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Trotter

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Posts posted by Trotter

  1. Re: The FTTS E/W Lucky 15. 3.50 Ling - Bazergan Clive Brittain doesn't have a lot of runners on the all weather but he has a terrific strike rate with the ones he does send out. 22 runners this season - 7 winners. Bazergan is a lightly raced 4 year old who comes here off a four month break. But he goes well fresh having won his maiden last year after a year off and Brittain gets them ready at home. Ran a cracker on his all weather debut over CD last October, beaten about a length in a class 3 handicap A lot of these horses in the better AW handicaps run against each other a lot as the opportunities for class 2 and 3 horses are so limited so the handicapper usually has them about right. Bazergan is a new kid on the block and is less exposed than most of them and being young and lightly raced could be ahead of the handicapper

  2. Re: Best bet of the day 28/2/09 2.50 Kempton - Alfadora - Win Everything looks right for him today.........right-hand track, he's fresh after a two month break, only 1 lb higher than his last winning mark over fences, he's a CD winner - the only one in the field, got Charlie Poste up who's ridden him to his last 4 wins and takes 3lb off

  3. Re: The FTTS E/W Lucky 15. Oh b*gger...........been out at work all morning, so just found out Comply Or Die is a non-runner.........:wall Shame..........it was gonna scoot up by 30 lenghs !...........:tongue2 My reserve was going to be Alfadora at Kempton but that's been backed and isn't an EW price now...........:wall So I'm going for Natal in the 3.10 at Newbury. He won this race last year. Hasn't won since but has been running in top company mainly over 2 miles which is too short a trip. Back to 20 furlongs and in handicap company he should have a good chance. Ruby on board which suggests he's the pick of Nicholls 3 runners. Naturally enough there are 2 non runners to get the field down to 15 for the bookies................:unsure Currently 12/1.

  4. Re: The FTTS E/W Lucky 15. Ted has asked me to stand in for Fin...........:hope No AW racing............:unsure So I'm going for Comply Or Die in the 3.25 at Donny. The Grand National is obviously his target but the weights are out now so he can win without affecting his chances in the big one. Just like last year when he came back out at this time of the season and won the Eider. Blinkers are back on for the first time this season, he's got his good ground and the stable have hit form in the last few weeks after a poor start to the campaign I expect to see him going on from the front and making it a test of stamina Currently 9/1 on betfair.

  5. Re: Best bet of the day 27/2/09 5.05 Lingfield - Welsh Opera - win Scooted up in a 5 furlong handicap last time. After 17 runs, that was her first try at the minimum trip and her first win. Six months ago she was running over 9 furlongs. If the minimum trip is the key to her she could be well handicapped as her mark reflects her runs over longer distances, though she has been running over 6F of late. That first win has been franked by the 2nd and 3rd both winning next time out Trainer in spanking form, 4 winners from last 7 runners

  6. Re: Lingfield 27/2 5.05 Welsh Opera - win Scooted up in a 5 furlong handicap last time. After 17 runs, that was her first try at the minimum trip and her first win. Six months ago she was running over 9 furlongs. If the minimum trip is the key to her she could be well handicapped as her mark reflects her runs over longer distances, though she has been running over 6F of late. That first win has been franked by the 2nd and 3rd both winning next time out Trainer in spanking form, 4 winners from last 7 runners.

  7. Re: Lingfield 27/2 3.55 - Ever Cheerful - EW Singleb is in terrific form and is a worthy favourite, but never be afraid of one horse ! Ever Cheerful is a 4 times CD winner who's now running off a mark below his last win. For an all weather horse he doesn't run very often, about once a month lately, and his last couple of runs were no great shakes, beaten around 3 lengths. His run prior to that, at Kempton, wasn't bad, beaten less than a length off today's mark. Jockey P Nolan, who won on him before, takes a handy 7 lbs off What's interesting though is that his trainer has hit top form in the last week with 3 winners from 7 runs in the last 3 days. So - well handicapped, trainer in form, over favourite CD Looks a good EW shot !

  8. Re: Wolverhampton (eve) 26/2/09 7.20 Wolv - Count Ceprano - Win Drops down to a class 5 for the first time in a while having come down to 75 in the ratings. Ran in a class 3 last time and ran poorly, beaten 6L by Flowing Cape, Southandwest, Capricorn Run. There's nothing of that calibre running tonight. Mostly he's been running in class 4 handicaps and being beaten a couple of lengths by the likes of Gallantry, Mogok Ruby, Dvinsky - all pretty solid all weather sprinters. Tends to get behind in his races then come with a late rattle but in better races they've usually flown by the time he gets going. Hopefully this lot wil be running a bit slower and give him a chance to catch them To be honest, he's a horse I've been following and trying to pick the day he wins - if it's not today, I'm giving up on him. My thought has been that he wants 7 furlongs in a race with 2 or 3 front runners taking each other on and setting it up for his late burst. There's a couple of sharp types running tonight and I'm hoping his class at this level will negate the need for the 7th furlong

  9. Re: Best bet of the day 26/2/09 7.20 Wolv - Count Ceprano - Win Drops down to a class 5 for the first time in a while having come down to 75 in the ratings. Ran in a class 3 last time and ran poorly, beaten 6L by Flowing Cape, Southandwest, Capricorn Run. There's nothing of that calibre running tonight. Mostly he's been running in class 4 handicaps and being beaten a couple of lengths by the likes of Gallantry, Mogok Ruby, Dvinsky - all pretty solid all weather sprinters. Tends to get behind in his races then come with a late rattle but in better races they've usually flown by the time he gets going. Hopefully this lot wil be running a bit slower and give him a chance to catch them To be honest, he's a horse I've been following and trying to pick the day he wins - if it's not today, I'm giving up on him. My thought has been that he wants 7 furlongs in a race with 2 or 3 front runners taking each other on and setting it up for his late burst. There's a couple of sharp types running tonight and I'm hoping his class at this level will negate the need for the 7th furlong.

  10. Re: Site help Just had a look at it for the first time in months......... Never subscribed to the site, but I notice that they have a 'free race' each day with their ratings........ Why not just follow the free race every day for a couple of weeks and see how they get on ?

  11. Re: Wolverhampton 23/2 2.10 Sandwith - EW Handicapper has dropped him to 66 for his return to action after a 4-5 month break. He's been given a chance as he won off 66 and 67 last summer Most of his wins have come on turf but he has a CD victory to his name. Not too worried about the break - he won first time out last season after a similar absence. Small trainer doesn't have many runners - according to the Life he's only had 2 runners in the last 30 days, but they've finished first and third. The one that finished third has won his previous race off a 4 month break. The one that won had won his last race off a 2 month break - so the trainer can get them ready at home. Looks like Sandwith is being backed as he was 11/1 an hour ago and now he's only 8/1

  12. Re: Best Bet of the Day 22/2/09 5.25 Lingfield - Moon Crystal - win Won a handicap last time out and has only gone up 2 lbs. That was at Kempton, but she has run well here before over todays CD with a neck 2nd back in December. Trainer E Dunlop doesn't have many runners on the AW, but the last 2 weeks shows 4 runners and 3 winners. Of the others Millies Rock has only ever won over 10 furlongs and is 8 lbs up from her last win. Saucy's last 2 wins were over 10 furlongs and she's 12 lbs higher than her last win. It's not obvious why stepping back in trip on a sharp track with a small field will suit either of these two. Angel Voices, on the other hand, appears to be a sprinter and tends to go off pretty quick. She probably won't last home. Bavarica finished 5th behind the selection last time - no reason why she should reverse places. I like the look of Binfield who hasn't run for 267 days. She won first time out last year and could have improved a lot physically from 3 to 4, in which case she could be well in. But the trainer isn't in good form and she'd need looking at in the paddock. She might not be fit. Moon Crystal to win !

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