harry_rag
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Posts posted by harry_rag
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QF stage in the Europa League and there's some intriguing ties, including an all-Serie A tie. I'll offer up Milan, Leverkusen, Benfica and Liverpool as my eventual semi finalists. Please share below your thoughts and bets on these games.
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Quarter finals time in the UEFA competitions and it's all wheat and no chaff in the Champions League. My gut feel for the 4 teams to progress is Arsenal, Man City, Atletico and Barcelona but let's see if I still think that after the first legs are played! What about you? Share your thoughts and bets with us here.
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36 minutes ago, glennhughes said:
Jinxing the thread again it seems,I can't get anything right at the moment,sorry about that lads
Bullet duly dodged! Uncharted territory but I’d say that it’s back to @Skittle again despite the “no bet” angle. Alternative being you get to go again as if the bet was void. I’ll go with the majority on this one if you both favour the “go again” angle.
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Phew I was beginning to think it might be my turn in the barrel!
£11.10 over to @glennhughes
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£10.78 on >0.5 goals in Dortmund v Stuttgart at 1.03
Was tempted by the Spanish Cup final at a much bigger price but thought better of it (dour nil-nil and ET/pens obviously a live runner). Bilbao +3 would have been good but doubt we'd get 1.01. No doubt a goal in the Arsenal game too but I've gone for this, see what happens!
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21 hours ago, richard-westwood said:
240 kemp
Cemhaan has a fairly big rating 8.7 for the class .....he has a tricky race to contend with but at 16/1 I'm prepared to go Ew as he looks very overpriced
5pts Ew 16/1 willh 4 places
Shall we say serendipity! Had a matched freebie offer, saw you're post and thought "that'll do". Unfortunately didn't get BOG but you can't have everything. Top work.
- Bronxie and richard-westwood
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Halsall 5/4 and Naiqama 6/4 for Huddersfield
Johnstone 13/8 for Catalans
That's in descending order of perceived edge, basically about 20%, 10% and 5% respectively.
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Must admit this thread largely flies over my head in a way that is probably karma for all that spread based waffle I come out with but I’m not surprised you can’t make a profit by just using each horse’s last run; it’s far too little data.
Each horse’s best figure would be more relevant but not in isolation. Ideally you want a rating for each horse that is based on its aggregate form, a bit like ratings for a football team based on their last x games.
I think the idea of a few of you comparing ratings for the same good quality races is a good one.
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2 B2 games at 5:30 where SX have priced the players up so I've done "my thing".
Kostons 5/2 and Bilbija 3/1 both clear bets with 365 but, unfortunately, no backable price elsewhere (Paderborn v Hertha)
Brumado 13/5 and Prtajin 23/10 in the game at Hansa Rostock (I settled for 9/4 on the former).
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5 points draw double.
Everton 4
Wolves 3.6
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21 hours ago, harry_rag said:
2 for tomorrow in the second of the NRL games. Jenkins 13/10 and Ravalawa 2/1. Both a bit better with 365 and Tuala also a bet with them at 4/3 but I can't get close enough.
The NRL bogey continues with just the "mention" scoring a try. I'll start tracking by "hemisphere" after this week's games. For tonight;
Brierley (Salford) at 9/4
Lewis and Opacic (Hull KR) at 11/10 and 6/4
Handley (Leeds) at 6/5
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Nearly slipped under the radar, so thought I'd best head off the clamour and get a thread up! Don't let me down by not putting up a decent bet or two for us all!
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7 hours ago, harry_rag said:
All 4 Wigan hotshots (70 to buy on the spreads) look value to me at the best available anytime price. 6/5 each Miski and Marshall (5/4 available) and 6/4 and 7/4 for French and Field.
Four out of four should boost the numbers a bit! Picked using the old criteria but would have been selections via the new as well.
The next thing to test is the notion that domestic games are more profitable than those down under. That’s my preconception. Probably something to track as the samples will be so small that any variance could be random at this stage.
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Not priced by 365 as far as I can see, here's the games in Northern Ireland for your perusal.
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To paraphrase Pavement, "bring on the Major League". Share with us here if you're Slanted and Enchanted by any of these games.
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Here are the weekend's fixtures in Ligue 1. Let us know your French fancies here.
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Here's your list of Bundesliga games for this weekend. Share your thoughts and bets with us down below.
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Serie A games spread across Friday to Monday; let us know if you unearth any decent bets on these fixtures.
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Weekend fixtures in Spain's second tier.
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It's a week off for the cup final in Spain barring that rearranged fixture. Thanks to @jkapuestas for his input above, any more for any more?
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This is what the Irish top flight has to offer this weekend. Let us know if you spot any decent bets on any of these games.
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The weekend's games in Wales presented for your delectation and assessment!
Europa Conference League Quarter Finals Predictions > 11th April
in Europa Conference League Predictions
Posted
On to UEFA's 3rd tier competition and it's very much a case of some less glamorous clubs getting a crack at silver ware. I'll stick to my "who'll make the semis" predictions thing but it's a lot more random here. Let's say Fenerbahce, Fiorentina, Lille and Brugge. Any insights into or bets on these games? Please stick them down below.