Sm0k3rZ

true feels like Klizan was on over 17.5 as well

fair to say we all got lucky backing klizan for over games! felt shitty being 6*0 first set

Yep. Shocking.
Ipek Oz (+1.5 sets) to beat Kateryna Bondarenko at 3.61 with Pinnacle
Pauline Parmentier to beat Yulia Putintseva at 3.00 with Bet365
Benoit Paire to beat Pablo Carreno-Busta at 2.66 with Marathonbet
Oz to take a set is just pure value imo, it's honestly like a coin-flip with Bondarenko on the other side of the net, so let's hope that the coin is going to land on heads this time. Parmentier/Putintseva also feels a bit like a coin-flip given how unstable both are. Finally, PCB didn't play in Monte Carlo due to health problems and he didn't even sign up for the doubles here (he played them last year), so chances are he's not going to be fit for this one (one-set/one-ball bookie recommended I guess).

Borna Coric to beat Novak Djokovic at 3.25 with Bet365
Marco Cecchinato to beat Milos Raonic at 3.50 with Bet365
Daniil Medvedev to beat Kei Nishikori at 3.50 with Bet365
I think that we could definitely see some big upsets in Monte Carlo tomorrow, with Djokovic/Raonic/Nishikori all looking a bit overrated to me at the moment. In the previous round, Raonic didn't seem to be in any condition to play against top opposition on clay, Nishikori won only because Berdych completely (and hilariously) self-destructed, and Djokovic wasn't that great against Lajovic no matter what the scoreline says. All three bets can end like the bet on Oliveira, of course, but I like the odds way too much to let go. One win for a profit, two for a celebration!

Now i have been following both Vikas and Sloanes matches. Needless to say both have been playing good. I think this one of those scenarios where you could make a case for both players. Best to cautious, as whenever i have gone into such matches,,the opponent always beats my pick with ease. A gun to my head i would say Sloane to edge it.

Pablo Carreno-Busta to beat Steve Johnson at 2.00 with Paddy Power
The Miami conditions don't look all that fast to me, which should hand PCB the advantage in this match-up. Both players are now starting to get back into some form, but PCB's dominance in rallies should be the key here. 1.80 would be my odds.
Denis Shapovalov to beat Sam Querrey at 2.12 with Unibet
Based on what I saw from Querrey in his match against Albot, I simply have to side with Shapovalov, who should be fine unless he breaks himself too many times. Querrey doesn't have the defensive weapons that are needed to deal with the Canadian's winners, so he'll have to rely on serving well, which is something that he wasn't really able to do against Albot. At odds against, Shapovalov has to be the play here.

P.Kypson/C.Norrie - Over 18.5 games at 1.90 with Bet365
Kypson is one of the more promising American youngsters, with a nice win against Smyczek yesterday, should keep things at least tight honestly. Norrie is going to beat him I reckon, but not without a fight, especially if Kypson gets his serve going well.

Czech whats your selection for women's first day? looks like a minefield! However, that does represent some value to be had.

Errani played very strong in the final. Bondarenko didn't have chances, even if she was up 5:1, and as I remember it wasn't two BP, but 6 in the sixth game of the first set. I was for Bondarenko in this match
Kratzer - Kozlova 3.5 Bet365
Just a week ago Kozlova was badly injured during her match with Rodionova. She couldn't finish it. I am pretty sure she missed few days of training. Kateryna lost in the first round of Q in the last two seasons at IW so she will not have points to defend. Kratzer is capable to stun big names. She made that last year. During 2018 she played close matches with Hsieh and Wickmayer, but lost them. I can't see odds to be more than 3 for Kratzer, who will play her very first IW.
Xia - Wu 5.42 Pinnacle
Xia already stunned three favorites. He gave a total of 6 BP chances to his oponents. His serve is solide and he is capable to stun Di Wu, who didn't look great so far during the season. Still Di Wu is a favorite (H2H 1:0 for Wu), but the odds aren't right. Maybe they mustbe close to 4.00 for Xia.
 

i'm really tempted with Madrid draw or win 1.99 @Marathon
 
PSG will be without neymar. now they will have to attack, which will leave spaces for RM to exploit. Now a win is a very probable result for PSG but i feel Madrid can come away with a draw.

i'll be taking cepelova against duan today. I've seen duan's previous matches. All have been a struggle. Once she goes down she gives up and sprays errors all over. Not saying cepelova cant do the same. Just feel cepelova might prevail.

i'm really tempted with Madrid draw or win 1.99 @Marathon
 
PSG will be without neymar. now they will have to attack, which will leave spaces for RM to exploit. Now a win is a very probable result for PSG but i feel Madrid can come away with a draw.

i would actually be cautious about bondarenko..in the final, she was 4-1..with 2 bp to go 5-1.. from there she lost 6-4 6-2..against errani..i saw the match and bonda was horrendous..lapko can trouble her and bonda would still be emotionally drained from her final loss. it takes something special to lose against errani with all her serving problems

i got her at 1.20..yeah anything can happen...my last accumulator..krunic was 5-2 40-0 with three match points..lost 7*5 and she was the last pick in the accum..fingers crossed..best of luck with your picks

Natalia doing the job there against Konjuh.
Anett Kontaveit seems like a worthy fav. Tsurenko has the game to cause her problems..but i feel Anett pulls through in the end. Might see three sets here.

I've been on Lucie in the past two matches and both have been a roller coaster. After winning the first set against Pironkova..she lost the next 8 games..6-0 in the second. Then she was 5-4 serving for the match and choked yet again. Eventually winning in TB. Now she has played three 3 set matches. Guess this is one of those matches if she wins..we can say she was on a roll. and if she loses,,we gonna say all the signs were there. But agree with Czech if she brings her A game like she did in her first set against Prinkova..Vekic will be outclassed.
 
Czech what do you feel about the Konjuh-Natalia Match..Konjuh was all over the place yesterday..she faced 5-6 match points and her attitude was terrible. i dont know much about Natalia..but beating petko and Rus is no easy task given the form they were in. Leaning towards natalia

Spurs at 1.73 has to be taken regardless of chelsea/city result..

Yes, it's the price for me that is making the City win appealing. If they were any lower I'd stay clear but that price against this Arsenal side carrying all that discontent is very appealing. Yes, Arsenal are at home but even their home games feel like away matches with a large section of their fan base more concerned with protesting against Wenger.

i think man city away is definitely value here..how motivated would arsenal be? with all the troubles at the club..i doubt the players will show up. Plus this game would be treated as a curtain raiser to the FA cup semi later on this month. both teams would try to get a psychological advantage before they meet in the semi. 2.30 for a city win looks tempting for small punt.

i think man city away is definitely value here..how motivated would arsenal be? with all the troubles at the club..i doubt the players will show up. Plus this game would be treated as a curtain raiser to the FA cup semi later on this month. both teams would try to get a psychological advantage before they meet in the semi. 2.30 for a city win looks tempting for small punt.