic and 5/4 Sivo in tomorrow's NRL game.
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34 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
I think you can take an option to get 2%
Yeah, 2% option should be available for everyone. I think you get some other peripheral stuff if you stay at the higher rate (free spins, sportsbook offers) but overall the 2% option should be best for most punters. 5% would seriously erode any edge you might have with your bets.
Just checked; go into your account/"my Betfair rewards" and choose the Basic Plan (unless either of the other options works better for you).
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17 hours ago, harry_rag said:
3 NRL games tomorrow morning and a few tryscorer bets in the first two of them.
Nicoll-Klokstad 2/1 and Khan-Pereira 5/4 in the first one.
Lomax 21/10, Sloan 31/20 and Suaali'i at 9/5 in the next.
3 out of 5 for a reasonable profit. 3 in tonight's Super League game.
Blake 15/8, Percival 2/1 and Swift 8/5
Current real money ROI is just shy of 18.75% from 162 bets. Blindly backing all the players in the data set would return 10% anyway but that feels like an over-performance compared to last season's data. For goalscorer bets the equivalent numbers would be 9.6% from the actual bets and -3.59% from blindly backing every player.
Simplistic view would be it's easier to make money from RL tryscorers than the goalscorers but there's a lot more data for the latter so I'm less confident in the RL returns staying at the current level. At least both systems are generating a better return than blindly backing every selection!
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Here are the weekend's games in France for you to pick over. As ever, please share with us here if you spot any decent value punts on any of these games.
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8 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
Fortunately I was too late to take "advantage" of that, I'll stick to the sell angle
The last two sub-20 buys I put up both made up at 75 with 3 goals scored so I was due a blank. Seem to be in one of those phases where all my posted bets lose at the moment but let's see if I can buck that trend.
Solanke 17/10 and Sarabia 3/1 both strong selections for me. If MGM are offering the former price and you can boost it further it's worth a tickle.
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3 NRL games tomorrow morning and a few tryscorer bets in the first two of them.
Nicoll-Klokstad 2/1 and Khan-Pereira 5/4 in the first one.
Lomax 21/10, Sloan 31/20 and Suaali'i at 9/5 in the next.
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Thanks. It just looked a bit like a menu or a wedding invitation!
Might have been a bit wearying on the eye once there was a lot of posts to be reading through.
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1 hour ago, MCLARKE said:
EVERTON 7.80
MAN UTD 4/11
How's this going? There hasn't been an update for a while.
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Good luck with the bets but do they have to be posted in that centralised format rather than the usual right to left? It's horrible to read. If you're copying and pasting from the betslip could you try pasting as plain text and see what that looks like? There's a balance to be struck between convenience for the poster and readability for the rest of us and this falls short in that respect.
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14 hours ago, harry_rag said:
I could make a case for any of Chelsea's 3 most likely scorers at the prices (Jackson 5/1, Madueke 7/1 and Mudryk 17/2) and their hotshots look cheap (those 3 with Fernandez as the makeweight). @MCLARKE if you want to mix your bets up a bit with SX you could do worse than have a small buy of Chelsea hotshots at 16!
That played out well!
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I could make a case for any of Chelsea's 3 most likely scorers at the prices (Jackson 5/1, Madueke 7/1 and Mudryk 17/2) and their hotshots look cheap (those 3 with Fernandez as the makeweight). @MCLARKE if you want to mix your bets up a bit with SX you could do worse than have a small buy of Chelsea hotshots at 16!
- MCLARKE and ThunderDan9
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It's Friday night action in Ireland this weekend. Please share with us here any bets you're having on these games.
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Here are Saturday's games in Northern Ireland. Should anything tickle your fancy then please let us know here.
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Here's what's up next in Brazil. Hit us up here if you've got any appealing bets for these games.
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Here are the next round of games in the MLS. I must admit all the action from the Americas is passing me by at the moment with all the European Leagues and Cups building towards their climax. How about you? Share here if you're having any bets on these games.
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We're onto the final 4 rounds of games in the Bundesliga with Leverkusen confirmed as Champions and still unbeaten. What are you betting on in this round of fixtures? Share with us below.
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Just 5 games to go for the majority of the teams in Serie A. Let us know if you like the look of anything for any of these fixtures.
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Next up in the top two tiers of Spanish football. Thoughts and bets below please for any of these games.
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Soon comes round again doesn't it! Next up in the Super League and NRL we have this lot.
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Was looking like a "no bet" evening for me after a winner in Italy earlier but Joao Mario at 5/2 ticks the boxes with a small side order of 1st e/w at 8/1.
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Mancini (Roma) to score 2 or more goals at 300/1 in a few places (PP, Coral, Lads)
As posted in the Serie A thread I've backed him to score at 20, seems to be a huge threat in terms of headed goals. Scored 7 in 34 starts this season, in all of his last 3 games and in 5 of Roma's last 15.
No doubt he's due an off night but I think the anytime price is generous and, perhaps, he might be less than a 300/1 shot to score a brace.
Premier League Predictions > 27th & 28th April
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
With midweek fixtures yet to be played at the time of typing it's anyone's guess how the table will look after the above games are played but here they are anyway! Let us know your thoughts and bets as we head towards the end of the season.