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kroni

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  1. Like
    kroni got a reaction from cannotbebeat in CHELTENHAM TIPSTERS COMPETITION - Day 4 Selections   
    120 adagio
    155 mengli khan
    230 alaphilippe
    305 lostintranslation
    340 bob and co
    415 chilli filli
    450 leoncavallo
  2. Confused
    kroni got a reaction from Paperclip in CHELTENHAM TIPSTERS COMPETITION - Day 1 Selections   
    120 - Metier (reserve For Pleasure)
    155 - Allmankind (Captain Guinness)
    230 - Alnadam (Vintage Clouds)
    305 - Sharjah (Saldier)
    340 - Roksana (Indefatigable)
    415 - Druids Altar (Balko Saint)
    450 - Next Destination (Ofallthejoints)
     
     
  3. Like
    kroni reacted to Wildgarden in Racing Chat - Sunday 7th March   
    Silva won 
    Great 5th 10.5 start
    Copper coin won. Never in doubt lmao
  4. Like
    kroni reacted to Darran in Hunter Chase - 3.50 Ludlow   
    A look back at yesterday's action first which was very profitable to continue the good run. Alcala had a pretty simple task in the end with Looking Well not really performing anywhere near his best. Point The Way ran a lot better when pulling up behind the winner last time, but it's pretty weak form really.
    Captain Buck's was very much on a going day as he always looked the winner. I think this was the better of the two performances at Musselburgh. It was a shame to see Absainte come down because she was going to finish 2nd and it would have meant that every bet would have been a winner. She deserves to win one of these because she has bumped into some useful rivals so far in hunter chases and this was probably a personal best. Dark Mahler was well backed and landed e/w money for coming 2nd and was obviously a step up on what he had shown so far this season. Six A Side never really threatened and he came 3rd, whilst Bletchley Castle made it a strong pace, but had nothing left after 4 out.
    What a ride by Bryony Frost on Caid Du Berlais at Wincanton. I think everyone probably expected Dashing Perk to make the running, but Bryony made sure that he didn't get the chance to by being very aggressive early on. As we have seen over the years Bryony is very good from the front and when you know your horse stays a bit further than this she knew she was likely to get away with it. He put in some great leaps on the way round and he never looked like getting beat. He has been entered at Cheltenham, but after his last two efforts in the race that did surprise me. Clearly he can be a player at Punchestown though and surely his campaign should be based around that. Golden Tobouggan landed the e/w support that had happened the night before and to be fair it was a hell of an effort and a big step up from his Maisemore win. He can surely win a hunter chase after this effort. Dashing Perk somehow ended up going off favourite in the end and he's run a solid race in 3rd. If he finds a race where he can get to the front then I am sure he will be winning.
    Onto today's race and it is one of the more competitive ones we have had so far this season. The important thing though is I want to be against the front two in the market. We all know that Nicholls can get one ready after a lay off so the fact Copain De Classe has been off for 2 years isn't a concern, but the trip has to be a big one. He's never been anywhere near this far before and it isn't even as if he was really good before. His last win came over 2m2f at Kempton in October 2018 off 130 and he is currently off 127. To me if Nicholls thought he was well handicapped he would have gone down that route and there are some useful horses in this. I'm not saying he can't win, but he is a shocking price all things considered.
    Another horse who is a shocking price is Maitree Express. How on earth a maiden winner is shorter than hunter chase and open winners I don't know. The horse who beat him at Kimble was 3rd next time and although he finally broke his maiden at Larkhill in December chances are it wasn't a strong race and certainly nothing like this. I can't have him at all and is clearly priced up by the fact he is in the Waley-Cohen colours.
    Dieu Vivant won this race last year although he didn't really have much to beat in the end with the Evs money favourite unseating and the 6/4 2nd in disappointing. He did run well in a handicap here last week when finishing 2nd off 124 and that brings him right into this. The concern I have is that anytime he has been on ground quicker than soft he has been a big disappointment. That is enough for me to pass him over, but again he could easily win this.
    Miss Seagreen ran well behind Hazel Hill in the opening hunter chase of the season and that was on the back of beating Captain Bucks at Larkhill. She made a bad mistake at the water last time and that didn't help her cause. Also the ground was a massive worry about her that day so the fact she will have quicker ground here should be a big plus. She is a big player for me.
    Diamond King won a bad hunter chase at Worcester in May 2019 and was well beaten in his only start last season at Cocklebarrow. I find it hard to see him being good enough to win this even though the jockey change is a big plus.
    Master Dancer has won on the flat, over hurdles and in a point, but this is his first try over rules fences. He had decent enough form over hurdles and his two point runs were solid last season. First of all Silsol beat him and then he won a novice riders race. I'd be a bit surprised if he was good enough to win this, but I can see him running well enough.
    Trio For Rio had become a bit disappointing for Warren Greatrex, but on his first pointing start for his new trainer he ran really well to finish a close 3rd to Salvatore at Larkhill in December. That race was won in a quicker time than Miss Seagreen's race on the same card and they carried 21lbs more than she did. That run makes him a big player for me here.
    Fishy Story has won 9 of his 19 point starts, but I would be a bit surprised if he was up to this. One who I do think is over priced though is Garde Ville. Granted there is a concern that he will bounce, but as I wrote at the time I thought he ran a really promising race against Bob And Co at Haydock. There is every chance he blew up in what was obviously a very strong contest, but he would have finished a creditable 4th if allowed to complete the race. The last couple of seasons he has been in action (he missed 2020) he has come on massively for his seasonal return so that also bodes well. 
    Given I think the front two in the betting are there to be taken on with I am going to put up 3 against them. First of all Miss Seagreen will surely go close on this better ground as she should be able to build on the course and distance run from last time. I think Garde Ville is the most over priced horse in the race and hopefully he doesn't bounce as I think he is capable of hitting the frame here. I am also backing Time For Rio as his Larkhill run makes him a player and he also looks over priced to me.
    Miss Seagreen 1.5pts @ 7/2 with most bookies
    Garde Ville 0.75pts e/w @ 33/1 with William Hill
    Time For Rio 0.5pts e/w @ 17/2 with William Hill
    NB this was written last night to be posted this morning so it was written before the Nicholls horse came out.
  5. Like
    kroni got a reaction from The Equaliser in GENERAL RACING CHIT CHAT   
    not much in to rating myself, but going by them in races like this doesnt make sense to me, the horses are only just starting out hurdling, there are too many unknowns, some dont even have a rating, they are on debut, mostly they have 1 or 2 runs over hurdles and are likely to be learning and improving with racing. it could come down to who improves the most on the day, can be a bit of a guessing game, although sometimes worth a bit of a guess at a decent price
  6. Like
    kroni reacted to Fader in Gibraltar Open   
    Whilst the Player Championship's ended tonight, we're straight into the Gibraltar Open, tomorrow. A nice early 9am start. In the top half, I like the look of Mark Williams, this week. Judd isn't in the best of form and Mark Allen can be hit and miss. In the bottom half, I'm going to take a chance on Murphy. I also like the look of outsiders, Ali Carter and Pang Junxu.
    2pts e/w S.Murphy to win Gibraltar Open 20/1 willhill
    1pt e/w M.Williams to win Gibraltar Open 40/1 unibet
    ---------------------------------------------------------
    0.5pts e/w A.Carter to win Gibraltar Open 100/1 willhill
    ---------------------------------------------------------
    0.25pts e/w P.Junxu to win Gibraltar Open 400/1 betfred
    0.25pts e/w R.Milkins to win Gibraltar Open 425/1 betfair
  7. Like
    kroni reacted to Fader in Players Championships   
    The final today/tonight then. Ronnie takes on John Higgins. Higgins beat Ronnie in their last match-up and certainly looks to be in the better form of the two. Higgins has had some serious clearances in his matches. I think it's worth taking Higgins here. Ronnie has a great respect for Higgins and will have to think this is a tough test for both. I think that if we have plenty of frames, centuries should proceed.

    5pts Over 3.5 centuries 4/5 bet365
    2pts Each player to make 3 centuries 8/1 paddypower
    1pt Higgins to hit 5 or more century breaks 20/1 paddypower
  8. Like
    kroni reacted to cannotbebeat in Racing Chat - Thursday 25 February   
    1.30 Huntington Timetochill 13/8 Lost UR

    2.27 Chepstow Silver In Disquise 3/1 Won 4/1

    3.05 Huntington Quiana 9/4 Lost

    3.12 Sedgefield Chinwag 11/8 Won 11/8

    3.50 Thurles Grand Paradis 9/4 Won 7/2

    4.55 Thurles Silk Worm 11/2 Lost 2nd

    Good luck all CNBB.
  9. Like
    kroni reacted to ipswich45 in Racing Chat - Tuesday 23 February   
    Newcastle
    1710 - 7 Yankee Stadium   5/2 Bet365 unplaced
    1740 - 4 United Front         5/1 Bet365  WON
    1940 - 8 Be Proud             5/1 Paddy Power

    Booommmmmmm as the man on Sky Sports Racing would say with United Front
  10. Like
    kroni reacted to The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Tuesday 23 February   
    Nice to be back in the winning enclosure.  Two wins = £18.65 profit.  My new balance is £546.24 (Bank £500) Job done today.  Good luck to all still playing today
     
  11. Confused
    kroni reacted to azzybear in Racing Chat - Tuesday 23 February   
    news just in its faster than a torpedo 
  12. Thanks
    kroni reacted to Villa Chris in CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL Thoughts, Advanced Tips and Value/Bad bets.   
    Honeysuckle/Monkfish double(price boost) is now 8/1. Seems good value to me. Cannot see monkfish getting beat so you’ve basically got honeysuckle at 8/1. That’s the way I view it anyway. It’s with Skybet by the way. 
  13. Haha
    kroni reacted to Villa Chris in Racing Chat - Monday 22nd February   
    That’s me working until I’m 80 
  14. Like
    kroni reacted to Fader in Players Championships   
    Straight into this. After Jordan Brown wins his first ranking event, it means he makes this Players Championship that gets underway in the morning. Just 16 players in this event. Mostly the cream of the crop. 
    I'll take one from the top and one from the bottom. My main bet is Mark Selby. He sits in the bottom half and faces Mark Williams first up. He would then face the winner out of Higgins/Brown and a potential out-of-form Neil Robertson. I'm not sure how much practicing Robbo has had, because his eye looked pretty closed up, last time I saw him, on Twitter. (Son blacked his eye with a toy)
    In the top half, I will keep faith with Yuelong. I'm not too keen on taking anybody else up there. I'll have a little half point on Jordan Brown as an outsider. Not because I think he has a chance in hell of winning but more for cover against Selby in round 2, if he beats Higgins
    2pts M.Selby to win Players Championship 7/1 paddypower
    1pt E/W Z.Yuelong to win Players Championship 40/1 paddypower
    0.5pts E/W J.Brown to win Players Championship 66/1 paddypower
  15. Like
    kroni got a reaction from Wildgarden in USA Racing   
    late tonight, just done the later meetings
    bet365
    Classy Class @ 3/1 Turf Paradise 20:22 won Lil Grazen @ 7/2 Santa Anita 21:03 Tiz Fake News @ 5/2 Golden Gate Fields 21:53 T Bones Trick @ 8/1 Golden Gate Fields 22:25 Smart Set @ 7/1 Turf Paradise 23:52 Happy Happy Happy @ 2/1 Turf Paradise 23:24 Lady Chrome @ 5/2 Golden Gate Fields 23:29 Midnight Mystery @ 9/2 Santa Anita 23:45 Defense Wins @ 7/4 Santa Anita 00:16 Mister Bold @ 7/4 Golden Gate Fields 01:01 won   betfair Smiling Angelo @ 6/4 Turf Paradise 21:18 Articulator @ 15/8 Turf Paradise 22:21 won Lady OPrado @ 15/8 Santa Anita 23:12 Lucks Royal Flush @ 6/5 Golden Gate Fields 00:01 won
  16. Like
    kroni got a reaction from Wildgarden in USA Racing   
    bet365
    Louleigh @ 6/4 Fair Grounds 19:00 won First Metal Count @ 4/1 Fair Grounds 19:58 Dark Ages @ 9/2 Gulfstream 21:44 Mirror Image @ 9/2 Turf Paradise 22:45   betfair Gimme Some Mo @ 7/4 Gulfstream 20:41 All American Hero @ 11/2 Turf Paradise 20:50 won Aizu @ 7/1 Gulfstream 22:48   hills The Public Halo @ 5/1 Turf Paradise 23:43
  17. Like
    kroni got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Thursday 18th February   
    prices Bet365   Little River Bay @ 15/8 Sandown 14:30 Alkaamel @ 12/1e-w  Meydan 14:30 Waady @ 7/2 Meydan 15:05 Mkfancy @ 12/1 e-w Meydan 15:40 Mnasek @ 13/8 Meydan 16:15 Art Du Val @ 9/2 Meydan 16:50 Stylistique @ 10/1 e-w Meydan 17:25 Alkaraama @ 25/1 e-w Meydan 18:00  
  18. Like
    kroni reacted to Fader in Welsh Open   
    Full house, including a near 30/1 accy 
    Welsh Open +36.75pts
  19. Like
    kroni reacted to Torque in Australian Open 2021   
    I'd also add to the conversation that Serena looks fitter to me and also slightly more mobile than in the last few years. I don't know, but I suspect she recognised her physical condition needed fine-tuning and that she spent a lot of time between the end of her season last year and now getting into the best possible shape. It's a difficult balance to strike - optimum Serena will want to retain as much power as possible without sacrificing too much agility.
    Regarding the Wimbledon final where Halep schooled Serena, I can still remember it quite clearly and Halep did what Kerber had done before, which was to follow the 'blueprint' that I mentioned in an earlier post which at it's simplest is to move Serena around the court and wait for the errors to come - errors which have still been in evidence at times in this tournament. My feeling though, based on what looks like an improved physical version of Serena, is that she will get the better of Halep in this one even though Halep is entirely capable of beating her. Whatever happens it should be a great watch.
  20. Like
    kroni reacted to The Equaliser in Racing Chat Monday 15th February   
    Been out all day so not much time to look at racing.
    I haven't liked the look of the graded races today so I have just selected on in a handicap at Wolves
    4.25 Nellie French £2 win at 6.2 = £10.19 profit if it wins.  Kevin Stott's horse is favourite at 11/8 but I think my selection has just as a good chance of winning.  Besides I don't like short priced favourites in handicaps.  I've decided that my minimum price for a horse is 9/4 in a handicap, I used to use 7/2 but this doesn't seem workable now that so many favourites go off at a shorter price
     
  21. Like
    kroni got a reaction from Wildgarden in USA Racing   
    bet365
    Monte Ne @ 11/4 Gulfstream 18:37 Celtic Treasure @ 4/1 Aqueduct 19:55 Come Storming @ 3/1 Gulfstream 21:12 won Miminas Team @ 10/1 e-w Gulfstream 22:16 Five Pics Please @ 7/1 e-w Santa Anita 23:46 2nd Uno Trouble Maker @ 9/4 Santa Anita 00:20 won Pour On The Cole @ 9/2 Golden Gate Fields 01:07   betfair Gone To Cabo @ 16/5 Tampa Bay Downs 19:14 Beauty Genius @ 8/1 e-w Tampa Bay Downs 19:44  Booyakasha @ 15/2 e-w Tampa Bay Downs 20:48 Anna Fantastic @ 11/2 Santa Anita 21:03 Bigfoot City @ 3/1 Golden Gate Fields 21:20 won Conquest Lemonraid @ 4/1 Golden Gate Fields 22:58
  22. Thanks
    kroni reacted to Striker in Strikers Horses To Follow   
    I see Eastern World is spending the winter in Dubai and runs tomorrow [3.15]
    Though Buick is on the Fav, worth chancing our horse at double figure odds [Taken 14's]
    Each Way [six places] @ 12-1  Skybet
  23. Like
    kroni got a reaction from Wildgarden in USA Racing   
    hills
    Go Smiley Go @ 5/2 Golden Gate Fields 22:22 Primal Destiny @ 5/2 Charles Town 00:30   betfair With The Band @ 3/1 Sam Houston 22:31 Wise River Ray @ 7/2 Golden Gate Fields 23:28  Dynamic Day @ 7/2 Charles Town 02:21 Out Of Cents @ 3/1 Charles Town 02:49   bet365 Itgot Grandma @ 14/1 e-w Charles Town 01:53 That Kenney Kid @ 11/8 Charles Town 00:57  Spanish Hombre @ 9/2 Sam Houston 00:55  Tiz A New Day @ 5/1 Sam Houston 00:26  
  24. Like
    kroni got a reaction from Wildgarden in USA Racing   
    some winners last night, some near misses and some shockers as usual, even at shortish odds. try again tongiht
    betfair
    Create A Story @ 9/2 Gulfstream 18:39 Malraux @ 10/1 e-w Gulfstream 20:11 won Blue Lizzy @ 9/2 Turf Paradise 21:00   bet365 Free To Fly @ 7/4 Gulfstream 19:08 won Coco Tiger @ 6/1 Delta Downs 19:22 Final Form @ 9/4 Oaklawn Park 19:31 Halostar @ 4/1 Delta Downs 20:16 Chantry Flats @ 6/1 Fair Grounds 20:27 nr Giant Influence @ 5/2 Oaklawn Park 21:06 Serenade A Kitten @ 5/2 Gulfstream 21:12 A Song For Arch @ 9/2 Fair Grounds 21:25 nr Worlds On High @ 9/4 Gulfstream 21:44 Cowboy Diplomacy @ 2/1 Fair Grounds 21:54 nr Could You @ 9/4 Oaklawn Park 22:09 won Focus Group @ 4/1 Gulfstream 22:16 W W Fitzy @ 9/1 e-w Oaklawn Park 22:40 2nd Oncoming Train @ 12/1 e-w Oaklawn Park 23:10   more later        
  25. Like
    kroni got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat - Thursday 11th February   
    skybet
    Passion And Glory @ 28/1 e-w 6 places Meydan 15:05 Blown By Wind @ 11/2 Meydan 16:15   Bet365 Acclaim The Nation @ 33/1 e-w Meydan 17:25   Hills Dream Castle @ 5/1 Meydan 16:50   betvictor Grand Dubai @ 20/1 e-w Meydan 15:40
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