vikki37

1722 result: W 3-0, W 2-1.  Won 70.91
Profit to date £105.13

1720 result: W 4-0, W 2-0. Won £229.50
Profit to date £34.22

Another boxing winner. 5/1 winner AJ wins round 9. The 16/1 was close too. Kuzmin lost on points.
+9pts
Boxing 2020 +30.50pts

The graph is just a rough estimate to understand the expected odds movement. This was my prediction yesterday - 
"1st innings of this match looks to be dominated by SYDNEY THUNDER to greater extent.  So opening odds of Melbourne Stars 1.66 is great value to lay.  Second innings we like THUNDER to get a good start for approx 8-10 overs after which there are good chances of STARS to bounce back and win the game from a tough position. 
So my 1st bet would be STARS lay at opening and would cash out when odds in favor of THUNDER"
 
So 1st innings though STARS got good start but they could not capitalize and THUNDER had a better position by end of innings (even got good odds movement). 2nd innings expected THUNDER to do better and give us good odds which happened. After 10th over expected STARS to bounce back and win. which actually happend from 13th over until end of innings. 
So just got a rough picture of what is expected in game. Anyways its my opinion and i am not compelling you to follow   

There average meetings in the UK but the BIG money meeting is at Sha Tin a few Irish , French , Japanese & Australian raiders hoping to fill their boots.
425- Trust Me  2nd
455- Stunning Impact  3rd
525- Natural Storm  2nd
715- Super Football  2nd
910- Sky Field 
950- Super Wealthy 
WIN YANKEE IN THE 4 GROUP 1's
600- EXULTANT evens   2nd
640- HOT KING PRAWN 9/4
750- GOLDEN SIXTY 4/5  1st
830- FURORE 11/4
All prices sky bet 
Good day for Ryan Moore with 2 Group 1 wins , not good for me though drawing a blank with my Yankee , but hey ho !
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

AJ Vs Pulev tonight and I'm thinking an AJ knockout is on the cards. I never see AJ as a boxer who gets things done fast or wants to and so for me it's worth going for rounds 6-12 or maybe even 9-12. I'm also going to throw into a treble, Fury on points and a win for Kuzmin against Bakole. Good luck
2pts AJ to win in rounds 9-12 5/1 skybet
1pt AJ (Rounds 7-12) Fury (On Points) & S.Kuzmin 16/1 unibet 

2 winners in midweek which meant we saw a tiny profit. The Marine tip from Tuesday is now on Saturday so we already have one bet and I will be adding 4 more.
Chesterfield v Barnet
For obvious reasons I am not a big fan of Chesterfield at the moment given they have taken Gloucester's manager and two players (I am more gutted about the players especially Asante than Rowe), but they look to have a great chance to pick up 3 more points here. Amazingly Rowe has managed to keep two clean sheets already given he only got one in over a year at Gloucester and given how poor Barnet have been up front you would give them a fair chance of keeping another one here. Tuesday's goal against Sutton came from Carline's long throws which will cause havoc for defenders and is probably the main reason Rowe wanted him to leave Gloucester. There will be much tougher challenges to come for Chesterfield, but this should be 3 more points to Rowe's team.
Dagenham & Redbridge v Altrincham
I'm still not convinced by Dagenham and they have only won 3 games in the league with the last of them coming against Weymouth on Tuesday night. Given how badly Weymouth defended on Saturday against Halifax it wasn't a great surprise to see Dagenham score 3, but in general they have struggled for goals so far this season. Altrincham are in a really good run of form at the moment winning 4 of their last 5 including a good win against Wrexham 10 days in their last game. I think they have good chance to win this and certainly look a big price.
Ebbsfleet v Havant & Waterlooville
Havant going down to 10 men early on in Wednesday's game probably did for them against Slough, but they are a big price to beat Ebbsfleet. Both sides have only lost 2 games in the league this season, but I do think Ebbsfleet have had a pretty kind fixture list on the whole and their last game was on November 21st due to Covid which they lost to Tonbridge. You would imagine both teams will be hoping to be in the play-off picture, but I think Havant have the stronger side and they could easily take advantage of any rustiness in the Ebbsfleet camp. They have only played two away league games so far this season, but last season their away form was superb and it is something to bare in mind here. I can't really work out why the bookies have got them so far apart in the betting.
Alfreton v Chorley
I am going with Chorley again as they continue their rise up the table. Alfreton have only won once in their last 9 although a draw against Southport last time was a bit of an improvement. They have been leaking goals for fun though and Chorley ought to be good enough to win this one.
Marine v Hyde (Same preview as Tuesday night)
Having tipped up two of the 4 FA Cup 3rd round Non-League sides I am going to add Marine to the list. As their FA Cup run has showed they are a very strong side for a Step 4 team this season and could easily hold their own in Hyde's league. These two sides wont be playing league football until January at the earliest, but the FA is carrying on with the FA Trophy which is why this is being played. Marine were allowed to train during lockdown because they were still in the FA Cup and they then obviously have had the Havant game as well. That should be to their advantage and Hyde have only won 1 league game out of 6 so far this season. Quite why Marine are 13/5 for this I don't know and they can have more cup success.
Chesterfield 2.5pts @ 21/20 with Bet365
Altrincham 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365
Havant & Waterlooville 1pt @ 23/10 with BetVictor
Chorley 2.5pts @ 11/10 with Betway
Marine 2pts @ 21/10 with Bet365 if you haven't backed them already after Tuesday

4th and 6th ...both ew money 

1717 result: 1-2. Won £25
Profit to date £134.72

I'm sticking with al dancer 10pt ew 6/1 6 places paddyp
And... good boy bobby 10pts ew 12/1 6 places paddyp

1716 result: Robin Gold 1st. Won £100
Profit to date £109.72

2nd....??

1715 result: Kaheall 1st. Won £100
Profit to date £9.72

4th @ 80/1 certainly did outun its odds!
Horses for courses comes to the fore again.
 

I think Ding and Walden both have a good chance today. Selby normally gives enough chances for players to get close to him and so the +2.5 handicap looks atleast worthy but I'm also going to take the double on Walden and Ding. Ronnie was 3-2 down yesterday and just needs to play somebody that plays the table and not the player and he'll be out.
5.5pts R.Walden (+2.5 frames) to beat M.Selby 8/11 betfair
4pts D.Junhui to beat R.O'Sullivan 15/8 paddypower
2pts double - R.Walden and D.Junhui to win 10/1 paddypower

Has been in good form recently, Milkins. Beat Williams only last week. You get some good prices on these kinda players that's the thing. I'm not keen on backing favourites alot of the time. Yesterday was a great day, I can't complain. I think Murphy and Ronnie could have games on their hands coming up. Overall, I'm hoping on Kyren now. 

Need to do something  Gooner. I've got an Idea loosely along the lines of a staking plan. Though I've had massive highs and lows over the years I have always managed to turn things around. This year is a different problem where so many things have changed. Watch this space.

It is very difficult at the moment, I am just sticking to BTTS accumulators every weekend lately and hoping for the best, I find them more enjoyable cheering on goals then backing a team to win as there is so many dodgy results lately. 
You have done well to make your bank last this long but unfortunately you are now in the red like most us would be. 
Maybe think of a staking plan? You had 4 or 5 bets today and the odds varied from 21/20 to almost 3/1 yet you put £100 on each bet, less stake on the higher odds?

1714 result: 2nd. Lost £100
1713 result: W 2-1, L 1-2. Lost £100
Loss to date £90.28
I started with a bank of £2020 almost two years ago and for most of that time I've been in profit, quite a lot at one stage. The thread has gone into the red now but the majority of the bank is still intact. I hope to get back into profit soon. I think I know how to do it but it will probably need less bets and to be more selective. It's been a difficult period this year with the lack of home support taking away a certain advantage. The amount of games in football that have been condensed into a shorter timescale has had an impact on players and results. This will need a bit of thought when choosing bets. 
 

yup. That's done.

can I add a joker to my pick, please? Thank you. 

yeah, I was frustrated with Walden because I knew the accy was there to win. The only loser looks to be Williams and I assumed Williams would win to be honest. He looks a different player at the moment. Could go quite deep here. Saengkham could easily trouble Higgins. That's just kicked off.
16/1 accy comes in 
Scottish Open bets +34.75pts
Snooker 2020 +249.25pts

I've evolved constantly over the past 10 11 years ......when I first came onto this site about 10 years ago I was doing speed ratings and I think my first post was speed ratings for the 1000 guineas where I tipped blue bunting at 66/1 top rated and he duly won ...winning me 670 in the process.which was pretty special ...I probably spent the next couple years having a fair bit of success with the speed ratings but I realised after a while that there are many factors involved with what makes a horse win on the day .....weight ...distance....conditions ....jockey ...course ..class ..I was watching a documentary on the weather one day and they said they improved the computers weather accuracy from 18% to over 60 % by running 30 or 40 slightly differing scenarios and going with the most likely outcome that the computer predicted overall ....I remember thinking what if I applied that to racing ....so every single day I picked races and for about 12 monthes I taught myself why certain horses won and why horses lost when they were meant to win .....I learnt how to hcap horses ....how to rate class .....I could already speed rate ....so I came up with a spreadsheet that could rate it all ......it worked really  well so then I made another that would give preference to class in one rating.....would give weight preference in another.....speed in another and so on .....eventually after about 20 diff spreadsheets or programs and I'm talking hundreds of hours of programming i taught it to basically look at the big picture and take it's best guess at what the horse could should do today based on everything  ....and that's just what it does ....its as accurate now as it's ever been so I dont mess with it much but I do sometimes alter variables or maths and run the new thing alongside the old to see if it improves profit etc ........I have to constantly watch things though ....I started getting a run of bad results about 12 months ago and after investigating I realised that an error had occurred in the complicated maths .....was literally a bug that the program had created which inserted a single division sign in the 30 line code and then auto saved it so I have to periodically check the code now and even reload an original copy to make sure these bugs dont occur .....I bet solely for fun ....but the ratings have paid for a couple of holidays over the years and given me so much fun and excitement  so I feel all the hard work has been paid off  in full and I just trust them now blindly .....I wait to see what the ratings are then just look for the best value .....but I'm always open to new ideas or posibiltys ...sometimes ill see something or an idea will pop into my head and ill try it to see if it works .....in the last 12 monthes I altered the class rating and it seems to have made the ratings more accurate so I left it in ....constantly evolving lol 
I had this book years ago which had a formula you could do on a calculator ....it was about 7 or 9 stage formula .....I lost the book and couldn't remember the title .....if I could see it again I might try that because it was pretty good at picking winners ....if anyone knows what it is I'd love to know lol

1st 3rd 3rd ...14pts profit on the day 

Couple more for the later matches
Walden looks in good nick at the moment. Playing well and has just beat Junxu 4-0 in his previous match. Reached the latter stages of his last tournament and beat Williams. Speaking of Williams, I think his form has picked up abit recently and he isn't so easy to lay. I'm only taking Dale due to the price. Pengfei looked excellent against Gould. Gould didn't play well atall but Pengfei took advantage of every chance and made him pay. I can see him beating Wakelin today of whom I still think is bang out of form.
Lu Ning is the final bet and it's asmuch as seeing Un-Nooh out of form as it is seeing Ning IN form. Ning is looking like the old Lu Ning who I used to back all the time and that's good for the bank balance.
5pts R.Walden to beat T.Ford 23/20 betfair
4pts T.Pengfei to beat C.Wakelin 3/4 betfair
2.5pts Lu Ning to beat T.Un-Nooh 13/10 betfair
2.5pts D.Dale to beat M.Williams 23/10 willhill
1pt accy - Jamie Jones, Walden, Pengfei & Ning 16/1 paddypower (money back if one loses)
0.5pt outsider accy - Dale, O'Neill, Saengkham 32/1 bet365