corky

Great Shout 

1st @ 13\8 - In touch, headway 2f out, pressed leader over 1f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, ran on
2nd - Led, headed before 3rd, 2nd halfway, pushed along entering straight and ridden after 2 out, kept on run-in, not reach winner

Day 5
Took a while to get over the line today.
Staking plan was as follows  3, 2, NR, 1, 4, 5, 6, 6, 7, 7, 8   for a total outlay of 49
We had 3 winners
Jedi Master 6 Pts @ 8\15 returned 9.20
Alcala 7 Pts @ 10\11 returned 13.36
Swift 8 Pts @ 7\1 returned 64
Total Returns for the day 86.56 for a day 5 profit of 37.56 Pts  
Total Profit : 75.57 Pts

Day 2
10 bets to make a profit today a very small profit at that. 
Stakes were as follows : 3, 2, 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 6  for a total outlay of 51
We had 3 winners :
Consequences  2Pts @ 2\11 returned 2.36
Highland Reel  9 Pts @ 9\4  returned 29.25
Star Foot  6 Pts @ 9\4 returned 19.50
Total Returns for the day 51.11 for a day 2 profit of 0.11 Pts
Total Profit : 12.01 Pts

Trebles and Naps
Treble 
Bets 1
Winners 0
Stake 3
Profit -3
Naps 
Bets 1
Won 1
Stake 3
Returns 6.75
Profit 3.75

OK I am going to try this with an increase at loss system. The increase will only take effect after the 3rd bet and will increase by 1 Pt. It will stop after a profit is made. Just to throw the spanner in the works, if a profit is not made after the 5th bet, every winner we have will decrease the bet by an amount determined by the price of the winner (cannot decrease below 5 Pts.)  
1. Odds on winner, (after bet 5) next bet will be same as previous.
2. Winner from Evens to 11\8 next bet will decrease by 1
3. Winner from 6\4 to 9\4 next bet will decrease by 2
4. Anything above 9\4 next bet will decrease by 3
Don't forget you cannot drop back below 5.
So to sum up first 5 bets will be : 3 Pts, 2Pts 1 Pt, 4 Pts, 5 Pts  
If no profit is made after 5 bets the above 4 rules come into play. 
Hope this is understandable.
Yesterday would have shown an outlay of 15 Pts ..... Return of 27.5 Pts    Profit of 12.5 Pts. 

1st @ 11\8 - Tracked leaders in 3rd, went 2nd before 3 out, led 2 out, clear before last, eased run-in
10th - Chased leaders, 4th from 3rd, 3rd from 6th, lost place after 3 out, soon no impression, weakened
1st @ 10\1 - Settled mid-division, moderate 8th halfway, slightly hampered 4 out, progress into 4th 2 out, disputed 2nd and closed on leader after 2 out, improved to dispute before last, slight mistake last, ridden to assert run-in and kept on well

Finally I've got some time off ....wanted to play with something diff this week ....I've programmed visual basic to produce a graph for each handicap horse based on figures I input I can then see if the horse is plateauing ...dropping in form or improving and factoring in recent form i.e. last race it produces a figure based on the horses estimated ability to win under today's conditions ....today I picked the 525 leic and top 4 are 
1 fly boy   88
10 flying fantasy  88
3 stosur  87
6 another boy 85 
Stosur has weak recent profile and needs to step up a lot ...another boys recent race was nothing special although could improve now coming into form but still behind the top 2 here so ill try singles 
Fly boy 5pts win 11/2 tote
Flying fantasy 5pts win 8.8 betfair 
 

Just for your information:
*For some reason High School Days (1.50 Listowel) was showing as an EW bet this morning. Only selections at 8/1 or higher should be showing EW. I have re submitted it now.
Also the first race at Gowran has been omitted as none of the ratings were high enough to warrant selection at this level. In other words the race is highly likely to go to a newcomer.

good luck guys

last day of paper trading
winner came in the 5th race
31 pts staked
144 pts returned
will give full analysis tomorrow

Very VERY Unlucky 

16.00 Fakenham. Beaumonts Party 1pt win @ 13/2 Skybet

Perth
2.15-Golden Jeffrey @ 5-2 Stan James
2.45-Indian Temple @ 7-2 Bet 365
3.45-Chitu @ 11-8 Skybet
Reserve
2.30 Fakenham-Speed Demon @ 7-4 Skybet 

Ok guys we have a 3 way tie for the last two spots, all had 5/4 winners
Tipsterix, Geeuppy and Striker will need to play on Sunday to determine who qualifies for the next round.
Top 2 scorers will go through in 7th and 8th place.

Yeah - and no flat racing on Sunday - again

won on the 2nd race
3 pts placed 7pts returned

won on the 2nd race
3 pts placed 7pts returned

todays winner came in 2nd race 3pts staked, 3.36 points returned

Epsom 3.10
Highland Reel
Bet365  2/1

Epsom 2.00 De Bruyne Horse @ 13/8 Betfred win thanks
De Bruyne Horse....from Hannon yard the 2yo ran green on debut under Ryan Moore when held up.  Won well by 7 length in 2nd race of his career with Sivestre De Sousa in saddle at Ripon 6f , made all and pushed clear final furlong, unchallenged

14:35 Epsom Downs: G K CESTERTON @ 4.00 Bet365

good luck with this, billy

I'll copy these staking plans to a thread on their own and that way it may prompt others to join in.

Interesting posts on the staking plans !
good luck with all the paper trials
I've been trying a staking plan for the last few months but I've only been betting on football since about last October with 95% single win bets with the odd double and 'fancy' bet here and there .............so basically I was expecting a pretty good strike rate, up around 50%
Since around mid March I tried the following ...........
 
Started with 100 and had 20 times 5 bets.
At the end of that sequence I had around 141 so then did 20 times 7 
At the end of that I had around 145 so did 20 times 7 again
At the end of that I had 165 so did 20 times 8
That's when the losing run set in and before long I was back down to 105
So I had a reset and started again at 20 times 5 .............that's the sequence I'm currently in
 
I guess it's a common staking plan but I found it stopped me doing stupid bets like 30 quid on Burnley to beat Lincoln at 1/6 .............. ............to be fair that was the shocker which made me think I needed a disciplined staking plan !
I think 20 bets at a level stake is a good number to get you over any reasonable losing runs and by increasing or decreasing your stake at the end of every sequence of 20 bets it stretches out your betting bank