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Trotter

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Posts posted by Trotter

  1. 4.14 seconds faster than standard over 13.3 furlongs would get an initial rating of 145 from me prior to any going allowance ..... and I'd have to check all the other races on the card to see if the ground was riding abnormally fast

    If you remember that Frankel was 'only' rated 140

    I'd definitely be treating that standard time with caution !

     

  2. 2 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

    Still in the trial stage but here is thes top bet at today's turf meeting at Thirsk.

    3.15 BURJ MALINKA - best speed figure obtained on good to firm going but also has the best speed rating in the race achieved on soft going (April last year). Top weight but last won off a rating of 62 compared to today's rating of 61. Current odds 7/2 favourite. Only slight question mark is that the race on soft going was over 5f rather than 6f.

     

     

     

    it's a gold mine ........ 😜

  3. 3 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

    Still very much in the testing stage but my top rated horse today is Blind Beggar in the 3.43 at Bath.

    It obtained its best speed figure last May at Leicester on going described as Soft (Heavy In Places) so today's heavy going shouldn't be an issue. That was over 6 furlongs but it has won over today's distance of 5 furlongs twice since then.

    Last won off a rating of 84 so today's rating of 82 is not an issue.

    Available at 12/1 so perhaps worth a small bet.

    that's a good start for your speed rating punting !

    👍👍

  4. I think my problem with the Ascot thing is that I won't have any figures before racing

    My 'modus operandi' is to rate the meeting when it's finished and store those ratings for future use

    But I've only ever really done ratings for the AW and few runners at Royal Ascot will have run on the AW...... plus I haven't done any ratings at all for a while. So basically I won't have any ratings for any of the runners at Royal Ascot

     

     

     

  5. When I was really keen on the speed figures (which is probably about 10 years ago now) my idea of a good bet was a horse who's last 2 figures were higher than any figure of any the other's runners last two runs

    So basically with 10 runners you had 20 figures ..... if a horse had the top two it was good bet !

    At the time I probably had two or three years figures stored on the Racing Post 'My Ratings'  ....... given that these AW horses run frequently on the whole I'd have a long list of figures for many horses. I'd be looking for patterns ..... does it produce it's best figures on today's track or at today's trip, in todays race class and type, are it's figures improving over the last couple of runs etc

    To be honest I've never done Turf Racing because I've always considered the variables of going, course configuration and the relatively large number of lightly raced runners, 2 and 3 year olds with not much form and hence not many ratings, to be difficulties ..... plus the sheer amount of racing to keep a eye on

  6. Another advantage of all weather racing for speed figures is that there are lots of meetings ........ and each course rarely goes more than a few days without racing during the winter season. So not only does the going tend to be consistent all over the track but you can compare the going with the meeting a few  days earlier to see if they're within reasonable limits of each other as the going isn't likely to change massively from meeting to meeting a few days apart

     

     

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