harry_rag
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Posts
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Posts posted by harry_rag
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1.45 Iroko
2.20 Playful Saint
2.55 Mystical Power
3.30 Pic D’orhy
4.05 Kandoo Kid
4.40 Shanagh Bob
5.15 Go Dante
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11 hours ago, vivaItalia said:
I can't see myself hitting 4 any time soon 🤣
The bore draws were great especially as it is easier to look at potentially low scoring matches.
Really it's a bit of fun and I'm enjoying tracking it on here.
Not sure if those two are the only winners you’ve hit so far from 60 selections. If so, there’s obviously a huge amount of good fortune in them being in the same bet. I’d be noting all the individual winners to monitor the returns to level stakes singles. If you’re able to beat the odds backing as singles then it suggests the Yankee approach will be profitable long term and you just need to be patient. If not, then your long term expectation is negative barring a huge slice of good fortune.
I appreciate that it’s largely a bit of fun with a tilt at a big payout but it wouldn’t be that much effort to keep a note of the odds of any winning selections.
- Torque and vivaItalia
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14 minutes ago, calva decoy said:
Didn't realise there was a separate thread for this as did earlier on yesterday's
Deleted.
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On 4/10/2024 at 3:40 PM, harry_rag said:
Henley e/w FRL at 50/1 (6 places) - gets me a fiver matched freebie
De Chambeau e/w outright at 33/1 (8 places) - using the freebie
Might’ve got that the wrong way round!
- fd1972uk and MinellaWorksop
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2 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
75p return (should be £1.50 if Ladbrokes did double odds)
Reluctant as I am to take issue with an accountant on the subject of maths, surely that can’t quite be right? Doubling the odds wouldn’t quite double the return, e.g. 3/1 becomes 6/1 so you get 7 x stake back (not 8 ) instead of 4.
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On 4/10/2024 at 3:09 PM, harry_rag said:
Two for tomorrow morning; Tuala at evens and Best at 7/4.
Best lived up to his name so one from two so far. Three for the second of tomorrow's games.
Mam at 9/5, Tabuai-Fidow at 31/20 Cobbo at 27/20.
All much better with 365 who continue with their stupid pricing model of blindly offering best price about pretty much everyone and banning anyone who places a bet. Probably not a popular opinion with many on here but it would gladden my heart if they went out of business tomorrow. Admittedly I'd forgive them if they offered me my account back with sensible bet limits but overall I'd say the way they operate doesn't deserve to succeed. They're not the only one but they're the worst in terms of careless opening prices that they aren't willing to stand proper bets on from anyone with the vaguest ounce of shrewdness. Rant over!
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Here are the weekend fixtures for Leagues 1 and 2 and the SPL. Your thoughts and bets would be most welcome, please share with us here.
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After goalless draws for Ipswich and Leeds and a 1-0 defeat for Leicester the latter's game in hand may take on even more significance. You'd have got a decent price about the opponents clean sheet treble I suspect. The odds suggest they'll all pick up three points this weekend but you never know. Or do you... let us know your thoughts and bets here.
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1.45 Ginny’s Destiny
2.20 Kalif du Berlais
2.55 Bravemansgame
3.30 Luccia
4.05 Time Leader
4.40 Whiskeywealth
5.15 Honky Tonk Highway
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I’m reliably informed that “the last 12 winners of the masters have gained 18 shots tee to Green in the 4 events they have played before the masters.” This is the list of the contenders.
- fd1972uk and MinellaWorksop
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With prices for what it’s worth (still could be clearer on the bet type front). I guess the original shot might’ve showed x30 at the top had it been each way.
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19 minutes ago, harry_rag said:
Could make a case for Latte Lath for Boro at 5/2 but as I can't get that price I'll leave him.
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Bets 1020 to 1023 are same again for 8 points each in both of tonight's CL games.
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Added Morata at 2.86 on the exchange and leaving 3.45 Lewandowski to go in play.
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Carvalho 13/5 for Hull based on stats (some way short of being a system bet). Tufan favoured slightly by the spreads but, of the two strikers, the selection is very much "hot" and Tufan more "tepid". Usually when I put up a bet with that sort of rationale the "coldshot" scores instead but you pays your money and takes your choice. Could make a case for Latte Lath for Boro at 5/2 but as I can't get that price I'll leave him. (Pile on the Tufan and Latte Lath double.)
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Much as it's a market I'm fairly brutalised by I think the boosted 19/4 that Uni offer for a Griezmann assist isn't bad. I'll risk the pittance I'm allowed.
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Was crunching the free kick and average shot distance stats earlier and have had a few small "screamer" bets for an interest.
Sabitzer 28/1, Griezmann 20/1 and de Paul 25/1 in Madrid
Vitinha 12/1, Raphina 15/1 and Gundogan 35/1 in Paris
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Moore for Ipswich at 8/5 a system bet (6/4 ok if you have to "dip" a bit) and the 5/1 e/w first is a play for me as well.
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I thought I'd shove this over into the golf thread as a worthwhile take rather than leave it just in a thread about our collective Oddschecker related woes!
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I've backed all of the top 10 in my ratings above on the exchange to small stakes, see how it plays out on a round by round basis. Small stakes but would cop around £100 if one of them won.
Henley e/w FRL at 50/1 (6 places) - gets me a fiver matched freebie
De Chambeau e/w outright at 33/1 (8 places) - using the freebie
Hisatune e/w top debutant at 40/1 (4 places) - saw a favourable mention and a bit of a stand out price.
Bit of Fun Aintree Lucky 15 Competition 12th of April. Day Two (Your selections below please)
in At The Races - Racing Forum
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Win only again, 10/1, 11/1 & a couple of 9/2 shots.