thegeneral55

Congratulations to all the winners. I hope you had the conviction of backing your tips, some great profit numbers.
Graham marvelous work, keeping all those stats. l am sure everyone will agree your efforts are extraordinary. Thank you so much.

Good  luck pal,  very ballsy

£30 BTTS TREBLE PLEASE
Wolves 1.75
Stoke 1.83
QPR 1.57

See the opening post; "No need to register for the competition, your first selection will count as your entry." so just enter before the deadline.

Is there room for one more ?

Received with thanks. Cheers bill

RIP. Condolences to the family.

Cheers Bill. 

Well done Bill. Appreciate it. 

Well played lads

Brentford v Bolton 2 7.00
Cardiff v Man Utd 2 1.61
AC Milan v Fiorentina 2 3.60
£5 treble, best of luck everyone and Merry Christmas 

All prices wrong!

Norwich 2.37
Luton 1.95
Was really busy getting everything together for the 3pms. Won't happen again squire

Bengals +3.5 , Bears - 4.5, Colts +7.5, Rams - 6.5

I'm going with Jimmy Graham, Calvin Ridley, Dak Prescott, TY Hilton. 

I'm doing 4 td scorers every week. Week 1 was a 20/1 winner. Week 2 was a washout. Looking for picks outside of the premium players. Any ideas for week 3 ?

Wrong div

I use CBS Power Ranking. See:
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/powerrankings/
Then allow 0.5pts per position, eg team #20 is worh 5.5 pts over team #31
(31-20)/2 = 5.5
Then award 3 pts for home field advantage.
I also like to look at the pix for the Hilton Handicapping Contest in Vegas (now Westage). These are shown by Sunday morning at:  https://www.thespread.com/nfl-super-contest-picks-from-the-las-vegas-hilton
People have to pay ~ $1500 to enter that contest, so there are some good people in.
HTH
 

Very early days with a good few months of the start of the 2018/19 season...
I've adapted my ratings based on pythagorean expectation to the NFL;
Ratings

Play Off Projection

Its always difficult to plan these things for next season as a few members move on etc... but as it stands at the moment these are how the new division will look. Obviously any inactive members will be removed when we get nearer the time.
Anyone not on here because of elimination will have to re-apply next August.
 



 
 

Inter Milan vs Napoli
The big game this weekend in Serie A comes in the form of 5th placed Inter Milan taking on league leaders Napoli. It's a tough task for Maurizio Sarri's side as they travel to the San Siro at a time when Luciano Spalletti's side are starting to regain their form in the league.
Earlier in the season, it appeared that Inter would be the main challengers to the crown of Juventus. Inter went their first 15 league games unbeaten. Since then, they've only won 2 from their last 11 league matches. However, those 2 have come in their last 3 matches. So the turnaround in form may very well finally be here.
It's been an unforgettable season for Napoli. The club may only be 1 point ahead of second-placed Juventus with an extra game played but they are still firmly in contention with about 10 games to go. Hopes of a first Scudetto since 1990 are very much alive. If they are to seal that title win then they will need to get 3 points in games like this.
Despite their run of poor results hampering their title aspirations, Inter have remained a tough side to beat at the San Siro. Only one defeat all season means they have one of the best home records in the division. The fact they also held Napoli to a 0-0 in the reverse fixture earlier in the season will mean they'll fancy their chances on home turf.
I can see this game being a war of attrition. Inter have only conceded 11 goals in 14 home games with 50% of their home matches ending in a clean sheet. Napoli have only dropped points on the road once this season and have conceded just 7 goals in 13 away games. Back a low-scoring affair. I'm not sure we'll find a winner here either. One goal will decide it at best.
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.86 with 888Sport
Inter Milan Double Chance @ 1.86 with Unibet
@Pep004, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @the bastardian, @chris666, @thegeneral55, @Mindfulness, @stephen m, @teddybear3011, @jamiedavies02, and @scommetix, what bets are you guys looking at this weekend? What are your thoughts on the crunch game I've previewed?

I think you're right about the goals here mate it's on my shortlist for my OMG system.  That's One More Goal . Over 40% ROI for January so far

No bets for me so far but I will talk about a couple of games:
 
Lazio V Udinese
Initially I was looking at Udinese on + AH line here but this is perhaps the game where Massimo Oddo's good run will come to an end. A lot will depend on whether Ciro Immoblile is fit enough to start for Lazio, if not they may have to play a false 9 in the form of Anderson or Milinkovic-Savic. Metrics give Lazio around a goal advantage heading into this game while ELO gives them over a 2 goal advantage for last 2 games!
Udinese are also experiencing difficulty in the wing-back positions with Adnan and Widmer both doubts while CM Behrami is injured. I feel Behrami is really important for this type of match as Lazio may find it easier to overwhelm Udinese's midfield without him.
A difficult game to call with so many question marks over who's going to play. My advice would be to wait for the starting lineups and look at the prices then.
 
Sampdoria V Roma
Metrics favour Sampdoria here but that is not the whole story. Much depends on which players are available for the respective managers. Will Dzeko and Perotti start for Roma? Will Quagliarella start for Samp? A lot hinges on these guys.
Despite being in a difficult moment, Roma do have certain characteristics which can trouble Samp here. Sampdoria play an aggressive attacking style which is highly entertaining but can sometimes look naive against a composed opponent who knows how to counter effectively. If Roma were at full strength and in-form then they could confound the metrics and cause the home side problems but this is far from certain as things stand.
As with the Lazio V Udinese match my advice here is to wait for the starting lineups and then see what the Sampdoria price is doing. Home team on +0.75 AH line would be my preference but Quagliarella must start and Roma need to be without Dzeko or Perotti, preferably both.
 

Genoa V Sassuolo
Sassuolo +0.50 AH @ 1.76 Betvictor
In a game of fine margins the markets have Sassuolo priced up a bit bigger than what I can make them here. Both these teams have improved since changing their respective managers and both are on a similar level right now.
When looking at the metrics I feel Genoa 0 AH line should be around 1.75 while Sassuolo 0 AH line should be around 2.25. Instead we're getting around 1.5 and 2.5 respectively so there is some slight value on away side at current prices in my view.
If we look at the ELO ratings we can also see that Sassuolo have more than a half goal advantage heading into this game which is encouraging.
Beyond the metrics we can see that Genoa are tough to beat but they struggle to win home games. Sassuolo are not too shabby on the road and if you try to force the game against them they can hurt you with forwards who are useful on the counter-attack. Genoa will also miss CB Izzo and CM Veloso for this game while FW Taarabt is not in the best condition - all are first teamers.
To summarise, this should be a closely contested game but markets are slightly off in my view. There is just about enough value for me to get involved here so I will back the away side on +0.50 AH line.

Missing players, short previews and betting suggestions on other Serie A matches of 20th round are available here: https://footalyct.com/ita-serie-20th-round/
Benevento v Sampdoria; 15:00
Benevento will miss defenders Lazaar, Antei, midfielders Cataldi, Ciciretti and forwards Parigini, Iemmello.
Sampdoria is coming without defender Strinić, midfielders Đuričić, Capezzi and Alvarez.
Short preview: After three consecutive defeats both teams bounced back with a win in last round. Benevento succeeded with first Serie A win against Chievo while Sampdoria defeated SPAL in last minutes of the match. Comparing those two teams, there is still a big quality difference and I see Sampdoria as a winner today. Last round my suggestion was Benevento Asian totals under 1 at home but odds were much better last round as they played against Chievo. Still, you can get odds around 2,00 for Benevento to stay under 1 (exact 1 goal means that you will get your money back). Benevento will miss two regular midfielders Cataldi and Ciciretti while except full back Strinić, manager of Sampdoria has no troubles with team selection. Offensive trio in Quagliarella, Caprari, and Ramirez behind them should be enough for all three points. So suggestions are two – Sampdoria -0,5 with odds around 2,10 and Benevento totals under 1 with odds around 2.